Predicting Reintubation After Unplanned Extubations in Children: Art or Science?

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
pp. 467-474
Author(s):  
Paulo Sérgio Lucas da Silva ◽  
Maria Eunice Reis ◽  
Thais Suelotto Machado Fonseca ◽  
Marcelo Cunio Machado Fonseca

Purpose: Reintubation following unplanned extubation (UE) is often required and associated with increased morbidity; however, knowledge of risk factors leading to reintubation and subsequent outcomes in children is still lacking. We sought to determine the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes related to reintubation after UEs. Methods: All mechanically ventilated children were prospectively tracked for UEs over a 7-year period in a pediatric intensive care unit. For each UE event, data associated with reintubation within 24 hours and outcomes were collected. Results: Of 757 intubated patients, 87 UE occurred out of 11 335 intubation days (0.76 UE/100 intubation days), with 57 (65%) requiring reintubation. Most of the UEs that did not require reintubation were already weaning ventilator settings prior to UE (73%). Univariate analysis showed that younger children (<1 year) required reintubation more frequently after an UE. Patients experiencing UE during weaning experienced significantly fewer reintubations, whereas 90% of patients with full mechanical ventilation support required reintubation. Logistic regression revealed that requirement of full ventilator support (odds ratio: 37.5) and a COMFORT score <26 (odds ratio: 5.5) were associated with UE failure. There were no differences between reintubated and nonreintubated patients regarding the length of hospital stay, ventilator-associated pneumonia rate, need for tracheostomy, and mortality. Cardiovascular and respiratory complications were seen in 33% of the reintubations. Conclusion: The rate of reintubation is high in children experiencing UE. Requirement of full ventilator support and a COMFORT score <26 are associated with reintubation. Prospective research is required to better understand the reintubation decisions and needs.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yin-Hong Geng ◽  
Zhe Zhang ◽  
Jun-Jun Zhang ◽  
Bo Huang ◽  
Zui-Shuang Guo ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective. To construct a novel nomogram model that predicts the risk of hyperuricemia incidence in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) . Methods. Demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of 1184 IgAN patients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University Hospital were collected. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were used to screen out hyperuricemia risk factors. The risk factors were used to establish a predictive nomogram model. The performance of the nomogram model was evaluated using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and a decision curve analysis. Results. Independent predictors for hyperuricemia incidence risk included sex, hypoalbuminemia, hypertriglyceridemia, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), 24-hour urinaryprotein (24h TP), Gross and tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T). The nomogram model exhibited moderate prediction ability with an AUC of 0.834 ((95% CI 0.804–0.864)). The AUC from validation reached 0.787 (95% CI 0.736-0.839). The decision curve analysis displayed that the hyperuricemia risk nomogram was clinically applicable.Conclusion. Our novel and simple nomogram containing 8 factors may be useful in predicting hyperuricemia incidence risk in IgAN.


2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (9) ◽  
pp. 526-529 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheetal Gupta ◽  
Ghanshyam Sengar ◽  
Praveen K. Meti ◽  
Anil Lahoti ◽  
Mukesh Beniwal ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (5) ◽  
pp. 161
Author(s):  
Janet N. Ajuluchukwu ◽  
Emmanuel N. Anyika ◽  
Christiana A. Boyle

Background: In a malaria-holoendemic region, concurrent malaria complicating heart failure (HF) occurs; with higher morbidity and increased adverse drug-drug interactions. Aim: To characterise malaria treatment and risk factors of cardio-toxicity among HF patients. Objectives: To characterise the use of anti-malaria agents (AMA), compare risk factors of torsades de pointes (TdP) amongst AMA-users and non-users, and to assess length of hospital stay. Methods: Admitted HF patients were retrospectively studied, and grouped on the basis of malaria treatment. TdP risk factors- advanced age, bradycardia, hypokalemia, and QTc prolongation were compared in the two groups. Results: The 160 HF patients (mean ejection fraction 39.6% ± 12.6%, mean age 54.9 ± 14.6 years) included 82 males (51.3%), with predominant non-ischemic HF. Malaria treatment occurred in 32.5% (52), though diagnosis was presumptive in 48 (92.3%). All (100%) malaria prescriptions were artemisinin-based, but monotherapeutic in 6 (11.4%). Partner-drugs included sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) 26 (50%), and lumefantrine 7 (13.5%). TdP risk-factors of age 65 years, prolonged QTc, hypokalemia, and bradycardia occurred in 43 (26.9%), 63 (39.4%), 48 (30%), and 8 (5.0%) respectively. Group 1 (AMA treated) and group 2 patients were comparable on all mean values of risk factors. Nevertheless, affected proportions were significantly different for hypokalemia (X2 = 6.1), QTc prolongation (48.1% versus 35.2%, p < .05), and older age (38.5% versus, 21.3%, p < .05%). Conclusion: Though all HF patients similarly demonstrated risks of TdP, univariate analysis indicates a significantly higher proportion in malaria-treated patients; supporting further therapeutic caution in this patient subset.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Hassanian-Moghaddam, MD, FACMT ◽  
Masumeh Hakiminejhad, MD ◽  
Fariba Farnaghi, MD ◽  
Amirhossein Mirafzal, MD ◽  
Nasim Zamani, MD ◽  
...  

Objectives: Methadone can be fatal due to respiratory failure even in little doses. This study aimed to evaluate the possible risk factors of death and/or intubation in methadone-poisoned children of 12 years or younger. Design: Retrospective routine database study.Setting: The only tertiary hospital for children poisoning in Tehran.Patients: Four hundred fifty-three methadone-poisoned patients aged 12 or younger were studied between 2001 and 2012.Main Outcome Measures: In-hospital mortality and intubation/mechanical ventilation.Results: Of a total of 475 children included, 22 were excluded due to coingestion of other drugs. Three (0.66 percent) expired and 12 (2.65 percent) were intubated during the course of hospital stay. Intubation (p < 0.001), fever (T axillary ≥ 37.5 °C, p = 0.01), being unresponsive at presentation (p = 0.02), tachycardia (p = 0.01), acidosis (p = 0.03), leukocytosis (p = 0.02), and longer hospital stay (p = 0.01) associated with death. Mortality (p < 0.001), fever (p = 0.004), aspartate aminotransferase (AST; p = 0.006), alanine transaminase (p = 0.04), creatinine (p = 0.005), corrected QT (QTc) interval in triage electrocardiogram (p = 0.02), and longer hospital stay (p = 0.005) associated with intubation in univariate analysis. However, after running regression analysis, only fever, QTc ≥ 480 ms, tachycardia, and AST independently associated with intubation and death. Axillary T ≥ 37.45 °C with an accuracy of 91.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 88.8-94.2) and odds ratio of 9.3 (95% CI 2.5-34.9) predicted intubation, and T ≥ 37.75 with an accuracy of 96.0 (95% CI 93.5-97.5) and odds ratio of 47.4 (95% CI 4.1-550.1) predicted death. Conclusion: A methadone-poisoned child presenting with tachycardia, fever, abnormal AST, or an initial prolonged QTc interval should be managed with great caution.


Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 2313-2313
Author(s):  
Minh Q Tran ◽  
Steven L Shein ◽  
Hong Li ◽  
Sanjay P Ahuja

Abstract Introduction: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) in Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) patients is associated with central venous catheter (CVC) use. However, risk factors for VTE development in PICU patients with CVCs are not well established. The impact of Hospital-Acquired VTE in the PICU on clinical outcomes needs to be studied in large multicenter databases to identify subjects that may benefit from screening and/or prophylaxis. Method: With IRB approval, the Virtual Pediatric Systems, LLC database was interrogated for children < 18yo admitted between 01/2009-09/2014 who had PICU length of stay (LOS) <1 yr and a CVC present at some point during PICU care. The exact timing of VTE diagnosis was unavailable in the database, so VTE-PICU was defined as an "active" VTE that was not "present at admission". VTE-prior was defined as a VTE that was "resolved," "ongoing" or "present on admission." Variables extracted from the database included demographics, primary diagnosis category, and Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM2) score. PICU LOS was divided into quintiles. Chi squared and Wilcoxon rank-sum were used to identify variables associated with outcomes, which were then included in multivariate models. Our primary outcome was diagnosis of VTE-PICU and our secondary outcome was PICU mortality. Children with VTE-prior were included in the mortality analyses, but not the VTE-PICU analyses. Data shown as median (IQR) and OR (95% CI). Results: Among 143,524 subjects, the median age was 2.8 (0.47-10.31) years and 55% were male. Almost half (44%) of the subjects were post-operative. The median PIM2 score was -4.11. VTE-prior was observed in 2498 patients (1.78%) and VTE-PICU in 1741 (1.2%). The incidence of VTE-PICU were 852 (1.7%) in patients ≤ 1 year old, 560 (0.9%) in patients 1-12 years old, and 303 (1.1%) in patients ≥ 13 years old (p < 0.0001). In univariate analysis, variables associated with a diagnosis of VTE-PICU were post-operative state, four LOS quintiles (3-7, 7-14, and 14-21 and >21 days) and several primary diagnosis categories: cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, infectious, neurologic, oncologic, genetic, and orthopedic. Multivariate analysis showed increased risk of VTE with cardiovascular diagnosis, infectious disease diagnosis, and LOS > 3 d (Table 1). The odds increased with increasing LOS: 7 d < LOS ≤ 14 d (5.18 [4.27-6.29]), 14 d < LOS ≤ 21 d (7.96 [6.43-9.82]), and LOS > 21 d (20.73 [17.29-24.87]). Mortality rates were 7.1% (VTE-none), 7.2% (VTE-prior), and 10.1% (VTE-PICU) (p < 0.0001). In the multivariate model, VTE-PICU (1.25 [1.05-1.49]) and VTE-prior (1.18 [1.002-1.39]) were associated with death vs. VTE-none. PIM2 score, trauma, and several primary diagnosis categories were also independently associated with death (Table 2). Conclusion: This large, multicenter database study identified several variables that are independently associated with diagnosis of VTE during PICU care of critically ill children with a CVC. Children with primary cardiovascular or infectious diseases, and those with PICU LOS >3 days may represent specific populations that may benefit from VTE screening and/or prophylaxis. Hospital-Acquired VTE in PICU was independently associated with death in our database. Additional analysis of this database, including adding specific diagnoses and secondary diagnoses, may further refine risk factors for Hospital-Acquired VTE among PICU patients with a CVC. Table 1. Multivariate analysis of Factors Associated with VTE-PICU. Factors Odds Ratio 95% Confidence Interval 3d < LOS ≤ 7d vs LOS ≤ 3d 2.19 1.78-2.69 7d < LOS ≤ 14d vs LOS ≤ 3d 5.18 4.27-6.29 14d < LOS ≤ 21d vs LOS ≤ 3d 7.95 6.44-9.82 LOS > 21d vs LOS ≤ 3d 20.73 17.29-24.87 Age 1.00 0.99-1.01 Post-operative 0.89 0.80-0.99 PIM2 Score 1.47 1.01-1.07 Primary Diagnosis: Cardiovascular 1.50 1.31-1.64 Primary Diagnosis: Infectious 1.50 1.27-1.77 Primary Diagnosis: Genetics 0.32 0.13-0.78 Table 2. Multivariate Analysis of Factors Associated with PICU Mortality. Factors Odds Ratio 95% ConfidenceInterval VTE-prior 1.18 1.00-1.39 VTE-PICU 1.25 1.05-1.49 PIM2 Score 2.08 2.05-2.11 Trauma 1.92 1.77-2.07 Post-operative 0.45 0.42-0.47 Primary Diagnosis: Genetic 2.07 1.63-2.63 Primary Diagnosis: Immunologic 2.45 1.51-3.95 Primary Diagnosis: Hematologic 1.63 1.30-2.06 Primary Diagnosis: Metabolic 0.71 0.58-0.87 Primary Diagnosis: Infectious 1.47 1.36-1.59 Primary Diagnosis: Neurologic 1.37 1.27-1.47 Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2007 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 299-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth E. Foglia ◽  
Victoria J. Fraser ◽  
Alexis M. Elward

Objective.To determine the prevalence, risk factors, and outcomes of nosocomial infection due to antimicrobial resistant bacteria in patients treated in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU).Design.Nested case-cohort study. Patient data were collected prospectively, and antimicrobial susceptibility data were abstracted retrospectively.Setting.A large pediatric teaching hospital.Patients.All PICU patients admitted from September 1, 1999, to September 1, 2001, unless they died within 24 hours after PICU admission, were 18 years old or older, or were neonatal intensive care unit patients receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.Results.A total of 135 patients with more than 1 nosocomial bacterial infection were analyzed; 52% were male, 75% were white, the mean Pediatric Risk of Mortality score was 10.5, and the mean age was 3.5 years. Of these patients, 37 (27%) had nosocomial infections due to antibiotic-resistant organisms. In univariate analysis, transplantation (odds ratio [OR], 2.83 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05-7.66]) and preexisting lung disease (OR, 2.63 [95% CI, 1.18-5.88]) were associated with nosocomial infections due to antibiotic-resistant organisms. Age, Pediatric Risk of Mortality score at admission, length of hospital stay before infection, and other underlying conditions were not associated with infections due to antibiotic-resistant organisms. Patients infected with antibiotic-resistant organisms had greater mean PICU lengths of stay after infection, compared with patients infected with antibiotic-susceptible organisms (22.9 vs 12.8 days;P= .004), and higher crude mortality rates (OR, 2.40 [95% CI, 1.03-5.61]).Conclusions.Identifiable risk factors exist for nosocomial infections due to antibiotic-resistant organisms. In univariate analysis, infections due to antibiotic-resistant bacteria are associated with increased length of stay in the PICU after onset of infection and increased mortality.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 950-956
Author(s):  
Thiago Silva Da Costa ◽  
Paulo José De Medeiros ◽  
Mauro José Costa Salles

Introduction: Surgical site infection (SSI) following hydrocelectomy is relatively uncommon, but it is one of the main post-operative problems. We aimed to describe the prevalence of SSI following hydrocelectomy among adult patients, and to assess predisposing risk factors for infection. Methodology: This retrospective cohort study was carried out at a university hospital and included hydrocelectomies performed between January 2007 and December 2014. Diagnosis of SSI was performed according to the Center for Diseases Control (CDC) guidelines. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors. Results: A total of 196 patients were included in the analysis. Overall, 30 patients were diagnosed with SSI (15.3%) and of these, 63.3% (19/30) were classified as having superficial SSI, while 36.7% (11/30) had deep SSI. The main signs and symptoms of infection were the presence of surgical wound secretion (70%) and inflammatory superficial signs such as hyperemia, edema and pain (60%). Among the 53 patients presenting chronic smoking habits, 26.4% (14⁄53) developed SSI, which was associated with a higher risk for SSI (odds ratio [OR] = 2.84, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.27 to 6.35, p < 0.01) in the univariate analysis. In the adjusted multivariable analysis, smoking habits were also statistically associated with SSI after hydrocelectomy (odds ratio [OR] = 2.84, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.30 to 6.24, p = 0.01). No pre-, intra-, or post-operative variable analyzed showed an independent association to SSI following hydrocelectomy. Conclusions: Smoking was the only independent modifiable risk factor for SSI in the multivariate analysis.


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