Quantifying the association of low-intensity and late initiation of tobacco smoking with total and cause-specific mortality in Asia

2020 ◽  
pp. tobaccocontrol-2019-055412
Author(s):  
Jae Jeong Yang ◽  
Danxia Yu ◽  
Xiao-Ou Shu ◽  
Neal D Freedman ◽  
Wanqing Wen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Respiratory Disease ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Lung Cancer Mortality ◽  
Pooled Analysis ◽  
Low Intensity ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Late Initiation ◽  
Specific Mortality ◽  
Never Smokers

BackgroundLittle is known about the health harms associated with low-intensity smoking in Asians who, on average, smoke fewer cigarettes and start smoking at a later age than their Western counterparts.MethodsIn this pooled analysis of 738 013 Asians from 16 prospective cohorts, we quantified the associations of low-intensity (<5 cigarettes/day) and late initiation (≥35 years) of smoking with mortality outcomes. HRs and 95% CIs were estimated for each cohort by Cox regression. Cohort-specific HRs were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis.FindingsDuring a mean follow-up of 11.3 years, 92 068 deaths were ascertained. Compared with never smokers, current smokers who consumed <5 cigarettes/day or started smoking after age 35 years had a 16%–41% increased risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory disease mortality and a >twofold risk of lung cancer mortality. Furthermore, current smokers who started smoking after age 35 and smoked <5 cigarettes/day had significantly elevated risks of all-cause (HRs (95% CIs)=1.14 (1.05 to 1.23)), CVD (1.27 (1.08 to 1.49)) and respiratory disease (1.54 (1.17 to 2.01)) mortality. Even smokers who smoked <5 cigarettes/day but quit smoking before the age of 45 years had a 16% elevated risk of all-cause mortality; however, the risk declined further with increasing duration of abstinence.ConclusionsOur study showed that smokers who smoked a small number of cigarettes or started smoking later in life also experienced significantly elevated all-cause and major cause-specific mortality but benefited from cessation. There is no safe way to smoke—not smoking is always the best choice.

Abstract P255: Association of Mild Chronic Kidney Disease with Venous Thromboembolism: Pooled Analysis of Prospective General Population Cohorts

Circulation ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 125 (suppl_10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bakhtawar K Mahmoodi ◽  
Ron T Gansevoort ◽  
Inger Anne Naess ◽  
Pamela L Lutsey ◽  
Sigrid K Braekkan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chronic Kidney Disease ◽  
Venous Thromboembolism ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Pooled Analysis ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Increased Risk

Background: Recent findings suggest that mild chronic kidney disease (CKD) might be associated with increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, results were partially inconsistent, which may be due to lack of power. We therefore performed a meta-analysis to investigate the association between mild CKD and VTE incidence. Methods: A literature search was performed to retrieve community-based cohorts with information on the association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria with VTE. Five cohorts were identified that were pooled on individual level. To obtain pooled hazard ratios (HRs) for VTE, linear spline models were fitted using Cox regression with shared-frailty. Models were adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, total cholesterol, smoking, diabetes, history of cardiovascular disease and body-mass index. Random-effect meta-analysis was used to obtain adjusted pooled HRs of VTE with CKD versus no CKD. Results: The analysis included 95,154 participants with 1,178 VTE cases and 599,453 person-years of follow-up. Risk of VTE increased continuously with lower eGFR and higher ACR (Figure). Compared with eGFR 100 mL/min/1.73m², pooled adjusted HRs for VTE were 1.3 (1.0–1.7) for eGFR 60, 1.8 (1.3–2.6) for 45 and 1.9 (1.2–2.9) for 30 mL/min/1.73m². Compared with albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) 5 mg/g, pooled adjusted HRs for VTE were 1.3 (1.04–1.7) for ACR 30, 1.6 (1.1–2.4) for 300 and 1.9 (1.2–3.1) for 1000 mg/g. There was no evidence for interaction between eGFR and ACR (P=0.22). The pooled adjusted HR for CKD (eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73m² or albuminuria ≥30 mg/g) vs. no CKD was 1.5 (95%CI, 1.2–2.1). Results were similar for idiopathic and provoked VTE. Conclusion: Both reduced eGFR and elevated albuminuria are novel independent predictors of VTE in the general population.

scholarly journals Meta-analysis and metaregression of risk factors associated with mortality in hip fracture patients during the COVID-19 pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Firas J. Raheman ◽  
Djamila M. Rojoa ◽  
Jvalant Nayan Parekh ◽  
Reshid Berber ◽  
Robert Ashford
Keyword(s):  
Hip Fracture ◽  
Hip Fractures ◽  
Case Fatality Rate ◽  
Excess Mortality ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Case Fatality ◽  
Pooled Analysis ◽  
Fatality Rate ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Impact

AbstractIncidence of hip fractures has remained unchanged during the pandemic with overlapping vulnerabilities observed in patients with hip fractures and those infected with COVID-19. We aimed to investigate the independent impact of COVID-19 infection on the mortality of these patients. Healthcare databases were systematically searched over 2-weeks from 1st–14th November 2020 to identify eligible studies assessing the impact of COVID-19 on hip fracture patients. Meta-analysis of proportion was performed to obtain pooled values of prevalence, incidence and case fatality rate of hip fracture patients with COVID-19 infection. 30-day mortality, excess mortality and all-cause mortality were analysed using a mixed-effects model. 22 studies reporting 4015 patients were identified out of which 2651 (66%) were assessed during the pandemic. An excess mortality of 10% was seen for hip fractures treated during the pandemic (OR 2.00, p = 0.007), in comparison to the pre-pandemic controls (5%). Estimated mortality of COVID-19 positive hip fracture patients was four-fold (RR 4.59, p < 0.0001) and 30-day mortality was 38.0% (HR 4.73, p < 0.0001). The case fatality rate for COVID-19 positive patients was 34.74%. Between-study heterogeneity for the pooled analysis was minimal (I2 = 0.00) whereas, random effects metaregression identified subgroup heterogeneity for male gender (p < 0.001), diabetes (p = 0.002), dementia (p = 0.001) and extracapsular fractures (p = 0.01) increased risk of mortality in COVID-19 positive patients.

Risk of major chronic diseases in transport, rescue and security industries: a longitudinal register-based study

2021 ◽  
pp. oemed-2021-107764
Author(s):  
Kimmo Herttua ◽  
Linda Juel Ahrenfeldt ◽  
Tapio Paljarvi
Keyword(s):  
Oral Cancer ◽  
Chronic Diseases ◽  
Respiratory Disease ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Chronic Respiratory Disease ◽  
Police Force ◽  
Rescue Service ◽  
Active Population ◽  
Increased Risk

ObjectiveTo investigate the risk of hospitalisation for major chronic diseases across representative transport, rescue and security industries.MethodsWe performed a register-based study of 624 571 workers from six industries in Denmark between 2000 and 2005, followed up hospitalisation for chronic diseases up to 17 years, and compared with a 20% random sample of the economically active population.ResultsHR from the Cox regression models showed that seafarers had higher risk of lung cancer (men: 1.54, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.81; women: 1.63, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.36), and male seafarers had higher risk of diabetes (1.32, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.43) and oral cancer (1.51, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.88). Men and women in land transport had increased risk of diabetes (men: 1.68, 95% CI 1.63 to 1.73; women 1.55, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.71) and chronic respiratory disease (men: 1.21, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.25; women 1.42, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.53). Among women, a higher risk of gastrointestinal cancer was observed in aviation (1.53, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.89) and police force (1.29, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.65), oral cancer in defence forces (1.83, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.79), and chronic respiratory disease in rescue service (1.47, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.77), while men in defence forces, police force and rescue service had mainly lower risk of these chronic diseases.ConclusionsWe observed considerable health disparities from chronic diseases across transport, rescue and security industries, with workers in seafaring and land transport generally bearing the greatest relative burden.

scholarly journals Elevated Cancer-Specific Mortality Among HIV-Infected Patients in the United States

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (21) ◽  
pp. 2376-2383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna E. Coghill ◽  
Meredith S. Shiels ◽  
Gita Suneja ◽  
Eric A. Engels
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Treatment ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
B Cell Lymphoma ◽  
The United States ◽  
Cancer Stage ◽  
Infected People ◽  
Patients With Cancer ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Specific Mortality ◽  
Cancer Specific Mortality

Purpose Despite advances in the treatment of HIV, HIV-infected people remain at increased risk for many cancers, and the number of non–AIDS-defining cancers is increasing with the aging of the HIV-infected population. No prior study has comprehensively evaluated the effect of HIV on cancer-specific mortality. Patients and Methods We identified cases of 14 common cancers occurring from 1996 to 2010 in six US states participating in a linkage of cancer and HIV/AIDS registries. We used Cox regression to examine the association between patient HIV status and death resulting from the presenting cancer (ascertained from death certificates), adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, year of cancer diagnosis, and cancer stage. We included 1,816,461 patients with cancer, 6,459 (0.36%) of whom were HIV infected. Results Cancer-specific mortality was significantly elevated in HIV-infected compared with HIV-uninfected patients for many cancers: colorectum (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.49; 95% CI, 1.21 to 1.84), pancreas (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.35 to 2.18), larynx (HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.06 to 2.47), lung (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.39), melanoma (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.09 to 2.70), breast (HR, 2.61; 95% CI, 2.06 to 3.31), and prostate (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.02 to 2.41). HIV was not associated with increased cancer-specific mortality for anal cancer, Hodgkin lymphoma, or diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. After further adjustment for cancer treatment, HIV remained associated with elevated cancer-specific mortality for common non–AIDS-defining cancers: colorectum (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.80), lung (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.44), melanoma (HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.14 to 3.27), and breast (HR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.86 to 3.73). Conclusion HIV-infected patients with cancer experienced higher cancer-specific mortality than HIV-uninfected patients, independent of cancer stage or receipt of cancer treatment. The elevation in cancer-specific mortality among HIV-infected patients may be attributable to unmeasured stage or treatment differences as well as a direct relationship between immunosuppression and tumor progression.

scholarly journals Light Cigarette Smoking Increases Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality: Findings from the NHIS Cohort Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (14) ◽  
pp. 5122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Qin ◽  
Costan G. Magnussen ◽  
Shengxu Li ◽  
Lyn M Steffen ◽  
Bo Xi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Cigarette Smoking ◽  
Respiratory Disease ◽  
The United States ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Specific Mortality ◽  
Interview Survey ◽  
Disease Specific Mortality ◽  
Cancer Specific Mortality ◽  
Never Smokers

Very few studies have examined the association between light cigarette smoking (i.e., ≤5 cigarettes per day) and mortality. The aim of this study was to examine the association of light cigarette smoking with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among adults in the United States. Data were from 13 waves of the National Health Interview Survey (1997 to 2009) that were linked to the National Death Index records through December 31, 2011. A total of 329,035 participants aged ≥18 years in the United States were included. Deaths were from all cause, cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and respiratory disease and were confirmed by death certification. During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 34,862 participants died, of which 8415 were from cancer, 9031 from CVD, and 2040 from respiratory disease. Compared with never-smokers, participants who smoked 1–2 (hazard ratios (HR) = 1.94, 95%CI = 1.73–2.16) and 3–5 cigarettes (HR = 1.99, 1.83–2.17) per day were at higher risk of all-cause mortality after adjustment for demographic variables, lifestyle factors and physician-diagnosis of chronic disease. The associations were stronger for respiratory disease-specific mortality, followed by cancer-specific mortality and CVD-specific mortality. For example, the HRs (95% CIs) of smoking 1–2 cigarettes per day were 9.75 (6.15–15.46), 2.28 (1.84–2.84) and 1.93 (1.58–2.36), respectively, for these three cause-specific mortalities. This study indicates that light cigarette smoking increases risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in US adults.

Risk of fall and clinical fracture associated with androgen receptor inhibitors: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 71-71
Author(s):  
Zin Myint ◽  
Harry D. Momo ◽  
Danielle E. Otto ◽  
Donglin Yan ◽  
Robert S. DiPaola ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Systematic Review ◽  
Androgen Receptor ◽  
Phase Ii ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Pooled Analysis ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
High Grade ◽  
Increased Risk

71 Background: Patients treated with androgen receptor inhibitors (ARIs) report a higher incidence of falls; although a potential mechanism of action is unknown. This systematic review evaluates the relative risk (RR) of fall and fracture in prostate cancer (PCa) patients that receive ARIs. Methods: We conducted a comprehensive literature search using Cochrane, Scopus and MedlinePlus databases from inception through August 2019, and evaluated all published prospective phase II, III and IV randomized controlled trials that treated PCa patients with ARIs. Reported fall and fractures as adverse events (AEs) were extracted for analysis. Retrospective, phase I, non-randomized phase II, and studies with control arms that used one of the ARIs were excluded. A mixed effects model was used to estimate effects of ARI on the RR, with the included studies treated as random effects and study arms treated as fixed effects in the pooled analysis. Sample size for each study was used to weight the mixed model. Results: Eleven studies met our inclusion criteria. The total population was 11,382; 6536 were in the ARI arm and 4846 in the control (CTL) arm. Study types were: 8 phase III; 2 phase II; 1 phase IV. Subjects in the ARI arm received enzalutamide, apalutamide or darolutamide in combination with androgen deprivation therapy or other enzalutamide combinations while in the CTL arm received placebo, bicalutamide or abiraterone. Treatment duration ranged from 5.4 to 20.5 mo for ARI vs. 5.4 to 18.3 mo for CTL. The reported incidence of fall was 481 (7.4%) in ARI and 201 (4.1%) for CTL. The incidence of fracture was 204 (3.1%) in ARI and 93 (1.9%) in control. The use of ARI was associated with an increased risk: all fall grades (RR 1.83; 95% CI 1.56-2.15; p <0.01); high grade fall (RR 1.69; 95% CI 1.09 – 2.62; p=0.019); all grade fracture (RR 1.56; 95% CI 1.23-1.97; p <0.01) and likely high grade fracture (RR 1.62; 95% CI 0.97 – 2.69; p=0.063). Conclusions: The use of ARI significantly increases falls and fractures in PCa patients as assessed by this meta-analysis study. Further studies would be warranted to identify and understand potential mechanisms and develop strategies to decrease falls and fractures associated with ARI use.

scholarly journals Fruit and Vegetable Intake and Mortality

Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (17) ◽  
pp. 1642-1654 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dong D. Wang ◽  
Yanping Li ◽  
Shilpa N. Bhupathiraju ◽  
Bernard A. Rosner ◽  
Qi Sun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Respiratory Disease ◽  
Dose Response ◽  
Fruits And Vegetables ◽  
Vegetable Intake ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Total Mortality ◽  
Fruit And Vegetables ◽  
Fruit And Vegetable Intake ◽  
Specific Mortality

Background: The optimal intake levels of fruit and vegetables for maintaining long-term health are uncertain. Methods: We followed 66 719 women from the Nurses’ Health Study (1984–2014) and 42 016 men from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986–2014) who were free from cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and diabetes at baseline. Diet was assessed using a validated semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire at baseline and updated every 2 to 4 years. We also conducted a dose-response meta-analysis, including results from our 2 cohorts and 24 other prospective cohort studies. Results: We documented 33 898 deaths during the follow-up. After adjustment for known and suspected confounding variables and risk factors, we observed nonlinear inverse associations of fruit and vegetable intake with total mortality and cause-specific mortality attributable to cancer, CVD, and respiratory disease (all P nonlinear <0.001). Intake of ≈5 servings per day of fruit and vegetables, or 2 servings of fruit and 3 servings of vegetables, was associated with the lowest mortality, and above that level, higher intake was not associated with additional risk reduction. In comparison with the reference level (2 servings/d), daily intake of 5 servings of fruit and vegetables was associated with hazard ratios (95% CI) of 0.87 (0.85–0.90) for total mortality, 0.88 (0.83–0.94) for CVD mortality, 0.90 (0.86–0.95) for cancer mortality, and 0.65 (0.59–0.72) for respiratory disease mortality. The dose-response meta-analysis that included 145 015 deaths accrued in 1 892 885 participants yielded similar results (summary risk ratio of mortality for 5 servings/d=0.87 [95% CI, 0.85–0.88]; P nonlinear <0.001). Higher intakes of most subgroups of fruits and vegetables were associated with lower mortality, with the exception of starchy vegetables such as peas and corn. Intakes of fruit juices and potatoes were not associated with total and cause-specific mortality. Conclusions: Higher intakes of fruit and vegetables were associated with lower mortality; the risk reduction plateaued at ≈5 servings of fruit and vegetables per day. These findings support current dietary recommendations to increase intake of fruits and vegetables, but not fruit juices and potatoes.

scholarly journals Feeding in neonates with antenatal doppler abnormalities- a systematic review and meta-analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajendra Prasad Anne ◽  
Abhishek S Aradhya ◽  
Srinivas Murki
Keyword(s):  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Risk Of Bias ◽  
Preterm Neonates ◽  
Study Objective ◽  
Assessment Development ◽  
Evaluation Approach ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Late Initiation ◽  
Hospital Acquired ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Preterm neonates with antenatal doppler abnormalities are at increased risk of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). In these neonates, we did a meta-analysis to compare the impact of early versus late initiation of feeding, and slow versus rapid feed advancement on the important neonatal outcomes. The databases of PubMed, Embase, Cochrane central, CINAHL and google scholar were searched on 6th September 2020. We included all randomized controlled trials addressing the study objective(s). The risk of bias was assessed using the Risk of Bias tool, version 2. Certainty of evidence was assessed using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach. Early feeding did not increase the incidence of NEC stage 2 or more (odds ratio/OR 1.27, 95% confidence interval/CI 0.83, 1.96; 6 studies, 772 participants) and mortality (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.4, 1.57; 3 studies, 498 participants). A trend was noted towards an increased incidence of feeding intolerance (OR 1.37, 95% CI 0.98, 1.92). There was a significant reduction in time to reach full feeds, duration of total parental nutrition, duration of hospital stay, and rates of hospital-acquired infections. The time to regain birth weight was not different. Rapid feed advancement decreased the time to reach full feeds, without affecting other outcomes. The overall certainty of the evidence was rated low. Heterogeneity was not significant. Conclusion: There is low-certainty evidence to recommend early feed initiation in preterm neonates with antenatal doppler abnormalities. The data is insufficient to make a recommendation on the rapidity of feed advancement.

scholarly journals Effect of smoking cessation on tooth loss: a systematic review with meta-analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Luisa Silveira Souto ◽  
Emanuel Silva Rovai ◽  
Cristina Cunha Villar ◽  
Mariana Minatel Braga ◽  
Cláudio Mendes Pannuti
Keyword(s):  
Systematic Review ◽  
Smoking Cessation ◽  
Longitudinal Studies ◽  
Tooth Loss ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Former Smokers ◽  
Meta Regression ◽  
Never Smokers

Abstract Background Smoking is a major risk factor for periodontitis and tooth loss. Smoking cessation has a positive impact in periodontal treatment. However, so far, no systematic review has evaluated the effect of smoking cessation on tooth loss. Therefore, this review aimed to evaluate if smoking cessation reduces the risk of tooth loss. Methods Observational (cross-sectional and longitudinal) studies that investigated the association between smoking cessation and tooth loss were included. MEDLINE, EMBASE and LILACS databases were searched for articles published up to November 2018. Pooled results for subgroups of current and former smokers were compared in meta-analysis. Meta-regression was used to test the influence of smoking status on estimates and explore the heterogeneity. Results Of 230 potentially relevant publications, 21 studies were included in the qualitative review and 12 in the quantitative analysis. Meta-analysis of cross-sectional studies did not show any differences between former and current smokers in the chance of losing 1 or more teeth (OR = 1.00; 95% CI = 0.80 to 1.24, I2 = 80%), losing more than 8 teeth (OR = 1.02; 95% CI = 0.78 to 1.32, I2 = 0%) or being edentulous (OR = 1.37; 95% CI = 0.94 to 1.99, I2 = 98%). Meta-analysis from longitudinal studies showed that, when compared to never smokers, former smokers presented no increased risk of tooth loss (RR = 1.15; 95% CI = 0.98 to 1.35, I2 = 76%), while current smokers presented an increased risk of tooth loss (RR = 2.60; 95% CI = 2.29 to 2.96, I2 = 61%). Meta-regression showed that, among former smokers, the time of cessation was the variable that better explained heterogeneity (approximately 60%). Conclusions Risk for tooth loss in former smokers is comparable to that of never smokers. Moreover, former smokers have a reduced risk of tooth loss, when compared to current smokers.

Predictive value of AZGP1 following radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer: a cohort study and meta-analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 72 (10) ◽  
pp. 696-704 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gitte Kristensen ◽  
Kasper Drimer Berg ◽  
Birgitte Grønkær Toft ◽  
Hein Vincent Stroomberg ◽  
Rosalie Nolley ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Radical Prostatectomy ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Biochemical Failure ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Specific Mortality ◽  
Tissue Biomarker

AimsZinc-alpha 2-glycoprotein (AZGP1) is a promising tissue biomarker to predict outcomes in men undergoing treatment for localised prostate cancer (PCa). We aimed to examine the association between AZGP1 expression and the endpoints: risk of biochemical failure (BF), initiating castration-based treatment, developing castration-resistant PCa (CRPC) and PCa-specific mortality following radical prostatectomy (RP).MethodsThe study included a prospective cohort of 302 patients who underwent RP for PCa from 2002 to 2005. AZGP1 expression was analysed using immunohistochemistry on tissue microarray RP specimens and was scored semiquantitively as low or high expression. Risk of all endpoints was analysed using stratified cumulative incidences and cause-specific Cox regression, and validated with receiver operating curves, calibration and discrimination in competing-risk analyses. A meta-analysis was performed including previous studies investigating AZGP1 expression and risk of BF following RP.ResultsMedian time of follow-up was 14.0 years. The cumulative incidence of all endpoints was significantly higher in patients with low AZGP1 expression compared with patients with high AZGP1 expression (p<0.001). In a multivariate analysis, low AZGP1 expression increases the risk of BF (HR 2.7; 95% CI 1.9 to 3.8; p<0.0001), castration-based treatment (HR 2.2; 95% CI 1.2 to 4.2; p=0.01) and CRPC (HR 2.3; 95% CI 1.1 to 5.0; p=0.03). Validation showed a low risk of prediction error and a high model performance for all endpoints. In a meta-analysis, low AZGP1 was associated with BF (HR 1.7; 95% CI 1.2 to 2.5).ConclusionsLow AZGP1 expression is associated with the risk of aggressive time-dependent outcomes in men undergoing RP for localised PCa.

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