scholarly journals Perceived Versus Actual Risks of 30-Day Readmission in Patients With Cardiovascular Disease

Author(s):  
Hanzhang Xu ◽  
Heather R. Farmer ◽  
Bradi B. Granger ◽  
Kevin L. Thomas ◽  
Eric D. Peterson ◽  
...  

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of hospitalization in the United States, and patients with CVD are at a high risk of readmission after discharge. We examined whether patients’ perceived risk of readmission at discharge was associated with actual 30-day readmissions in patients hospitalized with CVD. Methods: We recruited 730 patients from the Duke Heart Center who were admitted for treatment of CVD between January 1, 2015, and August 31, 2017. A standardized survey was linked with electronic health records to ascertain patients’ perceived risk of readmission, and other sociodemographic, psychosocial, behavioral, and clinical data before discharge. All-cause readmission within 30 days after discharge was examined. Results: Nearly 1-in-3 patients perceived a high risk of readmission at index admission and those who perceived a high risk had significantly more readmissions within 30 days than patients who perceived low risks of readmission (23.6% versus 15.8%, P =0.016). Among those who perceived a high risk of readmission, non-White patients (odds ratio [OR], 2.07 [95% CI, 1.28–3.36]), those with poor self-rated health (OR, 2.30 [95% CI, 1.38–3.85]), difficulty accessing care (OR, 2.72 [95% CI, 1.24–6.00]), and prior hospitalizations in the past year (OR, 2.13 [95% CI, 1.21–3.74]) were more likely to be readmitted. Among those who perceived a low risk of readmission, patients who were widowed (OR, 2.69 [95% CI, 1.60–4.51]) and reported difficulty accessing care (OR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.07–3.33]) were more likely to be readmitted. Conclusions: Patients who perceived a high risk of readmission had a higher rate of 30-day readmission than patients who perceived a low risk. These findings have important implications for identifying CVD patients at a high risk of 30-day readmission and targeting the factors associated with perceived and actual risks of readmission.

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S901-S901
Author(s):  
Hanzhang Xu ◽  
Heather R Farmer ◽  
Bradi Granger ◽  
Matthew Dupre

Abstract Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of disability and death in the United States, and older adults with CVD are at a high risk of readmission after discharge. This study examined whether patients’ perceived risk of readmission at discharge was associated with actual 30-day readmissions in patients with CVD. A standardized survey and electronic health records (EHR) were used to collect sociodemographic, psychosocial, behavioral, and clinical data on patients admitted to the Duke Heart Center (n=730). Prior to discharge, patients were asked their perceived likelihood of returning to the hospital for an unplanned/emergency visit within 30-days. Logistic regression models were used to examine all-cause 30-day readmission among patients who perceived low versus high readmission risk. Nearly 1-in-3 patients (31.4%) perceived high-risk of readmission at the time of discharge. Life stressors, poor self-rated health, and ADL limitations were associated with perceptions of high-risk. Patients who perceived high-risk had significantly higher subsequent readmissions compared with low-risk (23.3% vs. 15.6% p=0.016). Among patients who perceived low-risk of readmission, those who were widowed, had inadequate health literacy, and reported difficulty accessing care exhibited a higher likelihood of being readmitted. In those perceiving a high-risk, nonwhites and those with poor self-rated health, difficulty accessing care, and prior hospitalizations in the past year were significantly more likely to be readmitted. These findings have important implications for identifying CVD patients at high risk of readmission within 30 days after discharge, particularly older adults who may lack adequate resources (e.g., social support, literacy, access to care).


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Chlabicz ◽  
J Jamolkowski ◽  
W Laguna ◽  
P Sowa ◽  
M Paniczko ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Medical University of Bialystok, Poland Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major, worldwide problem and remain the dominant cause of premature mortality in the word. Simultaneously the metabolic syndrome is a growing problem. The aim of this study was to investigate the cardiometabolic profile among cardiovascular risk classes, and to estimate CV risk using various calculators. Methods The longitudinal, population-based study, was conducted in 2017-2020. A total of 931 individuals aged 20-79 were included. Anthropometric and biochemical profiles were measured according to a standardized protocols. The study population was divided into CV risk classes according to the latest recommendation. Comparisons variables between subgroups were conducted using Dwass-Steele-Critchlow-Fligner test. To estimate CV risk were used: the  Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation system, Framingham Risk Score and LIFEtime-perspective model for individualizing CardioVascular Disease prevention strategies in apparently healthy people (LIFE-CVD). Results The mean age was 49.1± 15.5 years, 43.2% were male. Percentages of low-risk, moderate-risk, high-risk and very-high CV risk were 46.1%, 22.8%, 13.5%, 17.6%, respectively. Most of the analyzed anthropometric, body composition and laboratory parameters did not differ between the moderate and high CV risk participants, whereas the low risk group differed significantly. In the moderate and high-risk groups, abdominal distribution of adipose tissue dominated with significantly elevated parameters of insulin resistance. Interestingly, estimating lifetime risk of myocardial infarction, stroke or CV death using LIFE-CVD calculator yielded similar results in moderate and high CV risk classes. Conclusion The participants belonging to moderate and high CV risk classes have a very similar unfavorable cardiometabolic profile which may result in the similar lifetime CV risk. This may imply the need for more aggressive pharmacological and non-pharmacological management of CV risk factors in the moderate CV risk population. It would be advisable to consider combining the moderate and high risk classes into one high CV risk class, or it may be worth adding one of the parameters of abdominal fat distribution to the CV risk calculators as an expression of increased insulin resistance. Abstract Figure 1.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gursukhman Sidhu ◽  
Charisse J Ward ◽  
Keith Ferdinand

Introduction: Despite a recent gradually slowing and perhaps recent increase in the burden of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) related hospitalization in the United States population with diabetes, it is unclear whether the prior downward trend was uniform or there was an unbalanced division amongst sex and race. Methods: Adults aged ≥40 years old with comorbid diabetes as a secondary diagnosis were identified using the U.S. 2005-2015 National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample (NIS) data. The prevalence of other modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking/substance abuse, obesity, and renal failure), procedures like major amputations in the secondary diagnosis field and their association with ASCVD (acute coronary syndrome (ACS), coronary artery disease (CAD), stroke, or peripheral arterial disease (PAD)) as the first-listed diagnosis were determined. Complex samples multivariate regression was used to determine the odds ratio (O.D.) with 95% confidence limits (C.L.s). Sex and race risk-adjusted ASCVD related in-hospital mortality rates were estimated. Results: The rate of total ASCVD hospitalizations adjusted to the U.S. census population increased by 5.7% for black men compared to 4% for black women cumulatively compared to a stable downtrend in white men and white women. There was a higher odd of an ASCVD hospitalizations if there was comorbid hypertension (Odds Ratio (OR 1.29; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 95% 1.28 - 1.31), dyslipidemia (OR 2.03; 95% CI 2.01 - 2.05), renal failure (OR 1.84; 95% CI 1.82 - 1.86), and smoking/substance use disorder (OR 1.31; 95% CI 1.29 - 1.33). When compared to white men, black men (OR 1.43; 95% CI 1.3 - 1.57) and black women (OR 1.15; 95% CI 1.04 - 1.27) had a higher likelihood of undergoing a major limb amputation during an ASCVD hospitalization. Conclusions: Blacks with diabetes continue to have a higher hospitalizations burden with a concomitant disparity in procedures and outcomes.


Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dianjianyi Sun ◽  
Tao Zhou ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Yoriko Heianza ◽  
Xiaoyun Shang ◽  
...  

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been the number one cause of death and disability in the US and globally for decades, and its comorbidity complicates the management of CVD. However, little is known about the secular trend of CVD comorbidities in national representative populations in the last 20 years. Methods: Prevalence of CVD and nine major chronic comorbidities was estimated using data from 1,324,214 adults aged 18 years and older in the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) from 1997 through 2016, with age-standardized to the U.S. population in the year 2000. Results: CVD prevalence in the US adult population significantly declined in the past twenty years (from 6.6% in 1997 to 5.9% in 2016, P trend <0.01in Figure a). And such trend was shown in women and whites (P trend <0.01), but not in men and blacks (P trend >0.05). We ranked the nine major chronic comorbidities (high to low) in the CVD patients (Figure b.), including (1) hypertension, (2) respiratory conditions, (3) nervous system conditions, (4) digestive conditions, (5) diabetes, (6) cancer, (7) genitourinary conditions, (8) circulatory conditions, and (9) endocrine/nutritional/metabolic conditions. From 1997 to 2016, the prevalence of CVD comorbidities including hypertension (38.8% to 50.2%), digestive conditions (17.0% to 27.1%), diabetes (10.0% to 19.2%), cancer (9.4% to 12.8%), and genitourinary conditions (4.1% to 5.2%) continuingly increased (all P trend <0.01), while respiratory conditions declined (35.9% to 27.6%, P trend <0.01). Similar trends of CVD comorbidities were observed among subgroups stratified by gender or by race. Conclusions: CVD prevalence in the U.S. adults have declined significantly in the past two decades, but rates of CVD comorbidities including hypertension, digestive conditions, diabetes, cancer, and genitourinary conditions increased substantially.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1824-1834 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akshay Sharma ◽  
Erin M. Kahle ◽  
Stephen P. Sullivan ◽  
Rob Stephenson

Gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) in the United States remain heavily impacted by HIV. The purpose of this study was to describe intergenerational differences in functional knowledge of HIV prevention strategies, perceived risk, recent condomless anal sex (CAS), and HIV testing behavior. Eight hundred sexually active GBMSM were recruited via Facebook from August to September 2015, and administered a Web-based survey which included 12 multiple-choice questions to elicit data regarding functional knowledge of different HIV prevention approaches (e.g., condom use, pre-exposure prophylaxis post-exposure prophylaxis, treatment as prevention, circumcision). Cumulative logit and multivariable logistic models were formulated to examine birth cohort variations across four analytic outcomes. Younger generations were significantly more knowledgeable, as were GBMSM with higher education. Non-Hispanic non-White GBMSM and those reporting a bisexual/other sexual orientation had lower functional knowledge. Younger generations were equally concerned about contracting HIV as their older counterparts. Perceived risk was significantly higher among non-Hispanic non-White and Hispanic GBMSM, but lower among those with higher education and those in a relationship. Finally, birth cohort variations with respect to engaging in CAS with ≥2 men in the past 3 months and testing for HIV in the past year were not markedly pronounced. Younger GBMSM might be more knowledgeable about HIV prevention strategies compared to their predecessors, but are equally concerned about contracting HIV. Researchers and practitioners should consider intergenerational and other demographic differences while designing multifaceted HIV prevention programs for GBMSM.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masahiro Kondo ◽  
Yuji Hotta ◽  
Karen Yamauchi ◽  
Akimasa Sanagawa ◽  
Hirokazu Komatsu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Novel agents such as proteasome inhibitors have been developed for several years to treat multiple myeloma. Although multiple myeloma is a low-risk disease for developing tumor lysis syndrome (TLS), treatment with these novel therapies might increase TLS risk. Previous studies, mostly case reports or case series, have reported bortezomib-induced TLS in patients with multiple myeloma. This study aimed to investigate risk factors associated with TLS development in multiple myeloma patients.Methods: We retrospectively investigated incidences of laboratory and clinical TLS (LTLS and CTLS, respectively) in patients who received primary therapy for treatment-naive, symptomatic multiple myeloma between May 2007 and January 2018. We used multivariate logistic regression analyses to evaluate the associations between TLS and several parameters previously reported to be associated with increased risk.Results: This study included 210 patients with multiple myeloma, of which ten (4.8%) had LTLS and seven (3.3%) had CTLS. The characteristics of the administered anticancer or prophylactic antihyperuricemic agents were similar between patients with and without TLS. Multivariate analyses revealed that TLS was most strongly associated with bortezomib-containing therapy (odds ratio = 3.40, P = 0.069), followed by male sex (odds ratio = 2.29, P = 0.153). In a subgroup analysis focused on men, treatment with bortezomib-containing therapy was significantly associated with increased risk of TLS (odds ratio = 8.51, P = 0.046).Conclusion: In the present study, we investigated the risk factors associated with TLS development in 210 multiple myeloma patients, which, to the best of our knowledge, is the largest number of patients reported to date. Furthermore, this study is the first to evaluate TLS risk factors in MM by adjusting for the effects of potential confounding factors in patients’ backgrounds. Consequently, we found that bortezomib-containing therapy increases the risk of TLS in male patients with multiple myeloma. TLS risk should be evaluated further in low-risk diseases such as multiple myeloma, since a significant number of novel therapies can achieve high antitumor responses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammed Atere ◽  
William Lim ◽  
Vishnuveni Leelaruban ◽  
Bhavya Narala ◽  
Stephanie Herrera ◽  
...  

Background: Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality in the United States. Approximately 25% of total deaths in the United States are attributed to cardiovascular diseases. Modification of risk factors has been shown to reduce mortality and morbidity in people with coronary artery disease. Medications such as statins are well known for reducing risks and recent data has shown that statins are beneficial in the primary prevention of coronary artery disease. The purpose of this study is to assess whether statins are being prescribed on discharge to patients who are identified as intermediate to high risk using the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations. Methodology: We reviewed and analyzed the charts of hospitalized patient’s ages 40 to 79 years who were discharged under the service of Internal Medicine at Richmond University Medical Center from September 2018 to August 2019. Exclusion criteria included: patients that expired before discharge or were admitted to the intensive or coronary care units, pregnancy, previous diagnosis of coronary/peripheral artery disease or stroke, already on statins or lipid-lowering medications, allergic to statins, discharged on statins for coronary/peripheral artery disease or stroke, and patients with liver disease or elevated liver enzymes. We used the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations risk to calculate the 10-year coronary artery disease risk for each patient. Results: The 10-year risk is grouped as low risk (<5%), borderline risk (5% to 7.4%), intermediate risk (7.5% to 19.9%) and high risk (≥20%). Among 898 patients, 10% had intermediate and high risk that were not discharged with statins. Among the 10%, about 6.6% were intermediate risk and 3.4% were high risk. Conclusions: A significant number of intermediate and high-risk patients were discharged without statins, although a CT coronary calcium may be helpful in further classifying the risk in some of them. We believe that a lipid profile should be checked in all hospitalized patients 40 years and older in order to calculate their atherosclerosis cardiovascular disease risk score and to possibly initiate statins after discussing the benefits and side effects, particularly in the intermediate risk group. The continuation of statins would be followed up by their primary care physicians. We plan to liaise with the information technology department in our facility to provide a link to the risk calculator in the electronic medical record so that the risk can be calculated and statins initiated as necessary. We will conduct a follow up review to assess for effectiveness.


2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (Supplement_4) ◽  
Author(s):  
İbrahim Topuz ◽  
Sebahat Gozum

Abstract Background Turkey is among the top countries in Europe in coronary mortality in the 45-74 age range. The highest death due to disorders of the circulatory system (50.8%) that is Amasya province. Objective Determine related factors and to compare with actual and perceived cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks of men aged 40-65 living in Amasya. Methods The sample size of cross-sectional and analytical study consisted of 400 people who met the inclusion criteria. Actual CVD risks of men were calculated using HeartScore. Age, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol measured by blood taken from the capillary and smoking status were used to calculate CVD risk. Actual CVD risk in next decade has been calculated as low, medium, high or very high. Perceived CVD risk in next decade were identified by participants as low, medium, high and very high responses. They also questioned why evaluation of perceived risk. Results It was determined whereas 8.3% of the males had high, 52.5% had a very high level of CVD risk. The main variables affecting actual CVD risk; diastolic blood pressure, BMI and physical activity. 13.3% of males perceived CVD risks at high and 8% at very high. The main variables affecting perceived CVD risk; age and DM. It was found that 48% and 23.8% of males perceived CVD risks lower and higher than actual CVD risk while 28.2% were accurate. Those who perceived CVD risk at a moderate, high and very high think that this is caused by diseases that increase the risk of CVD and smoking. Conclusions Approximately 1/2 men has very high risk of CVD. It was determined that 1/2 men perceived risks are lower with false optimism and couldn’t accurately identify risks of people older and with diabetes. Key messages It can be ensured that develop risk reducing behaviors and individuals with high risk of CVD can raise their awareness. The risk perceptions of males in the very high-risk group from the past to the present are important because they affect their actual risks and risk-reducing behaviors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Van Der Aalst ◽  
S.J.A.M Denissen ◽  
M Vonder ◽  
J.-W.C Gratema ◽  
H.J Adriaansen ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Screening for a high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk followed by preventive treatment can potentially reduce coronary heart disease (CHD)-related morbidity and mortality. ROBINSCA (Risk Or Benefit IN Screening for CArdiovascular disease) is a population-based randomized controlled screening trial that investigates the effectiveness of CVD screening in asymptomatic participants using the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model or Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scoring. This study describes the distributions in risk and treatment in the ROBINSCA trial. Methods and results Individuals at expected elevated CVD risk were randomized (1:1:1) into the control arm (n=14,519; usual care); screening arm A (n=14,478; SCORE, 10-year fatal and non-fatal risk); or screening arm B (n=14,450; CAC scoring). Preventive treatment was largely advised according to current Dutch guidelines. Risk and treatment differences between the screening arms were analysed. 12,185 participants (84.2%) in arm A and 12,950 (89.6%) in arm B were screened. 48.7% were women, and median age was 62 (InterQuartile Range 10) years. SCORE screening identified 45.1% at low risk (SCORE&lt;10%), 26.5% at intermediate risk (SCORE 10–20%), and 28.4% at high risk (SCORE≥20%). According to CAC screening, 76.0% were at low risk (Agatston&lt;100), 15.1% at high risk (Agatston 100–399), and 8.9% at very high risk (Agatston≥400). CAC scoring significantly reduced the number of individuals indicated for preventive treatment compared to SCORE (relative reduction women: 37.2%; men: 28.8%). Conclusion We showed that compared to risk stratification based on SCORE, CAC scoring classified significantly fewer men and women at increased risk, and less preventive treatment was indicated. ROBINSCA flowchart Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): Advanced Research Grant


2017 ◽  
Vol 45 (5) ◽  
pp. 619-623
Author(s):  
K. A. Cook ◽  
P. A. MacIntyre ◽  
J. R. McAlpine

The perioperative risks and factors associated with adverse cardiac outcomes in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy undergoing non-cardiac surgery are unknown. Interrogation of the Nelson Hospital transthoracic echocardiogram database identified 127 patients with dilated cardiomyopathy who satisfied the study criteria and underwent non-cardiac surgery between June 1999 and July 2013. Demographic and clinical data along with postoperative death within 30 days or a major adverse cardiac event were retrieved and analysed. The mean age was 75.9 years. Seventy-one percent of the patients had severe impairment of left ventricular function and 35% had a severely dilated left ventricle. A major adverse cardiac event occurred in 18.1% of patients and 5.5% of patients died within 30 days of surgery. Increased surgical risk and absence of cerebrovascular disease were associated with adverse outcome (P <0.001, P <0.05, respectively). Forty-three and a half percent (43.5%) of patients undergoing high-risk surgery had an adverse outcome compared to 36.1% and 5.9% for moderate and low-risk surgery, respectively. A major adverse cardiac event was observed in 26.7% of patients with cardiovascular disease compared to 9.8% of patients without cardiovascular disease. We were unable to exclude an influence of other potential risk factors due to the retrospective observational nature of the study. These findings highlight a potential increase in complications with moderate or high surgical risk, whilst are reassuring in demonstrating the relative safety of low-risk surgery in this group of high-risk patients.


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