Ten Years of Measurements of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Water Vapor by MOZAIC. Part II: Assessing the ECMWF Humidity Analysis

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 1449-1466 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhengzhao Luo ◽  
Dieter Kley ◽  
Richard H. Johnson ◽  
Herman Smit
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Enso Event ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Asian Monsoon Region ◽  
Dry Bias ◽  
Moisture Flux Divergence

Abstract In a recent publication (Part I), the authors introduced a data source—Measurement of Ozone and Water Vapor by Airbus In-Service Aircraft (MOZAIC)—for monitoring and studying upper-tropospheric water vapor (UTWV) and analyzed 10 yr (1994–2004) of MOZAIC measurements of tropical UTWV in its climatology, variability, transport, and relation to deep convection. In this study (Part II), MOZAIC is used to assess the ECMWF humidity analysis over the tropics, taking advantage of the unique nature of the MOZAIC data, namely, the long data record, near-global coverage, and high accuracy. In parallel to Part I, the ECMWF UTWV analysis is assessed against MOZAIC in the following five aspects: 1) annual cycle, 2) vertical structure, 3) probability density functions (PDFs), 4) moisture flux divergence, and 5) interannual variability. The annual cycle of the ECMWF UTWV shows a similar pattern as MOZAIC but has an overall dry bias of about 10%–30% relative humidity with respect to ice (RHi). The dry biases are larger in the deep tropics than the subtropics and larger over the Asian monsoon region than the tropical Atlantic region. The increase in RH with height (from about 300 to 200 hPa) as observed by MOZAIC is largely missing in the ECMWF analysis, which has a roughly constant RH profile. The bimodal distribution of tropical UTWV is well established in MOZAIC, but for ECMWF, the moist mode is abruptly cut off at 100% RHi due to the lack of ice supersaturation (ISS) in the forecast model. Lack of ISS capability is, however, not the only cause for the dry bias in the ECMWF; it also has more occurrences of lower humidity compared to MOZAIC. There is also evidence that ECMWF underestimates the range of upper-tropospheric humidity (UTH) variation. A comparison of moisture flux divergence is conducted to assess the ability of ECMWF to capture the divergent transport of water vapor. It is shown that the ECMWF can represent the distribution of this quantity fairly well, although the dry bias leads to some underestimate of the magnitude. Finally, the authors show a comparison of the ECMWF and MOZAIC depictions of the interannual variation of UTWV during the 1997/98 ENSO event as an illustration that UTWV variations are more difficult to capture than those of the UT temperature.

scholarly journals The Atmospheric Water Balance over the Semiarid Murray–Darling River Basin

2008 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 521-534 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clara Draper ◽  
Graham Mills
Keyword(s):  
Surface Water ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Consecutive Series ◽  
Atmospheric Water ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Murray Darling Basin ◽  
Moisture Flux Divergence

Abstract The atmospheric water balance over the semiarid Murray–Darling River basin in southeast Australia is analyzed based on a consecutive series of 3- to 24-h NWP forecasts from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s Limited Area Prediction System (LAPS). Investigation of the LAPS atmospheric water balance, including comparison of the forecast precipitation to analyzed rain gauge observations, indicates that the LAPS forecasts capture the general qualitative features of the water balance. The key features of the atmospheric water balance over the Murray–Darling Basin are small atmospheric moisture flux divergence (at daily to annual time scales) and extended periods during which the atmospheric water balance terms are largely inactive, with the exception of evaporation, which is consistent and very large in summer. These features present unique challenges for NWP modeling. For example, the small moisture fluxes in the basin can easily be obscured by the systematic errors inherent in all NWP models. For the LAPS model forecasts, there is an unrealistically large evaporation excess over precipitation (associated with a positive bias in evaporation) and unexpected behavior in the moisture flux divergence. Two global reanalysis products (the NCEP Reanalysis I and the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis) also both describe (physically unrealistic) long-term negative surface water budgets over the Murray–Darling Basin, suggesting that the surface water budget cannot be sensibly diagnosed based on output from current NWP models. Despite this shortcoming, numerical models are in general the most appropriate tool for examining the atmospheric water balance over the Murray–Darling Basin, as the atmospheric sounding network in Australia has extremely low coverage.

scholarly journals Evaluating Observation Influence on Regional Water Budgets in Reanalyses

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (9) ◽  
pp. 3631-3649 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael G. Bosilovich ◽  
Jiun-Dar Chern ◽  
David Mocko ◽  
Franklin R. Robertson ◽  
Arlindo M. da Silva
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Physical Processes ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Water Budgets ◽  
Central United States ◽  
Anomalous Feature ◽  
Closed Water ◽  
Regional Water ◽  
Moisture Flux Divergence

Abstract The assimilation of observations in reanalyses incurs the potential for the physical terms of budgets to be balanced by a term relating the fit of the observations relative to a forecast first guess analysis. This may indicate a limitation in the physical processes of the background model or perhaps assimilating data from an inconsistent observing system. In the MERRA reanalysis, an area of long-term moisture flux divergence over land has been identified over the central United States. Here, the water vapor budget is evaluated in this region, taking advantage of two unique features of the MERRA diagnostic output: 1) a closed water budget that includes the analysis increment and 2) a gridded diagnostic output dataset of the assimilated observations and their innovations (e.g., forecast departures). In the central United States, an anomaly occurs where the analysis adds water to the region, while precipitation decreases and moisture flux divergence increases. This is related more to a change in the observing system than to a deficiency in the model physical processes. MERRA’s Gridded Innovations and Observations (GIO) data narrow the observations that influence this feature to the ATOVS and Aqua satellites during the 0600 and 1800 UTC analysis cycles, when radiosonde information is not prevalent. Observing system experiments further narrow the instruments that affect the anomalous feature to AMSU-A (mainly window channels) and Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS). This effort also shows the complexities of the observing system and the reactions of the regional water budgets in reanalyses to the assimilated observations.

scholarly journals Latent Heat Flux Profiles from Collocated Airborne Water Vapor and Wind Lidars during IHOP_2002

2007 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 627-639 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Kiemle ◽  
G. Ehret ◽  
A. Fix ◽  
M. Wirth ◽  
G. Poberaj ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Latent Heat ◽  
Latent Heat Flux ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Convective Boundary ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Wind Lidar

Abstract Latent heat flux profiles in the convective boundary layer (CBL) are obtained for the first time with the combination of the Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) water vapor differential absorption lidar (DIAL) and the NOAA high resolution Doppler wind lidar (HRDL). Both instruments were integrated nadir viewing on board the DLR Falcon research aircraft during the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) over the U.S. Southern Great Plains. Flux profiles from 300 to 2500 m AGL are computed from high spatial resolution (150 m horizontal and vertical) two-dimensional water vapor and vertical velocity lidar cross sections using the eddy covariance technique. Three flight segments on 7 June 2002 between 1000 and 1300 LT over western Oklahoma and southwestern Kansas are analyzed. On two segments with strong convection, the latent heat flux peaks at (700 ± 200) W m−2 in the entrainment zone and decreases linearly to (200 ± 100) W m−2 in the lower CBL. A water vapor budget analysis reveals that this flux divergence [(0.9 ± 0.4) g kg−1 h−1] plus the advection (0.3 g kg−1 h−1) are nearly balanced by substantial CBL drying [(1.5 ± 0.2) g kg−1 h−1] observed by airborne and surface in situ instruments, within the limits of the overall budget rms error of 0.5 g kg−1 h−1. Entrainment of dry air from aloft and net upward humidity transport caused the CBL drying and finally inhibited the initiation of deep convection. All cospectra show significant contributions to the flux between 1- and 10-km wavelength, with peaks between 2 and 6 km, originating from large eddies. The main flux uncertainty is due to low sampling (55% rmse at mid-CBL), while instrument noise (15%) and systematic errors (7%) play a minor role. The combination of a water vapor and a wind lidar on an aircraft appears as an attractive new tool that allows measuring latent heat flux profiles from a single overflight of the investigated area.

scholarly journals Ten Years of Measurements of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Water Vapor by MOZAIC. Part I: Climatology, Variability, Transport, and Relation to Deep Convection

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 418-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhengzhao Luo ◽  
Dieter Kley ◽  
Richard H. Johnson ◽  
Herman Smit
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Asian Monsoon ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Seasonal Migration ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Monsoon Region ◽  
Tropical Africa ◽  
Asian Monsoon Region ◽  
The Mean

Abstract Ten years (1994–2004) of measurements of tropical upper-tropospheric water vapor (UTWV) by the Measurement of Ozone and Water Vapor by Airbus In-Service Aircraft (MOZAIC) are investigated over three regions—the tropical Atlantic, tropical Africa, and the Asian monsoon region—to determine the UTWV climatology and variability on multiple scales and to understand them in relation to moisture transport and deep convection. The seasonal migration of upper-tropospheric humidity (UTH) keeps pace with that of the ITCZ, indicating the convective influence on UTH distribution. Some significant regional differences are identified with the tropical Africa and the Asian monsoon regions being moister than the tropical Atlantic. UTH generally increases with height by 10%–20% relative humidity with respect to ice (RHi) from about 300 to 200 hPa, and the differences are larger in the deep Tropics than in the subtropics. The probability density functions of tropical UTH are often bimodal. The two modes stay rather constant; differences in the mean value are largely due to the variations in the proportion of the two modes as opposed to changes in the modes themselves. In the deep Tropics, the moisture level frequently reaches ice supersaturation, the most notable case being the near-equatorial Asian monsoon region during the wet season when ice supersaturation is observed 46% of the time. Interannual variations are observed in association with the 1997–98 ENSO event. A warming of about 1–2 K is observed for all three regions equatorward of roughly 15°. Specific humidity also increases somewhat for the tropical Atlantic and tropical Africa, but the increase in temperature outweighs the increase in specific humidity such that RH decreases by 5%–15% RHi. In addition to the ENSO-related variation, MOZAIC also sees increases in both RH and specific humidity over tropical Africa from 2000 onward. Moisture fluxes are computed from MOZAIC data and decomposed into contributions from the mean circulation and from eddies. The flux divergence, which represents the moisture source/sink from horizontal transport, is also estimated. Finally, the MOZAIC climatology and variability are revisited in relation to deep convection obtained from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP).

scholarly journals Comparative study of atmospheric water vapor budget associated with precipitation in Central US and eastern Mediterranean

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 3-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Zangvil ◽  
P. J. Lamb ◽  
D. H. Portis ◽  
F. Jin ◽  
S. Malka
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Comparative Study ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Eastern Mediterranean ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Pronounced Difference ◽  
The Us ◽  
Water Vapor Budget

Abstract. Water vapor budget (WVB) analysis is a powerful tool for studying processes leading to precipitation (P), since the linkages among atmospheric dynamics, water vapor fields, surface conditions, and P are constrained by the moisture continuity equation. This paper compares WVB calculations over the US Midwest (MW), the US Southern Great Plains (SGP), and the eastern Mediterranean Sea (EM) during their seasons of maximum P. Despite the inter-regional differences in time of year, size of region, and surface characteristics, the WVBs over these regions have common features. First, the change in precipitable water (dPW) is highly correlated with the moisture flux divergence (MFD) and not evaporation (E), implying that atmospheric humidity is affected more by the large-scale atmospheric circulation than land-atmosphere interactions. Second, P is positively correlated with moisture inflow (IF/A). However, a pronounced difference exists between the North American and the Mediterranean study regions with respect to the processes associated with increased P. For the MW and the SGP, increased P is associated with moisture flux convergence (−MFD) due to increased IF/A. In contrast, increased P over the EM is not associated with −MFD, since both the outflow (OF/A) and IF/A increase at similar rates. Recycling ratio (R) estimates were calculated for each region using an equation previously developed. The moisture recycling methodology involves the externally advected versus locally evaporated contributions to P being expressed in terms of a "bulk" formulation in which IF/A and OF/A are defined at the boundaries of the study area. Due to its scale dependence, R cannot be directly compared among the different regions, and a normalization procedure was developed for this comparative study. Its results suggest the normalized R ranges between 12-25% for the study regions, with the value for the oceanic EM being somewhat larger than over the continental MW and SGP.

Hawaiian Regional Climate Variability during Two Types of El Niño

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (22) ◽  
pp. 9929-9943
Author(s):  
Bo-Yi Lu ◽  
Pao-Shin Chu ◽  
Sung-Hun Kim ◽  
Christina Karamperidou
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
The North ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
Moisture Flux Divergence

AbstractThe large-scale atmospheric circulation of the North Pacific associated with two types of El Niño—the eastern Pacific (EP) and central Pacific (CP)—is studied in relation to Hawaiian winter (December–February) rainfall and temperature. The eastern and central equatorial Pacific undergo active convective heating during EP El Niño winters. The local Hadley circulation is enhanced and an upper-level westerly jet stream of the North Pacific is elongated eastward. Due to the impact of both phenomena, stronger anomalous descending motion, moisture flux divergence anomalies near Hawaii, and reduction of easterly trade winds, which are characteristic of EP winters, are unfavorable for winter rainfall in Hawaii. As a result of this robust signal, dry conditions prevail in Hawaii and the standard deviation of rainfall during EP winters is smaller than the climatology. For CP winters, the maximum equatorial ocean warming is weaker and shifted westward to near the date line. The subtropical jet stream retreats westward relative to EP winters and the anomalously sinking motion near Hawaii is variable and generally weaker. Although the anomalous moisture flux divergence still exists over the subtropical North Pacific, its magnitude is weaker relative to EP winters. Without strong external forcing, rainfall in the Hawaiian Islands during CP winters is close to the long-term mean. The spread of rainfall from one CP event to another is also larger. The near-surface minimum temperature from three stations in Hawaii reveals cooling during EP winters and slight warming during CP winters.

scholarly journals Uncertainties in Estimating Moisture Fluxes over the Intra-Americas Sea

2005 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 696-709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto M. Mestas-Nuñez ◽  
Chidong Zhang ◽  
David B. Enfield
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Regional Analysis ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Accurate Estimate ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Vapor Source ◽  
Moisture Fluxes ◽  
Mathematical Algorithms ◽  
Global Reanalysis ◽  
Moisture Flux Divergence

Abstract This study estimates discrepancies in moisture flux divergence in the Intra-Americas Sea (IAS; including the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea) calculated using sounding observations, the NCEP Eta high-resolution regional analysis, and the NCEP–NCAR coarse-resolution global reanalysis. The main purpose of this exercise is to quantify the uncertainties in the global reanalysis when it is used to calculate annual and interannual variability of moisture flux divergence in the region. An accurate estimate of moisture flux divergence is crucial to evaluate whether the IAS serves as a water vapor source for rainfall over the adjacent land. Using the three datasets, the uncertainties of calculated moisture flux divergence due to the design of the boundary of the area, mathematical algorithms, and spatial and temporal resolutions are quantified. The results show that the large seasonal and interannual variability in moisture flux divergence estimated using the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis is not compromised by these uncertainties. Therefore, NCEP–NCAR reanalysis, with its global coverage and long-term record, can be used to provide the best estimate of short climate variability of moisture flux divergence available to date. Further comparisons are made of the moisture flux divergence based on the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis with previous estimates using single-year sounding observations, as well as with multiyear estimates based on global datasets of surface evaporation and precipitation. It is shown that the previous estimates using single-year sounding observations bear large uncertainties because of interannual variability. Large uncertainties also exist in datasets of surface global evaporation and precipitation.

A Methodology for the Regional-Scale-Decomposed Atmospheric Water Budget: Application to a Simulation of the Canadian Regional Climate Model Nested by NCEP–NCAR Reanalyses over North America

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (3) ◽  
pp. 854-873 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soline Bielli ◽  
René Laprise
Keyword(s):  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Moisture Flux Divergence

Abstract The purpose of this work is to study the added value of a regional climate model with respect to the global analyses used to drive the regional simulation, with a special emphasis on the nonlinear interactions between different spatial scales, focusing on the moisture flux divergence. The atmospheric water budget is used to apply the spatial-scale decomposition approach, as it is a key factor in the energetics of the climate. A Fourier analysis is performed individually for each field on pressure levels. Each field involved in the computation of moisture flux divergence is separated into three components that represent selected scale bands, using the discrete cosine transform. The divergence of the moisture flux is computed from the filtered fields. Instantaneous and monthly mean fields from a simulation performed with the Canadian Regional Climate Model are decomposed and allowed to separate the added value of the model to the total fields. Results show that the added value resides in the nonlinear interactions between large (greater than 1000 km) and small (smaller than 600 km) scales. The main small-scale forcing of the wind is topographic, whereas the humidity tends to show more small scales over the ocean. The time-mean divergence of moisture flux is also decomposed into contributions from stationary eddies and transient eddies. Both stationary and transient eddies are decomposed into different spatial scales and show very different patterns. The time-mean divergence due to transient eddies is dominated by large-scale (synoptic scale) features with little small scales. The divergence due to stationary eddies is a combination of small- and large-scale terms, and the main small-scale contribution occurs over the topography. The same decomposition has been applied to the NCEP–NCAR reanalyses used to drive the regional simulation; the results show that the model best reproduces the time-fluctuation component of the moisture flux divergence, with a correlation between the model simulation and the NCEP–NCAR reanalyses above 0.90.

scholarly journals Effect of the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool on Lower-Stratospheric Water Vapor and Comparison with the Effect of ENSO

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 929-943 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Xie ◽  
Xin Zhou ◽  
Jianping Li ◽  
Quanliang Chen ◽  
Jiankai Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Latent Heat Release ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Asymmetric Effects ◽  
Pacific Warm Pool ◽  
Tropopause Temperature

Abstract Time-slice experiments with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, version 4 (WACCM4), and composite analysis with satellite observations are used to demonstrate that the Indo-Pacific warm pool (IPWP) can significantly affect lower-stratospheric water vapor. It is found that a warmer IPWP significantly dries the stratospheric water vapor by causing a broad cooling of the tropopause, and vice versa for a colder IPWP. Such imprints in tropopause temperature are driven by a combination of variations in the Brewer–Dobson circulation in the stratosphere and deep convection in the troposphere. Changes in deep convection associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) reportedly have a small zonal mean effect on lower-stratospheric water vapor for strong zonally asymmetric effects on tropopause temperature. In contrast, IPWP events have zonally uniform imprints on tropopause temperature. This is because equatorial planetary waves forced by latent heat release from deep convection project strongly onto ENSO but weakly onto IPWP events.

scholarly journals A water vapor modulated aerosol impact on ice crystal size

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Zhao ◽  
Kuo-Nan Liou ◽  
Yu Gu ◽  
Jonathan H. Jiang ◽  
Qinbin Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Significant Negative Correlation ◽  
Formation Mechanisms ◽  
Strong Positive Correlation ◽  
Ice Crystal ◽  
Ice Clouds ◽  
Dry Conditions ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The interactions between aerosols and ice clouds represent one of the largest uncertainties in global radiative forcing from pre-industrial time to the present. In particular, the impact of aerosols on ice crystal effective radius (Rei), which is a key parameter determining ice clouds' net radiative effect, is highly uncertain due to limited and conflicting observational evidence. Here we investigate the effects of aerosols on Rei under different meteorological conditions using 9-year satellite observations. We find that the responses of Rei to aerosol loadings are modulated by water vapor amount in conjunction with several other meteorological parameters. While there is a significant negative correlation between Rei and aerosol loading in moist conditions, consistent with the Twomey effect for liquid clouds, a strong positive correlation between the two occurs in dry conditions. Simulations based on a cloud parcel model suggest that water vapor modulates the relative importance of different ice nucleation modes, leading to the opposite aerosol impacts between moist and dry conditions. When ice clouds are decomposed into those generated from deep convection and formed in-situ, the water vapor modulation remains in effect for both ice cloud types, although the sensitivities of Rei to aerosols differ noticeably between them due to distinct formation mechanisms. The water vapor modulation can largely explain the difference in the responses of Rei to aerosol loadings in various seasons. A proper representation of the water vapor modulation is essential for an accurate estimate of aerosol-cloud radiative forcing produced by ice clouds.

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