Temporal Trends in Stroke Incidence Over Time by Sex and Age in the GCNKSS

Objectives: 1. To estimate sex- and race-specific incidence of pediatric stroke by age group 2. To describe trends in pediatric stroke incidence in New York(NY) from 2006 to 2016 Methods: International Classification of Disease codes were used to retrospectively to identify all acute ischemic stroke (AIS), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) admissions in pediatric patients (0-19 years old [yo]) in the 2006-2016 NY State Inpatients Database (SID; total N=4,083). Incident counts were combined with annual US Census data to compute age- and sex-specific incidence. Joinpoint regression was used to evaluate trends in incidence over time. Results: Across the study period, 52% of all pediatric strokes were AIS, 23% ICH, 11% SAH, and 14% CVT. Total stroke incidence/100,000 population was 47.8 and the age-standardized incidence in >=1yo was 4.8. Incidence differed by age (1-4yo: 4.4, 5-9yo: 3.6, 10-14yo: 4.5, and 15-19yo: 6.7), but not by sex. Age-standardized incidence of strokes in >=1yo also differed by race (Blacks 5.9, Whites 4.0, Hispanics 3.3, Asians/Pacific Islanders 3.1). While there was no change in overall stroke, AIS, or SAH incidence, ICH (annualized percentage change [APC] 4.3%, 95%CI 1.7-6.9) and CVT (APC 4.1, 95%CI 1.22-6.25%) increased over time. When stratified by age, overall stroke incidence increased over time in 15-19 yo (APC 1.3%, 95%CI 0.27-2.35, p=0.019), but not in other age groups. Conclusion: We observed increasing incidence in pediatric ICH, CVT, and overall stroke in 15-19 yo in the state of NY. Pediatric stroke incidence in NY is disproportionately higher in blacks compared to other races. Further investigation is warranted to determine the association of these changes with risk factors, lifestyle and systems of care.

Download Full-text

Abstract 72: Temporal Trends in Stroke Incidence Over Time by Sex and Age in the Greater Cincinnati Northern Kentucky Stroke Study

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.51.suppl_1.72 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Tracy E Madsen ◽

Jane C Khoury ◽

Michelle Leppert ◽

Kathleen Alwell ◽

Charles J Moomaw ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Age Groups ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Age Group ◽

Bonferroni Correction ◽

Stroke Incidence ◽

Stroke Study ◽

Trends Over Time ◽

Over Time

Introduction: Data from the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study (GCNKSS) through 2010 showed that over time, stroke incidence rates decreased to a greater extent in men than in women. We aimed to determine whether this difference continued through 2015 and whether the differences are driven by particular age groups. Methods: Within the GCNKSS population of 1.3 million, all incident strokes among residents ≥20 years old were ascertained at all local hospitals during 7/93–6/94 and calendar years 1999, 2005, 2010, and 2015. Out-of-hospital cases were sampled. Sex-specific incidence rates per 100,000 were adjusted for age and race, standardized to the 2010 U.S. Census. Trends over time by sex were compared (overall and age-stratified); a Bonferroni correction was applied for multiple comparisons. Results: In total over the five study periods, there were 9721 incident strokes (ischemic, ICH, and SAH); 56.4% were women. Incidence of ischemic strokes decreased from 254 (95%CI 236,272) in 1993/4 to 177 (95%CI 164,189) in 2015 among men (p<.0001 for trend over time) and from 204 (95%CI 192,217) in 1993/4 to 151 (95%CI 141,161) in 2015 among women (p<.0001). Incidence of ICH/ SAH did not change significantly over time in either sex. In age-stratified analyses, among women, incidence of all strokes decreased among older adults (65–84 years) but not in other age categories (Figure). Among men, incidence over time decreased among older adults (65–84 and ≥ 85 years) but increased in young adults (20–44 years). Conclusions: Stroke incidence decreased between the early 1990s and 2015 for both sexes, contrary to previous data on trends through 2010 which demonstrated a significant decrease in men but not women. Temporal changes are being driven by the 65–84 year age group in both men and women, as well as the ≥ 85 age group in men. Future prevention strategies should target young and middle age adults for both sexes as well as those over 85 for women.

Download Full-text

Correction to: Temporal Trends in Stroke Incidence Over Time by Sex and Age in the GCNKSS

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.0000000000000329 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 51 (7) ◽

Keyword(s):

Temporal Trends ◽

Stroke Incidence ◽

Over Time

Download Full-text

A246 THE GLOBAL INCIDENCE OF ACUTE PANCREATITIS IS INCREASING OVER TIME: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

Journal of the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology ◽

10.1093/jcag/gwab002.244 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 304-306

Author(s):

J Iannuzzi ◽

J H Leong ◽

J Quan ◽

J A King ◽

J W Windsor ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Acute Pancreatitis ◽

Data Extraction ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Western World ◽

Common Disease ◽

Biliary Disease ◽

Comprehensive Overview ◽

Annual Percent Change ◽

Over Time

Abstract Background Acute pancreatitis is a common disease with significant associated morbidity and mortality. Historically, acute pancreatitis has been considered a disease with multiple etiologies and risk factors but is driven by alcohol and biliary disease. Multiple studies have shown that the incidence of acute pancreatitis is increasing globally among both adults and children. Aims The purpose of this study was to assess temporal trends in incidence of acute pancreatitis globally. Methods We performed a systematic literature search to identify population-based studies reporting the annual incidence of acute pancreatitis. Abstracts were independently assessed in duplicate to identify applicable papers for full-text review and data extraction. Joinpoint temporal trend analyses were performed to calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The AAPCs were pooled in a meta-analysis to capture the overall and regional trends in acute pancreatitis incidence over time. Temporal data were summarized in a static map and an interactive, web-based map to illustrate global differences. Results Forty-five studies reported the temporal incidence of acute pancreatitis (static map provided, online interactive map: https://kaplan-acute-pancreatitis-ucalgary.hub.arcgis.com/). The incidence of acute pancreatitis has increased from 1961 to 2016 (AAPC = 2.89%; 95% CI: 2.26, 3.52; n=41). Increasing incidence was observed in North America (AAPC = 2.71%; 95% CI: 1.93, 3.50; n=10) and Europe (AAPC = 2.79%; 95% CI: 1.95, 3.63; n=24). The incidence of acute pancreatitis was stable in Asia (AAPC = −0.28%; 95% CI: −5.03, 4.47; n=2). Conclusions This meta-analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the global incidence of acute pancreatitis over the last five decades and demonstrates a steadily rising incidence over time in most countries of the Western world. More studies are needed to better define the changing incidence of acute pancreatitis in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Funding Agencies None

Download Full-text

Temporal trends in outcome and patient characteristics in dilated cardiomyopathy, data from the Swedish Heart Failure Registry 2003–2015

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders ◽

10.1186/s12872-021-02124-0 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Helen Sjöland ◽

Jonas Silverdal ◽

Entela Bollano ◽

Aldina Pivodic ◽

Ulf Dahlström ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Dilated Cardiomyopathy ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Physical Symptoms ◽

Left Ventricular ◽

Left Ventricular Ejection ◽

Continuous Change ◽

Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Over Time

Abstract Background Temporal trends in clinical composition and outcome in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) are largely unknown, despite considerable advances in heart failure management. We set out to study clinical characteristics and prognosis over time in DCM in Sweden during 2003–2015. Methods DCM patients (n = 7873) from the Swedish Heart Failure Registry were divided into three calendar periods of inclusion, 2003–2007 (Period 1, n = 2029), 2008–2011 (Period 2, n = 3363), 2012–2015 (Period 3, n = 2481). The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, transplantation and hospitalization during 1 year after inclusion into the registry. Results Over the three calendar periods patients were older (p = 0.022), the proportion of females increased (mean 22.5%, 26.4%, 27.6%, p = 0.0001), left ventricular ejection fraction was higher (p = 0.0014), and symptoms by New York Heart Association less severe (p < 0.0001). Device (implantable cardioverter defibrillator and/or cardiac resynchronization) therapy increased by 30% over time (mean 11.6%, 12.3%, 15.1%, p < 0.0001). The event rates for mortality, and hospitalization were consistently decreasing over calendar periods (p < 0.0001 for all), whereas transplantation rate was stable. More advanced physical symptoms correlated with an increased risk of a composite outcome over time (p = 0.0043). Conclusions From 2003 until 2015, we observed declining mortality and hospitalizations in DCM, paralleled by a continuous change in both demographic profile and therapy in the DCM population in Sweden, towards a less affected phenotype.

Download Full-text

Abstract 88: Increasing False Positive Diagnoses May Lead to Overestimation of Stroke Incidence, Particularly in the Young

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.51.suppl_1.88 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Abhinav J Appukutty ◽

Lesli E Skolarus ◽

Mellanie V Springer ◽

William J Meurer ◽

James F Burke

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

False Positive ◽

Age Groups ◽

Vascular Risk Factor ◽

The United States ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Stroke Incidence ◽

Ed Visits ◽

Over Time

Introduction: Stroke incidence is reportedly increasing in younger adults. While increasing vascular risk factor prevalence has been suggested as a cause, the reasons for rising stroke incidence in the young are not clear. We explored several alternate explanations: trends in neurologically-focused emergency department (ED) visits, differential diagnostic classification of stroke and TIA over time, and changes in the use of advanced imaging in young and older adults. Methods: We performed a retrospective, serial, cross-sectional study on a nationally representative sample of all ED visits in the United States to quantify changes in patterns of neurologically-focused ED visits, stroke and TIA diagnoses, and rates of MRI utilization for young (18 – 44 years) and older (65+ years) adults over a 17-year period (1995 – 2000; 2005 – 2015) using National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) data. Results: In young adults, 0.4% (95% CI 0.3% – 0.5%) of neurologically-focused ED visits resulted in a primary diagnosis of stroke vs. 6.8% (95% CI 6.2% – 7.5%) for older adults. In both populations, the incidence of neurologically-focused ED visits has increased over time (+111/100,000 population/year, 95% CI +94 – +130 in the young vs. +70/100,000 population/year, 95% CI +34 – +108 in older adults). There was no evidence of differential classification of TIA to stroke over time (OR 1.001 per year, 95% CI 0.926 – 1.083 in the young; OR 1.003 per year, 95% CI 0.982 – 1.026 in older adults) and no evidence of disproportionate rise in MRI utilization for neurologically-focused ED visits in the young (OR 1.057 per year, 95% CI 1.028 – 1.086 in the young; OR 1.095 per year, 95% CI 1.066 – 1.125 in older adults). Conclusions: If the specificity of stroke diagnosis amongst ED visits is similar amongst young and older populations, then the combination of data observed here, including (1) a lower prior probability of stroke diagnoses in the young and (2) an increasing trend in neurologically-focused ED visits in both age groups, suggests that false positive diagnoses will increase over time, with a faster rise in the young compared to older adults. These data suggest a potential explanation that may contribute to higher stroke incidence in the young and merits further scrutiny.

Download Full-text

Temporal Trends in the Severity and Mortality of Neonatal Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy in the Era of Hypothermia

Neonatology ◽

10.1159/000518654 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-8

Author(s):

Cristina Vega-Del-Val ◽

Juan Arnaez ◽

Sonia Caserío ◽

Elena Pilar Gutiérrez ◽

Marta Benito ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Temporal Trends ◽

Cross Sectional Study ◽

Annual Incidence ◽

Hypoxic Ischemic Encephalopathy ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Incidence And Mortality ◽

Changes Over Time ◽

Ischemic Encephalopathy ◽

Annual Decline ◽

Over Time

Introduction: There is a paucity of studies examining temporal trends in the incidence and mortality of moderate-to-severe hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) during the last decade of therapeutic hypothermia (TH). Methods: Multicenter cross-sectional study of all infants ≥35 weeks gestational age diagnosed with moderate-to-severe HIE within 6 h of birth in an extensive region of Spain between 2011 and 2019, in order to detect trend changes over time in the (1) annual incidence, (2) severity of neurological and systemic organ involvement, and (3) neonatal death from HIE. Results: Annual incidence rate of moderate-to-severe HIE was 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.7–0.97) per 1,000 births, without trend changes over time (p = 0.8), although the proportion of severe HIE infants showed an average annual decline of 0.86 points (95% CI 0.75–0.98). There were 102 (70%) infants diagnosed with moderate HIE and 44 (30%) with severe HIE. TH was offered to 139/146 (95%) infants. Infants with clinical and/or electrical seizures showed a decreasing trend from 56 to 28% (p = 0.006). Mortality showed a nonstatistically significant decline (p = 0.4), and the severity of systemic damage showed no changes (p = 0.3). Obstetric characteristics remained unchanged, while higher perinatal pH values (p = 0.03) and Apgar scores (p = 0.05), and less need for resuscitation (p = 0.07), were found over time. Conclusion: The annual incidence of moderate-to-severe HIE has stabilized at around 1 per 1,000 births, with a temporal trend toward a decrease in severe HIE infants and a slight decline of mortality. No association was found between temporal trends and changes in perinatal/obstetric characteristics over time.

Download Full-text

New Syphilis Cases in Older Adults, 2004–2019: An Analysis of Surveillance Data From South China

Frontiers in Medicine ◽

10.3389/fmed.2021.781759 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 ◽

Author(s):

Cheng Wang ◽

Peizhen Zhao ◽

Mingzhou Xiong ◽

Joseph D. Tucker ◽

Jason J. Ong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Health Care ◽

Health Care Providers ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Health Concern ◽

Targeted Prevention ◽

Care Providers ◽

Annual Percent Change ◽

Syphilis Infection ◽

Over Time

Background: Sexual health among older adults is a major public health concern globally. The syphilis burden is increasing in older adults in China. This study aimed to describe factors associated with syphilis infection and diagnosis among older adults in China during a 16 year period.Methods: Using 16 years of data (2004–2019) from the syphilis case report system of Guangdong, China, we compared data from older adults (aged ≥50 years) with those from younger people (aged 15–49 years). We compared the two age group with the Chi-square test for difference, and Joinpoint regression models to assess the temporal trends.Results: During the study period, 242,115 new syphilis diagnoses were reported in older adults. The mean notification rate of new diagnoses was 64.1 per 100,000 population across the entire 16-year period, which significantly increased over time (average annual percent change [AAPC] 16.2%, 95% CI 13.7–18.7). Syphilis diagnoses increased significantly over time among less developed cities and older women. In 2019, compared with younger adults, newly diagnosed older adults were more likely to be male, native to reporting city, had unknown transmission routes, and were diagnosed late.Conclusion: Our findings call for an urgent need to deliver more targeted prevention interventions for older adults, such as strengthen awareness among health care providers, and integration of syphilis services and primary health care for older adults.

Download Full-text

Temporal Trends in COVID-19 associated AKI from March to December 2020 in New York City

10.1101/2021.01.18.21249414 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Sergio Dellepiane ◽

Akhil Vaid ◽

Suraj K Jaladanki ◽

Ishan Paranjpe ◽

Steven Coca ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

New York ◽

Acute Kidney Injury ◽

New York City ◽

Renal Replacement Therapy ◽

York City ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Kidney Injury ◽

Clinical Approach ◽

Over Time

AbstractAcute Kidney Injury (AKI) is among the most common complications of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). Throughout 2020 pandemic, the clinical approach to COVID-19 has progressively improved, but it is unknown how these changes have affected AKI incidence and severity. In this retrospective analysis, we report the trend over time of COVID-19 associated AKI and need of renal replacement therapy in a large health system in New York City, the first COVID-19 epicenter in United States.

Download Full-text

Temporal trends in tolvaptan use after revision of national heart failure guidelines in Japan

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-98173-8 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Yusuke Yamazaki ◽

Yasuyuki Shiraishi ◽

Shun Kohsaka ◽

Yuji Nagatomo ◽

Keiichi Fukuda ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Clinical Practice ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Risk Score ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

National Guidelines ◽

Hospital Outcomes ◽

Trends Over Time ◽

Multicenter Registry ◽

Over Time

AbstractWithin no definite diuretic protocol for acute heart failure (AHF) patients and its variation in regional clinical guidelines, the latest national guidelines in Japan commends use of tolvaptan in diuretic-resistant patients. This study aimed to examine trends in tolvaptan usage and associated outcomes of AHF patients requiring hospitalization. Between April, 2018 and October, 2019, 1343 consecutive AHF patients (median 78 [69–85] year-old) were enrolled in a prospective, multicenter registry in Japan. Trends over time in tolvaptan usage, along with the severity of heart failure status based on the Get With The Guideline-Heart Failure [GWTG-HF] risk score, and in-hospital outcomes were investigated. During the study period, tolvaptan usage has increased from 13.0 to 28.7% over time (p for trend = 0.07), and 49.4% started tolvaptan within 3 days after admission. The GWTG-HF risk score in the tolvaptan group has significantly decreased over time, while that in the non-tolvaptan group has unchanged. There were no differences in the in-hospital mortality rate between the patients with and without tolvaptan (6.7% vs. 5.8%). After revision of the Japanese clinical practice guidelines for AHF in March 2018, tolvaptan usage for AHF patients has steadily increased. However, in-hospital outcomes including mortality do not seem to be affected.

Download Full-text