Fumbling Toward Foresight
This personal reflection describes the evolution of the author’s relationship with The Future on his interdisciplinary research journey from the 1990’s to the present. It begins with an overview of his University work and discovery of Augmentation Research from which he derives a definition of Enabling Technologies that he tried to combine in an informal digital library venture called The Continuity Project. When further progress was blocked by technological impediments, he shifted gears to establish a formal long-term R&D focused 501(c)(3) Public Charity called The Institute for End User Computing, Inc. that ultimately failed due to regulatory compliance costs associated with premature incorporation as the Future diverged from the organization’s assumptions. Through this period, the author came to recognize a growing crisis in the academy that inspired him to launch his current initiative—an unincorporated association dedicated to exploring University Futures called Founders’ Quadrangle. In researching this new project, he discovered the Foresight literature which transformed his thinking about The Future and empowered him to formulate The Academic Sublime—a vision of his preferred future for the University with a set of core tenants against which possible futures and responses to them might be evaluated. He then engaged in Backcasting through a series of developmental stages leading to a distant future of academic city-states. Of particular note was his recognition that traditional colleges and universities are precluded from exploring many possible futures by the current regulatory schema under which they operate leading him to propose a new legal analytic framework of entities like Founders’ Quadrangle—to be called Quasi Academic Enterprises (QAE’s)—which are driven by the avoidance of regulatory impedance mismatch in their pursuit of The Academic Sublime. The paper closes with an overview of contemplated future work