scholarly journals Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma of Pancreatic Head After Pancreaticoduodenectomy

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 117955492110241
Author(s):  
Hongkai Zhuang ◽  
Zixuan Zhou ◽  
Zuyi Ma ◽  
Shanzhou Huang ◽  
Yuanfeng Gong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Perineural Invasion ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Pancreatic Head ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
R0 Resection ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Ajcc Stage

Background: The prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) of pancreatic head remains poor, even after potentially curative R0 resection. The aim of this study was to develop an accurate model to predict patients’ prognosis for PDAC of pancreatic head following pancreaticoduodenectomy. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 112 patients with PDAC of pancreatic head after pancreaticoduodenectomy in Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital between 2014 and 2018. Results: Five prognostic factors were identified using univariate Cox regression analysis, including age, histologic grade, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Stage 8th, total bilirubin (TBIL), CA19-9. Using all subset analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis, we developed a nomogram consisted of age, AJCC Stage 8th, perineural invasion, TBIL, and CA19-9, which had higher C-indexes for OS (0.73) and RFS (0.69) compared with AJCC Stage 8th alone (OS: 0.66; RFS: 0.67). The area under the curve (AUC) values of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the nomogram for OS and RFS were significantly higher than other single parameter, which are AJCC Stage 8th, age, perineural invasion, TBIL, and CA19-9. Importantly, our nomogram displayed higher C-index for OS than previous reported models, indicating a better predictive value of our model. Conclusions: A simple and practical nomogram for patient prognosis in PDAC of pancreatic head following pancreaticoduodenectomy was established, which shows satisfactory predictive efficacy and deserves further evaluation in the future.

scholarly journals Dipeptidyl peptidase like 6 promoter methylation is a potential prognostic biomarker for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

2020 ◽  
Vol 40 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Di Cao ◽  
Zhangyong Ren ◽  
Zhe Liu ◽  
Shaocheng Lv ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Promoter Methylation ◽  
Methylation Level ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Prognostic Biomarker ◽  
Dipeptidyl Peptidase ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Gene Promoters ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background: Hypermethylation of gene promoters plays an important role in tumorigenesis. The present study aimed to identify and validate promoter methylation-driven genes (PMDGs) for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Methods: Based on GSE49149 and the PDAC cohort of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), differential analyses of promoter methylation, correlation analysis, and Cox regression analysis were performed to identify PMDGs. The promoter methylation level was assessed by bisulfite sequencing polymerase chain reaction (BSP) in paired tumor and normal tissues of 72 PDAC patients. Kaplan−Meier survival analyses were performed to evaluate the clinical value of PMDGs. Results: In GSE49149, the β-value of the dipeptidyl peptidase like 6 (DPP6) promoter was significantly higher in tumor compared with normal samples (0.50 vs. 0.24, P<0.001). In the PDAC cohort of TCGA, the methylation level of the DPP6 promoter was negatively correlated with mRNA expression (r = −0.54, P<0.001). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, hypermethylation of the DPP6 promoter was an independent risk factor for PDAC (hazard ratio (HR) = 543.91, P=0.002). The results of BSP revealed that the number of methylated CG sites in the DPP6 promoter was greater in tumor samples than in normal samples (7.43 vs. 2.78, P<0.001). The methylation level of the DPP6 promoter was moderately effective at distinguishing tumor from normal samples (area under ROC curve (AUC) = 0.74, P<0.001). Hypermethylation of the DPP6 promoter was associated with poor overall (HR = 3.61, P<0.001) and disease-free (HR = 2.01, P=0.016) survivals for PDAC patients. Conclusion: These results indicate that DPP6 promoter methylation is a potential prognostic biomarker for PDAC.

scholarly journals A Novel DNA Replication-Related Signature Predicting Recurrence After R0 Resection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Prognostic Value and Clinical Implications

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zengyu Feng ◽  
Kexian Li ◽  
Jianyao Lou ◽  
Mindi Ma ◽  
Yulian Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Dna Replication ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
R0 Resection ◽  
Pathway Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

The aim of any surgical resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is to achieve tumor-free margins (R0). R0 margins give rise to better outcomes than do positive margins (R1). Nevertheless, postoperative morbidity after R0 resection remains high and prognostic gene signature predicting recurrence risk of patients in this subgroup is blank. Our study aimed to develop a DNA replication-related gene signature to stratify the R0-treated PDAC patients with various recurrence risks. We conducted Cox regression analysis and the LASSO algorithm on 273 DNA replication-related genes and eventually constructed a 7-gene signature. The predictive capability and clinical feasibility of this risk model were assessed in both training and external validation sets. Pathway enrichment analysis showed that the signature was closely related to cell cycle, DNA replication, and DNA repair. These findings may shed light on the identification of novel biomarkers and therapeutic targets for PDAC.

scholarly journals Development and Validation of a 7-Gene Prognostic Signature to Improve Survival Prediction in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zengyu Feng ◽  
Hao Qian ◽  
Kexian Li ◽  
Jianyao Lou ◽  
Yulian Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Roc Curves ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Survival Prediction ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Background: Previous prognostic signatures of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are mainly constructed to predict the overall survival (OS), and their predictive accuracy needs to be improved. Gene signatures that efficaciously predict both OS and disease-free survival (DFS) are of great clinical significance but are rarely reported.Methods: Univariate Cox regression analysis was adopted to screen common genes that were significantly associated with both OS and DFS in three independent cohorts. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was subsequently performed on the identified genes to determine an optimal gene signature in the MTAB-6134 training cohort. The Kaplan–Meier (K-M), calibration, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to assess the predictive accuracy. Biological process and pathway enrichment analyses were conducted to elucidate the biological role of this signature.Results: Multivariate Cox regression analysis determined a 7-gene signature that contained ASPH, DDX10, NR0B2, BLOC1S3, FAM83A, SLAMF6, and PPM1H. The signature had the ability to stratify PDAC patients with different OS and DFS, both in the training and validation cohorts. ROC curves confirmed the moderate predictive accuracy of this signature. Mechanically, the signature was related to multiple cancer-related pathways.Conclusion: A novel OS and DFS prediction model was constructed in PDAC with multi-cohort and cross-platform compatibility. This signature might foster individualized therapy and appropriate management of PDAC patients.

scholarly journals An EMT-Related Gene Signature for Predicting Response to Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zengyu Feng ◽  
Kexian Li ◽  
Jianyao Lou ◽  
Yulian Wu ◽  
Chenghong Peng
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Adjuvant Chemotherapy ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Related Gene ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

BackgroundFor pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients, chemotherapy failure is the major reason for postoperative recurrence and poor outcomes. Establishment of novel biomarkers and models for predicting chemotherapeutic efficacy may provide survival benefits by tailoring treatments.MethodsUnivariate cox regression analysis was employed to identify EMT-related genes with prognostic potential for DFS. These genes were subsequently submitted to LASSO regression analysis and multivariate cox regression analysis to identify an optimal gene signature in TCGA training cohort. The predictive accuracy was assessed by Kaplan–Meier (K-M), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves and was validated in PACA-CA cohort and our local cohort. Pathway enrichment and function annotation analyses were conducted to illuminate the biological implication of this risk signature.ResultsLASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses selected an 8-gene signature comprised DLX2, FGF9, IL6R, ITGB6, MYC, LGR5, S100A2, and TNFSF12. The signature had the capability to classify PDAC patients with different DFS, both in the training and validation cohorts. It provided improved DFS prediction compared with clinical indicators. This signature was associated with several cancer-related pathways. In addition, the signature could also predict the response to immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs)-based immunotherapy.ConclusionWe established a novel EMT-related gene signature that was capable of predicting therapeutic response to adjuvant chemotherapy and immunotherapy. This signature might facilitate individualized treatment and appropriate management of PDAC patients.

scholarly journals A novel epigenetic signature for predicting the prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiming Zhao ◽  
Mengyang Li ◽  
Xianglong Tan ◽  
Rong Liu
Keyword(s):  
Gene Expression ◽  
Dna Methylation ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Survival Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background Aberrant DNA methylation is often involved in carcinogenesis. This study is designed to establish an epigenetic signature to predict overall survival (OS) of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Methods DNA methylation and RNA-seq data of PDAC patients were downloaded from the Cancer Genome Atlas database, Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx), and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) database. Methylation-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified using an R package MethylMix. Epigenetic signature and nomogram were established by the LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analysis, respectively. In addition, a joint survival analysis of the gene expression and methylation was performed to identify potential prognostic factors for patients with PDAC. Results There were a total of 56 methylation-related DEGs by MethylMix criteria. After LASSO Cox regression analysis, we developed an epigenetic signature composed of five genes according to their methylation level. The signature was able to divide patients into high-risk and low-risk groups, and the OS between the high-and low-risk groups was more significantly different in both training and validation cohort. The signature is independent of clinicopathological variables and indicated better predictive power. Moreover, we developed a novel prognostic nomogram that combines risk scores with three clinicopathological factors. The joint survival analysis of gene expression and methylation revealed that 24 genes could be independent prognostic factors for OS in PDAC. Conclusions The qualitative signature and nomogram that predict OS at the individualized level and guide therapy for patients with PDAC.

scholarly journals A Novel Ferroptosis-Related Gene Signature Predicts Recurrence in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zengyu Feng ◽  
Peng Chen ◽  
Kexian Li ◽  
Jianyao Lou ◽  
Yulian Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Validation Cohort ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
The Cancer Genome Atlas ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Pathway Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
The Stability

Background: Recurrence after surgery is largely responsible for the extremely poor outcomes for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Ferroptosis is implicated in chemotherapy sensitivity and tumor recurrence, we aimed to find out survival-associated ferroptosis-related genes and use them to build a practical risk model with the purpose to predict PDAC recurrence.Methods: Univariate Cox regression analysis was conducted to obtain prognostic ferroptosis-related genes in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, N = 140) cohort. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was employed to construct a reliable and credible gene signature. The prognostic performance was verified in a MTAB-6134 (N = 286) validation cohort and a PACA-CA (N = 181) validation cohort. The stability of the signature was tested in TCGA and MTAB-6134 cohorts by ROC analyses. Pathway enrichment analysis was adopted to preliminary illuminate the biological relevance of the gene signature.Results: Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified a 5-gene signature that contained CAV1, DDIT4, SLC40A1, SRXN1 and TFAP2C. The signature could efficaciously stratify PDAC patients with different recurrence-free survival (RFS), both in the training and validation cohorts. Results of subgroup receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses confirmed the stability and the independence of this signature. Our signature outperformed clinical indicators and previous reported models in predicting RFS. Moreover, the signature was found to be closely associated with several cancer-related and drug response pathways.Conclusion: This study developed a precise and concise prognostic model with the clinical implication in predicting PDAC recurrence. These findings may facilitate individual management of postoperative recurrence in patients with PDAC.

scholarly journals H2FPEF score predicts 1-year rehospitalisation of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

2020 ◽  
pp. postgradmedj-2019-137434
Author(s):  
Yifei Tao ◽  
Wenjing Wang ◽  
Jing Zhu ◽  
Tao You ◽  
Yi Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Preserved Ejection Fraction ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Non Invasive ◽  
Patients With Heart Failure

BackgroundHeart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) has received widespread attention in recent years. There is currently a lack of valuable predictors for the prognosis of this disease. Here, we aimed to identify a non-invasive scoring system that can effectively predict 1-year rehospitalisation for patients with HFpEF.MethodsWe included 151 consecutive patients with HFpEF in a prospective cohort study and investigated the association between H2FPEF score and 1-year readmission for heart failure using multivariate Cox regression analysis.ResultsOur findings indicated that obesity, age >70 years, treatment with ≥2 antihypertensives, echocardiographic E/e’ ratio >9 and pulmonary artery pressure >35 mm Hg were independent predictors of 1-year readmission. Three models (support vector machine, decision tree in R and Cox regression analysis) proved that H2FPEF score could effectively predict 1-year readmission for patients with HFpEF (area under the curve, 0.910, 0.899 and 0.771, respectively; p<0.001).ConclusionOur study demonstrates that the H2FPEF score has excellent predictive value for 1-year rehospitalisation of patients with HFpEF.

scholarly journals Transcriptomic Profiling Identifies DCBLD2 as a Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarker in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zengyu Feng ◽  
Kexian Li ◽  
Yulian Wu ◽  
Chenghong Peng
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Extracellular Vesicles ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Functional Enrichment ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Survival Curves ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Calibration Curves

Background: Accumulating evidence shows that the elevated expression of DCBLD2 (discoidin, CUB and LCCL domain-containing protein 2) is associated with unfavorable prognosis of various cancers. However, the correlation of DCBLD2 expression value with the diagnosis and prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has not yet been elucidated. Methods: Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen robust survival-related genes. Expression pattern of selected genes was investigated in PDAC tissues and normal tissues from multiple cohorts. Kaplan–Meier (K–M) survival curves, ROC curves and calibration curves were employed to assess prognostic performance. The relationship between DCBLD2 expression and immune cell infiltrates was conducted by CIBERSORT software. Biological processes and KEGG pathway enrichment analyses were adopted to clarify the potential function of DCBLD2 in PDAC. Results: Univariate analysis, K–M survival curves and calibration curves indicated that DCBLD2 was a robust prognostic factor for PDAC with cross-cohort compatibility. Upregulation of DCBLD2 was observed in dissected PDAC tissues as well as extracellular vesicles from both plasma and serum samples of PDAC patients. Both DCBLD2 expression in tissue and extracellular vesicles had significant diagnostic value. Besides, DCBLD2 expression was correlated with infiltrating level of CD8+ T cells and macrophage M2 cells. Functional enrichment revealed that DCBLD2 might be involved in cell motility, angiogenesis, and cancer-associated pathways. Conclusion: Our study systematically analyzed the potential diagnostic, prognostic and therapeutic value of DCBLD2 in PDAC. All the findings indicated that DCBLD2 might play a considerably oncogenic role in PDAC with diagnostic, prognostic and therapeutic potential. These preliminary results of bioinformatics analyses need to be further validated in more prospective studies.

scholarly journals Vertebral Osteomyelitis: A Mortality Analysis Comparing Surgical and Conservative Management

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 456-463
Author(s):  
Spogmai Zadran ◽  
Peter Heide Pedersen ◽  
Søren Eiskjær
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Predictive Model ◽  
Conservative Management ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Vertebral Osteomyelitis ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Karnofsky Score ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Choice Of Treatment

Study Design: Retrospective cohort study. Objectives: To compare the mortality between patients treated for vertebral osteomyelitis (VO) with either surgical or conservative management and to construct a predictive model for mortality after VO. Methods: All patients with a diagnosis of VO in Region North Denmark from 2004 to 2014 were followed for at least 2 years or until death. They were all treated according to a standardized guideline for the choice of treatment modality. Nineteen dichotomized variables with possible influence on the mortality were registered for all patients in the study. LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) penalized Cox regression analysis was used to build a predictive model for 2-year survival after VO. Results: A total of 125 patients were eligible for inclusion, mean age 67 years, 36 women. 75 were treated surgically. Twenty-one patients were dead 2 years after the diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier estimate of 2-year survival was 0.82 [0.75, 0.88]. Any difference in mortality between surgically and conservatively treated patients was nonsignificant at 1 and 2 years (univariate Cox regression analysis). Significant factors included in the predictive model after LASSO penalized Cox regression analysis was Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), cardiovascular disease, C-reactive protein (CRP) normalization, thoracic infection, and Karnofsky score. The area under the curve (AUC) for the predictive model ranged from 0.74 to 0.77. Conclusion: Patients undergoing surgical management for vertebral osteomyelitis according to standardized and agreed-upon guidelines had no higher mortality than those allocated to conservative treatment. The predictive model included 5 variables associated with an increased mortality: CCI, CRP normalization, cardiovascular disease, thoracic infection, and Karnofsky score.

scholarly journals Developing a preoperative serum metabolome-based recurrence-predicting nomogram for patients with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Seoung Yoon Rho ◽  
Sang-Guk Lee ◽  
Minsu Park ◽  
Jinae Lee ◽  
Sung Hwan Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Pancreatic Head ◽  
Cancer Recurrence ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Early Recurrence ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Preoperative Serum

AbstractWe investigated the potential application of preoperative serum metabolomes in predicting recurrence in patients with resected pancreatic cancer. From November 2012 to June 2014, patients who underwent potentially curative pancreatectomy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma were examined. Among 57 patients, 32 were men; 42 had pancreatic head cancers. The 57 patients could be clearly categorized into two main clusters using 178 preoperative serum metabolomes. Patients within cluster 2 showed earlier tumor recurrence, compared with those within cluster 1 (p = 0.034). A nomogram was developed for predicting the probability of early disease-free survival in patients with resected pancreatic cancer. Preoperative cancer antigen (CA) 19–9 levels and serum metabolomes PC.aa.C38_4, PC.ae.C42_5, and PC.ae.C38_6 were the most powerful preoperative clinical variables with which to predict 6-month and 1-year cancer recurrence-free survival after radical pancreatectomy, with a Harrell’s concordance index of 0.823 (95% CI: 0.750–0.891) and integrated area under the curve of 0.816 (95% CI: 0.736–0.893). Patients with resected pancreatic cancer could be categorized according to their different metabolomes to predict early cancer recurrence. Preoperative detectable parameters, serum CA 19–9, PC.aa.C38_4, PC.ae.C42_5, and PC.ae.C38_6 were the most powerful predictors of early recurrence of pancreatic cancer.

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