Trajectories of physical activity from midlife to old age and associations with subsequent cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality

IntroductionIt is well established that physical activity (PA) protects against mortality and morbidity, but how long-term patterns of PA are associated with mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains unclear.Methods3231 men recruited to the British Regional Heart Study, a prospective cohort study, reported usual PA levels at baseline in 1978–1980 (aged 40–59 years) and at 12-year, 16-year and 20-year follow ups. Twenty-year trajectories of PA, spanning from 1978/1980 to 2000, were identified using group-based trajectory modelling. Men were subsequently followed up until 30 June 2016 for mortality through National Health Service central registers and for non-fatal CVD events through primary and secondary care records. Data analyses were conducted in 2019.ResultsThree PA trajectories were identified: low/decreasing (22.7%), light/stable (51.0%) and moderate/increasing (26.3%). Over a median follow-up of 16.4 years, there were 1735 deaths. Compared with the low/decreasing group, membership of the light/stable (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.94) and moderate/increasing (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.88) groups was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. Similar associations were observed for CVD mortality, major coronary heart disease and all CVD events. Associations were only partially explained by a range of confounders. Sensitivity analyses suggested that survival benefits were largely driven by most recent/current PA.ConclusionsA dose-response relationship was observed, with higher levels of PA from midlife to old age associated with additional benefits. However, even fairly modest and sustained PA was protective and may be more achievable for the most inactive.

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Physical activity, cardiorespiratory fitness, and cardiovascular outcomes in individuals with atrial fibrillation: the HUNT study

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehaa032 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 41 (15) ◽

pp. 1467-1475 ◽

Cited By ~ 8

Author(s):

Lars E Garnvik ◽

Vegard Malmo ◽

Imre Janszky ◽

Hanne Ellekjær ◽

Ulrik Wisløff ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Physical Activity ◽

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Cardiorespiratory Fitness ◽

Lower Risk ◽

Mortality And Morbidity ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Cox Proportional Hazard Regression ◽

Long Term Impact ◽

Cvd Mortality

Abstract Aims Atrial fibrillation (AF) confers higher risk of mortality and morbidity, but the long-term impact of physical activity (PA) and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) on outcomes in AF patients is unknown. We, therefore, examined the prospective associations of PA and estimated CRF (eCRF) with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, morbidity and stroke in individuals with AF. Methods and results We followed 1117 AF patients from the HUNT3 study in 2006–08 until first occurrence of the outcomes or end of follow-up in November 2015. We used Cox proportional hazard regression to examine the prospective associations of self-reported PA and eCRF with the outcomes. Atrial fibrillation patients meeting PA guidelines had lower risk of all-cause [hazard ratio (HR) 0.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.41–0.75] and CVD mortality (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.34–0.86) compared with inactive patients. The respective HRs for CVD morbidity and stroke were 0.78 (95% CI 0.58–1.04) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.42–1.15). Each 1-metabolic equivalent task (MET) higher eCRF was associated with a lower risk of all-cause (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.81–0.95), CVD mortality (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.76–0.95), and morbidity (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.82–0.95). Conclusion Higher PA and CRF are associated with lower long-term risk of CVD and all-cause mortality in individuals with AF. The findings support a role for regular PA and improved CRF in AF patients, in order to combat the elevated risk for mortality and morbidity.

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Cognitive Impairment and Physical Activity in Old Age: The Impact on All-Cause Mortality in a 15-Year Follow-Up of the Bambuí Cohort Study of Aging

SSRN Electronic Journal ◽

10.2139/ssrn.3557992 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Erico Castro-Costa ◽

Jerson Laks ◽

Cecilia Godoi Campos ◽

Josélia OA Firmo ◽

Maria Fernanda Lima-Costa ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Physical Activity ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Cognitive Impairment ◽

Old Age ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

The Impact

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High-intensity physical activity is not associated with better cognition in the elder: evidence from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

Alzheimer s Research & Therapy ◽

10.1186/s13195-021-00923-3 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Zhiyuan Wu ◽

Haiping Zhang ◽

Xinlei Miao ◽

Haibin Li ◽

Huiying Pan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Physical Activity ◽

Longitudinal Study ◽

Episodic Memory ◽

Cognitive Performance ◽

Sensitivity Analyses ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Mixed Effect ◽

Global Cognition

Abstract Background To evaluate the association of physical activity (PA) intensity with cognitive performance at baseline and during follow-up. Methods A total of 4039 participants aged 45 years or above from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were enrolled in visit 1 (2011–2012) and followed for cognitive function in visit 2 (2013–2014), visit 3 (2015–2016), and visit 4 (2017–2018). We analyzed the association of PA intensity with global cognition, episodic memory, and mental intactness at baseline using adjusted regression methods and evaluated the long-term effect of PA intensity using multiple measures of cognition scores by mixed effect model. Results In cross-sectional analysis, mild and moderate PA, rather than vigorous PA, was associated with better cognitive performance. The results remained consistent in multiple sensitivity analyses. During the follow-up, participant with mild PA had a 0.56 (95% CI 0.12–0.99) higher global cognition, 0.23 (95% CI 0.01–0.46) higher episodic memory, and 0.33 (95% CI 0.01–0.64) higher mental intactness, while those with moderate PA had a 0.74 (95% CI 0.32–1.17) higher global score, 0.32 (95% CI 0.09–0.54) higher episodic memory, and 0.43 (95% CI 0.12–0.74) higher mental intactness, compared with individuals without PA. Vigorous PA was not beneficial to the long-term cognitive performance. Conclusions Our study indicates that mild and moderate PA could improve cognitive performance, rather than the vigorous activity. The targeted intensity of PA might be more effective to achieve the greatest cognition improvement considering age and depressive status.

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Long-Term All-Cause Mortality and Its Association with Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Thyroid Cancer Survivors: An Israeli Population-Based Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-39122/v3 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Elena Izkhakov ◽

Lital Keinan-Boker ◽

Micha Barchana ◽

Yacov Shacham ◽

Iris Yaish ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Thyroid Cancer ◽

Cardiovascular Risk ◽

Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background: The global incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has risen considerably during the last three decades, while prognosis is generally favorable. We assessed the long-term all-cause mortality in TC survivors compared to the general population, and its association with cardiovascular risk factors. Methods: Individuals diagnosed with TC during 2001-2014 (TC group) and age- and sex-matched individuals from the same Israeli healthcare system without thyroid disease or a cancer history (non-TC group) were compared. Cox regression hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for all-cause mortality were calculated by exposure status. Results: During a 15-year follow-up (median 8 years), 577 TC survivors out of 5,677 (10.2%) TC patients and 1,235 individuals out of 23,962 (5.2%) non-TC patients died. The TC survivors had an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1.89, 95%CI 1.71-2.10), after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors already present at follow-up initiation. This increased risk was most pronounced in the 55- to 64-year-old age group (HR=1.49, 95%CI 1.33-1.67). The TC survivors who died by study closure had more hypertension (14.6% vs. 10.3%, P = 0.002), more dyslipidemia (11.4% vs. 7.2%, P < 0.001), and more cardiovascular disease (33.6% vs. 22.3%, P = 0.05) compared to those who died in the non-TC group. Conclusions: This large cohort study showed higher all-cause mortality with a higher prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and cardiovascular disease among TC survivors compared to matched non-TC individuals. Primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular risk factors in TC survivors is mandatory.

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Association between Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Long-Term All-Cause Mortality in Thyroid Cancer Survivors: An Israeli Population-Based Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-39122/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Elena Izkhakov ◽

Lital Keinan-Boker ◽

Micha Barchana ◽

Yacov Shacham ◽

Iris Yaish ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Thyroid Cancer ◽

Cardiovascular Risk ◽

Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background: The global incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has risen considerably during the last three decades, while prognosis is generally favorable. We assessed the association between long-term all-cause mortality and cardiovascular risk factors in TC survivors compared to the general population. Methods: Individuals diagnosed with TC during 2001-2014 (TC group) and age- and sex-matched individuals from the same Israeli healthcare system without thyroid disease or a cancer history (non-TC group) were compared. Cox regression hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for all-cause mortality were calculated by exposure status. Results: During a 15-year follow-up (median 8 years), 577 TC survivors out of 5,677 (10.2%) TC patients and 1,235 individuals out of 23,962 (5.2%) non-TC patients died. The TC survivors had an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1.89, 95%CI 1.71-2.10), after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors already present at follow-up initiation. This increased risk was most pronounced in the 55- to 64-year-old age group (HR=1.49, 95%CI 1.33-1.67). The TC survivors who died by study closure had more hypertension (14.6% vs. 10.3%, P = 0.002), more dyslipidemia (11.4% vs. 7.2%, P < 0.001), and more cardiovascular disease (33.6% vs. 22.3%, P = 0.05) compared to those who died in the non-TC group. Conclusions: This large cohort study showed higher all-cause mortality with a higher prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and cardiovascular disease among TC survivors compared to matched non-TC individuals. Primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular risk factors in TC survivors is mandatory.

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Improvement in VO2peak predicts readmissions for cardiovascular disease and mortality in patients undergoing cardiac rehabilitation

European Journal of Preventive Cardiology ◽

10.1177/2047487319887835 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 27 (8) ◽

pp. 811-819 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Nicolai Mikkelsen ◽

Carmen Cadarso-Suárez ◽

Oscar Lado-Baleato ◽

Carla Díaz-Louzao ◽

Carlos P Gil ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Cardiac Rehabilitation ◽

Cox Regression ◽

State Model ◽

Cardiac Rehabilitation Programme ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Long Term Follow Up ◽

Artery Disease

Background Improvement in exercise capacity is a main goal of cardiac rehabilitation but the effects are often lost at long-term follow-up and thus also the benefits on prognosis. We assessed whether improvement in VO2peak during a cardiac rehabilitation programme predicts long-term prognosis. Methods and results We performed a retrospective analysis of 1561 cardiac patients completing cardiac rehabilitation in 2011–2017 in Copenhagen. Mean age was 63.6 (11) years, 74% were male and 84% had coronary artery disease, 6% chronic heart failure and 10% heart valve replacement. The association between baseline VO2peak and improvement after cardiac rehabilitation and being readmitted for cardiovascular disease and/or all-cause mortality was assessed with three different analyses: Cox regression for the combined outcome, for all-cause mortality and a multi-state model. During a median follow-up of 2.3 years, 167 readmissions for cardiovascular disease and 77 deaths occurred. In adjusted Cox regression there was a non-linear decreasing risk of the combined outcome with higher baseline VO2peak and with improvement of VO2peak after cardiac rehabilitation. A similar linear association was seen for all-cause mortality. Applying the multi-state model, baseline VO2peak and change in VO2peak were associated with risk of a cardiovascular disease readmission and with all-cause mortality but not with mortality in those having an intermediate readmission for cardiovascular disease. Conclusion VO2peak as well as change in VO2peak were highly predictive of future risk of readmissions for cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. The predictive value did not extend beyond the next admission for a cardiovascular event.

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Abstract 11597: Voluntary and Occupational Physical Activity Have Different Effects on Mortality

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.132.suppl_3.11597 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽

Author(s):

Martin Bahls ◽

Sebastian Baumeister ◽

Henry Völzke ◽

Sven Gläser ◽

Michael Leitzmann ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Physical Activity ◽

Oxygen Consumption ◽

Cancer Mortality ◽

Leisure Time ◽

Large Population ◽

Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Reduced Risk ◽

Cvd Mortality

Introduction: Animal studies suggest oppositional effects for voluntary and involuntary physical activity (PA). To assess this in humans, we used distinct domains of PA (sports, leisure time, work) as well as physical fitness and associated these variables with all-cause, cardiovascular (CVD) and cancer mortality in a large population-based cohort. Methods: Data of 2,925 participants from the Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP-1) were used [median age: 48 (interquartile range (IQR): 35, 62) years (y), 52% [[female symbol]]]. All-cause and cause-specific mortality was determined after a median follow-up of 7.0 y (IQR: 5.6 - 6.2). A Sports index (SI), Leisure Time index (LTI) and Work index (WI) were assessed using a modified Baecke questionnaire. Maximal oxygen consumption (VO2peak), oxygen consumption at the anaerobic threshold (VO2@AT), and maximal work load (Wmax) were measured on a bicycle ergometer during symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET). Cox models were adjusted for sex, age, smoking, alcohol consumption, years of schooling, income, and body mass index. Results: A total of 156 subjects died due to all-cause, 53 due to CVD and 50 due to cancer after follow-up. After adjustment, SI [hazard ratio (HR) per SD: 0.27; 95%-confidence interval (CI): 0.13; 0.55] and LTI (HR per SD: 0.34; 95%-CI: 0.15; 0.77) were associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality. WI was not associated with all-cause mortality. SI was associated with reduced risk of CVD mortality (HR: 0.26; 95%-CI: 0.07; 0.96). All CPET measures were significantly related to reduced risk of all-cause and cancer mortality (VO2peak - all-cause HR per SD: 0.007; 95%-CI: 0.001; 0.057 and cancer HR per SD: 0.011; 95%-CI: 0.005; 0.210; VO2@AT - all-cause HR per SD: 0.047; 95%-CI: 0.001; 0.028 and cancer HR per SD: 0.052; 95%-CI: 0.004; 0.073; Wmax - all-cause HR per SD: 0.012; 95%-CI: 0.002; 0.074 and cancer HR per SD: 0.01; 95%-CI: 0.0007; 0.166). Conclusion: Voluntary PA was associated with a reduced risk for all-cause and CVD mortality, while occupational PA was not. Exercise capacity was inversely related to all-cause and cancer mortality. Our results indicate that the benefits of PA may be limited to voluntary PA. Thus, questionnaires need to differentiate between voluntary and occupational PA.

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Changes in Compliance With Physical Activity Guidelines and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality

Journal of Physical Activity and Health ◽

10.1123/jpah.2020-0740 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-6

Author(s):

Christianne F. Coelho-Ravagnani ◽

Jeeser A. Almeida ◽

Xuemei Sui ◽

Fabricio C.P. Ravagnani ◽

Russell R. Pate ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Physical Activity ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Confidence Interval ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Parental History ◽

Metabolic Equivalent ◽

Physical Activity Guidelines ◽

Beneficial Effects ◽

Cvd Mortality

Background: The effects of compliance with the US Physical Activity (PA) Guidelines and changes in compliance over time on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality are unknown. Methods: Male participants in the Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study (n = 15,411; 18–100 y) reported leisure-time PA between 1970 and 2002. The frequency of and time spent in PA were converted into metabolic equivalent minutes per week. The participants were classified into remained inactive, became active, became inactive, or remained active groups according to their achievement of the PA guidelines along the follow-up, equivalent here to at least 500 metabolic equivalent minutes of PA per week. Cox regression adjusted for different models was used for the analyses, using age, body mass index, smoking and drinking status, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and parental history of CVD. Results: Over a mean follow-up of 6.2 years, 439 CVD deaths occurred. Consistently meeting the PA guidelines, compared with not meeting, was associated with a 54% (95% confidence interval, 0.32–0.67) decreased risk of CVD mortality. After controlling for all potential confounders, the risk reduction was 47% (95% confidence interval, 0.36–0.77). Conclusions: Maintaining adherence to the PA guidelines produces substantial reductions in the risk of CVD deaths in men. Furthermore, discontinuing compliance with the guidelines may offset the beneficial effects on longevity.

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Abstract P288: Exposure To Psychological And Physical Challenges Immediately Prior To Myocardial Infarction And Increased 10-year Mortality

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.129.suppl_1.p288 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Loes Smeijers ◽

Elizabeth Mostofsky ◽

Willem J Kop ◽

Murray A Mittelman

Keyword(s):

Physical Activity ◽

Myocardial Infarction ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Coffee Consumption ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Sensitivity Analyses ◽

Risk Indicator ◽

All Cause Mortality

Objective: To examine the association between exposure to psychological (anger, anxiety) and physical (high activity levels, coffee consumption) challenge immediately prior to myocardial infarction (MI) as risk indicator of mortality at 10-year follow-up. Methods: Participants of the Determinants of Myocardial Infarction Onset Study (N=2176, mean age 60.1±12.5 yrs, 29.2% women) were interviewed to assess exposure to several potential triggers immediately prior to MI, including anger, anxiety, physical activity and coffee. All-cause mortality was assessed using the National Death Index for 10 years follow-up. We constructed Cox proportional hazards models with 95% confidence intervals to examine the relationship between exposure to these potential triggers in the 2 hours prior to MI onset and the rate of all-cause mortality, adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics. Results: Exposure to anger, anxiety, physical activity or coffee consumption prior to MI was associated with a 30% higher mortality rate over 10 years (HR=1.30, 95%CI=1.06-1.59, p =0.011) compared to patients who were not exposed to any of these potential triggers. This association was stronger for the first 3 years of follow-up (HR=1.59, 95%CI=1.16-2.19, p =0.004) and weaker for years 3 to 10 (HR=1.14, 95%CI=0.88-1.48, p =0.32). In separate analyses for each exposure, there was a higher mortality rate associated with anxiety (HR=1.44, 95%CI=1.09-1.91, p =0.010) and a suggestion of a higher rate for anger (HR=1.33, 95%CI=0.97-1.81, p =0.075), but no association for physical activity or coffee consumption. Sensitivity analyses showed stronger associations for women than men, and patients aged 65 and older compared to younger patients. Discussion: MI following episodes of anger, anxiety, physical activity or coffee consumption is associated with higher all-cause mortality in the following 10 years. This association was strongest for anxiety and slightly lower for anger but there was no evidence of a higher mortality rate among MI patients reporting physical activity or coffee consumption immediately prior to MI.

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Abstract 20038: Maternal Pre-Pregnancy Overweight is Associated with Increased Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in the Framingham Heart Study

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.130.suppl_2.20038 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽

Author(s):

Michael Mendelson ◽

Asya Lyass ◽

Sarah D de Ferranti ◽

Charlotte Andersson ◽

Caroline Fox ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Framingham Heart Study ◽

Maternal Body Mass Index ◽

Cvd Risk Factors ◽

Cvd Risk ◽

Heart Study ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Maternal Overweight ◽

Cvd Mortality

Introduction: In the U.S., obesity among women of childbearing age is highly prevalent. Maternal obesity is associated with offspring obesity and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, potentially through epigenetic and early developmental mechanisms. There is limited evidence on the association of maternal overweight with offspring CVD events and mortality. Methods: We analyzed prospectively collected data from 1971 to 2012 on 879 Framingham Heart Study Offspring cohort participants with either directly measured pre-pregnancy maternal body mass index (BMI) (n=361) or offspring-reported maternal pre-pregnancy overweight status (n=518). Our outcomes included a composite measure of any CVD event or mortality, CVD mortality and all-cause mortality. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted, initially age and sex adjusted, and then additionally adjusted for potential mediators including traditional CVD risk factors. Pharmacologic treatments for diabetes, hypertension, and/or dyslipidemia were included as time-varying covariates. Results: Maternal pre-pregnancy overweight (BMI >= 85th percentile or self-report) was available for 879 Framingham Offspring Study participants (mean age [SD] at baseline 30 [5] years; 49% female; mean follow-up [SD] 32 [8] years). There were 193 CVD events, 28 CVD deaths, and 138 total deaths among the offspring. Maternal overweight was associated with an increased hazard ratio (HR) with CVD mortality (HR 10.5 [2.6-43]; p=0.001), all-cause mortality (HR 3.1 [1.5-6.4]; p=0.002), and marginally associated with the composite endpoint of CVD events and mortality (HR 1.7 [95% CI 0.99-2.8]; p=0.05). Adjustment for offspring BMI, diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia attenuated the associations. In sensitivity analyses restricted to only those with directly measured maternal pre-pregnancy BMI, effect estimates remained robust (similar hazard ratios but larger confidence intervals). Conclusions: Maternal pre-pregnancy overweight is associated with offspring CVD mortality. The association is likely mediated in part through classical CVD risk factors such as offspring obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia.

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