scholarly journals U.S. HOUSEHOLD PREFERENCES FOR CLIMATE AMENITIES: DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS AND ROBUSTNESS TESTING

2020 ◽  
pp. 2050016
Author(s):  
JARED C. CARBONE ◽  
SUL-KI LEE ◽  
YUZHOU SHEN
Keyword(s):  
Impact Analysis ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
The United States ◽  
Climate Impact ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Household Location ◽  
Households With Children ◽  
Household Preferences ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Climate Amenities

We estimate how climate amenities influence where households decide to reside in the United States with two main objectives in mind: (i) to produce estimates with sufficient demographic detail to inform demographic population projections for use in climate impact analysis; (ii) to study the robustness of estimates from the existing literature. With respect to the former goal, we find important differences in job-related migration motives by age group and in the overall propensity to migrate among households with children. With respect to the latter aim, our framework shares a common methodological approach with other, recent attempts to recover climate preferences, allowing us to explore the consequences of a number of key assumptions in a systematic manner. Consistent with the existing literature, we find relatively robust estimates of the impact of the frequency of extreme heat days on household location decisions. The impacts of other common measures of climate, including the frequency of extreme cold days, average summer and winter temperatures, annual precipitation, humidity and frequency of sunshine, do not show a strong enough signal in the data to be estimated with precision.

scholarly journals Autism Tsunami: the Impact of Rising Prevalence on the Societal Cost of Autism in the United States

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Blaxill ◽  
Toby Rogers ◽  
Cynthia Nevison
Keyword(s):  
Forecast Model ◽  
The United States ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Base Case ◽  
Prevention Strategies ◽  
Total Base ◽  
Cost Categories ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact ◽  
First Time

AbstractThe cost of ASD in the U.S. is estimated using a forecast model that for the first time accounts for the true historical increase in ASD. Model inputs include ASD prevalence, census population projections, six cost categories, ten age brackets, inflation projections, and three future prevalence scenarios. Future ASD costs increase dramatically: total base-case costs of $223 (175–271) billion/year are estimated in 2020; $589 billion/year in 2030, $1.36 trillion/year in 2040, and $5.54 (4.29–6.78) trillion/year by 2060, with substantial potential savings through ASD prevention. Rising prevalence, the shift from child to adult-dominated costs, the transfer of costs from parents onto government, and the soaring total costs raise pressing policy questions and demand an urgent focus on prevention strategies.

scholarly journals How Representative Are Snowball Samples? Using the Ethnosurvey to Study Guatemala-U.S. Migration

2016 ◽  
Vol 666 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-76
Author(s):  
David P. Lindstrom
Keyword(s):  
Rhode Island ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
The United States ◽  
Mexican Migration ◽  
Background Characteristics ◽  
Household Location ◽  
Sample Weighting ◽  
Migrant Integration ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

This analysis draws on binational data from an ethnosurvey conducted in Guatemala and in the United States in Providence, Rhode Island, to develop a refinement of the weighting scheme that the Mexican Migration Project (MMP) uses. The alternative weighting procedure distinguishes between temporary and settled migrants by using a question on household location in the Guatemala questionnaire that is not used in the MMP. Demographic characteristics and integration experiences of the most recent U.S. trip are used to assess the composition and representativeness of the U.S. sample. Using a composite index of migrant integration to compare the impact of alternative U.S. sample weights on point estimates, I find that although the U.S. sample is broadly representative across a range of background characteristics, the MMP sample weighting procedure biases estimates of migrant integration downward.

scholarly journals A BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS AND IMPACT ANALYSIS OF RESIDENTIAL SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC SYSTEMS CONSIDERING STATE SOLAR INCENTIVES

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 358-382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minhyun LEE ◽  
Taehoon HONG ◽  
Choongwan KOO ◽  
Chan-Joong KIM
Keyword(s):  
Impact Analysis ◽  
Net Present Value ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Feasibility ◽  
Solar Photovoltaic ◽  
Solar Pv ◽  
Pv Systems ◽  
Break Even Point ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

Despite the steady growth and price reductions of solar photovoltaic (PV) market in the United States (U.S.), the solar PV market still depends on financial support and incentives due to its high initial investment cost. Therefore, this study aimed to conduct a break-even analysis and impact analysis of residential solar PV systems by state in the U.S., focused on state solar incentives. Three indexes (i.e., net present value, profitability index (PI) and payback period) were used to evaluate the investment value of the residential solar PV systems considering state solar incentives. Furthermore, PI increase ratio was used to analyze the impact of state solar incentives on the economic feasibility of the residential solar PV systems in each state. As a result, it was found that 18 of the 51 target cities have reached the break-even point and seven of the 51 target cities showed great improvement of the economic feasibility of solar PV systems in the U.S. due to excellent state solar incentives. The results of this study can help policy makers to evaluate and compare the economic impacts of the residential solar PV systems by state in the U.S.

Empirical Investigation of Interactive Highway Safety Design Model Accident Prediction Algorithm: Rural Intersections

2003 ◽  
Vol 1840 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Craig Lyon ◽  
Jutaek Oh ◽  
Bhagwant Persaud ◽  
Simon Washington ◽  
Joe Bared
Keyword(s):  
Research Effort ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
The United States ◽  
Highway Safety ◽  
Design Model ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Safety Design ◽  
The Impact

One major gap in transportation system safety management is the ability to assess the safety ramifications of design changes for both new road projects and modifications to existing roads. To fulfill this need, FHWA and its many partners are developing a safety forecasting tool, the Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM). The tool will be used by roadway design engineers, safety analysts, and planners throughout the United States. As such, the statistical models embedded in IHSDM will need to be able to forecast safety impacts under a wide range of roadway configurations and environmental conditions for a wide range of driver populations and will need to be able to capture elements of driving risk across states. One of the IHSDM algorithms developed by FHWA and its contractors is for forecasting accidents on rural road segments and rural intersections. The methodological approach is to use predictive models for specific base conditions, with traffic volume information as the sole explanatory variable for crashes, and then to apply regional or state calibration factors and accident modification factors (AMFs) to estimate the impact on accidents of geometric characteristics that differ from the base model conditions. In the majority of past approaches, AMFs are derived from parameter estimates associated with the explanatory variables. A recent study for FHWA used a multistate database to examine in detail the use of the algorithm with the base model-AMF approach and explored alternative base model forms as well as the use of full models that included nontraffic-related variables and other approaches to estimate AMFs. That research effort is reported. The results support the IHSDM methodology.

scholarly journals EPCOT theme park as a science communication space: the Test Track case

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (04) ◽  
pp. A09
Author(s):  
Daniela Martin
Keyword(s):  
Science Communication ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
The United States ◽  
Theme Park ◽  
Narrative Strategies ◽  
Test Track ◽  
Political Interests ◽  
The Future ◽  
Communication Space ◽  
The Impact

Science and technology have become tools to legitimize messages that affect the world in terms of society, politics and economy. This paper presents part of the results of a study that analyzed the symbolic construction of the future in the scientific-technological discourse at EPCOT theme park in Orlando, Florida. The sociohistorical conditions and narrative strategies are analyzed based on the theoretical and methodological approach by John B. Thompson. The results highlighted that the construction of the notion of progress is strongly influenced by the commercial and political interests of the sponsors. In particular, the ‘Test Track’ ride totally lacks any discussion about the impact of cars on society and the environment. The future is presented as a utopian one without any possible disruption, a perception that permeated the development of the United States over the 20th century and is promoted even in the 21st century despite the evidence provided by multiple wars and crises.

Predicting future cancer incidence by age and gender.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1559-1559 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wesley B. Garner ◽  
Benjamin D. Smith ◽  
Jacob Ezra Shabason ◽  
Grant Richard Williams ◽  
Michelle Y. Martin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Cancer Incidence ◽  
The United States ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Age And Gender ◽  
Total Cancer ◽  
And Gender ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Cancer Incidence Rates

1559 Background: Cancer remains a substantial and unique burden on society. While the impact of changing demographics on cancer incidence has previously been characterized (Smith et al, JCO, 2009), this has not been done with updated population data. Our objective was to update projections on the number of new cancer diagnoses in the United States by age and gender through 2040. Methods: Population-based cancer incidence data were obtained using SEER 18 delay-adjusted data. Population estimates were made by age, race, and gender using the 2010 US Census data population projections to calculate future cancer incidence rates. Trends in age- adjusted incidence rates for 23 cancer types were calculated as previously described (Edwards et al, Cancer, 2014). Results: From 2020 to 2040 the projected total cancer incidence will increase by almost 30% from 1.86 million to 2.4 million. This increase is due to the projected increase in population growth, particularly in older individuals. The population of older adults will represent a growing proportion of total cancer diagnoses. Specifically, patients ≥65 years old will make up 69% of all new cancer diagnoses, while 13% of new diagnoses will be in patients ≥85 years old by 2040 (see Table). Cancer diagnoses in females are projected to rise 27%, while male cancer diagnoses are projected to increase by 32% from 2020 to 2040. The incidence rates for lung, colorectal, and prostate cancer are expected to decline, while those for thyroid, liver, melanoma and myeloma are expected to increase. Conclusions: The landscape of cancer care will continue to change over the next several decades. The burden of disease will remain substantial and will continue to disproportionately affect older adults. The growing proportion of older cancer patients and changes in site-specific cancer incidence rates remain of particular interest. These projections should help guide future health policy and research priorities. [Table: see text]

Future of Cancer Incidence in the United States: Burdens Upon an Aging, Changing Nation

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (17) ◽  
pp. 2758-2765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin D. Smith ◽  
Grace L. Smith ◽  
Arti Hurria ◽  
Gabriel N. Hortobagyi ◽  
Thomas A. Buchholz
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Older Adults ◽  
Cancer Incidence ◽  
The United States ◽  
Census Bureau ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Demographic Changes ◽  
Younger Adults ◽  
The Impact

Purpose By 2030, the United States' population will increase to approximately 365 million, including 72 million older adults (age ≥ 65 years) and 157 million minority individuals. Although cancer incidence varies by age and race, the impact of demographic changes on cancer incidence has not been fully characterized. We sought to estimate the number of cancer patients diagnosed in the United States through 2030 by age and race. Methods Current demographic-specific cancer incidence rates were calculated using the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database. Population projections from the Census Bureau were used to project future cancer incidence through 2030. Results From 2010 to 2030, the total projected cancer incidence will increase by approximately 45%, from 1.6 million in 2010 to 2.3 million in 2030. This increase is driven by cancer diagnosed in older adults and minorities. A 67% increase in cancer incidence is anticipated for older adults, compared with an 11% increase for younger adults. A 99% increase is anticipated for minorities, compared with a 31% increase for whites. From 2010 to 2030, the percentage of all cancers diagnosed in older adults will increase from 61% to 70%, and the percentage of all cancers diagnosed in minorities will increase from 21% to 28%. Conclusion Demographic changes in the United States will result in a marked increase in the number of cancer diagnoses over the next 20 years. Continued efforts are needed to improve cancer care for older adults and minorities.

The Preferred Coaching Styles of Generation Z Athletes: A Qualitative Study

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krisha Parker ◽  
Daniel Czech ◽  
Trey Burdette ◽  
Jonathan Stewart ◽  
David Biber ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Weight Control ◽  
Sport Participation ◽  
Bone Structure ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
The United States ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Youth Athletes ◽  
Generation Z ◽  
Coaching Styles ◽  
The Impact

With over 50 million youth athletes participating in some kind of sports in the United States alone, it is important to realize the impact and benefits of playing (Weinberg and Gould, 2011). Physically, sports can help youth improve strength, endurance, weight control, and bone structure (Seefeldt, Ewing & Walk, 1992). Sport participation also benefits youths socially (Seefeldt, Ewing & Walk, 1992) and academically (Fraser-Thomas, Côté & Deakin, 2005). Optimal coaching education and training is a necessity if young athletes are to learn and improve in these aforementioned areas. In order for youth to grow from their sport experience, they need guidance from coaches, parents, and other important figures. Recent research by Jones, Jo and Martin (2007) suggests that more recent generations require a new approach to learning. The purpose of the current study was to qualitatively examine the preferred coaching styles of youth soccer players from Generation Z. After interviewing 10 youth athletes (five male, five female), four main themes emerged for Generation Z’s view of a “great coach.” These themes reflected the desire for a coach that: 1) does not yell and remains calm, 2) is caring and encouraging, 3) has knowledge of the sport, and 4) involves the team in decision making. Future research could include implementing a mixed-methodological approach incorporating the Leadership Scale for Sport (Chelladurai, 1984). Another avenue worthy of investigation is the role that technology plays for Generation Z athletes.

Emergence of Fine Art Photography in Israel in the 1970s to the 1990s Through Pedagogical and Social Links with the United States

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 252-265
Author(s):  
Tal-Or K. Ben-Choreen
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
International Students ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
The United States ◽  
Fine Art ◽  
Institutions Of Higher Education ◽  
Museum Collections ◽  
Artistic Practice ◽  
Pedagogical Models ◽  
The Impact

The flourishing of photography as a tool for expressive reportage and artistic practice transformed photographic education during the mid-twentieth century. American-based academic institutions quickly established reputations in the emerging fine art field as leaders in photographic education drawing international students from diverse locations, including Israel. Many Israelis who studied photography in American institutions returned to Israel bringing with them the knowledge they had gained while abroad. This article considers the impact of American pedagogical models and social networks on the development of the Israeli photographic field. Included in this discussion is an exploration of the emergence of Israeli photography programs in institutions of higher education, photography galleries, museum collections, and exhibitions. By approaching the study through a network methodological approach, this article traces the transnational movements of individuals: photographers, program graduates, and curators in order to demonstrate the significant impact American photographic education had on the emerging Israeli photographic field.

Children of Austerity

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Social Protection ◽  
Child Poverty ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The United States ◽  
Social Spending ◽  
Fiscal Stimulus ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Households With Children ◽  
The 2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

The 2008 financial crisis triggered the worst global recession since the Great Depression. Many OECD countries responded to the crisis by reducing social spending. Through eleven diverse country case studies (Belgium, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom, and the United States), this volume describes the evolution of child poverty and material well-being during the crisis, and links these outcomes with the responses by governments. The analysis underlines that countries with fragmented social protection systems were less able to protect the incomes of households with children at the time when unemployment soared. In contrast, countries with more comprehensive social protection cushioned the impact of the crisis on households with children, especially if they had implemented fiscal stimulus packages at the onset of the crisis. Although the macroeconomic ‘shock’ itself and the starting positions differed greatly across countries, while the responses by governments covered a very wide range of policy levers and varied with their circumstances, cuts in social spending and tax increases often played a major role in the impact that the crisis had on the living standards of families and children.

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