Atmospheric and Oceanic Origins of Tropical Precipitation Variability

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (9) ◽  
pp. 3197-3217 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie He ◽  
Clara Deser ◽  
Brian J. Soden
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Noise Spectrum ◽  
Precipitation Variability ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Tropical Precipitation ◽  
Summer Hemisphere

The intrinsic atmospheric and ocean-induced tropical precipitation variability is studied using millennial control simulations with various degrees of ocean coupling. A comparison between the coupled simulation and the atmosphere-only simulation with climatological sea surface temperatures (SSTs) shows that a substantial amount of tropical precipitation variability is generated without oceanic influence. This intrinsic atmospheric variability features a red noise spectrum from daily to monthly time scales and a white noise spectrum beyond the monthly time scale. The oceanic impact is inappreciable for submonthly time scales but important at interannual and longer time scales. For time scales longer than a year, it enhances precipitation variability throughout much of the tropical oceans and suppresses it in some subtropical areas, preferentially in the summer hemisphere. The sign of the ocean-induced precipitation variability can be inferred from the local precipitation–SST relationship, which largely reflects the local feedbacks between the two, although nonlocal forcing associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation also plays a role. The thermodynamic and dynamic nature of the ocean-induced precipitation variability is studied by comparing the fully coupled and slab ocean simulations. For time scales longer than a year, equatorial precipitation variability is almost entirely driven by ocean circulation, except in the Atlantic Ocean. In the rest of the tropics, ocean-induced precipitation variability is dominated by mixed layer thermodynamics. Additional analyses indicate that both dynamic and thermodynamic oceanic processes are important for establishing the leading modes of large-scale tropical precipitation variability. On the other hand, ocean dynamics likely dampens tropical Pacific variability at multidecadal time scales and beyond.

scholarly journals Influence of Oceanic Intraseasonal Kelvin Waves on Eastern Pacific Hurricane Activity

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (22) ◽  
pp. 7941-7955 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julien Boucharel ◽  
Fei-Fei Jin ◽  
Matthew H. England ◽  
Boris Dewitte ◽  
I. I. Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Eastern Pacific ◽  
Thermocline Depth ◽  
Ocean Reanalysis ◽  
Hurricane Activity

Abstract Recent studies have highlighted the role of subsurface ocean dynamics in modulating eastern Pacific (EPac) hurricane activity on interannual time scales. In particular, the well-known El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) recharge–discharge mechanism has been suggested to provide a good understanding of the year-to-year variability of hurricane activity in this region. This paper investigates the influence of equatorial subsurface subannual and intraseasonal oceanic variability on tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the EPac. That is to say, it examines previously unexplored time scales, shorter than interannual, in an attempt to explain the variability not related to ENSO. Using ocean reanalysis products and TC best-track archive, the role of subannual and intraseasonal equatorial Kelvin waves (EKW) in modulating hurricane intensity in the EPac is examined. It is shown first that these planetary waves have a clear control on the subannual and intraseasonal variability of thermocline depth in the EPac cyclone-active region. This is found to affect ocean subsurface temperature, which in turn fuels hurricane intensification with a marked seasonal-phase locking. This mechanism of TC fueling, which explains up to 30% of the variability of TC activity unrelated to ENSO (around 15%–20% of the total variability), is embedded in the large-scale equatorial dynamics and therefore offers some predictability with lead time up to 3–4 months at seasonal and subseasonal time scales.

scholarly journals Atmosphere–ocean dynamics in the Western Indian Ocean recorded in corals

2005 ◽  
Vol 363 (1826) ◽  
pp. 121-142 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Zinke ◽  
M. Pfeiffer ◽  
O. Timm ◽  
W.–C. Dullo ◽  
G. R. Davies
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Western Indian Ocean ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Climate Factors ◽  
Climate Modes

We present a set of Porites coral oxygen isotope records from the tropical and subtropical Western Indian Ocean covering the past 120–336 years. All records were thoroughly validated for proxy response to regional climate factors and their relation to large–scale climate modes. The records show markedly different imprints of regional climate factors. At the same time, all coral records show clear teleconnections between the Western Indian Ocean and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The multi–proxy site analysis enables the detection of the covariance structure between individual records and climate modes such as ENSO. This method unravels shifts in ENSO teleconnectivity of the Western and Central Indian Ocean on multi–decadal time–scales (after 1976). The Seychelles record shows a stationary correlation with ENSO, Chagos corals show evidence for non–stationary d 18 O/ENSO relationships and the Southwestern Indian Ocean corals show a strong relationship with ENSO when the forcing is strong (1880–1920, 1970 to present). Our results indicate that the coral δ 18 O, in combination with other proxies, can be used to monitor temporal and spatial variations in the sea–surface temperature and the fresh water balance within the Indian Ocean on interannual to interdecadal time–scales.

scholarly journals 100 Years of Progress in Ocean Observing Systems

2019 ◽  
Vol 59 ◽  
pp. 3.1-3.46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russ E. Davis ◽  
Lynne D. Talley ◽  
Dean Roemmich ◽  
W. Brechner Owens ◽  
Daniel L. Rudnick ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
World Ocean ◽  
Ocean Modeling ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Tropical Ocean ◽  
New Instrument ◽  
Observing Systems

Abstract The history of over 100 years of observing the ocean is reviewed. The evolution of particular classes of ocean measurements (e.g., shipboard hydrography, moorings, and drifting floats) are summarized along with some of the discoveries and dynamical understanding they made possible. By the 1970s, isolated and “expedition” observational approaches were evolving into experimental campaigns that covered large ocean areas and addressed multiscale phenomena using diverse instrumental suites and associated modeling and analysis teams. The Mid-Ocean Dynamics Experiment (MODE) addressed mesoscale “eddies” and their interaction with larger-scale currents using new ocean modeling and experiment design techniques and a suite of developing observational methods. Following MODE, new instrument networks were established to study processes that dominated ocean behavior in different regions. The Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere program gathered multiyear time series in the tropical Pacific to understand, and eventually predict, evolution of coupled ocean–atmosphere phenomena like El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) sought to quantify ocean transport throughout the global ocean using temperature, salinity, and other tracer measurements along with fewer direct velocity measurements with floats and moorings. Western and eastern boundary currents attracted comprehensive measurements, and various coastal regions, each with its unique scientific and societally important phenomena, became home to regional observing systems. Today, the trend toward networked observing arrays of many instrument types continues to be a productive way to understand and predict large-scale ocean phenomena.

scholarly journals Responses of groundwater to precipitation variability and ENSO in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Phong V. V. Le ◽  
Hai V. Pham ◽  
Luyen K. Bui ◽  
Anh N. Tran ◽  
Chien V. Pham ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
Groundwater Level ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Mekong Delta ◽  
Precipitation Variability ◽  
Annual Precipitation ◽  
Aquifer Recharge ◽  
Deep Aquifers

Abstract Groundwater is a critical component of water resources and has become the primary water supply for agricultural and domestic uses in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD). Widespread groundwater level declines have occurred in the VMD over recent decades, reflecting that extraction rates exceed aquifer recharge in the region. However, the impacts of climate variability on groundwater system dynamics in the VMD remain poorly understood. Here, we explore recent changes in groundwater levels in shallow and deep aquifers from observed wells in the VMD and investigate their relations to the annual precipitation variability and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). We show that groundwater level responds to changes in annual precipitation at time scales of approximately 1 year. Moreover, shallow (deep) groundwater in the VMD appears to correlate with the ENSO over intra-annual (inter-annual) time scales. Our findings reveal a critical linkage between groundwater level changes and climate variability, suggesting the need to develop an understanding of the impacts of climate variability across time scales on water resources in the VMD.

scholarly journals Structure of ocean circulation between the Galápagos Islands and Ecuador

2013 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
pp. 3-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Collins ◽  
A. Mascarenhas ◽  
R. Martinez
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Galapagos Islands ◽  
Surface Flow ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Coastal Current ◽  
Galápagos Islands

Abstract. From 27 March to 5 April 2009, upper ocean velocities between the Galápagos Islands and Ecuador were measured using a vessel mounted ADCP. A region of possible strong cross-hemisphere exchange was observed immediately to the east of the Galápagos, where a shallow (200 m) 300 km wide northeastward surface flow transported 7–11 Sv. Underlying this strong northeastward surface current, a southward flowing undercurrent was observed which was at least 600 m thick, 100 km wide, and had an observed transport of 7–8 Sv. Next to the Ecuador coast, the shallow (< 200 m) Ecuador Coastal Current was observed to extend offshore 100 km with strongest flow, 0.33 m s−1, near the surface. Immediately to the west of the Ecuador Coastal Current, flow was directed eastward and southward into the beginnings of the Peru-Chile Countercurrent. The integral of the surface currents between the Galápagos and Ecuador agreed well with observed sea level differences. Although the correlation of the sea level differences with large scale climate indices (Niño3 and the Southern Oscillation Index) was significant, more than half of the sea level variability was not explained. Seasonal variability of the sea level difference indicated that sea level was 2 cm higher at the Galápagos during late winter and early spring, which could be associated with the pattern of northward surface flows observed by R/V Knorr.

The Role of Oceanic Feedback in the Climate Response to Doubling CO2

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (21) ◽  
pp. 7544-7563 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Lu ◽  
Bin Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Climate Response ◽  
Tropical Precipitation ◽  
Fluctuation Dissipation ◽  
Wes Feedback ◽  
Partial Coupling

Two suites of partial coupling experiments are devised with the upper-ocean dynamics version (UOM) of the CCSM3 to isolate the effects of the feedbacks from the change of the wind-driven ocean circulation and air–sea heat flux in the global climate response to the forcing of doubling CO2. The partial coupling is achieved by implementing a so-called overriding technique, which helps quantitatively partition the total response in the fully coupled model to the feedback component in question and the response to external forcing in the absence of the former. By overriding the wind stress seen by the ocean and the wind speed through the bulk formula for evaporation, the experiments help to reveal that (i) the wind–evaporation–SST (WES) feedback is the main formation mechanism for the tropical SST pattern under the CO2 forcing, verifying the hypothesis proposed by Xie et al.; (ii) the weakened tropical Pacific wind is shown in this UOM model not to be the cause for the enhanced equatorial Pacific warming, as one might expect from the thermocline and Bjerknes feedbacks; (iii) WES is also the leading mechanism for shaping the tropical precipitation response in the ocean; and (iv) both the wind-driven ocean dynamical feedback and the WES feedback act to increase the persistence of the southern annular mode (SAM) and the increased time scale of the SAM due to these feedbacks manifests itself in the response of the jet shift to an identical CO2 forcing, in a manner conforming to the fluctuation–dissipation theorem.

scholarly journals Detecting and Tracking Coastal Precipitation in the Tropics: Methods and Insights into Multiscale Variability of Tropical Precipitation

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (15) ◽  
pp. 6689-6705
Author(s):  
David Coppin ◽  
Gilles Bellon ◽  
Alexander Pletzer ◽  
Chris Scott
Keyword(s):  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Madden Julian Oscillation ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
Total Rainfall ◽  
Tropical Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Estimates ◽  
Summer Hemisphere ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
Climate Prediction Center

AbstractWe propose an algorithm to detect and track coastal precipitation systems and we apply it to 18 years of the high-resolution (8 km and 30 min) Climate Prediction Center CMORPH precipitation estimates in the tropics. Coastal precipitation in the Maritime Continent and Central America contributes to up to 80% of the total rainfall. It also contributes strongly to the diurnal cycle over land with the largest contribution from systems lasting between 6 and 12 h and contributions from longer-lived systems peaking later in the day. While the diurnal cycle of coastal precipitation is more intense over land in the summer hemisphere, its timing is independent of seasons over both land and ocean because the relative contributions from systems of different lifespans are insensitive to the seasonal cycle. We investigate the hypothesis that coastal precipitation is enhanced prior to the arrival of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) envelope over the Maritime Continent. Our results support this hypothesis and show that, when considering only coastal precipitation, the diurnal cycle appears reinforced even earlier over islands than previously reported. We discuss the respective roles of coastal and large-scale precipitation in the propagation of the MJO over the Maritime Continent. We also document a shift in diurnal cycle with the phases of the MJO, which results from changes in the relative contributions of short-lived versus long-lived coastal systems.

scholarly journals The Middle Miocene climate as modelled in an atmosphere-ocean-biosphere model

2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 1169-1188 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Krapp ◽  
J. H. Jungclaus
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Middle Miocene ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Co2 Levels ◽  
Water Vapour Feedback ◽  
Fossil Records ◽  
Biosphere Model

Abstract. We present simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean-biosphere model for the Middle Miocene 15 million years ago. The model is insofar more consistent than previous models because it captures the essential interactions between ocean and atmosphere and between atmosphere and vegetation. The Middle Miocene topography, which alters both large-scale ocean and atmospheric circulations, causes a global warming of 0.7 K compared to present day. Higher than present-day CO2 levels of 480 and 720 ppm cause a global warming of 2.8 and 4.9 K. The associated water vapour feedback enhances the greenhouse effect which leads to a polar amplification of the warming. These results suggest that higher than present-day CO2 levels are necessary to drive the warm Middle Miocene climate, also because the dynamic vegetation model simulates a denser vegetation which is in line with fossil records. However, we do not find a flatter than present-day equator-to-pole temperature gradient as has been suggested by marine and terrestrial proxies. Instead, a compensation between atmospheric and ocean heat transport counteracts the flattening of the temperature gradient. The acclaimed role of the large-scale ocean circulation in redistributing heat cannot be supported by our results. Including full ocean dynamics, therefore, does not solve the problem of the flat temperature gradient during the Middle Miocene.

scholarly journals Simulation of the Arctic—North Atlantic Ocean Circulation with a Two-Equation K-Omega Turbulence Parameterization

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey Moshonkin ◽  
Vladimir Zalesny ◽  
Anatoly Gusev
Keyword(s):  
Prandtl Number ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Dynamics Simulation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Buoyancy Frequency ◽  
Physical Factors

The results of large-scale ocean dynamics simulation taking into account the parameterization of vertical turbulent exchange are considered. Numerical experiments were carried out using k − ω turbulence model embedded to the Institute of Numerical Mathematics Ocean general circulation Model (INMOM). Both the circulation and turbulence models are solved using the splitting method with respect to physical processes. We split k − ω equations into the two stages describing transport-diffusion and generation-dissipation processes. At the generation-dissipation stage, the equation for ω does not depend on k. It allows us to solve both turbulence equations analytically that ensure high computational efficiency. The coupled model is used to simulate the hydrophysical fields of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans for 1948–2009. The model has a horizontal resolution of 0.25 ∘ and 40 σ -levels along the vertical. The numerical results show the model’s satisfactory performance in simulating large-scale ocean circulation and upper layer dynamics. The sensitivity of the solution to the change in the coefficients entering into the analytical solution of the k − ω model which describe the influence of some physical factors is studied. These factors are the climatic annual mean buoyancy frequency (AMBF) and Prandtl number as a function of the Richardson number. The experiments demonstrate that taking into account the AMBF improves the reproduction of large-scale ocean characteristics. Prandtl number variations improve the upper mixed layer depth simulation.

scholarly journals The Role of Ocean Dynamics in the Interaction between the Atlantic Meridional and Equatorial Modes

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (10) ◽  
pp. 3583-3598 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jieshun Zhu ◽  
Bohua Huang ◽  
Zhaohua Wu
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Transition Process ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Equatorial Atlantic ◽  
Meridional Mode

Abstract This study examines a mechanism of the interaction between the tropical Atlantic meridional and equatorial modes. To derive robust heat content (HC) variability, the ensemble-mean HC anomalies (HCA) of six state-of-the-art global ocean reanalyses for 1979–2007 are analyzed. Compared with previous studies, characteristic oceanic processes are distinguished through their dominant time scales. Using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method, the HC fields are first decomposed into components with different time scales. The authors’ analysis shows that these components are associated with distinctive ocean dynamics. The high-frequency (first three) components can be characterized as the equatorial modes, whereas the low-frequency (the fifth and sixth) components are featured as the meridional modes. In between, the fourth component on the time scale of 3–4 yr demonstrates “mixed” characteristics of the meridional and equatorial modes because of an active transition from the predominant meridional to zonal structures on this time scale. Physically, this transition process is initiated by the discharge of the off-equatorial HCA, which is first accumulated as a part of the meridional mode, into the equatorial waveguide, which is triggered by the breakdown of the equilibrium between the cross-equatorial HC contrast and the overlying wind forcing, and results in a major heat transport through the equatorial waveguide into the southeastern tropical Atlantic. It is also shown that remote forcing from El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exerts important influence on the transition from the equatorial to meridional mode and may partly dictate its time scale of 3–4 yr. Therefore, the authors’ results demonstrate another mechanism of the equatorial Atlantic response to the ENSO forcing.

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