scholarly journals Traffic congestion prediction based on GPS trajectory data

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. 155014771984744 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuming Sun ◽  
Juan Chen ◽  
Jian Sun
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Trajectory Data ◽  
Congestion Prediction ◽  
Gps Trajectory Data ◽  
Conventional Machine ◽  
Gps Trajectory ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Since speed sensors are not as widely used as GPS devices, the traffic congestion level is predicted based on processed GPS trajectory data in this article. Hidden Markov model is used to match GPS trajectory data to road network and the average speed of road sections can be estimated by adjacent GPS trajectory data. Four deep learning models including convolutional neural network, recurrent neural network, long short-term memory, and gated recurrent unit and three conventional machine learning models including autoregressive integrated moving average model, support vector regression, and ridge regression are used to perform congestion level prediction. According to the experimental results, deep learning models obtain higher accuracy in traffic congestion prediction compared with conventional machine learning models.

scholarly journals Early Warning System for Online STEM Learning—A Slimmer Approach Using Recurrent Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 12461
Author(s):  
Chih-Chang Yu ◽  
Yufeng (Leon) Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
At Risk ◽  
At Risk Students ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Conventional Machine ◽  
Machine Learning Models

While the use of deep neural networks is popular for predicting students’ learning outcomes, convolutional neural network (CNN)-based methods are used more often. Such methods require numerous features, training data, or multiple models to achieve week-by-week predictions. However, many current learning management systems (LMSs) operated by colleges cannot provide adequate information. To make the system more feasible, this article proposes a recurrent neural network (RNN)-based framework to identify at-risk students who might fail the course using only a few common learning features. RNN-based methods can be more effective than CNN-based methods in identifying at-risk students due to their ability to memorize time-series features. The data used in this study were collected from an online course that teaches artificial intelligence (AI) at a university in northern Taiwan. Common features, such as the number of logins, number of posts and number of homework assignments submitted, are considered to train the model. This study compares the prediction results of the RNN model with the following conventional machine learning models: logistic regression, support vector machines, decision trees and random forests. This work also compares the performance of the RNN model with two neural network-based models: the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and a CNN-based model. The experimental results demonstrate that the RNN model used in this study is better than conventional machine learning models and the MLP in terms of F-score, while achieving similar performance to the CNN-based model with fewer parameters. Our study shows that the designed RNN model can identify at-risk students once one-third of the semester has passed. Some future directions are also discussed.

scholarly journals Predicting S&P 500 Market Price by Deep Neural Network and Enemble Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 02040
Author(s):  
Feiyu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Conventional Machine ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The method to predict the movement of stock market has appealed to scientists for decades. In this article, we use three different models to tackle that problem. In particular, we propose a Deep Neural Network (DNN) to predict the intraday direction of SP500 index and compare the DNN with two conventional machine learning models, i.e. linear regression, support vector machine. We demonstrate that DNN is able to predict SP500 index with relatively highest accuracy.

Prediction of aircraft estimated time of arrival using machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
O. Basturk ◽  
C. Cetek
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Web Application ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Time Of Arrival ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Trajectory Data ◽  
Different Sources ◽  
Machine Learning Models

ABSTRACT In this study, prediction of aircraft Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) is proposed using machine learning algorithms. Accurate prediction of ETA is important for management of delay and air traffic flow, runway assignment, gate assignment, collaborative decision making (CDM), coordination of ground personnel and equipment, and optimisation of arrival sequence etc. Machine learning is able to learn from experience and make predictions with weak assumptions or no assumptions at all. In the proposed approach, general flight information, trajectory data and weather data were obtained from different sources in various formats. Raw data were converted to tidy data and inserted into a relational database. To obtain the features for training the machine learning models, the data were explored, cleaned and transformed into convenient features. New features were also derived from the available data. Random forests and deep neural networks were used to train the machine learning models. Both models can predict the ETA with a mean absolute error (MAE) less than 6min after departure, and less than 3min after terminal manoeuvring area (TMA) entrance. Additionally, a web application was developed to dynamically predict the ETA using proposed models.

scholarly journals Automated Retraining of Machine Learning Models

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 445-452
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Model ◽  
Crucial Component ◽  
Conventional Machine ◽  
Over Time ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Data is the most crucial component of a successful ML system. Once a machine learning model is developed, it gets obsolete over time due to presence of new input data being generated every second. In order to keep our predictions accurate we need to find a way to keep our models up to date. Our research work involves finding a mechanism which can retrain the model with new data automatically. This research also involves exploring the possibilities of automating machine learning processes. We started this project by training and testing our model using conventional machine learning methods. The outcome was then compared with the outcome of those experiments conducted using the AutoML methods like TPOT. This helped us in finding an efficient technique to retrain our models. These techniques can be used in areas where people do not deal with the actual working of a ML model but only require the outputs of ML processes

First-Break Picking Classification Models Using Recurrent Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Ayub ◽  
SanLinn Kaka
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Contextual Information ◽  
Classification Model ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Minimum Number ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Manual first-break picking from a large volume of seismic data is extremely tedious and costly. Deployment of machine learning models makes the process fast and cost effective. However, these machine learning models require high representative and effective features for accurate automatic picking. Therefore, First- Break (FB) picking classification model that uses effective minimum number of features and promises performance efficiency is proposed. The variants of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) such as Long ShortTerm Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) can retain contextual information from long previous time steps. We deploy this advantage for FB picking as seismic traces are amplitude values of vibration along the time-axis. We use behavioral fluctuation of amplitude as input features for LSTM and GRU. The models are trained on noisy data and tested for generalization on original traces not seen during the training and validation process. In order to analyze the real-time suitability, the performance is benchmarked using accuracy, F1-measure and three other established metrics. We have trained two RNN models and two deep Neural Network models for FB classification using only amplitude values as features. Both LSTM and GRU have the accuracy and F1-measure with a score of 94.20%. With the same features, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has an accuracy of 93.58% and F1-score of 93.63%. Again, Deep Neural Network (DNN) model has scores of 92.83% and 92.59% as accuracy and F1-measure, respectively. From the pexperiment results, we see significant superior performance of LSTM and GRU to CNN and DNN when used the same features. For robustness of LSTM and GRU models, the performance is compared with DNN model that is trained using nine features derived from seismic traces and observed that the performance superiority of RNN models. Therefore, it is safe to conclude that RNN models (LSTM and GRU) are capable of classifying the FB events efficiently even by using a minimum number of features that are not computationally expensive. The novelty of our work is the capability of automatic FB classification with the RNN models that incorporate contextual behavioral information without the need for sophisticated feature extraction or engineering techniques that in turn can help in reducing the cost and fostering classification model robust and faster.

Building-damage detection method based on machine learning utilizing aerial photographs of the Kumamoto earthquake

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 1166-1187 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shohei Naito ◽  
Hiromitsu Tomozawa ◽  
Yuji Mori ◽  
Takeshi Nagata ◽  
Naokazu Monma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Visual Interpretation ◽  
Damage Classification ◽  
Kumamoto Earthquake ◽  
Machine Learning Models

This article presents a method for detecting damaged buildings in the event of an earthquake using machine learning models and aerial photographs. We initially created training data for machine learning models using aerial photographs captured around the town of Mashiki immediately after the main shock of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake. All buildings are classified into one of the four damage levels by visual interpretation. Subsequently, two damage discrimination models are developed: a bag-of-visual-words model and a model based on a convolutional neural network. Results are compared and validated in terms of accuracy, revealing that the latter model is preferable. Moreover, for the convolutional neural network model, the target areas are expanded and the recalls of damage classification at the four levels range approximately from 66% to 81%.

scholarly journals Chained Anomaly Detection Models for Federated Learning: An Intrusion Detection Case Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davy Preuveneers ◽  
Vera Rimmer ◽  
Ilias Tsingenopoulos ◽  
Jan Spooren ◽  
Wouter Joosen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Intrusion Detection ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Traditional System ◽  
Blockchain Technology ◽  
Malicious Behavior ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The adoption of machine learning and deep learning is on the rise in the cybersecurity domain where these AI methods help strengthen traditional system monitoring and threat detection solutions. However, adversaries too are becoming more effective in concealing malicious behavior amongst large amounts of benign behavior data. To address the increasing time-to-detection of these stealthy attacks, interconnected and federated learning systems can improve the detection of malicious behavior by joining forces and pooling together monitoring data. The major challenge that we address in this work is that in a federated learning setup, an adversary has many more opportunities to poison one of the local machine learning models with malicious training samples, thereby influencing the outcome of the federated learning and evading detection. We present a solution where contributing parties in federated learning can be held accountable and have their model updates audited. We describe a permissioned blockchain-based federated learning method where incremental updates to an anomaly detection machine learning model are chained together on the distributed ledger. By integrating federated learning with blockchain technology, our solution supports the auditing of machine learning models without the necessity to centralize the training data. Experiments with a realistic intrusion detection use case and an autoencoder for anomaly detection illustrate that the increased complexity caused by blockchain technology has a limited performance impact on the federated learning, varying between 5 and 15%, while providing full transparency over the distributed training process of the neural network. Furthermore, our blockchain-based federated learning solution can be generalized and applied to more sophisticated neural network architectures and other use cases.

scholarly journals Fraudulent Face Image Detection

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 03005
Author(s):  
Rahul Awhad ◽  
Saurabh Jayswal ◽  
Adesh More ◽  
Jyoti Kundale
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Face Image ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Image Detection ◽  
Software Applications ◽  
Support Vector Classifier ◽  
The Face ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Due to the growing advancements in technology, many software applications are being developed to modify and edit images. Such software can be used to alter images. Nowadays, an altered image is so realistic that it becomes too difficult for a person to identify whether the image is fake or real. Such software applications can be used to alter the image of a person’s face also. So, it becomes very difficult to identify whether the image of the face is real or not. Our proposed system is used to identify whether the image of a face is fake or real. The proposed system makes use of machine learning. The system makes use of a convolution neural network and support vector classifier. Both these machine learning models are trained using real as well as fake images. Both these trained models will take an image as an input and will determine whether the image is fake or real.

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