Prognostic factors for long-term overall survival (OS) for patients (pts) undergoing first-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) with chemotherapy (CT) plus bevacizumab (bev): Findings from a large observational study.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 590-590
Author(s):  
Dirk Arnold ◽  
Wilfried Grothe ◽  
Dirk Tummes ◽  
Manfred Kindler ◽  
Volker Petersen ◽  
...  

590 Background: Bev+CT has been shown to improve OS vs. CT alone in phase III and IV mCRC studies. However, as only a subset of pts experience OS >30 months (m), clinical factors may help to identify pt groups with the largest potential benefit. Methods: This large observational study included pts receiving bev with various first-line CT regimens in Germany from 2005–2009, with predefined assessment of OS, progression free survival (PFS), toxicity and 22 baseline variables, including pt characteristics, pre-treatment duration/procedures, blood parameters, tumour characteristics. Pts with long-term OS (defined as OS >30m) were compared to those with OS <30m. Surviving pts with observations <30m were defined as ‘censored’. Association between variables and OS was explored by univariate analyses and then multivariate analysis (logistic regression) to find independent variables for long-term OS. Results: 392 (22%) out of 1777 eligible pts had OS >30m (195 events, median OS 46.8m), 717 pts (40%) had OS <30m (median OS 14.3m), and 688 (38%) pts were censored. Median PFS was 17.7m (329 events) for pts with OS >30m, 7.7m for pts with OS <30m, and 11.8m (313 events) for censored pts. In the univariate analysis, nine variables were associated with OS >30m: age (continuous variable; p=0.0008), ECOG PS (0 vs. 1–4; p=0.0025), WBC <8.0/nL (p=0.013), CEA <20ng/mL(p<0.0001), single metastatic site (p<0.0001), initial pT4 vs. others (p<0.0001), pN0 vs. pN1/2 (p=0.0002), initial M0 vs. M1 (p=0.0021), grading G1/2 vs. G3/4 (p<0.0001). Independent variables for pts with OS <30m were found in the multivariate analysis. Conclusions: In general, the prognostic factors identifying long-term survivors in the CT only era are confirmed in this large cohort with bev treatment. However, the predominant role of grading and CEA level are remarkable. [Table: see text]

1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (8) ◽  
pp. 2499-2499 ◽  
Author(s):  
Didier Decaudin ◽  
Eric Lepage ◽  
Nicole Brousse ◽  
Pauline Brice ◽  
Jean-Luc Harousseau ◽  
...  

PURPOSE: To identify the prognostic factors that influence overall survival (OS) in patients with stage III-IV follicular lymphomas and evaluate the clinical usefulness and the prognostic value of the International Prognostic Index (IPI). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Four hundred eighty-four patients with Ann Arbor stage III-IV follicular lymphomas treated in two phase III trials from 1986 to 1995 were screened for this study. All histologic slides were reviewed by two hematopathologists. The influence of the initial parameters on survival was defined by univariate (log-rank test) and multivariate (Cox model) analyses. RESULTS: The poor prognostic factors for OS (age > 60 years, “B” symptom(s), ≥ two extranodal sites, stage IV disease, tumor bulk > 7 cm, at least three nodal sites > 3 cm, liver involvement, serous effusion-compression or orbital/epidural involvement, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate > 30 mm/h) that were significant in univariate analysis were subjected to multivariate analysis. Three factors remained significant: B symptom(s) (risk ratio = 1.80), age greater than 60 years (risk ratio = 1.60), and at least three nodal sites greater than 3 cm (risk ratio = 1.71). When the IPI was applied to these patients, the score was 1, 2, 3, and 4-5 in 49%, 39%, 11%, and 2%, respectively, and it was significant for progression-free survival (P = .002) and OS (P = .0001). CONCLUSION: Three prognostic factors for poor OS were identified: B symptoms, age greater than 60 years, and at least three nodal sites greater than 3 cm. The IPI was prognostic for OS, but in this population, a very low number of patients belonged to the high-risk groups.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15007-e15007
Author(s):  
Ronan Fougeray ◽  
Toni K. Choueiri ◽  
Francesc Pons ◽  
Fabio Augusto Barros Schutz ◽  
Yacine Salhi ◽  
...  

e15007 Background: Standard first-line therapy of advanced TCCU is based on cisplatin-based combinations. In patients deemed unfit to receive CISPLATIN, carboplatin-based or non-platinum combinations are considered. A phase III trial comparing vinflunine (VFL) and best supportive care (BSC) with BSC alone for second-line treatment of advanced TCCU patients demonstrated a survival advantage for VFL+BSC. We studied the impact of the first-line platinum therapy on overall survival in second line setting. Methods: Eligible 357 patients of the phase III study were split in the two following subsets: CISPLATIN (Patients with prior CISPLATIN administration) and NO CISPLATIN (patients without prior CISPLATIN administration). Survival was measured from the date of random assignment. Overall Survival (OS) was calculated using Kaplan-Meier method, with log-rank comparisons. Multivariate Analysis of OS was analyzed with the Cox proportional hazards model, including prognostic factors for second-line setting previously identified (Bellmunt, 2010). Updated survival data in 11/2008 cut-off date was used. Results: CISPLATIN group represented 70.3% (n=251) and NO CISPLATIN 29,7% (n= 106). CISPLATIN group had less Liver involvement (25% vs 43%, p=0.0007) and better WHO-PS (>1: 66% vs 76%; p=0.0478). OS was higher in CISPLATIN group for all eligible patients (HR: 0.77; CI 95% 0.61-0.97; p=0.0294), for VFL+BSC arm (HR: 0.78; CI 95% 0.59-1.02; p=0.0693) and for BSC arm (HR: 0.68; CI 95% 0.42-1.08; p=0.0978). Multivariate analysis including prognostic factors (liver involvement, hemoglobin, PS) and prior platinum administration, did not show effect of CDDP on OS. VFL reduced the risk of death by 24% in CDDP-group (HR: 0.76; CI 95% 0.58-0.99; p=0.043) and by 35% in NO CDDP –group (HR: 0.65; CI 95% 0.41-1.04; p=0.0724). Conclusions: Differences in prognostic factors between CISPLATIN and NO CISPLATIN groups may explain the differences in OS in patients who undergo 2nd line therapy. The choice of Cisplatin or no Cisplatin chemotherapy in the first line did not impact subsequent benefit of vinflunine over best supportive care.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15036-e15036
Author(s):  
Silvia P. Neciosup ◽  
David Callacondo ◽  
Oliver Rua ◽  
Jose Ernesto Rojas ◽  
Jose Quesada ◽  
...  

e15036 Background: The IGCCCG classification, used to guide the management of metastatic seminomas may underestimate the predictive value of other prognostic factors. We aimed to identify prognostic factors for long term survival in patients with advanced testicular seminoma who achieved a complete response to first line cisplatin based chemotherapy. Methods: A retrospective analysis was carried out on 101 patients with advanced testicular seminoma who received induction cisplatin based chemotherapy between 1990 and 2010.Data regarding clinical and laboratory parameters that may influence the overall survival (OS) or progression free survival (PFS) were collected from clinical records. Univariate analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, while Cox regression modeling was used for multivariate analysis. Results: The mean follow up time was 8.4 years. 9 (9%) patients died and 16 (16%) developed relapse. The 10 year OS and PFS rates were 91% and 84%. In univariate analysis, a testicular tumor ≥5.5cm and a retroperitoneal metastases ≥16 cm were associated with poor OS and PFS. The prechemotherapy LDH levels ≥2.4xUNL and age ≤36 years showed a trend to shorter PFS. Multivariate analysis showed that only the retroperitoneal metastases ≥16 cm was significant independent prognostic factor for OS (p=0.04, HR 3.86; 95% CI, 1.03-14.41) and PFS (p=0.05, HR 3.17; 95% CI, 0.99-10.15). Age ≤36 years (p=0.03, HR 4.29; 95% CI, 1.12-16.34) was also an independent prognostic factor for PFS. Conclusions: The presence of a retroperitoneal metastases ≥16 cm, a testicular tumor ≥5.5cm and age ≤36 years are associated with decreased OS and/or PFS in patients who achieved a complete response to first line cisplatin based chemotherapy. The use of these factors may assist the elaboration and implementation of new prognostic models that can guide the follow-up and management of patients with advanced testicular seminomas.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (5_suppl) ◽  
pp. 102-102
Author(s):  
A. Oliver Sartor ◽  
Stéphane Oudard ◽  
Mustafa Ozguroglu ◽  
Steinbjorn Hansen ◽  
Jean-Pascal H. Machiels ◽  
...  

102 Background: In TROPIC ( NCT00417079 ) 755 men were randomized (378 cabazitaxel/prednisone [CbzP]; 377 mitoxantrone/prednisone [MP]). Treatment arms were well balanced; ECOG PS 0–1 (93% CbzP vs 91% MP), measurable disease (53% vs 54%), baseline pain (46% vs 45%) and ≤ 6 months from last dose of docetaxel (D) to randomization (62% vs 72%). CbzP significantly improved overall survival (OS) in mCRPC pts who progressed on or after D treatment compared with MP (HR 0.70; CI 0.59–0.83; P < 0.0001). We investigated overall prognosis and performed a multivariate analysis of factors implicated in OS from this robust dataset. Methods: A univariate analysis of a variety of factors followed by a multivariate analysis of all factors was conducted. Interactions with treatment arms were explored. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the effect of treatment and prognostic factors on OS. Results: In addition to the significant effect of treatment received, the univariate analysis identified ECOG PS and measurable disease at baseline, time from last dose of D to randomization, time of progression after last D treatment and pain scores at baseline as significant prognostic factors for OS. Interactions of each of these factors with the treatment were not statistically distinct, suggesting that CbzP survival benefit was consistent among the subgroups defined by these factors. After adjustments for all prognostic factors, multivariate analysis identified ECOG PS 2, measurable disease, time of last dose of D to randomization (≤ 6 months vs > 6 months) and presence of baseline pain as statistically significant prognostic factors. Following adjustments, the treatment effect on survival (CbzP vs MP) remained statistically significant (Table). Conclusions: ECOG PS, measurable disease at baseline, time from last D dose to randomization, baseline pain and CbzP treatment predicted OS in patients in the TROPIC study in a multivariate analysis. [Table: see text]


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1105-1105
Author(s):  
M. Deblock ◽  
B. Esterni ◽  
C. Tarpin ◽  
E. Charaffe-Jauffret ◽  
J. M. Extra ◽  
...  

1105 Background: Modern management of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients (pts) is currently based on molecular stratification according to HER2 status and first-line taxanes. We sought to examine outcome data and prognostic factors in a prospectively characterized cohort of HER2 negative MBC pts receiving first-line docetaxel in a routine setting. Methods: Medical records from 162 HER2-, MBC pts treated at the Institut Paoli-Calmettes with first-line docetaxel-based regimen between 1997 and 2005 were reviewed. These patients had been treated with docetaxel single-agent or in combination according to standard institutional protocols. Univariate and multivariate analysis according Cox regression model were employed to identify prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: Pt characteristics were the following: median age (ys), 51 (24 -75); Histological type (ductal/lobular/other, %) 81/15/4; Grade (1/2/3, %); Hormonal Receptivity (HR) (yes/no, %) 83/17; Adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) (yes/no; %) 66/34; Disease-free interval (DFI) (<24 months/>24 months, %) 47/53; visceral disease (yes/no, %) 46/54; number of metastatic sites (<3/>3,%) 78/22; liver metastasis (yes/no, %) 31/67; bone metastasis (yes/no, %) 65/35. After a median follow-up of 33 months, median PFS and OS were 11.7 months (95%CI , 9.7 -14.8) and 35 months (95%CI, 28.1–52.1), respectively. By univariate analysis, HR- (p=7.9 e-06), visceral disease (p=0.015), shorter DFI (p=0.027) and previous adjuvant CT (p=0.0038) were negatively associated with PFS, while HR- (p=6.3e-07), visceral disease (p=0.0094) and shorter DFI (p=0.01) were also negatively associated to OS. 14. These parameters retained independent prognostic significance by multivariate analysis, the strongest being HR-(p=2.4e-5) for OS. HR- pts had a PFS of 6.87 months [95%CI, 4.27 - 11.0] Vs 14 months [95%CI, 11.84 - 18.5] in HR+ pts (log-rank test p= 3.16e-06). 2-year OS were 38% [95%CI, 21.9–65] and 76%[95%CI, 68.7–84.4] (p = 6.52e-08) in HR- and HR+ pts, respectively. Conclusions: In the taxane era, median OS of HER2- MBC pts is nearly 3 yrs. Triple negative pts (HER2-, HR-) are a very poor-risk group requiring innovative therapeutic strategies. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4014-4014 ◽  
Author(s):  
James C. Yao ◽  
John D. Hainsworth ◽  
Edward M. Wolin ◽  
Marianne E. Pavel ◽  
Eric Baudin ◽  
...  

4014 Background: In this large phase III trial, median progression-free survival (PFS) improved by 5.1 mo with E+O compared to P+O in patients (pts) with NET associated with carcinoid syndrome. Baseline imbalances including WHO performance status (PS) and primary site favoring P+O confounded primary analysis. Chromogranin A (CgA) and 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid (5-HIAA) are important biomarkers in NET. Analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors and adjust for baseline imbalances. Methods: Pts were randomized to E+O (n=216) or P+O (n=213). Potential prognostic factors including baseline CgA (≤2×ULN vs >2×ULN), baseline 5-HIAA (≤median vs >median at baseline), age (<65 vs ≥65), gender, race, WHO PS (0 vs 1, 2), primary site (lung vs other), prior somatostatin analog use (yes vs no), duration from diagnosis (<6 mo, 6-24 mo, 2-5 yr, >5 yr), and organs involved (liver, bone) were assessed in univariate analysis using the log rank test and stepwise regression using Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Median PFS (mo) was significantly longer for pts with nonelevated CgA (27 vs 11; p<.001) and nonelevated 5-HIAA (17 vs 11; p<.001). Analyses also indicated age (14 vs 12; p=.01), WHO PS (17 vs 11; p=.004), liver involvement (14 vs not reached; p=.02), bone metastases (8 vs 15; p<.001), and lung as primary site (11 vs 14; p=.06) as potentially prognostic. Multivariate analysis indicated that significant prognostic factors for PFS included baseline CgA (HR, 0.47; CI, 0.34-0.65; p<.001), WHO PS (HR, 0.69; CI, 0.52-0.90; p=.006), bone involvement (HR, 1.52; CI, 1.06-2.18; p=.02), and lung as primary site (HR, 1.55; CI, 1.01-2.36; p=.04). Adjusted for covariates, a 38% reduction in risk of progression was observed for E+O (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.51-0.87; p=.003). Conclusions: In the phase III RADIANT-2 trial, baseline CgA levels, WHO PS, lung as primary site, and bone involvement were important prognostic factors. Exploratory analysis adjusted for these prognostic factors indicated significant benefit of everolimus therapy.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 157-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
James C. Yao ◽  
John D. Hainsworth ◽  
Edward M. Wolin ◽  
Marianne E. Pavel ◽  
Eric Baudin ◽  
...  

157 Background: In this large phase III trial, median progression-free survival (PFS) improved by 5.1 mo with E+O compared to P+O in patients (pts) with NET associated with carcinoid syndrome. Randomization imbalances including WHO performance status (PS), and primary site favoring P+O confounded primary analysis. Chromogranin A (CgA) and 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid (5-HIAA) are important biomarkers in NET. Analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors and adjust for randomization imbalances. Methods: Pts were randomized to E+O (n=216) or P+O (n=213). Potential prognostic factors including baseline CgA (≤2×ULN vs >2×ULN), baseline 5-HIAA (≤median vs >median), age (<65 vs ≥65), gender, race, WHO PS (0 vs 1, 2), primary site (lung vs other), prior somatostatin analog use (yes vs no), duration from diagnosis (<6 mo, 6-24 mo, 2-5 yr, >5 yr), and organs involved (liver, bone) were assessed in univariate analysis using the log rank test and a stepwise regression using Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Randomization resulted in significant imbalance in baseline CgA (median [ng/mL], 251 E+O vs 137 P+O). Median PFS (mo) was significantly longer for pts with nonelevated CgA (27 vs 11; P<.001) and nonelevated 5-HIAA (17 vs 11; P<.001). Analyses also indicated age (14 vs 12; P=.01), WHO PS (17 vs 11; P=.004), liver involvement (14 vs not reached; P=.02), bone metastases (8 vs 15; P<.001), and lung as primary site (11 vs 14; P=.06) as potentially prognostic. Multivariate analysis indicated that significant prognostic factors for PFS included baseline CgA (HR, 0.47; CI, 0.34-0.65; P<.001), WHO PS (HR, 0.69; CI, 0.52-0.90; P=.006), bone involvement (HR, 1.52; CI, 1.06-2.18; P=.02), and lung as primary site (HR, 1.55; CI, 1.01-2.36; P=.04). Adjusted for covariates, a 38% reduction in risk of progression was observed for E+O (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.51-0.87; P=.003). Conclusions: In the phase III RADIANT-2 trial, baseline CgA levels, WHO PS, lung as primary site, and bone involvement were important prognostic factors. Exploratory analysis adjusted for these prognostic factors indicated significant benefit for everolimus therapy.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 712
Author(s):  
Joohee Lee ◽  
Young Seok Cho ◽  
Jhingook Kim ◽  
Young Mog Shim ◽  
Kyung-Han Lee ◽  
...  

Background: Imaging tumor FDG avidity could complement prognostic implication in thymic epithelial tumors. We thus investigated the prognostic value of volume-based 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/CT parameters in thymic epithelial tumors with other clinical prognostic factors. Methods: This is a retrospective study that included 83 patients who were diagnosed with thymic epithelial tumors and underwent pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT. PET parameters, including maximum and average standardized uptake values (SUVmax, SUVavg), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG), were measured with a threshold of SUV 2.5. Univariate and multivariate analysis of PET parameters and clinicopathologic variables for time-to-progression was performed by using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. Results: There were 21 low-risk thymomas (25.3%), 27 high-risk thymomas (32.5%), and 35 thymic carcinomas (42.2%). Recurrence or disease progression occurred in 24 patients (28.9%). On univariate analysis, Masaoka stage (p < 0.001); histologic types (p = 0.009); treatment modality (p = 0.001); and SUVmax, SUVavg, MTV, and TLG (all p < 0.001) were significant prognostic factors. SUVavg (p < 0.001) and Masaoka stage (p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. Conclusion: SUVavg and Masaoka stage are independent prognostic factors in thymic epithelial tumors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Martínez Izquierdo ◽  
A R Arnaiz Pérez ◽  
E Escolano Fernández ◽  
M Merayo Álvarez ◽  
B Carrasco Aguilera ◽  
...  

Abstract INTRODUCTION Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) represents 3% of overall malignant neoplasms in adults. However, its aetiology has not been clearly established. Although surgery represents the cornerstone in treatment, recurrence postoperative rates are around 20-30%, what implies prognostic factors search must be mandatory in order to help to plan de follow-up and the different adjuvant therapy possibilities available in case they were necessary. MATERIAL AND METHODS A retrospective observational study was carried out in 110 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy between 2004 and 2018, with the aim of identifying possible prognostic factors of recurrence of RCC after these surgeries. Preoperative data (epidemiological, comorbidities and laboratory tests), surgical, pathological and variables related to follow-up were taken into account. A univariate and multivariate analysis were performed, using chi-square test and logistic regression, respectively. RESULTS The median follow-up time was 53.5 months (SD = 35.8), time in which 19 patients had a recurrence of RCC after radical nephrectomy (17.2%). Histopathological items such as the surgical piece size, the nodal and microvascular invasion, the renal sinus invasion and the presence of necrosis in the surgical piece were associated with RCC recurrence in the univariate analysis, while only the presence of necrosis in the surgical piece showed a significant result in the multivariate analysis (p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS Histopathological analysis, highlighting the presence of necrosis in the histological sample, was proved to be the main risk factor of RCC recurrence.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo-Wen Zheng ◽  
Bo-Yv Zheng ◽  
Hua-Qing Niu ◽  
Xiao-Bin Wang ◽  
Guo-Hua Lv ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of axial chondroblastoma (ACB) are still poorly understood. Purpose To characterize clinicopathological characteristics in a large ACB cohort and investigate their correlation with survival. We also sought to compare these results with extra-axial CB (EACB). Methods Our institution's local database was retrospectively reviewed and included a total of 132 CB patients, including 61 ACB patients and 71 EACB patients. Immunohistochemistry was used to assess the expression levels of Vimentin (Vim), S100, and cytokeratin (CK) on tumor cells in 132 tissue specimens. Results Overall, ACB and EACB had similar characteristics, except for older age and tumor size, as well as higher Vim expression, incidence of surrounding tissue invasion and postoperative sensory or motor dysfunction. Whereas wide resection and absence of invasion of surrounding tissues were consistently associated with favorable survival in the ACB and EACB cohorts in univariate analysis, most parameters showed differential prognostic significance between the 2 groups. Significant prognostic factors for local recurrence-free survival in multivariate analysis included the type of resection and chicken-wire calcification in the ACB cohort. Multivariate analysis of overall survival demonstrated that the type of resection was a significant predictor in the ACB cohort, whereas the type of resection and postoperative sensory or motor dysfunction were predictive of overall survival in the EACB group. Conclusion These data suggest that there may be distinct biological behaviors between ACB and EACB and may provide useful information to better understand the prognostic characteristics of patients with ACB and to improve outcome prediction in patients with ACB.


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