Abstract 41: The Effect Of Maternal Weight On Offspring Blood Pressure At 18 Years Of Age: A Causal Natural-effects Mediation Analysis
Objectives: Examine the relationship between maternal pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) and offspring systolic blood pressure (SBP) at 18 yrs old. Methods: We performed multivariate regression and causal mediation analysis within 3700 mother - offspring pairs from a prospective birth cohort. The main exposure was maternal pre-pregnancy BMI categorized as healthy weight, overweight, or obese according to international criteria. The main outcomes were high-normal BP and hypertension defined as SBP between the 90-95 th centile and >95 th centile for height and sex at 18 years, respectively, as per 2017 AAP guidelines. Analyses were adjusted for social class, pre-eclampsia, sex, and maternal tobacco use during pregnancy. The Canadian Pediatric Endocrine Group R Shiny app was used to obtain age-standardized BMI Z-scores and latent class analysis (LCA) was used to quantify the mediating factor of offspring BMIZ trajectories from 7 to 18 yrs. Results: Before pregnancy 14% of women were overweight and 5% were obese. At 18 yrs, SBP (122 ± 12 vs 118 ±11mmHg, p < 0.001), DBP (67 ± 7 vs 63 ± 6mmHg, p < 0.001) and the odds of elevated BP (aOR: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1-2.3) and hypertension (aOR: 2.1; 95% CI: 1.4-3.1) were higher in offspring from women that were obese prior to pregnancy compared to those that were normal weight. LCA identified five distinct offspring BMIZ trajectories shown in the figure. SBP (125 ± 12 vs 117 ± 10 mmHg, p < 0.001) and the odds of hypertension (aOR: 3.8; 95% CI: 2.8-5.1) at 18 years were significantly higher in offspring with sustained high BMIZ (teal) compared to sustained low normal BMIZ (green). Casual mediation analysis revealed that maternal BMI directly (OR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.03-1.25) and indirectly through offspring BMIZ trajectories (OR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.08-1.15) increased offspring SBP at 18 years of age. Conclusion: Maternal obesity prior to pregnancy is associated with an increased risk of hypertension in offspring at 18 yrs of age, partly mediated by an elevated BMIZ score trajectory throughout childhood and adolescence.