Abstract 11097: Racial Differences in Clinical Outcomes in Elderly Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajesh Kabra ◽  
Peter Cram ◽  
Saket Girotra ◽  
Mary Vaughan-Sarrazin
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Racial Differences ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Composite Outcome ◽  
Newly Diagnosed ◽  
Relative Hazard ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with stroke and death, but the effect of race on these outcomes is not known. Methods: Medicare administrative data from 2010-2011 were used to identify patients with newly diagnosed AF who were categorized based on race as white, black and Hispanic. Racial differences in the primary outcome of death and secondary outcomes of stroke and the composite of stroke and death were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models. Results: Among 517,941 patients with newly diagnosed AF, 452,986 (87%) were whites, 36,425 (7%) were blacks and 28,530 (6%) were Hispanics. The mean age was 79 ± 8 years and 40.5% were males. Over a mean follow-up period of 0.9 years per patient, 68,250 (15.1%) whites, 7665 (20%) blacks and 4814 (16.9%) Hispanics died. Stroke was diagnosed in 6,509 (1.4%) whites, 843 (2.3%) blacks and 507 (1.8%) Hispanics. Compared to whites, blacks had a significantly higher hazard of death (Hazard Ratio [HR] =1.43; 95% CI 1.40-1.47; p<0.001), stroke (HR=1.69; 95% CI 1.57-1.81; p<0.001), and the composite outcome (HR= 1.46; 95% CI 1.43-1.49; p<0.001). After controlling for pre-existing co-morbidities, the higher hazard of death (HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.97-1.01; p=0.41) and the composite outcome (HR=1.02; 95% CI 0.99-1.04; p=0.135) in blacks were eliminated and the relative hazard of stroke (HR=1.44; 95% CI 1.34-1.55; p<0.001) was reduced compared to the whites. Similarly, Hispanics had a higher risk of death (HR= 1.13; 95% CI 1.10-1.17; p<0.001), stroke (HR=1.26; 95% CI, 1.15-1.38; p<0.001) and the composite outcome (HR= 1.15; 95% CI 1.12-1.18; p<0.001), as compared to whites. The relative hazard of death and the composite outcome were noted to be lower in Hispanics, compared to whites, after controlling for pre-existing co- morbidities (HR= 0.93; 95% CI 0.92-0.96; p<0.001 and HR= 0.95; 95% CI 0.92-0.97; p<0.001 respectively). The relative hazard of stroke was also attenuated (HR=1.15; 95% CI 1.05-1.26; p=0.002). Conclusions: In an elderly Medicare population with newly diagnosed AF, the risks of death and stroke are higher in blacks and Hispanics, as compared to whites. This is likely due to increased co-morbidities in blacks and Hispanics.

Association between insulin resistance and risk of atrial fibrillation in non-diabetics

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (18) ◽  
pp. 1934-1941
Author(s):  
Yonggu Lee ◽  
Sung Joo Cha ◽  
Jung-Hwan Park ◽  
Jeong-Hun Shin ◽  
Young-Hyo Lim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Insulin Resistance ◽  
Asian Population ◽  
Model Assessment ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
Onset Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
New Onset

Aims Previous studies from Western countries have been unable to demonstrate a relationship between insulin resistance and new-onset atrial fibrillation. We aimed to evaluate this relationship in the nondiabetic Asian population. Methods Between 2001–2003, 8175 adults (mean age 51.5 years, 53% women) without both existing atrial fibrillation and diabetes and with insulin resistance measures at baseline were enrolled and were followed by biennial electrocardiograms thereafter until 2014. We constructed multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models for risk of incident atrial fibrillation. Results Over a median follow-up of 12.3 years, 136 participants (1.89/1000 person-years) developed atrial fibrillation. Higher homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) was independently associated with newly developed atrial fibrillation (hazard ratio 1.61, 95% confidence interval 1.14–2.28). Atrial fibrillation development increased at the HOMA-IR levels approximately between 1–2.5, and then plateaued afterwards ( p = 0.031). Conclusion There is a significant relationship between insulin resistance and atrial fibrillation development independent of other known risk factors, including obesity in a nondiabetic Asian population.

scholarly journals Self-Rated Health Predicts Mortality in Very Old Men—the Manitoba Follow-Up Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 199-204
Author(s):  
Christian R. Hanson ◽  
Philip D. St John ◽  
Robert B. Tate
Keyword(s):  
Very Old ◽  
Time To Death ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Specific Distribution ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
Old Men ◽  
Second World

BackgroundSelf-rated health (SRH) predicts death, but there are few studies over long-time horizons that are able to explore the effect age may have on the relationship between SRH and mortality.Objectives1. To determine how SRH evolves over 20 years; and 2. To determine if SRH predicts death in very old men.MethodsWe analyzed a prospective cohort study of men who were fit for air crew training in the Second World War. In 1996, a regular questionnaire was administered to the 1,779 surviving participants. SRH was elicited with a 5-point Likert Scale with the categories: excellent, very good, good, fair and poor/bad. We examined the age-specific distribution of SRH in these categories from the age of 75 to 95 years, to the end of the follow-up period in 2018. We constructed age-specific Cox proportional hazard models with an outcome of time to death. ResultsSRH declined with age. The gradient in risk of death persisted across all ages; those with poor/fair/bad SRH had consistently higher mortality rates. However, the discrimination between good and excellent was less in those aged 85+. ConclusionsSRH declines with advancing age, but continues to predict death in older men.

scholarly journals Potato consumption and risk of pancreatic cancer in the HELGA cohort

2018 ◽  
Vol 119 (12) ◽  
pp. 1408-1415
Author(s):  
Lene A. Åsli ◽  
Tonje Braaten ◽  
Anja Olsen ◽  
Anne Tjønneland ◽  
Kim Overvad ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Glycaemic Index ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Potato Consumption ◽  
Adjusted Model

AbstractPotatoes have been a staple food in many countries throughout the years. Potatoes have a high glycaemic index (GI) score, and high GI has been associated with several chronic diseases and cancers. Still, the research on potatoes and health is scarce and contradictive, and we identified no prospective studies that had investigated the association between potatoes as a single food and the risk of pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to prospectively investigate the association between potato consumption and pancreatic cancer among 114 240 men and women in the prospective HELGA cohort, using Cox proportional hazard models. Information on diet (validated FFQ’s), lifestyle and health was collected by means of a questionnaire, and 221 pancreatic cancer cases were identified through cancer registries. The mean follow-up time was 11·4 (95 % CI 0·3, 16·9) years. High consumption of potatoes showed a non-significantly higher risk of pancreatic cancer in the adjusted model (hazard ratio (HR) 1·44; 95 % CI 0·93, 2·22,Pfor trend0·030) when comparing the highestv.the lowest quartile of potato consumption. In the sex-specific analyses, significant associations were found for females (HR 2·00; 95 % CI 1·07, 3·72,Pfor trend0·020), but not for males (HR 1·01; 95 % CI 0·56, 1·84,Pfor trend0·34). In addition, we explored the associations by spline regression, and the absence of dose–response effects was confirmed. In this study, high potato consumption was not consistently associated with a higher risk of pancreatic cancer. Further studies with larger populations are needed to explore the possible sex difference.

scholarly journals Farming tasks and the development of rheumatoid arthritis in the agricultural health study

2019 ◽  
pp. oemed-2018-105361 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine G Parks ◽  
Armando Meyer ◽  
Laura E Beane Freeman ◽  
Jonathan Hofmann ◽  
Dale P Sandler
Keyword(s):  
Rheumatoid Arthritis ◽  
Self Report ◽  
Health Study ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Agricultural Health ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
Agricultural Health Study

ObjectivesFarming has been associated with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Some studies have evaluated the effects of pesticides, but other agricultural exposures may also affect immune response.MethodsWe investigated non-pesticide agricultural exposures in relation to RA in licensed pesticide applicators (n=27 175, mostly male farmers) and their spouses (n=22 231) in the Agricultural Health Study (AHS) cohort (1993–1997) who completed at least one follow-up survey through 2015. Incident RA cases (n=229 applicators and 249 spouses) were identified based on self-report confirmed by use of disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs or medical records. Hazard Ratios (HRs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) were estimated by Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for applicator status, state, smoking, education and specific pesticide use, allowing estimates to vary by median age when hazards assumptions were not met.ResultsOverall, RA was associated with regularly applying chemical fertilisers (HR=1.50; 95% CI 1.11 to 2.02), using non-gasoline solvents (HR=1.40; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.80), and painting (HR=1.26; 95% CI 1.00 to 1.59). In older applicators (>62 years), RA was associated with driving combines (HR=2.46; 95% CI 1.05 to 5.78) and milking cows (HR=2.56; 95% CI 1.01 to 6.53). In younger participants (≤62 years), RA was inversely associated with raising animals as well as crops (HR=0.68; 95% CI 0.51 to 0.89 vs crops only). Associations with specific crops varied by age: some (eg, hay) were inversely associated with RA in younger participants, while others (eg, alfalfa) were associated with RA in older participants.ConclusionThese findings suggest several agricultural tasks and exposures may contribute to development of RA.

Effectiveness and Safety of Non–Vitamin K Oral Anticoagulants in Comparison to Phenprocoumon: Data from 61,000 Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

2018 ◽  
Vol 118 (03) ◽  
pp. 526-538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hohnloser ◽  
Edin Basic ◽  
Christopher Hohmann ◽  
Michael Nabauer
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Vitamin K ◽  
Standard Dose ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Systemic Embolism ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
Baseline Characteristics

AbstractAll pivotal trials have evaluated non–vitamin K oral antagonists (NOACs) against warfarin. However, in some regions of the world, phenprocoumon is the most widely used vitamin K antagonist (VKA). There is little evidence documenting effectiveness and safety of NOACs compared with phenprocoumon in atrial fibrillation (AF). A retrospective cohort study using a German claims database was conducted to assess effectiveness (stroke, systemic embolism [SE]) and safety (bleeding leading to hospitalization) during therapy with NOACs and phenprocoumon in 61,205 AF patients. Hazard ratios (HRs) for effectiveness and safety outcomes were derived from Cox proportional hazard models, adjusting for baseline characteristics. Propensity score matching was performed as a sensitivity analysis. As a prespecified subgroup analysis, the effects of reduced NOAC dosing were compared with phenprocoumon. A total of 61,205 patients were identified in whom phenprocoumon (n = 23,823, 38.9%), apixaban (n = 10,117, 16.5%), dabigatran (n = 5,122, 8.4%), or rivaroxaban (n = 22,143, 36.2%) was initiated. After adjusting for baseline confounders, all three NOACs tested had significantly lower risks of stroke/SE compared with phenprocoumon (apixaban—HR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.66–0.90; dabigatran—HR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.60–0.91; rivaroxaban—HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.76–0.97). Apixaban (HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.49–0.69) and dabigatran (HR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.50–0.80) were associated with lower bleeding risks than phenprocoumon, whereas the risk was similar for rivaroxaban and phenprocoumon. All three NOACs showed reduced risk of intracranial bleeding compared with phenprocoumon. Reduced doses of NOACs were predominantly used in patients with advanced age and comorbidities with generally similar effectiveness and safety benefits compared with phenprocumon as standard-dose NOACs.

Second-Hand Smoke As a Predictor of Smoking Cessation Among Lung Cancer Survivors

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (6) ◽  
pp. 564-570 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawson Eng ◽  
Jie Su ◽  
Xin Qiu ◽  
Prakruthi R. Palepu ◽  
Henrique Hon ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lung Cancer ◽  
Smoking Cessation ◽  
Cancer Survivors ◽  
Second Hand Smoke ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
Peer Smoking ◽  
After Cancer

Purpose Second-hand smoke (SHS; ie, exposure to smoking of friends and spouses in the household) reduces the likelihood of smoking cessation in noncancer populations. We assessed whether SHS is associated with cessation rates in lung cancer survivors. Patients and Methods Patients with lung cancer were recruited from Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models evaluated the association of sociodemographics, clinicopathologic variables, and SHS with either smoking cessation or time to quitting. Results In all, 721 patients completed baseline and follow-up questionnaires with a mean follow-up time of 54 months. Of the 242 current smokers at diagnosis, 136 (56%) had quit 1 year after diagnosis. Exposure to smoking at home (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 6.18; 95% CI, 2.83 to 13.5; P < .001), spousal smoking (aOR, 6.01; 95% CI, 2.63 to 13.8; P < .001), and peer smoking (aOR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.33 to 4.66; P = .0043) were each associated with decreased rates of cessation. Individuals exposed to smoking in all three settings had the lowest chances of quitting (aOR, 9.57; 95% CI, 2.50 to 36.64; P < .001). Results were similar in time-to-quitting analysis, in which 68% of patients who eventually quit did so within 6 months after cancer diagnosis. Subgroup analysis revealed similar associations across early- and late-stage patients and between sexes. Conclusion SHS is an important factor associated with smoking cessation in lung cancer survivors of all stages and should be a key consideration when developing smoking cessation programs for patients with lung cancer.

scholarly journals Predicting sensitivity and resilience to modifiable risk factors for cardiometabolic morbidity and mortality

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hugo Pomares-Millan ◽  
Naemieh Atabaki-Pasdar ◽  
Ingegerd Johansson ◽  
Alaitz Poveda ◽  
Paul W Franks
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Cardiometabolic Disease ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Replication Cohort ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
Public Health Strategies

Background: Lifestyle exposures play a major role in the development of disease, yet people vary in their susceptibility. A critical step towards precision medicine is identifying individuals who are resilient or sensitive to the environment, and, assess whether the allocation to these predicted groups are more or less likely to develop cardiometabolic disease. Methods: We have used repeated data from the VHU study (n=35440) to identify sensitive and resilient individuals using prediction intervals at the 5th and 95th quantile. Three exposure susceptibility groups were derived per cardiometabolic score using quantile regression forests in the training dataset; next, in the validation dataset, we assessed the different risk of the groups using Cox proportional hazard models for CVD and diabetes. Results: The results of our study suggest that, after ~10 y of follow-up, individuals with sensitivity to the environmental exposures associated with systolic and diastolic blood pressure, blood lipids, and glucose were at higher risk of developing cardiometabolic disease. Moreover, when hazards were pooled with the replication cohort, for those individuals sensitive to the exposures associated with blood pressure traits, the hazards remained significant. Conclusions: Identifying individuals who are predicted to be sensitive are at higher risk of developing disease, this population may be a clinical target for prevention or early intervention and public health strategies.

Mortality among seafarers: a register-based follow-up study

2020 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
H Rinne ◽  
M Laaksonen ◽  
V Notkola ◽  
R Shemeikka
Keyword(s):  
Causes Of Death ◽  
Sociodemographic Factors ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Proportional Hazard Model ◽  
Occupational Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Changing Practices ◽  
Healthy Behaviour

Abstract Background Seafarers are exposed to many occupational risk factors. Aims To study whether there are differences in mortality between seafarers and other employees, whether there are variations in seafarers’ mortality between different seafaring occupations and whether these differences can be explained by sociodemographic factors. Methods A register-based study of all seafarers aged 25–64 years, resident in Finland in 2000 with minimum 5 years of cumulative seafaring experience on Finnish vessels and other employees, followed for mortality 2001–13. Analysis methods included age standardized death rates, mortality ratios (SMR) and Cox proportional hazard model. Results During the follow-up period 2001–13, there were 81,035 person years and 382 deaths in the cohort of seafarers. Seafarers had 1.3 times higher risk of death (men SMR 132, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 118–147, women SMR 125, 95% CI 99–157) than other employees. Mortality was especially high in alcohol-related causes (men SMR 172, 95% CI 126–233, women SMR 262, 95% CI 131–525) and causes related to smoking. Controlling for sociodemographic characters strengthened the risk compared to other occupations. Mortality was high among male deck and engine crew and among male and female galley personnel. The mortality differences between different seafaring occupations were partly explained by adjustments of sociodemographic characters. Conclusions Seafarers still have increased mortality among men after adjustment of sociodemographic characters. Results by causes of death suggest that changing practices to enable healthy behaviour are important.

Dietary patterns generated by the Treelet Transform and risk of stroke: a Danish cohort study

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 84-94
Author(s):  
Signe B Frederiksen ◽  
Heidi H Themsen ◽  
Kim Overvad ◽  
Christina C Dahm
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Dietary Patterns ◽  
Inverse Association ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
National Patient ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
Record Review ◽  
Danish National Patient Register

AbstractObjective:To relate empirically derived dietary patterns identified using the Treelet Transform (TT) to risk of stroke.Design:A prospective cohort study using the Danish Diet, Cancer and Health cohort. Dietary information was obtained in 1993–1997 using a validated semi-quantitative FFQ. Incident stroke diagnoses, obtained from the Danish National Patient Register, were verified by record review. Dietary patterns were generated using TT, and participants were categorised into quintiles based on their adherence to each pattern. Sex-specific Cox proportional hazard models estimated associations between dietary patterns and stroke.Setting:Denmark.Participants:55 061 men and women aged 50–64 years at the time of enrolment.Results:Three dietary patterns explaining 15·4 % of the total variance were identified: a Prudent pattern, a Western pattern and a Wine & Snacks pattern. During a follow-up time of 10 years, 1513 cases occurred. Comparing the highest to lowest quintiles of intake, adherence to a Prudent pattern was inversely associated with stroke (HRmen 0·74, 95 % CI 0·60, 0·91; HRwomen 0·82, 95 % CI 0·62, 1·08), while adherence to a Western pattern was associated with greater risk (HRmen 1·61, 95 % CI 1·23, 2·10; HRwomen 2·01, 95 % CI 1·48, 2·72). No association was found for a Wine & Snacks pattern for women, but a weak inverse association was found for men (HR 0·81, 95 % CI 0·67, 0·99).Conclusions:The results of this study are broadly in line with current recommendations for a healthy diet to prevent stroke.

BP in Young Adults with CKD and Associations with Cardiovascular Events and Decline in Kidney Function

2021 ◽  
pp. ASN.2020081156
Author(s):  
Alexander J. Kula ◽  
David K. Prince ◽  
Joseph T. Flynn ◽  
Nisha Bansal
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Young Adults ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Treatment Strategies ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Ckd Progression ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Models ◽  
The Relationship

BackgroundBP is an important modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular events and CKD progression in middle-aged or older adults with CKD. However, studies describing the relationship between BP with outcomes in young adults with CKD are limited.MethodsIn an observational study, we focused on 317 young adults (aged 21–40 years) with mild to moderate CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. Exposures included baseline systolic BP evaluated continuously (per 10 mm Hg increase) and in categories (<120, 120–129, and ≥130 mm Hg). Primary outcomes included cardiovascular events (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, or all-cause death) and CKD progression (50% decline of eGFR or ESKD). We used Cox proportional hazard models to test associations between baseline systolic BP with cardiovascular events and CKD progression.ResultsCardiovascular events occurred in 52 participants and 161 had CKD progression during median follow-up times of 11.3 years and 4.1 years, respectively. Among those with baseline systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg, 3%/yr developed heart failure, 20%/yr had CKD progression, and 2%/yr died. In fully adjusted models, baseline systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg (versus systolic BP<120 mm Hg) was significantly associated with cardiovascular events or death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.05 to 4.32) and CKD progression (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.58).ConclusionsAmong young adults with CKD, higher systolic BP is significantly associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular events and CKD progression. Trials of BP management are needed to test targets and treatment strategies specifically in young adults with CKD.

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