scholarly journals Confirmation Bias Estimation from Electroencephalography with Machine Learning

2019 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-77
Author(s):  
Micah N. Villarreal ◽  
Alexander J. Kamrud ◽  
Brett J. Borghetti
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Confirmation Bias ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Bias Estimation ◽  
Human Decision ◽  
Behavioral Evidence ◽  
Post Hoc ◽  
The Relationship

Cognitive biases are known to affect human decision making and can have disastrous effects in the fast-paced environments of military operators. Traditionally, post-hoc behavioral analysis is used to measure the level of bias in a decision. However, these techniques can be hindered by subjective factors and cannot be collected in real-time. This pilot study collects behavior patterns and physiological signals present during biased and unbiased decision-making. Supervised machine learning models are trained to find the relationship between Electroencephalography (EEG) signals and behavioral evidence of cognitive bias. Once trained, the models should infer the presence of confirmation bias during decision-making using only EEG - without the interruptions or the subjective nature of traditional confirmation bias estimation techniques.

De-Biasing Legal Factfinders

2021 ◽  
pp. 395-410
Author(s):  
Frank Zenker
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Special Reference ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Confirmation Bias ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Research Needs ◽  
Base Rate Neglect ◽  
Human Decision ◽  
Social Biases ◽  
Evidential Basis

This chapter examines the psychological studies of biases and de-biasing measures in human decision-making with special reference to adjudicative factfinding. Research shows that factfinders are prone to cognitive biases (such as anchoring, framing, base-rate neglect, and confirmation bias) as well as social biases. Driven by this research, multiple studies have examined the extent to which those biases can be mitigated by de-biasing measures like “consider the opposite” and “give reasons.” After a brief overview of the research, the author points to the problematic evidential basis and identifies future research needs, and concludes that empirical research on de-biasing measures has so far delivered less than one would hope for.

Confirmation bias in decision making for fingerprints, DNA and eyewitness evidence cannot be explained by cognitive style or thinking dispositions.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Edgcumbe
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Cognitive Style ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Confirmation Bias ◽  
Criminal Case ◽  
Court Cases ◽  
Legal Proceedings ◽  
Thinking Dispositions ◽  
Evaluation Of Evidence ◽  
Facial Composite

Pre-existing beliefs about the background or guilt of a suspect can bias the subsequent evaluation of evidence for forensic examiners and lay people alike. This biasing effect, called the confirmation bias, has influenced legal proceedings in prominent court cases such as that of Brandon Mayfield. Today many forensic providers attempt to train their examiners against these cognitive biases. Nine hundred and forty-two participants read a fictional criminal case and received either neutral, incriminating or exonerating evidence (fingerprint, eyewitness, or DNA) before providing an initial rating of guilt. Participants then viewed ambiguous evidence (alibi, facial composite, handwriting sample or informant statement) before providing a final rating of guilt. Final guilt ratings were higher for all evidence conditions (neutral, incriminating or exonerating) following exposure to the ambiguous evidence. This provides evidence that the confirmation bias influences the evaluation of evidence.

Who’s making the decisions? How managers can harness artificial intelligence and remain in charge

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pooya Tabesh
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Digital Transformation ◽  
Decision Processes ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Human Decision ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose While it is evident that the introduction of machine learning and the availability of big data have revolutionized various organizational operations and processes, existing academic and practitioner research within decision process literature has mostly ignored the nuances of these influences on human decision-making. Building on existing research in this area, this paper aims to define these concepts from a decision-making perspective and elaborates on the influences of these emerging technologies on human analytical and intuitive decision-making processes. Design/methodology/approach The authors first provide a holistic understanding of important drivers of digital transformation. The authors then conceptualize the impact that analytics tools built on artificial intelligence (AI) and big data have on intuitive and analytical human decision processes in organizations. Findings The authors discuss similarities and differences between machine learning and two human decision processes, namely, analysis and intuition. While it is difficult to jump to any conclusions about the future of machine learning, human decision-makers seem to continue to monopolize the majority of intuitive decision tasks, which will help them keep the upper hand (vis-à-vis machines), at least in the near future. Research limitations/implications The work contributes to research on rational (analytical) and intuitive processes of decision-making at the individual, group and organization levels by theorizing about the way these processes are influenced by advanced AI algorithms such as machine learning. Practical implications Decisions are building blocks of organizational success. Therefore, a better understanding of the way human decision processes can be impacted by advanced technologies will prepare managers to better use these technologies and make better decisions. By clarifying the boundaries/overlaps among concepts such as AI, machine learning and big data, the authors contribute to their successful adoption by business practitioners. Social implications The work suggests that human decision-makers will not be replaced by machines if they continue to invest in what they do best: critical thinking, intuitive analysis and creative problem-solving. Originality/value The work elaborates on important drivers of digital transformation from a decision-making perspective and discusses their practical implications for managers.

scholarly journals Decision making via semi-supervised machine learning techniques

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ευτύχιος Πρωτοπαπαδάκης
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Learning Techniques

Ο όρος μάθηση με μερική επίβλεψη αναφέρεται σε ένα ευρύ πεδίο τεχνικών μηχανικής μάθησης, οι οποίες χρησιμοποιούν τα μη τιτλοφορημένα δεδομένα για να εξάγουν επιπλέον ωφέλιμη πληροφορία. Η μερική επίβλεψη αντιμετωπίζει προβλήματα που σχετίζονται με την επεξεργασία και την αξιοποίηση μεγάλου όγκου δεδομένων και τα όποια κόστη σχετίζονται με αυτά (π.χ. χρόνος επεξεργασίας, ανθρώπινα λάθη). Απώτερος σκοπός είναι η ασφαλή εξαγωγή συμπερασμάτων, κανόνων ή προτάσεων. Τα μοντέλα λήψης απόφασης που χρησιμοποιούν τεχνικές μερικής μάθησης έχουν ποικίλα πλεονεκτήματα. Σε πρώτη φάση, χρειάζονται μικρό πλήθος τιτλοφορημένων δεδομένων για την αρχικοποίηση τους. Στη συνέχεια, τα νέα δεδομένα που θα εμφανιστούν αξιοποιούνται και τροποποιούν κατάλληλα το μοντέλο. Ως εκ τούτου, έχουμε ένα συνεχώς εξελισσόμενο μοντέλο λήψης αποφάσεων, με την ελάχιστη δυνατή προσπάθεια.Τεχνικές που προσαρμόζονται εύκολα και οικονομικά είναι οι κατεξοχήν κατάλληλες για τον έλεγχο συστημάτων, στα οποία παρατηρούνται συχνές αλλαγές στον τρόπο λειτουργίας. Ενδεικτικά πεδία εφαρμογής εφαρμογής ευέλικτων συστημάτων υποστήριξης λήψης αποφάσεων με μερική μάθηση είναι: η επίβλεψη γραμμών παραγωγής, η επιτήρηση θαλάσσιων συνόρων, η φροντίδα ηλικιωμένων, η εκτίμηση χρηματοπιστωτικού κινδύνου, ο έλεγχος για δομικές ατέλειες και η διαφύλαξη της πολιτιστικής κληρονομιάς.

Cognitive Bias and its Relationship to Decision Making: the Case of Talented Secondary Students in Jeddah: الانحياز المعرفي وعلاقته باتخاذ القرار لدى عينة من طالبات المرحلة الثانوية الموهوبات بمدينة جدة

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (45) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dalal Hamid Al-Dhahri, Arwa Abdullah Al-Ghamdi, Mogeda El-Sa
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Secondary Students ◽  
Cognitive Bias ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
School Administration ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Descriptive Method

This study aims at investigating the relationship between cognitive biases and decision making from a sample of gifted secondary students. It also aims at identifying the level of students’ cognitive biases and decision making and the differences in these two areas based on different classrooms. Random sampling was used to collect data from 139 female secondary students from the gifted group. Their age ranged between (16-18) with an average of (16.6), A descriptive method was adopted in the study. The research tools used consisted of DACOBS David Assessment of Cognitive biases Scale (Vander Gaag. et al., 2000), translated and standardized by the present researchers, and Tuistra’s decision making scale for teenagers (Tuinstra, et al., 2000). The findings of the study show a negative correlation between cognitive biases and decision making. Also, there were no differences between cognitive biases and decision making scores based on different classrooms. The study also shows a low level of students’ cognitive biases and a high level of decision making. The study recommends activating the role of mentors and students' counseling, planning for the values and behaviors that need to be acquired by students by including them in the annual goals of the school administration and participating in societal awareness and education.

Sentiment Analysis on UAV-aided Product Comments Based on Machine Learning: From Sentence to Document Level

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
JINGYANG CAO ◽  
Shirong Yin ◽  
Guoxu Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Sentiment Analysis ◽  
Accurate Result ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Hotel Management ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Online Comments ◽  
New Perspective ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Document Level

Abstract This paper presents a novel approach to analyze the sentiment of the product comments from sentence to document level and apply to the customers sentiment analysis on UAV-aided product comments for hotel management. In order to realize the effiffifficient sentiment analysis, a cascaded sentence-to-document sentiment classifification method is investigated. Initially, a supervised machine learning method is applied to explore the sentiment polarity of the sentence (SPS). Afterward, the contribution of the sentence to document (CSD) is calculated by using various statistical algorithms. Lastly, the sentiment polarity of the document (SPD) is determined by the SPS as well as its contribution. Comparative experiments have been established on the basis of hotel online comments, and the outcomes indicate that the proposed method not only raises the effiffifficiency in attaining a more accurate result but also assists immensely in regards to the B5G wireless communication supported by the UAV. The fifindings provide a new perspective that sentence position and its sentiment similarity with document (sentiment condition) dramatically disclose the relationship between sentence and document.

Overcoming Confirmation and Blind Spot Biases When Communicating Science

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kate Kenski
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Confirmation Bias ◽  
Blind Spot ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Costs And Benefits ◽  
Process Information ◽  
Bias Blind Spot

This chapter focuses on two biases that lead people away from evaluating evidence and scientific studies impartially—confirmation bias and bias blind spot. The chapter first discusses different ways in which people process information and reviews the costs and benefits of utilizing cognitive shortcuts in decision making. Next, two common cognitive biases, confirmation bias and bias blind spot, are explained. Then the literature on “debiasing” is explored. Finally, the implications of confirmation bias and bias blind spot in the context of communicating about science are examined, and an agenda for future research on understanding and mitigating these biases is offered.

SHARED DECISION MAKING IN ONCOLOGY AND PALLIATIVE CARE

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul A Glare
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Palliative Care ◽  
Shared Decision Making ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Treatment Options ◽  
Care Plan ◽  
Treatment Modalities ◽  
Shared Decision ◽  
Human Decision ◽  
Based Medicine

Background: Cancer raises many questions for people afflicted by it. Do I want to have genetic testing? Will I comply with screening recommendations? If I am diagnosed with it, where will I have treatment? What treatment modalities will I have? Will I go on a clinical trial? Am I willing to bankrupt my family in the process of pursuing treatment? Will I write an advance care plan? Will I accept hospice if I have run out of available treatment options? Most of these questions have more than one correct answer, and the evidence for the superiority of one option over another is either not available or does not allow differentiation. Often the best choice between two or more valid approaches depends on how individuals value their respective risks and benefits; “preference-based medicine” may be more important than “evidence-based medicine.” There are various models for eliciting preferences, but applying them can raise a number of challenges. Objectives: To present the concepts, the value, the strategies, the quandaries, and the potential pitfalls of Shared Decision Making in Oncology and Palliative Care. Method: Narrative review. Results: Some challenges to practicing preference-based medicine in oncology and palliative care include: some patients don’t want to participate in shared decision making (SDM); the whole situation needs to be addressed, not just part of it; but are some topics out of bounds? Cognitive biases apply as much in SDM as any other human decision making, affecting the choice; how numerically equivalent data are framed can also affect the outcome; conducting SDM is also important at the end of life. Conclusions: By being aware of the potential pitfalls with SDM, clinicians are more able to facilitate the discussion so that the patients’ choices truly reflect their informed preferences, at a time when stakes and emotions are high.

scholarly journals The Measurement of Individual Differences in Cognitive Biases: A Review and Improvement

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincent Berthet
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Individual Differences ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Confirmation Bias ◽  
Generic Measures

Individual differences have been neglected in decision-making research on heuristics and cognitive biases. Addressing that issue requires having reliable measures. The author first reviewed the research on the measurement of individual differences in cognitive biases. While reliable measures of a dozen biases are currently available, our review revealed that some measures require improvement and measures of other key biases are still lacking (e.g., confirmation bias). We then conducted empirical work showing that adjustments produced a significant improvement of some measures and that confirmation bias can be reliably measured. Overall, our review and findings highlight that the measurement of individual differences in cognitive biases is still in its infancy. In particular, we suggest that contextualized (in addition to generic) measures need to be improved or developed.

scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Supports Decision Making during Open-Chest Surgery of Rare Congenital Heart Defects

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (22) ◽  
pp. 5330
Author(s):  
Francesco Paolo Lo Muzio ◽  
Giacomo Rozzi ◽  
Stefano Rossi ◽  
Giovanni Battista Luciani ◽  
Ruben Foresti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Intraoperative Imaging ◽  
Complex Function ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Open Chest ◽  
Chest Surgery

The human right ventricle is barely monitored during open-chest surgery due to the absence of intraoperative imaging techniques capable of elaborating its complex function. Accordingly, artificial intelligence could not be adopted for this specific task. We recently proposed a video-based approach for the real-time evaluation of the epicardial kinematics to support medical decisions. Here, we employed two supervised machine learning algorithms based on our technique to predict the patients’ outcomes before chest closure. Videos of the beating hearts were acquired before and after pulmonary valve replacement in twelve Tetralogy of Fallot patients and recordings were properly labeled as the “unhealthy” and “healthy” classes. We extracted frequency-domain-related features to train different supervised machine learning models and selected their best characteristics via 10-fold cross-validation and optimization processes. Decision surfaces were built to classify two additional patients having good and unfavorable clinical outcomes. The k-nearest neighbors and support vector machine showed the highest prediction accuracy; the patients’ class was identified with a true positive rate ≥95% and the decision surfaces correctly classified the additional patients in the “healthy” (good outcome) or “unhealthy” (unfavorable outcome) classes. We demonstrated that classifiers employed with our video-based technique may aid cardiac surgeons in decision making before chest closure.

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