Data-driven probabilistic performance of Wire EDM: A machine learning based approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 095440542110564
Author(s):  
Subhankar Saha ◽  
Kritesh Kumar Gupta ◽  
Saikat Ranjan Maity ◽  
Sudip Dey
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Present Article ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Parametric Uncertainty ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Potential Alternative ◽  
Pulse On Time ◽  
Wedm Process

The wire electric discharge machining (WEDM) is a potential alternative over the conventional machining methods, in terms of accuracy and ease in producing intricate shapes. However, the WEDM process parameters are exposed to unavoidable and unknown sources of uncertainties, following their inevitable influence over the process performance features. Thus, in the present work, we quantified the role of parametric uncertainty on the performance of the WEDM process. To this end, we used the practically relevant noisy experimental dataset to construct the four different machine learning (ML) models (linear regression, regression trees, support vector machines, and Gaussian process regression) and compared their goodness of fit based on the corresponding R2 and RMSE values. We further validated the prediction capability of the tested models by performing the error analysis. The model with the highest computational efficiency among the tested models is then used to perform data-driven uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. The findings of the present article suggest that the pulse on time ( Ton) and peak current (IP) are the most sensitive parameters that influence the performance measures of the WEDM process. In this way, the current study achieves two goals: first, it proposes a predictive framework for determining the performance features of WEDM for unknown design points, and second, it reports data-driven uncertainty analysis in the light of parametric perturbations. The observations reported in the present article provide comprehensive computational insights into the performance characteristics of the WEDM process.

scholarly journals Data-Driven Machine-Learning Model in District Heating System for Heat Load Prediction: A Comparison Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fisnik Dalipi ◽  
Sule Yildirim Yayilgan ◽  
Alemayehu Gebremedhin
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Heat Load ◽  
District Heating ◽  
Heating System ◽  
Partial Least Square ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Load Prediction ◽  
District Heating System

We present our data-driven supervised machine-learning (ML) model to predict heat load for buildings in a district heating system (DHS). Even though ML has been used as an approach to heat load prediction in literature, it is hard to select an approach that will qualify as a solution for our case as existing solutions are quite problem specific. For that reason, we compared and evaluated three ML algorithms within a framework on operational data from a DH system in order to generate the required prediction model. The algorithms examined are Support Vector Regression (SVR), Partial Least Square (PLS), and random forest (RF). We use the data collected from buildings at several locations for a period of 29 weeks. Concerning the accuracy of predicting the heat load, we evaluate the performance of the proposed algorithms using mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and correlation coefficient. In order to determine which algorithm had the best accuracy, we conducted performance comparison among these ML algorithms. The comparison of the algorithms indicates that, for DH heat load prediction, SVR method presented in this paper is the most efficient one out of the three also compared to other methods found in the literature.

scholarly journals Modeling of Aboveground Biomass with Landsat 8 OLI and Machine Learning in Temperate Forests

Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Pablito M. López-Serrano ◽  
José Luis Cárdenas Domínguez ◽  
José Javier Corral-Rivas ◽  
Enrique Jiménez ◽  
Carlos A. López-Sánchez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Aboveground Biomass ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Sensing Applications ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Physical Variables ◽  
Selection Of

An accurate estimation of forests’ aboveground biomass (AGB) is required because of its relevance to the carbon cycle, and because of its economic and ecological importance. The selection of appropriate variables from satellite information and physical variables is important for precise AGB prediction mapping. Because of the complex relationships for AGB prediction, non-parametric machine-learning techniques represent potentially useful techniques for AGB estimation, but their use and comparison in forest remote-sensing applications is still relatively limited. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the performance of automatic learning techniques, support vector regression (SVR) and random forest (RF), to predict the observed AGB (from 318 permanent sampling plots) from the Landsat 8 Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensor, spectral indexes, texture indexes and physical variables the Sierra Madre Occidental in Mexico. The result showed that the best SVR model explained 80% of the total variance (root mean square error (RMSE) = 8.20 Mg ha−1). The variables that best predicted AGB, in order of importance, were the bands that belong to the region of red and near and middle infrared, and the average temperature. The results show that the SVR technique has a good potential for the estimation of the AGB and that the selection of the model hyperparameters has important implications for optimizing the goodness of fit.

scholarly journals Spatial Modeling of Snow Avalanche Using Machine Learning Models and Geo-Environmental Factors: Comparison of Effectiveness in Two Mountain Regions

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 2995 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omid Rahmati ◽  
Omid Ghorbanzadeh ◽  
Teimur Teimurian ◽  
Farnoush Mohammadi ◽  
John P. Tiefenbacher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Snow Avalanche ◽  
Slope Position ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Hazard Mapping ◽  
Ensemble Model ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Avalanche Hazard ◽  
Statistical Measures

Although snow avalanches are among the most destructive natural disasters, and result in losses of life and economic damages in mountainous regions, far too little attention has been paid to the prediction of the snow avalanche hazard using advanced machine learning (ML) models. In this study, the applicability and efficiency of four ML models: support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB) and generalized additive model (GAM), for snow avalanche hazard mapping, were evaluated. Fourteen geomorphometric, topographic and hydrologic factors were selected as predictor variables in the modeling. This study was conducted in the Darvan and Zarrinehroud watersheds of Iran. The goodness-of-fit and predictive performance of the models was evaluated using two statistical measures: the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the true skill statistic (TSS). Finally, an ensemble model was developed based upon the results of the individual models. Results show that, among individual models, RF was best, performing well in both the Darvan (AUROC = 0.964, TSS = 0.862) and Zarrinehroud (AUROC = 0.956, TSS = 0.881) watersheds. The accuracy of the ensemble model was slightly better than all individual models for generating the snow avalanche hazard map, as validation analyses showed an AUROC = 0.966 and a TSS = 0.865 in the Darvan watershed, and an AUROC value of 0.958 and a TSS value of 0.877 for the Zarrinehroud watershed. The results indicate that slope length, lithology and relative slope position (RSP) are the most important factors controlling snow avalanche distribution. The methodology developed in this study can improve risk-based decision making, increases the credibility and reliability of snow avalanche hazard predictions and can provide critical information for hazard managers.

scholarly journals Preparedness and Mitigation by projecting the risk against COVID-19 transmission using Machine Learning Techniques

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akshay Kumar ◽  
Farhan Mohammad Khan ◽  
Rajiv Gupta ◽  
Harish Puppala
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
World Health ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Tools ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
Respiratory Coronavirus ◽  
Criticality Index

AbstractThe outbreak of COVID-19 is first identified in China, which later spread to various parts of the globe and was pronounced pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO). The disease of transmissible person-to-person pneumonia caused by the extreme acute respiratory coronavirus 2 syndrome (SARS-COV-2, also known as COVID-19), has sparked a global warning. Thermal screening, quarantining, and later lockdown were methods employed by various nations to contain the spread of the virus. Though exercising various possible plans to contain the spread help in mitigating the effect of COVID-19, projecting the rise and preparing to face the crisis would help in minimizing the effect. In the scenario, this study attempts to use Machine Learning tools to forecast the possible rise in the number of cases by considering the data of daily new cases. To capture the uncertainty, three different techniques: (i) Decision Tree algorithm, (ii) Support Vector Machine algorithm, and (iii) Gaussian process regression are used to project the data and capture the possible deviation. Based on the projection of new cases, recovered cases, deceased cases, medical facilities, population density, number of tests conducted, and facilities of services, are considered to define the criticality index (CI). CI is used to classify all the districts of the country in the regions of high risk, low risk, and moderate risk. An online dashpot is created, which updates the data on daily bases for the next four weeks. The prospective suggestions of this study would aid in planning the strategies to apply the lockdown/ any other plan for any country, which can take other parameters to define the CI.

scholarly journals Developing machine learning models to predict CO2 trapping performance in deep saline aquifers

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hung Vo Thanh ◽  
Kang-Kun Lee
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Correlation Factor ◽  
Trapping Efficiency ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Saline Aquifers ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Predictive Tool ◽  
Simulated Field ◽  
Trapping Performance

Abstract Deep saline formations are considered as potential sites for geological carbon storage (GCS). To better understand the CO2 trapping mechanism in saline aquifers, it is necessary to develop robust tools to evaluate CO2 trapping efficiency. This paper introduces the application of Gaussian process regression (GPR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) to predict CO2 trapping efficiency in saline formations. First, the uncertainty variables, including geologic parameters, petrophysical properties, and other physical characteristics data were utilized to create a training dataset. A total of 101 reservoir simulation samples were then performed, and the residual trapping, solubility trapping, and cumulative CO2 injection were collected. The predicted results indicate that three machine learning (ML) models that evaluate performance from high to low: GPR, SVM, and RF can be selected to predict the CO2 trapping efficiency in deep saline formations. The GPR model has an excellent CO2 trapping prediction efficiency with the highest correlation factor (R2 = 0.992) and lowest root mean square error (RMSE = 0.00491). The accuracy and stability of the GPR models were verified for an actual reservoir in offshore Vietnam. The predictive models obtained a good agreement between the simulated field and the predicted trapping index. These findings indicate that the GPR ML models can support the numerical simulation as a robust predictive tool for estimating the performance of CO2 trapping in the subsurface.

scholarly journals Construction cost estimation of reinforced and prestressed concrete bridges using machine learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (01) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Reinforced Concrete ◽  
Prestressed Concrete ◽  
Cost Estimation ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Concrete Bridges ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Construction Costs ◽  
Prestressed Concrete Bridges

Seven state-of-the-art machine learning techniques for estimation of construction costs of reinforced-concrete and prestressed concrete bridges are investigated in this paper, including artificial neural networks (ANN) and ensembles of ANNs, regression tree ensembles (random forests, boosted and bagged regression trees), support vector regression (SVR) method, and Gaussian process regression (GPR). A database of construction costs and design characteristics for 181 reinforced-concrete and prestressed-concrete bridges is created for model training and evaluation.

scholarly journals Forecasting Natural Gas Spot Prices with Machine Learning

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (18) ◽  
pp. 5782
Author(s):  
Dimitrios Mouchtaris ◽  
Emmanouil Sofianos ◽  
Periklis Gogas ◽  
Theophilos Papadimitriou
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Spot Price ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Spot Prices ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

The ability to accurately forecast the spot price of natural gas benefits stakeholders and is a valuable tool for all market participants in the competitive gas market. In this paper, we attempt to forecast the natural gas spot price 1, 3, 5, and 10 days ahead using machine learning methods: support vector machines (SVM), regression trees, linear regression, Gaussian process regression (GPR), and ensemble of trees. These models are trained with a set of 21 explanatory variables in a 5-fold cross-validation scheme with 90% of the dataset used for training and the remaining 10% used for testing the out-of-sample generalization ability. The results show that these machine learning methods all have different forecasting accuracy for every time frame when it comes to forecasting natural gas spot prices. However, the bagged trees (belonging to the ensemble of trees method) and the linear SVM models have superior forecasting performance compared to the rest of the models.

A Machine Learning Approach to Predict the Performance of Refrigerator and Air Conditioning Using Gaussian Process Regression and Support Vector Methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harinarayan Sharma ◽  
Sonam Kumari ◽  
Aniket K. Dutt ◽  
Pawan Kumar ◽  
Mamookho E. Makhatha
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Air Conditioning ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Coefficient Of Performance ◽  
Experimental Result ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Nano Particle ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Model ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Aim: Develop machine learning models for the performance of refrigerator and airconditioning system. Background: The Coefficient Of Performance (COP) of Refrigerator and Air-Conditioning (RAC) is a complex function of evaporative temperature and concentration of nano-particle in lubricants. In recent years, researchers focus on experimental study for improvement of COP. Further, few researchers applied simulation techniques such as fuzzy system, Artificial Neural Network (ANN), simulated annealing, etc. to the Vapour Compression Refrigeration (VCR) cycle. There is a scarcity of modeling research work for the performance of RAC system. Objective: The study aims to develop the machine learning predictive models for the performance of refrigerator and air-conditioning system using experimental data. Methods: The experiment was performed on VCR system to determine COP. Three different concentration of lubricants (added 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5g nano-TiO2 particle on 1 liter of Polyolester (POE) oil) were used. The experimentally calculated COP was used to train and test the machine learning models. Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) methods were applied to develop the models. Results: The experimental result reveals that the COP increases with increasing the concentration (of nano particles) at a given temperature. The addition of 0.5 and 1.0g TiO2 in the POE oil shows better rate of increment in the COP in comparison to addition of 1.5g TiO2 in the POE oil. Machine learning models using GPR and SVR with RBF kernel function is the most appropriate machine learning model for the nonlinear relationship between the output parameter (COP) and the input parameter (evaporative temperature and concentration of TiO2). Conclusion: The present study was conducted to investigate the machine learning approaches for performance of RAC system using experimental data sets. The experimental result shows that R134a and TiO2-POE nanolubricant work efficiently and the coefficient of performance of VCR system increases with concentration of nano-particle. The developed model performance is compared using coefficient of correlation and RSME values. After comparison, it is concluded that RBF based GPR model is the best fit machine learning model to predict the COP in the context of any other model for this data set.

scholarly journals State of Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery for Electric Vehicles Using Machine Learning Algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Venkatesan Chandran ◽  
Chandrashekhar K. Patil ◽  
Alagar Karthick ◽  
Dharmaraj Ganeshaperumal ◽  
Robbi Rahim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Lithium Ion Battery ◽  
Electric Vehicles ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
State Of Charge ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Soc Estimation

The durability and reliability of battery management systems in electric vehicles to forecast the state of charge (SoC) is a tedious task. As the process of battery degradation is usually non-linear, it is extremely cumbersome work to predict SoC estimation with substantially less degradation. This paper presents the SoC estimation of lithium-ion battery systems using six machine learning algorithms for electric vehicles application. The employed algorithms are artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), linear regression (LR), Gaussian process regression (GPR), ensemble bagging (EBa), and ensemble boosting (EBo). Error analysis of the model is carried out to optimize the battery’s performance parameter. Finally, all six algorithms are compared using performance indices. ANN and GPR are found to be the best methods based on MSE and RMSE of (0.0004, 0.00170) and (0.023, 0.04118), respectively.

scholarly journals Deep Learning Aided Data-Driven Fault Diagnosis of Rotatory Machine: A Comprehensive Review

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (16) ◽  
pp. 5150
Author(s):  
Shiza Mushtaq ◽  
M. M. Manjurul Islam ◽  
Muhammad Sohaib
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Comprehensive Review ◽  
Bearing Fault ◽  
Bearing Fault Diagnosis

This paper presents a comprehensive review of the developments made in rotating bearing fault diagnosis, a crucial component of a rotatory machine, during the past decade. A data-driven fault diagnosis framework consists of data acquisition, feature extraction/feature learning, and decision making based on shallow/deep learning algorithms. In this review paper, various signal processing techniques, classical machine learning approaches, and deep learning algorithms used for bearing fault diagnosis have been discussed. Moreover, highlights of the available public datasets that have been widely used in bearing fault diagnosis experiments, such as Case Western Reserve University (CWRU), Paderborn University Bearing, PRONOSTIA, and Intelligent Maintenance Systems (IMS), are discussed in this paper. A comparison of machine learning techniques, such as support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, artificial neural networks, etc., deep learning algorithms such as a deep convolutional network (CNN), auto-encoder-based deep neural network (AE-DNN), deep belief network (DBN), deep recurrent neural network (RNN), and other deep learning methods that have been utilized for the diagnosis of rotary machines bearing fault, is presented.

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