scholarly journals Simulated Annealing Based Hybrid Forecast for Improving Daily Municipal Solid Waste Generation Prediction

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingwei Song ◽  
Jiaying He ◽  
Menghua Zhu ◽  
Debao Tan ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
...  

A simulated annealing (SA) based variable weighted forecast model is proposed to combine and weigh local chaotic model, artificial neural network (ANN), and partial least square support vector machine (PLS-SVM) to build a more accurate forecast model. The hybrid model was built and multistep ahead prediction ability was tested based on daily MSW generation data from Seattle, Washington, the United States. The hybrid forecast model was proved to produce more accurate and reliable results and to degrade less in longer predictions than three individual models. The average one-week step ahead prediction has been raised from 11.21% (chaotic model), 12.93% (ANN), and 12.94% (PLS-SVM) to 9.38%. Five-week average has been raised from 13.02% (chaotic model), 15.69% (ANN), and 15.92% (PLS-SVM) to 11.27%.

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linqi Liu ◽  
JInhua Luo ◽  
Chenxi Zhao ◽  
Bingxue Zhang ◽  
Wei Fan ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND: Measuring medicinal compounds to evaluate their quality and efficacy has been recognized as a useful approach in treatment. Rhubarb anthraquinones compounds (mainly including aloe-emodin, rhein, emodin, chrysophanol and physcion) are its main effective components as purgating drug. In the current Chinese Pharmacopoeia, the total anthraquinones content is designated as its quantitative quality and control index while the content of each compound has not been specified. METHODS: On the basis of forty rhubarb samples, the correlation models between the near infrared spectra and UPLC analysis data were constructed using support vector machine (SVM) and partial least square (PLS) methods according to Kennard and Stone algorithm for dividing the calibration/prediction datasets. Good models mean they have high correlation coefficients (R2) and low root mean squared error of prediction (RMSEP) values. RESULTS: The models constructed by SVM have much better performance than those by PLS methods. The SVM models have high R2 of 0.8951, 0.9738, 0.9849, 0.9779, 0.9411 and 0.9862 that correspond to aloe-emodin, rhein, emodin, chrysophanol, physcion and total anthraquinones contents, respectively. The corresponding RMSEPs are 0.3592, 0.4182, 0.4508, 0.7121, 0.8365 and 1.7910, respectively. 75% of the predicted results have relative differences being lower than 10%. As for rhein and total anthraquinones, all of the predicted results have relative differences being lower than 10%. CONCLUSION: The nonlinear models constructed by SVM showed good performances with predicted values close to the experimental values. This can perform the rapid determination of the main medicinal ingredients in rhubarb medicinal materials.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 641
Author(s):  
Gopal Ramdas Mahajan ◽  
Bappa Das ◽  
Dayesh Murgaokar ◽  
Ittai Herrmann ◽  
Katja Berger ◽  
...  

Conventional methods of plant nutrient estimation for nutrient management need a huge number of leaf or tissue samples and extensive chemical analysis, which is time-consuming and expensive. Remote sensing is a viable tool to estimate the plant’s nutritional status to determine the appropriate amounts of fertilizer inputs. The aim of the study was to use remote sensing to characterize the foliar nutrient status of mango through the development of spectral indices, multivariate analysis, chemometrics, and machine learning modeling of the spectral data. A spectral database within the 350–1050 nm wavelength range of the leaf samples and leaf nutrients were analyzed for the development of spectral indices and multivariate model development. The normalized difference and ratio spectral indices and multivariate models–partial least square regression (PLSR), principal component regression, and support vector regression (SVR) were ineffective in predicting any of the leaf nutrients. An approach of using PLSR-combined machine learning models was found to be the best to predict most of the nutrients. Based on the independent validation performance and summed ranks, the best performing models were cubist (R2 ≥ 0.91, the ratio of performance to deviation (RPD) ≥ 3.3, and the ratio of performance to interquartile distance (RPIQ) ≥ 3.71) for nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and zinc, SVR (R2 ≥ 0.88, RPD ≥ 2.73, RPIQ ≥ 3.31) for calcium, iron, copper, boron, and elastic net (R2 ≥ 0.95, RPD ≥ 4.47, RPIQ ≥ 6.11) for magnesium and sulfur. The results of the study revealed the potential of using hyperspectral remote sensing data for non-destructive estimation of mango leaf macro- and micro-nutrients. The developed approach is suggested to be employed within operational retrieval workflows for precision management of mango orchard nutrients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 618
Author(s):  
Tanvir Tazul Islam ◽  
Md Sajid Ahmed ◽  
Md Hassanuzzaman ◽  
Syed Athar Bin Amir ◽  
Tanzilur Rahman

Diabetes is a chronic illness that affects millions of people worldwide and requires regular monitoring of a patient’s blood glucose level. Currently, blood glucose is monitored by a minimally invasive process where a small droplet of blood is extracted and passed to a glucometer—however, this process is uncomfortable for the patient. In this paper, a smartphone video-based noninvasive technique is proposed for the quantitative estimation of glucose levels in the blood. The videos are collected steadily from the tip of the subject’s finger using smartphone cameras and subsequently converted into a Photoplethysmography (PPG) signal. A Gaussian filter is applied on top of the Asymmetric Least Square (ALS) method to remove high-frequency noise, optical noise, and motion interference from the raw PPG signal. These preprocessed signals are then used for extracting signal features such as systolic and diastolic peaks, the time differences between consecutive peaks (DelT), first derivative, and second derivative peaks. Finally, the features are fed into Principal Component Regression (PCR), Partial Least Square Regression (PLS), Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Random Forest Regression (RFR) models for the prediction of glucose level. Out of the four statistical learning techniques used, the PLS model, when applied to an unbiased dataset, has the lowest standard error of prediction (SEP) at 17.02 mg/dL.


Metabolites ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Khushman Taunk ◽  
Priscilla Porto-Figueira ◽  
Jorge A. M. Pereira ◽  
Ravindra Taware ◽  
Nattane Luíza da Costa ◽  
...  

The urinary volatomic profiling of Indian cohorts composed of 28 lung cancer (LC) patients and 27 healthy subjects (control group, CTRL) was established using headspace solid phase microextraction technique combined with gas chromatography mass spectrometry methodology as a powerful approach to identify urinary volatile organic metabolites (uVOMs) to discriminate among LC patients from CTRL. Overall, 147 VOMs of several chemistries were identified in the intervention groups—including naphthalene derivatives, phenols, and organosulphurs—augmented in the LC group. In contrast, benzene and terpenic derivatives were found to be more prevalent in the CTRL group. The volatomic data obtained were processed using advanced statistical analysis, namely partial least square discriminative analysis (PLS-DA), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and multilayer perceptron (MLP) methods. This resulted in the identification of nine uVOMs with a higher potential to discriminate LC patients from CTRL subjects. These were furan, o-cymene, furfural, linalool oxide, viridiflorene, 2-bromo-phenol, tricyclazole, 4-methyl-phenol, and 1-(4-hydroxy-3,5-di-tert-butylphenyl)-2-methyl-3-morpholinopropan-1-one. The metabolic pathway analysis of the data obtained identified several altered biochemical pathways in LC mainly affecting glycolysis/gluconeogenesis, pyruvate metabolism, and fatty acid biosynthesis. Moreover, acetate and octanoic, decanoic, and dodecanoic fatty acids were identified as the key metabolites responsible for such deregulation. Furthermore, studies involving larger cohorts of LC patients would allow us to consolidate the data obtained and challenge the potential of the uVOMs as candidate biomarkers for LC.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (10) ◽  
pp. e0257901
Author(s):  
Yanjing Bi ◽  
Chao Li ◽  
Yannick Benezeth ◽  
Fan Yang

Phoneme pronunciations are usually considered as basic skills for learning a foreign language. Practicing the pronunciations in a computer-assisted way is helpful in a self-directed or long-distance learning environment. Recent researches indicate that machine learning is a promising method to build high-performance computer-assisted pronunciation training modalities. Many data-driven classifying models, such as support vector machines, back-propagation networks, deep neural networks and convolutional neural networks, are increasingly widely used for it. Yet, the acoustic waveforms of phoneme are essentially modulated from the base vibrations of vocal cords, and this fact somehow makes the predictors collinear, distorting the classifying models. A commonly-used solution to address this issue is to suppressing the collinearity of predictors via partial least square regressing algorithm. It allows to obtain high-quality predictor weighting results via predictor relationship analysis. However, as a linear regressor, the classifiers of this type possess very simple topology structures, constraining the universality of the regressors. For this issue, this paper presents an heterogeneous phoneme recognition framework which can further benefit the phoneme pronunciation diagnostic tasks by combining the partial least square with support vector machines. A French phoneme data set containing 4830 samples is established for the evaluation experiments. The experiments of this paper demonstrates that the new method improves the accuracy performance of the phoneme classifiers by 0.21 − 8.47% comparing to state-of-the-arts with different data training data density.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 261 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Marques ◽  
Ana Álvarez ◽  
Pilar Carral ◽  
Iris Esparza ◽  
Blanca Sastre ◽  
...  

Contents of soil organic carbon (SOC), gypsum, CaCO3, and quartz, among others, were analyzed and related to reflectance features in visible and near-infrared (VIS/NIR) range, using partial least square regression (PLSR) in ParLes software. Soil samples come from a sloping olive grove managed by frequent tillage in a gypsiferous area of Central Spain. Samples were collected in three different layers, at 0–10, 10–20 and 20–30 cm depth (IPCC guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme in 2006). Analyses were performed by C Loss-On-Ignition, X-ray diffraction and water content by the Richards plates method. Significant differences for SOC, gypsum, and CaCO3 were found between layers; similarly, soil reflectance for 30 cm depth layers was higher. The resulting PLSR models (60 samples for calibration and 30 independent samples for validation) yielded good predictions for SOC (R2 = 0.74), moderate prediction ability for gypsum and were not accurate for the rest of rest of soil components. Importantly, SOC content was related to water available capacity. Soils with high reflectance features held c.a. 40% less water than soils with less reflectance. Therefore, higher reflectance can be related to degradation in gypsiferous soil. The starting point of soil degradation and further evolution could be established and mapped through remote sensing techniques for policy decision making.


2019 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 215-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
MN Uddin ◽  
A Mondol ◽  
MM Karim ◽  
RA Jahan ◽  
AA Rana

In this study, two chemometric techniques, partial least-square regression (PLSR) and artificial neural network (ANN) were developed and compared for the simultaneous assay of paracetamol (PCT) and caffeine (CAF) in pharmaceutical formulations by using spectrophotometric data. Six different concentrations of paracetamol and caffeine were considered to make mixture solutions of standard samples by using orthogonal experimental design (OED). UV spectra of these mixtures were recorded in the wavelength range of 205-300 nm versus a solvent blank and digitized absorbance was sampled at 1 nm intervals. Drug concentrations and instrumental spectra of 36 mixture solutions were used for model development and validation and finally 6 commercially available tablets were used to test the developed models. ANN shows better prediction efficiencies than that of PLSR with R2 value 99.28% for prediction and 99.13% for validation set. These two models were successfully applied to commercial pharmaceutical formulations, and it is found by ANN that the drugs contain 75 to 86% of paracetamol and 77 to 92% of caffeine of their label claim. Either of the proposed methods is simple and rapid and can be easily used in the quality assessment of drugs as an alternative analytical method. Bangladesh J. Sci. Ind. Res.54(3), 215-222, 2019


2019 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 353-368 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanjit K. Roy ◽  
M. S. Balaji ◽  
Geoffrey Soutar ◽  
Yangyang Jiang

This study examines the antecedents and consequences of value co-creation behavior in a hospitality context. An online questionnaire with samples of hotel patrons in the United States and Australia was used to obtain data and partial least square modeling was used in the analysis. The results suggest patron fairness perception enhances trust and identification with a hotel, which encourage engagement in the value co-creation behavior. Furthermore, this behavior enhances patron well-being and respect for the hotel. The study contributes to the literature by suggesting a value co-creation behavior model in the hospitality context and empirically examining the antecedents and consequences of this behavior. The results have important implications for managers designing service encounters that can encourage hotel patrons to engage in the value co-creation behavior.


2013 ◽  
Vol 760-762 ◽  
pp. 1987-1991
Author(s):  
Yun Fa Li

To master the variation regularity of finance, obtain greater benefits in stock investment. study of the support vector machine and application in prediction of stock market. The simulated annealing algorithm to optimize the least squares support vector machine prediction model, and the least square support vector machine and simulated annealing algorithm is described, given the optimal prediction model. Through the research on the simulation of the Hang Seng Index, shows that this method is simple, fast convergence, the algorithm with high accuracy. Has the actual guiding sense for investors, the stock market of the financial firm to operate.


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