Terror attacks, issue salience, and party competence: Diagnosing shifting vote preferences in a panel study

2019 ◽  
pp. 135406881989006
Author(s):  
S Erdem Aytaç ◽  
Ali Çarkoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Abrupt Change ◽  
Panel Study ◽  
Perceived Competence ◽  
Political Context ◽  
Issue Salience ◽  
Terror Attacks ◽  
Security Concerns ◽  
Dramatic Shift ◽  
Party Competence

How does a dramatic shift in political context that renders security concerns the most salient electoral issue influences voting? To address this question, we take advantage of the peculiar timing of elections and heightened terror attacks in Turkey with the use of original panel data. The June 2015 Turkish general election resulted in a hung parliament, and a snap election was held in November. While the period before June was relatively calm, the inter-election period witnessed an upsurge of terror attacks and casualties. A three-wave panel enables us to track how voters’ electoral preferences changed over this period. Our analyses suggest that the terror attacks led voters to prioritize parties’ perceived competence in addressing security concerns at the ballot box. The abrupt change in issue salience has bolstered support for the incumbent Justice and Development Party which was evaluated by voters as more competent than other parties.

Just Like Leaves in the Wind? Exploring the Effect of the Interplay of Media Coverage and Personal Characteristics on Issue Salience

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agatha Kratz ◽  
Harald Schoen
Keyword(s):  
Individual Differences ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Media Coverage ◽  
News Coverage ◽  
Personal Characteristics ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Issue Salience ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
The Impact

This chapter explores the effect of the interplay of personal characteristics and news coverage on issue salience during the 2009 to 2015 period and during the election campaign in 2013. We selected four topics that played a considerable role during this period: the labor market, pensions and healthcare, immigration, and the financial crisis. The evidence from pooled cross-sectional data and panel data supports the notion that news coverage affects citizens’ issue salience. For obtrusive issues, news coverage does not play as large a role as for rather remote topics like the financial crisis and immigration. The results also lend credence to the idea that political predilections and other individual differences are related to issue salience and constrain the impact of news coverage on voters’ issue salience. However, the evidence for the interplay of individual differences and media coverage proved mild at best.

scholarly journals Endogenous Selection Bias and Cumulative Inequality over the Life Course: Evidence from Educational Inequality in Subjective Well-Being

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 333-350
Author(s):  
Fabian Kratz ◽  
Alexander Patzina
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Life Course ◽  
Panel Study ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The United States ◽  
Subjective Well Being ◽  
Interviewer Effects ◽  
Endogenous Selection ◽  
The Life Course

Abstract According to theories of cumulative (dis-)advantage, inequality increases over the life course. Labour market research has seized this argument to explain the increasing economic inequality as people age. However, evidence for cumulative (dis-)advantage in subjective well-being remains ambiguous, and a prominent study from the United States has reported contradictory results. Here, we reconcile research on inequality in subjective well-being with theories of cumulative (dis-)advantage. We argue that the age-specific endogenous selection of the (survey) population results in decreasing inequalities in subjective well-being means whereas individual-level changes show a pattern of cumulative (dis-)advantage. Using repeated cross-sectional data from the European Social Survey (N = 15,252) and employing hierarchical age-period-cohort models, we replicate the finding of decreasing inequality from the United States with the same research design for Germany. Using panel data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (persons = 47,683, person-years = 360,306) and employing growth curve models, we show that this pattern of decreasing inequality in subjective well-being means is accompanied by increasing inequality in intra-individual subjective well-being changes. This pattern arises because disadvantaged groups, such as the low educated and individuals with low subjective well-being show lower probabilities of continuing to participate in a survey and because both determinants reinforce each other. In addition to allowing individual changes and attrition processes to be examined, the employed multi-cohort panel data have further key advantages for examining inequality in subjective well-being over the life course: They require weaker assumptions to control for period and cohort effects and make it possible to control for interviewer effects that may influence the results.

The Development of Political Interest Among Adolescents: A Communication Mediation Approach Using Five Waves of Panel Data

2017 ◽  
Vol 46 (8) ◽  
pp. 1055-1077 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Shehata ◽  
Erik Amnå
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
News Media ◽  
Media Use ◽  
Panel Study ◽  
Political Interest ◽  
Mediation Model ◽  
Opinion Formation ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Current Affairs

Political interest is one of the most important individual-level predictors of news media use, public opinion formation, and engagement. When, how, and why some citizens develop a strong interest in politics is, however, less clear. This study analyzes the development of political interest during the formative years of adolescence, using a five-wave panel study among Swedish adolescents, covering a period of 4 years. Based on the citizen communication mediation model, we analyze how interest in political and current affairs news among family and friends influence adolescents’ political interest. Taken together, while the findings lend support for several of the hypotheses, mechanisms, and processes derived from the communication mediation model, parents appear more important than peers when it comes to shaping adolescents’ political interest.

scholarly journals Work Role Residuals Among Fully Retired Individuals: Results of a 10-Year Panel Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 39 (7) ◽  
pp. 849-878 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marleen Damman ◽  
Kène Henkens
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Social Status ◽  
Theoretical Perspective ◽  
Panel Study ◽  
Work Role ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Prior Work ◽  
Work Related ◽  
A Minor ◽  
Heckman Selection

From a role theoretical perspective, it can be expected that individuals differ in the extent to which they experience aspects of the work role after they have fully retired from it. This study presents a measure of these “postretirement work role residuals” and examines them in relation to structural preretirement factors, psychological preretirement factors, and the nature of the retirement transition. Heckman selection models were estimated based on three-wave panel data collected among 848 older Dutch individuals who were employed at Wave 1 and fully retired thereafter. Although for the majority of retirees prior work plays only a minor role in their current lives, also for a considerable share prior work is still important. Higher levels of postretirement work role residuals were observed among those who expected to miss work-related social status in retirement, who were less disengaged from work in preretirement years, and among those who retired involuntarily.

Do Canadians Distinguish Between Parties? Perceptions of Party Competence

1990 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 317-333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Nadeau ◽  
André Blais
Keyword(s):  
Democratic Party ◽  
Conservative Party ◽  
Perceived Competence ◽  
Government Performance ◽  
International Affairs ◽  
Gallup Poll ◽  
Party Competence ◽  
Poll Data ◽  
New Democratic Party

AbstractThis study examines perceptions of party competence in four issue areas: inflation, unemployment, international affairs and Canadian unity. Using Gallup poll data from a 35-year period, the study shows that in three of the four issue areas Canadians clearly distinguish between parties. These distinctions do not merely reflect party popularity and are durable rather than immutable; perceptions change slowly but do respond to government performance. Canadians see the greatest differences between parties with respect to international affairs and Canadian unity; the Liberals enjoy a substantial lead on these two questions. On inflation, perceived competence tends to reflect popularity while on unemployment, Canadians have greater confidence in the New Democratic party. On all issues, the Conservative party image has substantially improved under the Mulroney government.

scholarly journals The Various Effects of Technology Trade on the Sustainable Market Value of Firms in OECD Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 12671
Author(s):  
Hyunchul Lee ◽  
Kyungtag Lee ◽  
Jong Ha Lee
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Panel Study ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Nonlinear Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Specific Effects ◽  
Panel Regressions ◽  
Sustainable Value

This study explores the various effects of technology trade on the sustainable market value of firms in 36 OECD member countries using panel data estimations. To proxy technology trade activities, our study uses the technology export and import growths of intellectual property rights (IPRs). We suggest that technology imports, proxied by IPR imports, increase the market value of firms in our sample countries. The net technology imports (exports) are also positively (negatively) associated with the sustainable value of the firms. We use panel data regression to analyze the specific effects of the trade (i.e., imports and exports) of technology assets, proxied by IPRs, on the market value of firms proxied by country benchmark composite stock returns in 36 OECD member countries. For robustness, our study uses an instrumental variable estimation to check for the possible effects of endogeneity biases for the baseline results. System dynamic panel regressions further examine the effect of the dependent variable’s persistence. We find evidence of nonlinear effects for IPR exports and net IPR trade on the sustainable market value of firms. The positive effect of technology imports on the market value of firms is stronger at the lower and middle levels of the distribution of the firm value of stock returns, and this suggest heterogenous effects of technology trade across the quantiles. Overall, the empirical findings from our panel study suggest that the positive effects of technology trade for the market value of firms are due to the effect of its imports rather than exports.

scholarly journals When the World Around You Is Changing: Investigating the Influence of Alienation and Indifference on Voter Turnout

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Wuttke
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
Voter Turnout ◽  
Perceived Competence ◽  
Political Context ◽  
The Political ◽  
Electoral Participation ◽  
Oxford University ◽  
The World ◽  
Previous Election ◽  
Over Time

This chapter investigates the amount of variability in individual turnout decisions over time and its dependence on the changing characteristics of political parties as one feature of the political context. Electoral participation in the German federal elections from 1994 to 2013 was characterized by inertia for most eligible voters. However, one reason for dynamics in turnout behavior is changes in individual alienation with regard to the political parties. When voters develop a more favorable view of the political parties than in the previous election in terms of the parties’ generalized evaluation or perceived competence, then they are motivated to switch from abstention to voting (and vice versa). But the political parties’ capacity to raise turnout rates is rather narrow compared to the influence of other determinants, such as the perceived duty to vote.Wuttke, Alexander (2017). "When the world around you is changing: Investigating the Influence of Alienation and Indifference on Voter Turnout", in: Schoen, Harald; Roßteutscher, Sigrid; Schmitt-Beck, Rüdiger; Weßels, Bernhard; Wolf, Christof (eds.): "Voters and Voting in Context", Oxford University Press, pp. pp. 146–166.

Are Millennials Really Particularly Selfish? Preliminary Evidence From a Cross-Sectional Sample in the Philanthropy Panel Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 63 (14) ◽  
pp. 1965-1982 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Koczanski ◽  
Harvey S. Rosen
Keyword(s):  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Prosocial Behavior ◽  
Panel Study ◽  
Preliminary Evidence ◽  
Demographic Variables ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Charitable Donations ◽  
Causal Mechanisms

We use panel data on charitable donations to analyze how the philanthropic behavior of Millennials (born between 1981 and 1996) compares with that of earlier generations. On the basis of a multivariate analysis with a rich set of economic and demographic variables, we find that conditional on making a gift, one cannot reject the hypothesis that Millennials donate more than members of earlier generations. However, Millennials are somewhat less likely to make any donations at all than their generational predecessors. While our data do not allow us to explore causal mechanisms, our findings suggest a more nuanced view of the Millennials’ prosocial behavior than is depicted in popular accounts.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document