scholarly journals Predictive Capacity of Three Comorbidity Indices in Estimating Mortality After Surgery for Colon Cancer

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (26) ◽  
pp. 4339-4345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert B. Hines ◽  
Chakrapani Chatla ◽  
Harvey L. Bumpers ◽  
John W. Waterbor ◽  
Gerald McGwin ◽  
...  

Purpose Although, for patients with cancer, comorbidity can affect the timing of cancer detection, treatment, and prognosis, there is little information relating to the question of whether the choice of comorbidity index affects the results of studies. Therefore, to compare the association of comorbidity with mortality after surgery for colon cancer, this study evaluated the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 (ACE-27), the National Institute on Aging (NIA) and National Cancer Institute (NCI) Comorbidity Index, and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Patients and Methods The study population consisted of colon cancer patients (N = 496) who underwent surgery at the University of Alabama at Birmingham Hospital from 1981 to 2002. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were obtained using the method of Cox proportional hazards for the three comorbidity indices in predicting overall and colon cancer–specific mortality. The point estimates obtained for comorbidity and other risk factors across the three models were compared. Results For each index, the highest comorbidity burden was significantly associated with poorer overall survival (ACE-27: HR = 1.63; 95% CI, 1.24 to 2.15; NIA/NCI: HR = 1.83; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.61; CCI: HR = 1.46; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.88) as well as colon cancer–specific survival. For the other risk factors, there was little variation in the point estimates across the three models. Conclusion The results obtained from these three indices were strikingly similar. For patients with severe comorbidity, all three indices were statistically significant in predicting shorter survival after surgery for colon cancer.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3542-3542
Author(s):  
Yvonne Sada ◽  
Zhigang Duan ◽  
Hashem El-Serag ◽  
Jessica Davila

3542 Background: Stage IV colon cancer treatment may include resection of the primary tumor. Current use of primary tumor surgery (PTS) in clinical practice is unknown. This study examined utilization and determinants of PTS and evaluated its effect on survival. Methods: Using national Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry data, stage IV colon cancer patients diagnosed from 1998-2008 were identified. Data on demographics, PTS, and tumor features were collected. Temporal changes in receipt of PTS were examined over 3 periods (1998-2000, 2001-2004, 2005-2008). Multiple logistic regression was used to identify significant determinants of PTS. 1- and 3-year cancer-specific survival was calculated in PTS and non-PTS patients. Cox proportional hazards models examined the effect of PTS on mortality risk. Results: 16,029 patients were identified. Median age was 69 (IQR: 57-78), and 50% were male. Approximately 67% of patients received PTS. Receipt of PTS significantly declined from 72% in 1998-2000 to 68% in 2001-2004, and 63% in 2005-2008 (p<0.01). Results from the logistic regression analysis showed that patients who were younger, white, married, had right sided cancer and higher tumor grade were more likely to receive PTS (all p<0.01). The 1- and 3-year survival was higher in patients who received PTS compared with those who did not (1-year: 55% (95% CI: 54-56) vs. 24% (95% CI: 23-26); 3-year: 19% (95% CI: 19-20) vs. 4% (95%CI: 3.4-4.9)). Adjusted for demographics and tumor features, risk of mortality was 54% (HR=0.46; 95% CI: 0.44-0.48) lower in patients who received PTS than those without PTS. Recent year of diagnosis (HR=0.88; 95% CI: 0.75-0.80) and being married (HR=0.90, 95% CI: 0.86-0.95) were associated with lower mortality. Older age (HR=1.48; 95% CI: 1.39-1.56), black race (HR=1.09; 95% CI: 1.03-1.15), right sided cancer (HR=1.21; 95% CI: 1.17-1.26), and poorly differentiated tumors (HR= 1.62; 95% CI: 1.46-1.80) were associated with increased mortality. Conclusions: PTS utilization for stage IV colon cancer has significantly declined, yet survival was higher in patients who received PTS. However, these findings are limited by the absence of co-morbidity and chemotherapy data.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xing-kang He ◽  
Wenrui Wu ◽  
Yu-e Ding ◽  
Yue Li ◽  
Lei-min Sun ◽  
...  

Background. In terms of incidence and pathogenesis, right-sided colon cancer (RCC) and left-sided colon cancer (LCC) exhibit several differences. However, whether existing differences could reflect the different survival outcomes remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to ascertain the role of location in the prognosis. Methods. We identified colon cancer cases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 1973 and 2012. Differences among subsites of colon cancer regarding clinical features and metastatic patterns were compared. The Kaplan-Meier curves were conducted to compare overall and disease-specific survival in relation to cancer location. The effect of tumour location on overall and cancer-specific survival was analysed by Cox proportional hazards model. Results. A total of 377,849 patients from SEER database were included in the current study, with 180,889 (47.9%) RCC and 196,960 (52.1%) LCC. LCC was more likely to metastasize to the liver and lung. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that LCC patients had better overall and cancer-specific survival outcomes. Among Cox multivariate analyses, LCC was associated with a slightly reduced risk of overall survival (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.92-0.93) and cancer-specific survival (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.91-0.93), even after adjusted for other variables. However, the relationship between location and prognosis was varied by subgroups defined by age, year at diagnosis, stage, and therapies. Conclusions. We demonstrated that LCC was associated with better prognosis, especially for patients with distant metastasis. Future trails should seek to identify the underlying mechanism.


Stroke ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 48 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael P Lerario ◽  
Alexander E Merkler ◽  
Gino Gialdini ◽  
Neal S Parikh ◽  
Gary L Bernardini ◽  
...  

Introduction: The long-term cerebrovascular consequences of hypertensive encephalopathy (HE) are poorly understood. Therefore, we aimed to measure the risk of stroke following HE. Methods: We identified all adult patients discharged from nonfederal acute care hospitals between 2005 and 2013 in New York with a primary ICD-9-CM discharge diagnosis of HE (437.2). Only patients who underwent magnetic resonance imaging were included to reduce the likelihood of misclassification error. Patients with all other forms of hypertension (401-405), without concomitant codes for HE or cerebrovascular disease (430-438), served as controls. The primary outcome was incident stroke (431, 433.x1, 434.x1, or 436 in the absence of hemorrhage, trauma, or rehabilitation codes). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to calculate cumulative rates of incident stroke and Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to determine the association between HE and incident stroke while adjusting for demographics, vascular risk factors, and the Elixhauser comorbidity index. Results: We identified 1,386 patients with HE and 2,869,873 with hypertension. Over a mean follow-up period of 3.3 (+/-1.8) years, we identified 66,594 ischemic and 12,343 hemorrhagic strokes. After 5 years, the cumulative rate of stroke was 7.8% (95% CI, 6.2-9.9%) in patients with HE and 3.2% (95% CI, 3.2-3.2%; P<0.001 for the log-rank test) in patients with any other hypertensive disease. After adjusting for demographics, vascular risk factors, and the Elixhauser comorbidity index, HE was independently associated with incident stroke (hazard ratio, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.5-2.4) as compared to controls. This association was similar when considering ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke separately. Conclusions: Patients discharged after HE face a higher long-term risk of subsequent stroke than patients without prior neurological complications of hypertension.


Cancers ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Liu ◽  
Dakui Luo ◽  
Sanjun Cai ◽  
Qingguo Li ◽  
Xinxiang Li

Background: The present study analyzed the nonbiological factors (NBFs) together with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) staging system to generate a refined, risk-adapted stage for the clinical treatment of colon cancer. Methods: Eligible patients (N = 28,818) with colon cancer between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2014, were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression, analyzed the probabilities of cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with colon cancer, with different NBF-TNM stages. Results: Insurance status, marital status, and median household income were significant prognostic NBFs in the current study (p < 0.05). The concordance index of NBF-TNM stage was 0.857 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.8472–0.8668). Multivariate Cox analyses, indicated that NBF1-stage was independently associated with a 50.4% increased risk of cancer-specific mortality in colon cancer (p < 0.001), which increased to 77.1% in non-metastatic colon cancer. NBF0-stage improved in CSS as compared to the NBF1-stage in the respective stages (p < 0.05). Conclusions: The new proposed NBF-stage was an independent prognostic factor in colon cancer. Effect of NBFs on the survival of colon cancer necessitates further clinical attention. Moreover, the incorporation of NBF-stage into the AJCC TNM staging system is essential for prognostic prediction, and clinical guidance of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II and III colon cancer.


Author(s):  
Alejandro Márquez-Salinas ◽  
Carlos A Fermín-Martínez ◽  
Neftalí Eduardo Antonio-Villa ◽  
Arsenio Vargas-Vázquez ◽  
Enrique C. Guerra ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Chronological age (CA) is a predictor of adverse COVID-19 outcomes; however, CA alone does not capture individual responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Here, we evaluated the influence of aging metrics PhenoAge and PhenoAgeAccel to predict adverse COVID-19 outcomes. Furthermore, we sought to model adaptive metabolic and inflammatory responses to severe SARS-CoV-2 infection using individual PhenoAge components. Methods In this retrospective cohort study, we assessed cases admitted to a COVID-19 reference center in Mexico City. PhenoAge and PhenoAgeAccel were estimated using laboratory values at admission. Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to estimate risk for COVID-19 lethality and adverse outcomes (ICU admission, intubation, or death). To explore reproducible patterns which model adaptive responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection, we used k-means clustering using PhenoAge components. Results We included 1068 subjects of whom 222 presented critical illness and 218 died. PhenoAge was a better predictor of adverse outcomes and lethality compared to CA and SpO2 and its predictive capacity was sustained for all age groups. Patients with responses associated to PhenoAgeAccel&gt;0 had higher risk of death and critical illness compared to those with lower values (log-rank p&lt;0.001). Using unsupervised clustering we identified four adaptive responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection: 1) Inflammaging associated with CA, 2) metabolic dysfunction associated with cardio-metabolic comorbidities, 3) unfavorable hematological response, and 4) response associated with favorable outcomes. Conclusions Adaptive responses related to accelerated aging metrics are linked to adverse COVID-19 outcomes and have unique and distinguishable features. PhenoAge is a better predictor of adverse outcomes compared to CA.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 842
Author(s):  
Masaki Kaibori ◽  
Hideyuki Matsushima ◽  
Morihiko Ishizaki ◽  
Hisashi Kosaka ◽  
Kosuke Matsui ◽  
...  

This retrospective study recorded pertinent baseline geriatric assessment variables to identify risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) after hepatectomy in 100 consecutive patients aged ≥70 years with hepatocellular carcinoma. Patients had geriatric assessments of cognition, nutritional and functional statuses, and comorbidity burden, both preoperatively and at six months postoperatively. The rate of change in each score between preoperative and postoperative assessments was calculated by subtracting the preoperative score from the score at six months postoperatively, then dividing by the score at six months postoperatively. Patients with score change ≥0 comprised the maintenance group, while patients with score change <0 comprised the reduction group. The change in Geriatric 8 (G8) score at six months postoperatively was the most significant predictive factor for RFS and OS among the tested geriatric assessments. Five-year RFS rates were 43.4% vs. 6.7% (maintenance vs. reduction group; HR, 0.19; 95%CI, 0.11–0.31; p < 0.001). Five-year OS rates were 73.8% vs. 17.8% (HR, 0.12; 95%CI, 0.06–0.25; p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that perioperative maintenance of G8 score was an independent prognostic indicator for both RFS and OS. Perioperative changes in G8 scores can help forecast postoperative long-term outcomes in these patients.


Author(s):  
Claudius E. Degro ◽  
Richard Strozynski ◽  
Florian N. Loch ◽  
Christian Schineis ◽  
Fiona Speichinger ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose Colorectal cancer revealed over the last decades a remarkable shift with an increasing proportion of a right- compared to a left-sided tumor location. In the current study, we aimed to disclose clinicopathological differences between right- and left-sided colon cancer (rCC and lCC) with respect to mortality and outcome predictors. Methods In total, 417 patients with colon cancer stage I–IV were analyzed in the present retrospective single-center study. Survival rates were assessed using the Kaplan–Meier method and uni/multivariate analyses were performed with a Cox proportional hazards regression model. Results Our study showed no significant difference of the overall survival between rCC and lCC stage I–IV (p = 0.354). Multivariate analysis revealed in the rCC cohort the worst outcome for ASA (American Society of Anesthesiologists) score IV patients (hazard ratio [HR]: 16.0; CI 95%: 2.1–123.5), CEA (carcinoembryonic antigen) blood level > 100 µg/l (HR: 3.3; CI 95%: 1.2–9.0), increased lymph node ratio of 0.6–1.0 (HR: 5.3; CI 95%: 1.7–16.1), and grade 4 tumors (G4) (HR: 120.6; CI 95%: 6.7–2179.6) whereas in the lCC population, ASA score IV (HR: 8.9; CI 95%: 0.9–91.9), CEA blood level 20.1–100 µg/l (HR: 5.4; CI 95%: 2.4–12.4), conversion to laparotomy (HR: 14.1; CI 95%: 4.0–49.0), and severe surgical complications (Clavien-Dindo III–IV) (HR: 2.9; CI 95%: 1.5–5.5) were identified as predictors of a diminished overall survival. Conclusion Laterality disclosed no significant effect on the overall prognosis of colon cancer patients. However, group differences and distinct survival predictors could be identified in rCC and lCC patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 147 (5) ◽  
pp. 1407-1419
Author(s):  
Manuela Limam ◽  
Katarina Luise Matthes ◽  
Giulia Pestoni ◽  
Eleftheria Michalopoulou ◽  
Leonhard Held ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Colorectal cancer (CRC) is among the three most common incident cancers and causes of cancer death in Switzerland for both men and women. To promote aspects of gender medicine, we examined differences in treatment decision and survival by sex in CRC patients diagnosed 2000 and 2001 in the canton of Zurich, Switzerland. Methods Characteristics assessed of 1076 CRC patients were sex, tumor subsite, age at diagnosis, tumor stage, primary treatment option and comorbidity rated by the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Missing data for stage and comorbidities were completed using multivariate imputation by chained equations. We estimated the probability of receiving surgery versus another primary treatment using multivariable binomial logistic regression models. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for survival analysis. Results Females were older at diagnosis and had less comorbidities than men. There was no difference with respect to treatment decisions between men and women. The probability of receiving a primary treatment other than surgery was nearly twice as high in patients with the highest comorbidity index, CCI 2+, compared with patients without comorbidities. This effect was significantly stronger in women than in men (p-interaction = 0.010). Survival decreased with higher CCI, tumor stage and age in all CRC patients. Sex had no impact on survival. Conclusion The probability of receiving any primary treatment and survival were independent of sex. However, female CRC patients with the highest CCI appeared more likely to receive other therapy than surgery compared to their male counterparts.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (Suppl 3) ◽  
pp. A7-A7
Author(s):  
Soraia Lobo-Martins ◽  
Diogo Martins-Branco ◽  
Patrícia Miguel Semedo ◽  
Cecília Melo Alvim ◽  
Ana Maria Monteiro ◽  
...  

BackgroundImmune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have changed the paradigm of advanced malignant melanoma (MM). Several prognostic factors, mostly linked to inflammation, have been under scope to better select patients for such therapies. We aimed to build and apply a prognostic score in this setting.MethodsBaseline characteristics and outcomes on 147 patients with advanced MM treated with an anti-PD1 (nivolumab or pembrolizumab) in monotherapy, between Jan-2016 and Oct-2019, in the 1st, 2nd or 3rd line setting were collected from two centres in Portugal. Data cut-off for follow-up was May-2020. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors for OS.ResultsWith a median FU of 28.93 months (95% CI [22.52–33.54]), mOS for the whole cohort was 14.75 months (95% CI, [10.80–18.71]). Overall, 43 and 104 patients were treated with nivolumab and pembrolizumab, respectively. We identified four adverse prognostic factors that were independent predictors of bad prognosis: number of metastatic sites >2 (p<0.001), baseline PS-ECOG =1 (p<0.001), presence of baseline lymphopenia (over lower limit of normal) (p=0.002) or very high baseline LDH (>2x upper limit of normal) (p<0.001).Patients were separated into three risk categories according to the number of risk factors present: favourable prognosis (no risk factors; n=34), intermediate prognosis (one risk factor; n=65) and poor prognosis (two or more risk factors; n=48). mOS was 43.41 (95% CI [32.13–54.69], 14.39 (95% CI [6.78–22.01]) and 6.53 months (95% CI [3.61–9.44]), for favourable, intermediate, and poor prognosis group, respectively (p<0.001; figure 1). AUC of ROC curve for OS was 0.737 (95% CI [0.654–0.819], p<0.001).Abstract 7 Figure 1Time to death - Kaplan-Meier survival plotConclusionsUsing easily accessible parameters from our daily practice, we propose the MELImmune prognostic score for advanced MM patients treated with anti-PD1 in monotherapy that could be incorporated to the daily clinical practice and clinical trials. We further aim to validate this score in an independent larger sample.Ethics ApprovalThe study was approved by both institutions’ Ethics Committee.


Gerontology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Feng Cheng Lin ◽  
Chih Yin Chen ◽  
Chung Wei Lin ◽  
Ming Tsang Wu ◽  
Hsuan Yu Chen ◽  
...  

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Dementia is one of the major causes of disability and dependency among older people worldwide. Alz­heimer’s disease (AD), the most common cause of dementia among the elderly, has great impact on the health-care system of developed nations. Several risk factors are suggestive of an increased risk of AD, including APOE-ε4, male, age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and low social engagement. However, data on risk factors of AD progression are limited. Air pollution is revealed to be associated with increasing dementia incidence, but the relationship between air pollution and clinical AD cognitive deterioration is unclear. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We conducted a case-control and city-to-city study to compare the progression of AD patients in different level of air-polluted cities. Clinical data of a total of 704 AD patients were retrospectively collected, 584 residences in Kaohsiung and 120 residences in Pingtung between 2002 and 2018. An annual interview was performed with each patient, and the Clinical Dementia Rating score (0 [normal] to 3 [severe stage]) was used to evaluate their cognitive deterioration. Air pollution data of Kaohsiung and Pingtung city for 2002–2018 were retrieved from Taiwan Environmental Protection Administration. Annual Pollutant Standards Index (PSI) and concentrations of particulate matter (PM<sub>10</sub>), sulfur dioxide (SO<sub>2</sub>), ozone (O<sub>3</sub>), nitrogen dioxide (NO<sub>2</sub>), and carbon monoxide (CO) were obtained. <b><i>Results:</i></b> The PSI was higher in Kaohsiung and compared with Pingtung patients, Kaohsiung patients were exposed to higher average annual concentrations of CO, NO<sub>2</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, and SO<sub>2</sub>. AD patients living in Kaohsiung suffered from faster cognitive deterioration in comparison with Pingtung patients (log-rank test: <i>p</i> = 0.016). When using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, higher levels of CO, NO<sub>2</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, and SO<sub>2</sub> exposure were associated with increased risk of AD cognitive deterioration. Among all these air pollutants, high SO<sub>2</sub> exposure has the greatest impact while O<sub>3</sub> has a neutral effect on AD cognitive deterioration. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Air pollution is an environment-related risk factor that can be controlled and is associated with cognitive deterioration of AD. This finding could contribute to the implementation of public intervention strategies of AD.


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