scholarly journals The rise in the number of long-term survivors from different diseases can slow the increase in life expectancy of the total population

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcus Ebeling ◽  
Anna C. Meyer ◽  
Karin Modig

Abstract Background Recent improvements in life expectancy in many countries stem from reduced mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer above the age of 60. This is the combined result of decreased incidence and improved survival among those with disease. The latter has led to a higher proportion in the population of people with a past history of disease. This is a group with higher mortality than the general population. How growing shares of persons with past history of disease and improved survival with disease have affected changes in life expectancy of the total population is the objective of this paper. Methods Using register data for the total Swedish population, we stratified the population based on whether individuals have been diagnosed with myocardial infarction, stroke, hip fracture, colon cancer, or breast cancer. Using a novel decomposition approach, we decomposed the changes in life expectancy at age 60 between 1994 and 2016 into contributions from improved survival with disease and from changes in proportion of people with past history of disease. Results Improvements in survival from disease resulted in gains of life expectancy for the total population. However, while the contributions to life expectancy improvements from myocardial infarction, stroke and breast cancer were substantial, the contributions from the other diseases were minor. These gains were counteracted, to various degrees, by the increasing proportion of people with raised mortality due to a past history of disease. For instance, the impact on life expectancy by improved survival from breast cancer was almost halved by the increasing share of females with a past history of breast cancer. Conclusion Rising numbers of survivors of different diseases can slow the increase in life expectancy. This dynamic may represent the costs associated with successful treatment of diseases, and thus, a potential “failure of success.” This dynamic should be considered when assessing mortality and life expectancy trends. As populations are aging and disease survival continues to improve, this issue is likely to become even more important in the future.

BMC Medicine ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna C. Meyer ◽  
Sven Drefahl ◽  
Anders Ahlbom ◽  
Mats Lambe ◽  
Karin Modig

Abstract Background During the past decades, life expectancy has continued to increase in most high-income countries. Previous research suggests that improvements in life expectancy have primarily been driven by advances at the upper end of the health distribution, while parts of the population have lagged behind. Using data from the entire Swedish population, this study aims to examine the life expectancy development among subgroups of individuals with a history of common diseases relative to that of the general population. Methods The remaining life expectancy at age 65 was estimated for each year in 1998–2017 among individuals with a history of disease, and for the total Swedish population. We defined population subgroups as individuals with a history of myocardial infarction, ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, hip fracture, or colon, breast, or lung cancer. We further distinguished between different educational levels and Charlson comorbidity index scores. Results Life expectancy gains have been larger for men and women with a history of myocardial infarction, ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, and colon or breast cancer than for the general population. The life expectancy gap between individuals with a history of hip fracture or lung cancer and the general population has, however, been growing. Education and comorbidity have affected mortality levels, but have not altered the rate of increase in life expectancy among individuals with disease history. The female advantage in life expectancy was less pronounced among individuals with disease history than among the general population. Conclusions Life expectancy has increased faster in many subpopulations with a history of disease than in the general population, while still remaining at lower levels. Improvements in life expectancy have been observed regardless of comorbidity or educational level. These findings suggest that the rise in overall life expectancy reflects more than just improved survival among the healthy or the delayed onset of disease.


Kardiologiia ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (5) ◽  
pp. 36-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Yu. Sedykh ◽  
A. N. Kazantsev ◽  
R. S. Tarasov ◽  
V. V. Kashtalap ◽  
A. N. Volkov ◽  
...  

Purpose. Determination of clinical and instrumental predictors of progressive course of multifocal atherosclerosis (MFA) in patients one year after myocardial infarction (MI), initially having hemodynamically insignificant stenoses of carotid arteries.Materials and methods. From database of patients with acute coronary syndrome treated in the Kemerovo Regional Clinical Cardiac Dispensary in 2009–2010 we selected for this study 141 patients with verified diagnosis of MI and hemodynamically insignificant lesions in the internal carotid artery (ICA) (stenosis up ≤ 55 %). All patients had coronary atherosclerosis verified on coronary angiography at admission because of MI. A multivariate analysis of possible predictors of the progressive course of multifocal atherosclerosis was made based on assessment of the development of cardiovascular complications (CVC) (death, MI, stroke and transient cerebral circulatory attacks [TIA]), as well as revascularizations and negative dynamics of parameters of color duplex scanning (CDS) of ICA during one year after MI. Results. One year after MI the overall incidence of CVC was 16.3 % (n=23). Structure of registered events was as follows: death from MI 7.1 % (n=10), deaths from stroke 2.1 % (n=3) and other causes 2.1 % (n=3), non-fatal MI 5.0 % (n=7), non-fatal stroke / TIA 2.1 % (n=3), carotid revascularization 2.8 % (n=4), coronary revascularization 14.9 % (n=21). CDC of ICAs was repeated in 125 patients. There were 17 (13.6 %) cases of progression of carotid atherosclerosis in the form of de novo bilateral stenoses in 14 (11.2 %) patients, stenoses in the left and right ICA 1 patient and 2 patients, respectively. The following predictors of progression of atherosclerosis of cerebral arteries were identified: family history of cardiovascular diseases (CVD),ICA stenosis ≥45 %, baseline circular atherosclerotic plaque (ASP). Predictors of high risk of stroke were family history of CVD, history of stroke,ICA stenosis ≥45 %, heterogeneous hypoechoic ASP. As predictors of lethal outcome, we identified history of MI, high functional class of angina preceding the index MI, severe coronary vascular bed involvement (SYNTAX score >23), presence of any bilateral atherosclerotic lesion in ICAs, and heterogeneous hypoechoic ASP. Assessment of the contribution of adherence to therapy in the prognosis 1 year after hospital discharge was fulfilled in 125 alive patients. It allowed to conclude that patients with progression of atherosclerosis and nonfatal CVC were characterized by insufficient adherence to standard therapy.Conclusion. Predictors of the progressive course of multifocal atherosclerosis during one year after MI were identified in this study. It is necessary to strengthen therapeutic and preventive measures aimed at minimization of the impact of these factors in this category of patients.   


2003 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 143-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
Menno E van der Elst ◽  
Nelly Cisneros-Gonzalez ◽  
Cornelis J de Blaey ◽  
Henk Buurma ◽  
Anthonius de Boer

OBJECTIVE To examine the use of oral antithrombotics (i.e., antiplatelet agents, oral anticoagulants) after myocardial infarction (MI) in the Netherlands from 1988 to 1998. METHODS Retrospective follow-up of 3800 patients with MI, using data from the PHARMO Record Linkage System. RESULTS From 1988 to 1998, oral antithrombotic treatment increased significantly from 54.0% to 88.9%. In 1998, only 75.8% of patients who experienced a MI in the late 1980s received oral antithrombotic treatment compared with 94.4% of those who experienced a recent MI. CONCLUSIONS Oral antithrombotics were considerably underused in patients with a past history of MI. Therefore, these patients should be reviewed for antithrombotic therapy to assess whether their failure to use oral antithrombotics was right or wrong, and whether treatment should be initiated if possible.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10598-10598
Author(s):  
Reshma L. Mahtani ◽  
Alexander Niyazov ◽  
Katie Lewis ◽  
Lucy Massey ◽  
Alex Rider ◽  
...  

10598 Background: African Americans (AA) have the highest breast cancer (BC) mortality rate. Access to treatment is a known contributing factor. In the past 4 years, several targeted therapies for HER2- BC have become available which require testing for specific biomarkers. This study assessed the impact of race on biomarker testing rates in HER2- ABC pts receiving treatment in the US. Methods: Oncologists were recruited to abstract data from medical charts for the next 8-10 pts receiving treatment with HER2- ABC during Sept 2019-Apr 2020. Pts records were stratified by race and categorized into 3 mutually exclusive cohorts [White/Caucasian (White), AA, Other]. The other race cohort was excluded from this analysis due to small sample size. Differences in pt demographics/clinical characteristics were analyzed via Fisher’s exact tests. Testing rates for actionable biomarkers (i.e. BRCA1/2, PIK3CA, PD-L1) were compared between White and AA pts utilizing logistic regressions controlling for age, known family history of a BRCA-related cancer, hormone receptor (HR) status and practice setting (academic vs. community). Further analyses by age will be presented. Results: This analysis included 378 pts records, provided by 40 oncologists. Mean age was 64 years; 77% had HR+/HER2- ABC; 20% had advanced triple negative breast cancer (TNBC), 3% had ABC with an unknown HR status. Compared to White pts, AA pts were significantly more likely to have advanced TNBC (27% vs. 18%, p<0.05). Compared to White pts, AA pts had significantly lower BRCA1/2 mutation (mut) testing rates (Table). Numerically lower rates of PIK3CAmut and PD-L1 testing were observed among AA pts (Table). BRCA1/2mut positivity rate (germline [g] and/or somatic [s]) was higher among AA vs. White pts (30% vs. 22%). Positivity rate for PIK3CAmut was lower for AA vs. White pts (8% vs. 11%). Conclusions: A higher than expected BRCA1/2mut positivity rate was observed than previously reported in the literature. This is likely because this analysis included s BRCA1/2mut and represented a high risk pt population. Across all biomarkers assessed, AA pts had lower testing rates than White pts. This suggests racial disparities in testing rates of actionable biomarkers. Consistent with guidelines, and with the increased availability of targeted therapies, focused efforts should be developed to increase biomarker testing in AA pts. Funding: Pfizer Biomarker Testing Rates by Race.[Table: see text]


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Anguita ◽  
A Sambola Ayala ◽  
J Elola ◽  
J L Bernal ◽  
C Fernandez ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Recent studies reported a decrease in the mortality of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. This favorable evolution could not extend to women. The interaction between gender and mortality in STEMI remains controversial. Purpose To assess the impact of female sex on mortality of patients with STEMI through of period of 11 years. Methods We conducted a retrospective longitudinal study using information provided by the minimal database system of the Spanish National Health System to identify all hospitalizations in patients aged 35–94 years with the principal diagnosis of STEMI from 2005–2015. Results A total of 325,017 STEMI were identified. Of them, 273,182 were included, and 106,277 (38.8%) were women. Women were older than men and had more comorbidities. Through the study period 53% men vs 37.2% underwent PTCA; women presented more frequently heart failure, shock and stroke than men (p<0.001, respectively). The mean crude in-hospital mortality rate for the whole study period was higher in women (OR: 2.18; 95% CI: 2.12.-2.23, p<0.0001). Female sex was independently associated with higher in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.14–1.22, p<0.001) (Table 1). The risk was maintained through the whole study period (lower OR: 1.14 in 2014; higher OR: 1.28 in 2006). Table 1. Variables independently associated with in-hospital mortality adjusted by risk in a multilevel logistic regression model, 2005–2015 STEMI In-hospital mortality Odds Ratio P 95% CI Woman 1.18 <0.001 1.14 1.22 Age 1.06 <0.001 1.06 1.06 History of PTCA 1.58 <0.001 1.40 1.77 Congestive heart failure 1.26 <0.001 1.22 1.30 Acute Myocardial Infarction 1.84 <0.001 1.54 2.20 Anterior myocardial infarction 1.47 <0.001 1.23 1.76 Cardio-respiratory failure or shock 15.25 <0.001 14.78 15.75 Hypertension 0.81 <0.001 0.79 0.84 Stroke 5.76 <0.001 5.18 6.42 Cerebrovascular disease 0.86 <0.001 0.79 0.93 Renal failure 1.95 <0.001 1.88 2.02 Vascular disease and complications 7.03 <0.001 5.72 8.63 CI, Confidence Interval. Conclusions Female sex is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with STEMI in Spain, maintaining through a period of the 11 years.


Author(s):  
Wei-Ti Su ◽  
Shao-Chun Wu ◽  
Sheng-En Chou ◽  
Chun-Ying Huang ◽  
Shiun-Yuan Hsu ◽  
...  

Background: Hyperglycemia at admission is associated with an increase in worse outcomes in trauma patients. However, admission hyperglycemia is not only due to diabetic hyperglycemia (DH), but also stress-induced hyperglycemia (SIH). This study was designed to evaluate the mortality rates between adult moderate-to-severe thoracoabdominal injury patients with admission hyperglycemia as DH or SIH and in patients with nondiabetic normoglycemia (NDN) at a level 1 trauma center. Methods: Patients with a glucose level ≥200 mg/dL upon arrival at the hospital emergency department were diagnosed with admission hyperglycemia. Diabetes mellitus (DM) was diagnosed when patients had an admission glycohemoglobin A1c ≥6.5% or had a past history of DM. Admission hyperglycemia related to DH and SIH was diagnosed in patients with and without DM. Patients who had a thoracoabdominal Abbreviated Injury Scale score <3, a polytrauma, a burn injury and were below 20 years of age were excluded. A total of 52 patients with SIH, 79 patients with DH, and 621 patients with NDN were included from the registered trauma database between 1 January 2009, and 31 December 2018. To reduce the confounding effects of sex, age, comorbidities, and injury severity of patients in assessing the mortality rate, different 1:1 propensity score-matched patient populations were established to assess the impact of admission hyperglycemia (SIH or DH) vs. NDN, as well as SIH vs. DH, on the outcomes. Results: DH was significantly more frequent in older patients (61.4 ± 13.7 vs. 49.8 ± 17.2 years, p < 0.001) and in patients with higher incidences of preexisting hypertension (2.5% vs. 0.3%, p < 0.001) and congestive heart failure (3.8% vs. 1.9%, p = 0.014) than NDN. On the contrary, SIH had a higher injury severity score (median [Q1–Q3], 20 [15–22] vs. 13 [10–18], p < 0.001) than DH. In matched patient populations, patients with either SIH or DH had a significantly higher mortality rate than NDN patients (10.6% vs. 0.0%, p = 0.022, and 5.3% vs. 0.0%, p = 0.043, respectively). However, the mortality rate was insignificantly different between SIH and DH (11.4% vs. 8.6%, odds ratio, 1.4; 95% confidence interval, 0.29–6.66; p = 0.690). Conclusion: This study revealed that admission hyperglycemia in the patients with thoracoabdominal injuries had a higher mortality rate than NDN patients with or without adjusting the differences in patient’s age, sex, comorbidities, and injury severity.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie Abildgaard ◽  
Magnus Glindvad Ahlström ◽  
Gedske Daugaard ◽  
Dorte Lisbet Nielsen ◽  
Anette Tønnes Pedersen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Current international guidelines recommend systemic hormone therapy (HT) to oophorectomized women until the age of natural menopause. Despite an inherited predisposition to estrogen-dependent malignancies, the guidelines also apply to women oophorectomized because of a family history of cancer. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of HT on mortality and risk of cancer in women oophorectomized because of a family history of cancer. Methods A nationwide, population-based cohort was used to study women oophorectomized because of a family history of cancer (n = 2002). Comparison cohorts included women from the background population individually matched on age (n = 18 018). Oophorectomized women were subdivided into three groups: oophorectomized at 1) age 45 years or younger not using HT, 2) age 45 years or younger using HT, 3) older than age 45 years, and their respective population comparison cohorts. Results Women oophorectomized at age 45 years or younger using HT had increased overall mortality (mortality rate ratio [MRR] = 3.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.53 to 7.79), mortality because of cancer (MRR = 5.67, 95% CI = 1.86 to 17.34), and risk of overall cancer (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 3.68, 95% CI = 1.93 − 6.98), primarily reflected in an increased risk of breast cancer (IRR = 4.88, 95% CI = 2.19 − 10.68). Women oophorectomized at age 45 years or younger not using HT and women oophorectomized at older than age 45 years did not have increased mortality, mortality because of cancer, or risk of overall cancer, but they had increased risk of breast cancer (IRR = 2.64, 95% CI = 1.14 to 6.13, and IRR = 1.72, 95% CI = 1.14 to 2.59, respectively). Conclusions Use of HT in women oophorectomized at age 45 years or younger with a family history of cancer is associated with increased mortality and risk of overall cancer and breast cancer. Our study warrants further investigation to establish the impact of HT on mortality and cancer risk in oophorectomized women with a family history of cancer.


2018 ◽  
Vol 149 ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
J. Gillen ◽  
M. Rowland ◽  
A.Y. Liu ◽  
S. Vesely ◽  
B. Powell ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 105 (04) ◽  
pp. 670-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Schatke ◽  
Hannah Wolferstetter ◽  
Jakob Mueller ◽  
Albert Schömig ◽  
Adnan Kastrati ◽  
...  

SummaryIn a genome-wide scan, isolated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), including rs17465637, in the melanoma inhibitory activity 3 gene (MIA3) on chromosome 1 were identified to be associated with coronary artery disease and myocardial infarction (MI). Because the role of common variation at the MIA3 locus has not yet been investigated, the aim of this case-control study was to determine the impact of haplotype-tagging SNPs and haplotypes in the MIA3 region on the risk of MI. In a set of nine haplotype-tagging SNPs, rs17465637, but none of the other SNPs, was associated with MI. After adjustments were made for age, gender, history of arterial hypertension, history of hyper-cholesterolaemia, current cigarette smoking and diabetes mellitus, multiple logistic regression analyses showed an increased risk in the carriers of one or two C alleles [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04–1.32, and 1.37, 95% CI 1.08–1.74, respectively]. Nine common haplotypes (frequency >1%) were established across the MIA3 region. Two of the haplotypes were associated with an increased risk of MI: the frequent (48%) TGACCAAAG haplotype and the rare (2%) CGACCAAAG haplotype (adjusted OR 1.102, 95% CI 1.002–1.212, and 1.574, 95% CI 1.077–2.298, respectively). Showing association between rs17465637 and MI, this work was consistent with results from the original detection study and most prior replication studies addressing this issue. In addition to correspond with such isolated evidence of association with MI, the present study identified specific haplotypes capturing the risk-related variation in the entire MIA3 region.


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