scholarly journals Simple Scoring Scheme for Calculating the Risk of Acute Coronary Events Based on the 10-Year Follow-Up of the Prospective Cardiovascular Münster (PROCAM) Study

Circulation ◽  
2002 ◽  
Vol 105 (3) ◽  
pp. 310-315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerd Assmann ◽  
Paul Cullen ◽  
Helmut Schulte
Keyword(s):  
2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-60
Author(s):  
M. S. Kamenskikh ◽  
A. V. Zagatina ◽  
N. T. Zhuravskaya ◽  
Yu. N. Fedotov ◽  
D. V. Shmatov

Aim of the study was to identify the effects of myocardial revascularization on the prognosis in patients with altered coronary blood flow detected by transthoracic ultrasound.Material and Methods. Four hundred and twelve (412) patients were included in the study. The inclusion criterion was coronary velocity more than 70 cm/s during echocardiography. The study population was divided into three groups: Group 1 comprised patients with high velocities in the coronary arteries detected by ultrasound, in whom myocardial revascularization was performed; Group 2 comprised patients with high velocities in the coronary arteries, in whom myocardial revascularization was not performed and; the Control Group comprised patients with normal coronary blood flow according to ultrasound. The follow-up period was 10–11 months.Results. Seventeen (17) deaths (4.7%) occurred during follow-up. Death rates were 1.6 vs. 8.1 vs. 0% in Group 1, Group 2 and the Control Group, respectively, with a p-value for the difference between Group 1 and Group 2 (p1) of <0.009; and a p-value for the differences compared with the Control group (р2) of <0.03. Death, myocardial infarction, pulmonary edema, and acute coronary syndrome were observed in 27 patients (7.7% of the study group with accelerated blood flow). The rates of these outcomes were 4.9 vs. 11.0 vs. 0% in Group 1, Group 2, and the Control Group, respectively (p1<0.05; p2<0.006). Discussion. The study showed high rates of mortality or acute coronary events in the group of patients with pathologically high coronary flow velocities. The positive effects of revascularization on survival in this group were verified.Conclusions: 1. Left artery coronary flow velocities over 70 cm/s indicate a high probability of death or acute coronary events within 10.5 months.2. Myocardial revascularization has a significant positive effect on the survival rate and incidence of acute coronary events in patients with coronary artery flow velocities greater than 70 cm/s.3. Patients with high coronary blood flow velocities should be referred to coronary angiography or other diagnostic tests without waiting for clinical manifestations and specific symptoms for coronary artery disease.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Minushkina ◽  
V Brazhnik ◽  
N Selezneva ◽  
V Safarjan ◽  
M Alekhin ◽  
...  

Abstract   Left ventricular (LV) global function index (LVGFI) is a MRI marker of left ventricular remodeling. LVGFI has high predictive significance in young healthy individuals. The aim of the study was to assess prognostic significance in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We include into this analysis 2169 patients with ACS (1340 (61.8%) men and 829 (38.2%) women), mean age 64.08±12.601 years. All patients were observed in 2 Russian multicenter observational studies: ORACLE I (ObseRvation after Acute Coronary syndrome for deveLopment of trEatment options) (2004–2007 years) and ORACLE II (NCT04068909) (2014–2019 years). 1886 (87.0%) pts had arterial hypertension, 1539 (71.0%) – history of coronary artery disease, 647 (29.8%) – history of myocardial infarction, 444 (20.5%) - diabetes mellitus. Duration of the follow-up was 1 years after the hospital discharge. Cases of death from any cause, coronary deaths, repeated coronary events (fatal and non-fatal) were recorded. An echocardiographic study was conducted 5–7 days from the time of hospitalization. The LVGFI was defined as LV stroke volume/LV global volume × 100, where LV global volume was the sum of the LV mean cavity volume ((LV end-diastolic volume + LV end-systolic volume)/2) and myocardial volume (LV mass/density). During the follow-up, 193 deaths were recorded (8.9%), 122 deaths (5.6%) were coronary. In total, repeated coronary events were recorded in 253 (11.7%) patients. Mean LVGFI was 22.64±8.121%. Patients who died during the follow-up were older (73.03±10.936 years and 63.15±12.429 years, p=0.001), had a higher blood glucose level at the admission to the hospital (8.12±3.887 mmol/L and 7.17±3.355 mmol/L, p=0.041), serum creatinine (110.86±53.954 μmol/L and 99.25±30.273 μmol/L, p=0.007), maximum systolic blood pressure (196.3±25.17 mm Hg and 190.3±27.83 mm Hg, p=0.042). Those who died had a lower LVGFI value (19.75±6.77% and 23.01±8.243%, p&lt;0.001). Myocardial mass index, ejection fraction and other left ventricular parameters did not significantly differ between died and alive patients. Among the patients who died, there were higher rate of women, pts with a history of myocardial infarction, heart failure, diabetes. In a multivariate analysis, diabetes mellitus OR1.67 95% CI [1.12–2.51] p=0.012, history of heart failure (1.78 [1.2.-2.59], p=0.003), a history of myocardial infarction (1.47 [1.05–2.05], p=0024), age (1.06 [1.05–1.08], p=0.001) and LVGFI &lt;22% (1.53 [1.08–2.17], p=0.015) were independent predictors of death from any cause. The LVGFI was also independently associated with the risk of coronary death, but not with the risk of all recurring coronary events. Thus, LVGFI may be useful the marker to assess risk in patients who have experienced an ACS episode. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2003 ◽  
Vol 90 (08) ◽  
pp. 344-350 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Niessner ◽  
Senta Graf ◽  
Mariam Nikfardjam ◽  
Walter Speidl ◽  
Renate Huber-Beckmann ◽  
...  

SummaryThrombus formation after rupture of an atherosclerotic plaque plays a crucial role in coronary artery disease (CAD). A decreased endogenous fibrinolytic system and prothrombotic factors are supposed to influence coronary thrombosis. It was our aim to investigate the predictive value of tissue plasmino-gen activator (t-PA) antigen, von Willebrand Factor, Lipoprotein (a) and anti-cardiolipin antibodies for major adverse coronary events in patients with stable CAD in a prospective cohort study of more than 10 years.We observed 141 patients with angiographically proven CAD for a median follow-up period of 13 years. t-PA antigen was the only marker predicting coronary events (logistic regression, p = 0.044) with a poor prognosis for patients in the 5th quintile with an odds ratio of 7.3 (compared to the 1st quintile). The odds ratio even increased to 10.0 for coronary events associated with the “natural course” of CAD excluding events due to restenosis. t-PA antigen had a slightly higher prognostic power (ROC curve; AUC = 0.69) than fasting glucose (AUC = 0.68) and cholesterol (AUC = 0.67). Triglycerides influenced plasma levels of t-PA antigen (regression, p < 0.001). The predictive value of t-PA antigen remained significant after adjustment for inflammation (logistic regression, p = 0.013) and extent of CAD (p = 0.045) but disappeared adjusting for insulin resistance (p = 0.12).In conclusion t-PA antigen predicted coronary events during a very long-term follow-up with a comparable prognostic power to established cardiovascular risk factors. Markers of insulin resistance influenced t-PA antigen and its predictive value.Part of this paper was originally presented at the joint meetings of the 16th International Congress of the International Society of Fibrinolysis and Proteolysis (ISFP) and the 17th International Fibrinogen Workshop of the International Fibrinogen Research Society (IFRS) held in Munich, Germany, September 2002.


1989 ◽  
Vol 37 (6) ◽  
pp. 501-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilbert S. Aronow ◽  
Abbe H. Herzig ◽  
Fritzner Etienne ◽  
Peter D'Alba ◽  
Jocelyn Ronquillo

2004 ◽  
Vol 92 (6) ◽  
pp. 963-972 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luc Dauchet ◽  
Jean Ferrières ◽  
Dominique Arveiler ◽  
John W. Yarnell ◽  
Fred Gey ◽  
...  

Fruit and vegetable consumption is associated with low CHD risk in the USA and Northern Europe. There is, in contrast, little information about these associations in other regions of Europe. The goal of the present study was to assess the relationship between frequency of fruit and vegetable intake and CHD risk in two European populations with contrasting cardiovascular incidence rates; France and Northern Ireland. The present prospective study was in men aged 50–59 years, free of CHD, who were recruited in France (n 5982) and Northern Ireland (n 2105). Fruit and vegetable intake was assessed by a food-frequency questionnaire. Incident cases of acute coronary events and angina were recorded over a 5-year follow-up. During follow-up there was a total of 249 ischaemic events. After adjustment on education level, smoking, physical activity, alcohol consumption, employment status, BMI, blood pressure, serum total and HDL-cholesterol, the relative risks (RR) of acute coronary events were 0·67 (95% CI 0·44, 1·03) and 0·64 (95% CI 0·41, 0·99) in the 2nd and 3rd tertiles of citrus fruit consumption, respectively (P for trend <0·03). Similar results were observed in France and Northern Ireland. In contrast, the RR of acute coronary events for ‘other fruit’ consumption were 0·70 (95% CI 0·31, 1·56) and 0·52 (95% CI 0·24, 1·14) respectively in Northern Ireland (trend P<0·05) and 1·29 (95% CI 0·69, 2·4) and 1·15 (95% CI 0·68, 1·94) in France (trend P=0·5; interaction P<0·04). There was no evidence for any association between vegetable intake and total CHD events. In conclusion, frequency of citrus fruit, but not other fruits, intake is associated with lower rates of acute coronary events in both France and Northern Ireland, suggesting that geographical or related factors might affect the relationship between fruit consumption and CHD risk.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daliang Liu ◽  
Huijuan Jia ◽  
Yucun Fu ◽  
Wen He ◽  
Daqing Ma

Objectives.To analyze the predictive value of coronary computed tomography angiography on acute coronary artery events in patients with type 2 diabetes.Methods.Coronary computed tomography angiography was performed in 250 type 2 diabetic patients. After a follow-up for 5 years, 145 patients were excluded as they did not have any coronary events. The remaining 95 patients were divided into study group and control group. According to their density and shape, the coronary artery plaques were classified into 3 types and 4 types, respectively.Results.There is no statistically significant difference in the degree of stenosis between two groups. The proportion of calcified plaques in the study group was lower than in the control group. The proportion of mixed-calcified plaques in the study group was higher than in the other. Type III plaques have a 76.2% sensitivity and negative predictive value was 64.5% for acute coronary events; type IV plaques have a sensitivity of 52.6% and positive predictive value of 63% for chronic coronary events.Conclusions.CCTA may be used as a non-invasive modality for evaluating and predicting vulnerable coronary atherosclerosis plaques in patients with type 2 diabetes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaona Wang ◽  
Ruihua Cao ◽  
Xu Yang ◽  
Wenkai Xiao ◽  
Yun Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The relationship between high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and different cardiovascular events has been observed in several large community studies, and the results have been controversial. However, there is currently no cross-sectional or longitudinal follow-up study on hs-cTnT in the Chinese population.Methods: We analyzed the association of plasma hs-cTnT levels with major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in 1325 subjects from a longitudinal follow-up community-based population in Beijing, China.Results: In the Cox proportional hazards models analysis, the risk of MACE increased with the increase of hs-cTnT levels (HR, 1.223, 95% CI, 1.054–1.418, P = 0.008). Increased hs-cTnT levels were associated with coronary events (HR, 1.391, 95% CI, 1.106–1.749, P = 0.005) in Model 4. Cox proportional risk regression model analysis revealed that increased hs-cTnT levels were associated with an increased risk of mortality (HR, 1.763, 95% CI, 1.224–2.540, P = 0.002), even after adjusting hs-CRP and NT-proBNP. The area under the ROC curve for predicting MACE was 0.559 (95% CI, 0.523–0.595, P = 0.001). The areas under the ROC curve for predicting coronary events and mortality were 0.629 (95% CI, 0.580–0.678, P < 0.001) and 0.644 (95% CI, 0.564–0.725, P < 0.001), respectively.Conclusions: Our findings in the Chinese cohort support that hs-cTnT is a risk factor for major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.


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