Stalking Recidivism: A Comparison of Operational Definitions

2020 ◽  
pp. 088626052097585
Author(s):  
Martyna Bendlin ◽  
Lorraine Sheridan ◽  
Andrew Johnson

The criminal offense of stalking is somewhat different to other offenses due to the repetitive, innocuous, and often multifaceted nature of the crime. Given that stalking constitutes a number of different behaviors, such as violence and threats, research on stalking recidivism becomes difficult as recidivism can be defined in a number of ways. This study utilized a dataset of Western Australia Police Force incident reports, comprising a sample of 404 stalking offenders. Survival curves and a binomial logistic regression were used to determine time to recidivism and predictors of recidivism, using four different definitions of recidivism. Predictor variables included age of the offender, prior history of criminal charges, and offender ethnicity. The four definitions ranged from narrow (a new stalking charge) to broad (any new criminal charge). The results of the study show that stalkers reoffend quickly, however our understanding of how fast and which offender characteristics predict recidivism, is dependent on how we define recidivism. This highlights the importance of considering how stalking recidivism is defined in future works and may explain current differences in stalking recidivism findings.

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 250-257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiann-Der Lee ◽  
Ya-Han Hu ◽  
Meng Lee ◽  
Yen-Chu Huang ◽  
Ya-Wen Kuo ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Recurrent ischemic strokes increase the risk of disability and mortality. The role of conventional risk factors in recurrent strokes may change due to increased awareness of prevention strategies. The aim of this study was to explore the potential risk factors besides conventional ones which may help to affect the advances in future preventive concepts associated with one-year stroke recurrence (OSR). Methods: We analyzed 6,632 adult patients with ischemic stroke. Differences in clinical characteristics between patients with and without OSR were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression and classification and regression tree (CART) analyses. Results: Among the study population, 525 patients (7.9%) had OSR. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that male sex (OR 1.243, 95% CI 1.025 – 1.506), age (OR 1.015, 95% CI 1.007 - 1.023), and a prior history of ischemic stroke (OR 1.331, 95% CI 1.096 – 1.615) were major factors associated with OSR. CART analysis further identified age and a prior history of ischemic stroke were important factors for OSR when classified the patients into three subgroups (with risks of OSR of 8.8%, 3.8%, and 12.5% for patients aged > 57.5 years, ≤ 57.5 years/with no prior history of ischemic stroke, and ≤ 57.5 years/with a prior history of ischemic stroke, respectively). Conclusions: Male sex, age, and a prior history of ischemic stroke could increase the risk of OSR by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and CART analysis further demonstrated that patients with a younger age (≤ 57.5 years) and a prior history of ischemic stroke had the highest risk of OSR.


BMC Surgery ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Reem M. Elsaid ◽  
Ashraqat S. Namrouti ◽  
Ahmad M. Samara ◽  
Wael Sadaqa ◽  
Sa’ed H. Zyoud

Abstract Background Postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV) and postoperative pain (POP) are most commonly experienced in the early hours after surgery. Many studies have reported high rates of PONV and POP, and have identified factors that could predict the development of these complications. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between PONV and POP, and to identify some factors associated with these symptoms. Methods This was a prospective, multicentre, observational study performed at An-Najah National University Hospital and Rafidia Governmental Hospital, the major surgical hospitals in northern Palestine, from October 2019 to February 2020. A data collection form, adapted from multiple previous studies, was used to evaluate factors associated with PONV and POP in patients undergoing elective surgery. Patients were interviewed during the first 24 h following surgery. Multiple binary logistic regression was applied to determine factors that were significantly associated with the occurrence of PONV. Results Of the 211 patients included, nausea occurred in 43.1%, vomiting in 17.5%, and PONV in 45.5%. Multiple binary logistic regression analysis, using PONV as a dependent variable, showed that only patients with a history of PONV [odds ratio (OR) = 2.28; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.03–5.01; p = 0.041] and POP (OR = 2.41; 95% CI = 1.17–4.97; p = 0.018) were significantly associated with the occurrence of PONV. Most participants (74.4%) reported experiencing pain at some point during the first 24 h following surgery. Additionally, the type and duration of surgery were significantly associated with POP (p-values were 0.002 and 0.006, respectively). Conclusions PONV and POP are common complications in our surgical patients. Factors associated with PONV include a prior history of PONV and POP. Patients at risk should be identified, the proper formulation of PONV protocols should be considered, and appropriate management plans should be implemented to improve patients’ outcomes.


2001 ◽  
Vol 05 (04) ◽  
pp. 261-267 ◽  
Author(s):  
BOHUA CHEN ◽  
STEVE LAVENDER ◽  
GUNNAR B. J. ANDERSSON

This paper aims to estimate the prevalence rates of MRI change in LBP out-patients and to determine the relationship between abnormalities in an MRI and personal and occupational factors. The MRI records were obtained from 200 out-patients with LBP (114 males and 86 females) who received a diagnostic MRI at St. Luke's Medical Center. The mean and standard deviation of this sample's age were 43.8 years and 14.8 years, respectively. Based on the MRI, each lumbar disc was scored as normal or degenerated. Bulging and herniated were also recorded. Each patient completed a short questionnaire that included the measures of height, weight, age, and present occupation and any history of "heavy manual labor". Occupations were grouped into white collar sedentary, white collar professional, blue collar exposed to prolonged sitting and vibration, blue collar exposed to heavy, unemployed or retired, and homemaker. Chi-square tests were used to determine the statistical significance of these trends. A multiple logistic regression was used to develop a predictive model of spine pathology based on a subject's individual characteristics and occupational classification. Normal discs were found in 26% of the patients and degenerated discs in 47.5%. There were bulging/herniated disks in 26.5%. In men who were younger than 29 years, 50% had herniated disks, and 50% were normal. Three fourth of the women in the same age group showed normal discs. Forty-three percent of the subjects reported a history of performing heavy labor. Using the logistic regression model there were two variables predictive of observable MRI pathology: age and prior history of heavy labor. The analysis indicated that an older individual who had a history and heavy labor was more likely to show one or more pathological model discs in an MRI scan.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tord Finne Vedoy ◽  
Karl Erik Lund

Abstract Background Similar to the debate around e-cigarettes, an increase in snus use among Norwegian adolescents has prompted debate on whether flavour options in snus should be limited. To this end, we compared use of flavoured snus among snus users with different smoking status. Methods Questions about flavoured snus use were included in an online omnibus study conducted from 2015 to 2019 (N = 65,445) that included 16,295 ever snus users (aged 15+). Current snus users (N = 9783) were asked “Do you usually use snus that has a flavouring (liquorice, mint, wintergreen, etc.)? Adjusted predicted probabilities and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated from a logistic regression model. Results Less than 25% of the snus users reported never having smoked. The overall probability of using flavoured snus was .45 (95% CI .44–.46), highest among daily (.51, 95% CI .47–.54) and former daily smokers (.50, 95% CI .48–.52), and lowest among never (.41, 95% CI .39–.43) and occasional smokers without any prior history of daily smoking (.41, 95% CI .38–.44). Use of flavoured products was higher among female snus users (p = .67, 95% CI .65–.69) compared to males (p = .35, 95% CI .34–.36), highest among the youngest age group, 15–24 years (p = .58, 95% CI .56–.60) and decreased with increasing age. Conclusion Regulation that would ban or limit flavoured snus use may affect smokers—an at risk population—more than never smokers. The health authorities should be mindful of the real-world complexity governing potential harms and benefits of flavour restrictions on snus. A further assessment of flavour limitations should acknowledge that flavoured snus products also function as alternatives to cigarettes.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 495-495
Author(s):  
Shivani Handa ◽  
Michelle Sterpi ◽  
David Frankel ◽  
Katherine A. Hawkins ◽  
Etta B. Frankel

Abstract Introduction Factor XI deficiency (FXI) is an autosomally inherited injury-related bleeding disorder. Although relatively rare worldwide, it is common amongst Ashkenazi and Iraqi Jewish ancestry with a heterozygosity rate as high as 8 to 9%. FXI deficiency does not provoke spontaneous bleeding; however, it predisposes to a potential risk of life-threatening bleeding at childbirth or surgery. Unfortunately, data regarding obstetrical and perioperative management of this condition is scarce, with less than 500 cases reviewed in the last 20 years. Therefore, this study aimed to expand this database and identify factors associated with increased bleeding risk. Methods We performed a retrospective chart review of patients (pts) with FXI deficiency who underwent childbirth or other surgical procedures between August 2011 to April 2021 within the Mount Sinai Health System in New York City. Data on age, sex, ethnicity, genotype, family or personal history of bleeding, type of anesthesia, estimated blood loss, peri-procedural bleeding complication, and type and timing of blood product or hemostatic agent administered in the peri-operative period were collected. Prior history of bleeding was defined as 1 or more of the following: easy bruisability, epistaxis, heavy menstrual bleeding, bleeding related to dental, surgical or obstetrical procedure. The paired t-test was used to compare the initial and subsequent FXI levels measured during pregnancy. We performed logistic regression to test the association between historical, laboratory, and procedural variables with the bleeding endpoint (defined as acute postpartum or postoperative hemorrhage or any bleeding warranting non-prophylactic administration of packed red blood cells, fresh frozen plasma [FFP], or tranexamic acid). Receiver operative characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted for FXI levels to identify the cutoff for optimal sensitivity and specificity. Analyses were performed using SPSS software. Results We identified 198 pts who underwent 252 procedures in total- including 143 vaginal deliveries, 64 C-sections and 45 other surgical procedures. Mean age was 36 years with 94% females, and ~70% were Ashkenazi Jews. c.403G>T p.E135X (42%) and c.901T>C p.F301L (44.8%) were the most common genotypes identified. 38 out of 252 procedures resulted in bleeding complications. In multivariable logistic regression, both prior history of bleeding (odds ratio (OR) 8.97, p=0.02) and lower FXI levels ( OR 1.03 per U/dL increase, p=0.05) were independently associated with the bleeding endpoint. Family history of bleeding, ethnicity, genotype, pre-procedural PTT and platelet levels were not associated with bleeding risk. There were no cases of epidural or spinal hematomas associated with neuraxial anesthesia in our cohort. Mean FXI level for pts receiving neuraxial anesthesia was 50 U/dl (3-118 U/dl). Five pts who had a negative bleeding history despite surgical challenges received neuraxial anesthesia at FXI level <10 U/dl without any complications (only 1/5 received prophylactic FFP). Mean FXI level for pts receiving prophylactic FFP was 25.6 U/dl (range 1-71 U/dl). 8 out of 21 (38%) pts suffered a bleeding complication despite prophylactic FFP use. ROC analyzing FXI levels as a risk factor for the bleeding endpoint resulted in an AUC of 0.605 with specificity of 96%, 94%, 91%, 83%, 49% and sensitivity of 11%, 12%, 19%, 35%, 65% respectively for cut-off values of 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 U/dl. Of note, there was no significant variation in FXI levels during pregnancy [mean first measurement was 49.7 U/dl vs final measurement of 48.3 U/dl, p=0.3]. Conclusions Personal history of bleeding is the strongest predictor of perioperative or obstetrical bleeding in pts with FXI deficiency. Higher FXI levels correlate with a slightly lower but statistically significant odds of surgical bleeding. Although a FXI level cut-off of 40 U/dl may predict bleeding risk with reasonable specificity (83%), it lacks sensitivity and must be interpreted in the context of personal bleeding history. FXI levels remain stable during pregnancy and repeat measurements may not be necessary. Neuraxial anesthesia appears to be safe to use in this cohort. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


F1000Research ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 211
Author(s):  
Solwayo Ngwenya

Background: Primary postpartum haemorrhage continues to cause considerable global maternal morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to determine the risk factors for composite adverse outcomes in postpartum haemorrhage using multivariable logistic regression. The findings could potentially be used to anticipate and prevent composite adverse outcomes in postpartum haemorrhage. Methods: This was a retrospective cross-sectional study carried out at Mpilo Central Hospital, a government tertiary referral centre, covering the period 1 July 2016 to 30 November 2019. Participants were included in the study if they had a diagnosis of postpartum haemorrhage. Those variables that had a p<0.2 from the univariate logistic regression analyses were considered for multivariable logistic regression. The association between independent variables and the dependent variable was assessed using odds ratio with 95% confidence intervals, to identify independent risk factors for composite adverse outcomes in PPH. Results: The independent risk factors for composite adverse outcomes in postpartum haemorrhage were place of dwelling (AOR 4.57, 95% CI 1.87-11.12, p=0.01), prior history of a Caesarean section (AOR 2.57, 95% CI 1.10-6.00, p=0.03), APH (AOR 5.45, 95% CI 2.23-13.27, p<0.0001), antenatal haemoglobin level (AOR 19.64, 95% CI 1.44-268.50, p=0.03), and delivery by Caesarean section (AOR 10.21, 95% CI 4.39-23.74, p<0.0001). Blood loss was also an independent risk factor for composite adverse outcomes in postpartum haemorrhage with the following blood loss; 1001-1500 ml (AOR 9.94, 95% CI 3.68-26.88, p<0.0001), 500-1000 ml (AOR 41.27, 95% CI 11.32-150.54, p<0.0001), and 2001 ml (AOR 164.77, 95% CI 31.06-874.25, p<0.0001). Conclusions: This study found that the independent predictors for composite adverse outcomes in PPH were rural dwelling, prior history of a Caesarean section, antenatal haemoglobin level, delivery by Caesarean section, and blood. In low- and middle-income countries, such information should help in increasing clinical vigilance and preventing maternal deaths.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 23-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emad Mohamed

In order to examine whether Arabic has Heavy Noun Phrase Shifting (HNPS), I have extracted from the Prague Arabic Dependency Treebank a data set in which a verb governs either an object NP and an Adjunct Phrase (PP or AdvP) or a subject NP and an Adjunct Phrase. I have used binary logistic regression where the criterion variable is whether the subject/object NP shifts, and used as predictor variables heaviness (the number of tokens per NP, adjunct), part of speech tag, verb disposition (ie. whether the verb has a history of taking double objects or sentential objects), NP number, NP definiteness, and the presence of referring pronouns in either the NP or the adjunct. The results show that only object heaviness and adjunct heaviness are useful predictors of object HNPS, while subject heaviness, adjunct heaviness, subject part of speech tag, definiteness, and adjunct head POS tags are active predictors of subject HNPS. I also show that HNPS can in principle be predicted from sentence structure.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1058-1058
Author(s):  
Hannah Stowe McMurry ◽  
Jean Sabile ◽  
Ajay Mohinani ◽  
Sarah Patel ◽  
Sonia Gowda ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) occurs in a heterogenous group of patients secondary to a variety of risk factors including acute and chronic liver disease, malignancy, and myeloproliferative neoplasms. There is equipoise on the utility of anticoagulation in many patients with SVT given the perceived risks of bleeding and unclear benefits. We sought to determine which clinical factors predict new or progressive thrombosis in a cohort of patients with SVT. Methods: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of patients over 18 years of age identified to have an SVT at the Oregon Health & Science University from 01/01/2015 - 12/31/2020, including only patients who were not initially treated with anticoagulation at the time of their initial VTE diagnosis. Relevant clinical variables were selected apriori. The primary study endpoint was imaging-confirmed progression of SVT, development of cavernous transformation, intestinal ischemia, or new venous or arterial thrombosis. Chart demographics, patient history, and relevant lab values at the time of initial SVT were extracted for the analysis. Descriptive analysis, univariate logistic regression, and multivariable logistic regression were performed in STATA version 12.1 and R (R core team 2019). Results: Seventy-eight patients were included in the analysis (mean age 60 years old, 74% male). The most common SVT in the cohort was isolated portal vein thrombosis (N=60) followed by thrombosis of multiple splanchnic veins (N=14). The most prevalent causes of liver disease in the cohort were viral hepatitis (N=33) alcoholic cirrhosis (N=20) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (N=12). 66% of patients had known varices at diagnosis. 33% had thrombosis directly associated with a tumor. The mean platelet count and INR were 105 x 109/L and 1.55 respectively. Twenty-two patients (28%) developed the primary endpoint of thrombus progression. Univariate logistic regression found that prior history of thrombosis (OR 6, P= 0.04) and the presence of varices at diagnosis (OR 4.4, P= 0.02) were associated with progression. We then created a multivariable logistic regression model and observed that total bilirubin (ORadj = 0.34, p = 0.03), MELD score (ORadj = 1.33, p = 0.04), the presence of varices (ORadj = 11.7, 0.03), and BMI (ORadj = 1.14, p = 0.047) were significant predictors of our composite outcome while controlling for age, glomerular filtration rate, INR, and prior history of VTE. Discussion: In our heterogenous cohort of patients with SVT not treated with anticoagulation, one in four patients developed the composite endpoint of SVT progression, development of cavernous transformation, intestinal ischemia, or new venous or arterial thrombosis. Several common clinical variables appear to be predictive for thrombus progression, suggesting that predictive models may be feasible to determine which patients with SVT are likely to benefit from anticoagulation. Disclosures Shatzel: Aronora Inc,: Consultancy.


2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gusti Muhammad Ihsan Perdana

 Legislative election in distric Tapin was spotted with a vote, conducted by members of the Commission, M. Zainnoor Wal Aidi Rahmad win a legislative candidate from the Golkar Party, namely Bambang Herry Purnama the 2014-2019. Elections Honorary Council for General Election Organizer of the Republic of Indonesia as No. 15 / DKPP-PKE-III / 2014 has imposed sanctions on Zainnoor Wal Aidi M. Rahmad form of dismissal remain as a member of the Tapin district Elections Commission since the verdict was read. Rantau’s District Court in its decision No. 135 / Pid-Sus /2014/PN.Rta, Bringing the sanctions in the form of imprisonment for 10 months with the criminal provisions do not need to be run in the future unless is another command in the verdict that convicted before time trial during the 12 (twelve months) ends have been guilty of a criminal offense and a fine of Rp. 10,000,000.00 (ten million). Dismissal sanctions remain to perpetrators as member of the district KPU Tapin have sense of fairness, but the connection with the criminal charge of criminal trials less reflectjustice for his actions that allow offenders not sentenced to imprisonment and the other party can not do the same.Keywords: Elections Tapin distric, Inflation Voice, Sanctions


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