Predictors of overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) with melanoma brain metastasis (MBM) in the modern era.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9540-9540
Author(s):  
Merve Hasanov ◽  
Denai R. Milton ◽  
Alicia Bea Davies ◽  
Elizabeth Sirmans ◽  
Chantal M Saberian ◽  
...  

9540 Background: The management and OS of pts with metastatic melanoma have improved due to new systemic therapies. However, relatively little is known about the use of these treatments (tx) and their association with OS in pts with MBMs. We reviewed a large cohort of MBM pts to assess how pt demographics, disease characteristics, and MBM tx impact OS in the current era. Methods: Under an institutional review board-approved protocol, retrospective data were curated and analyzed from pts diagnosed with, and received tx for, MBM from 2014 to 2018 at the MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDA). Pts diagnosed with uveal or mucosal melanoma or other cancers were excluded. Pt demographics; timing and features of initial melanoma dx; timing and features of initial MBM dx; prior, initial and subsequent tx; and OS were collected. OS was determined from MBM dx to last clinical follow-up (FU). Pts alive at last FU were censored. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to estimate OS and to assess univariate group differences, respectively. Multivariable (MV) associations of OS with variables of interest were investigated with Cox proportional hazards models. Initial treatment of MBM was assessed as a time-varying covariate. All statistical tests used a significance level of 5%. Results: A total of 401 MBM pts were identified. The median age at MBM dx was 61; 67% were male and 46% had a BRAF V600 mutation. At MBM diagnosis dx, most (70%) pts were asymptomatic; 70% had concurrent uncontrolled extracranial disease; 36% had elevated serum LDH. Prior tx included immunotherapy (IMT) for 39% and targeted therapy (TTX) for 17%. The median number of MBMs was 2; 31% had > 3 MBMs. Median largest MBM diameter was 1.0 cm, 9% had MBM > 3.0 cm, and 5% had concurrent leptomeningeal disease (LMD). Tx received after MBM dx included stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS; 53% as initial tx for MBM, 67% at any time after MBM dx), whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT; 16%, 35%), craniotomy (12%, 19%), IMT (37%, 74%), and/or TTX (22%, 40%). 31% received steroids during initial MBM tx. At a median FU of 13.4 (0.0 - 82.8) months (mos), the median OS was 15.1 mos, and 1- and 2-year OS rates were 56% and 40%. Notably, gender, time to MBM dx, and BRAF status were not associated with OS (univariate analysis). On MV analysis, clinical features associated with worse OS included increased age, increased primary tumor thickness, elevated LDH, > 3 MBMs, +LMD, +symptoms, and prior tx with IMT. Among tx used at any time after MBM dx, WBRT (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.5-2.5) was associated with worse OS; SRS (HR 0.7, 95% CI 0.5-0.8) and IMT (HR 0.6, 95% CI 0.5-0.8) were associated with improved OS. Conclusions: In one of the largest cohorts of MBM pts described to date, OS has improved in MBM pts in the current era. Prognostic factors for OS include pt age, primary tumor and MBM features, prior tx, and tx for MBM. Additional analyses to assess the interaction of tx, disease features, and OS will be presented.

Author(s):  
Miguel A. de Araújo Nobre ◽  
Ana M. Sezinando ◽  
Inês C. Fernandes ◽  
Andreia C. Araújo

Abstract Objective The study aimed to evaluate the influence of smoking habit on the prevalence of dental caries lesions in a follow-up study. Materials and Methods A total of 3,675 patients (2,186 females and 1,489 males) with an average age of 51.4 years were included. Outcome measures were the incidence of dental caries defined as incipient noncavitated, microcavitated, or cavitated lesions which had been diagnosed through clinical observation with mouth mirror and probe examination evaluating change of texture, translucency, and color; radiographic examination through bitewing radiographs; or secondary caries through placement of a new restoration during the follow-up of the study. Statistical Analysis Cumulative survival (time elapsed with absence of dental caries) was estimated through the Kaplan–Meier product limit estimator with comparison of survival curves (log-rank test). A multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to evaluate the effect of smoking on the incidence of dental caries lesions when controlled to age, gender, systemic status, frequency of dental hygiene appointments, and socioeconomic status. The significance level was set at 5%. Results Eight hundred sixty-three patients developed caries (23.5% incidence rate). The cumulative survival estimation was 81.8% and 48% survival rate for nonsmokers and smokers, respectively (p < 0.001), with an average of 13.5 months between the healthy and diseased state diagnosis. Smokers registered a hazard ratio for dental caries lesions of 1.32 (p = 0.001) when controlled for the other variables of interest. Conclusion Within the limitations of this study, it was concluded that smoking habit might be a predictor for dental caries.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 8540-8540
Author(s):  
Philippe Saiag ◽  
Stephanie Moreau ◽  
Philippe Aegerter ◽  
Daphne Bosset ◽  
Christine Longvert ◽  
...  

8540 Background: Prognosis of AJCC stage III melanoma is heterogeneous. BRAFV600 mutations are frequent in melanomas. BRAFV600-targeted therapy has dramatic, but often transitory, efficacy in stage IV patients (pts). We aimed to determine for the first time the prognostic value of BRAFV600 mutations and other known prognostic criteria in stage III pts with sufficient nodal invasion. Methods: We searched all pts with cutaneous melanoma who had radical lymphadenectomy in our institution between 1/1/00 and 15/6/10 and included those with a nodal deposit >2 mm. BRAFV600 mutations were detected by DNA sequencing and pyrosequencing in formalin-fixed nodal samples containing >60% melanoma cells. Samples were considered mutated when >15% of DNA was positive. Endpoints were overall survival (OS) and distant metastasis free survival (DMFS). 92 patients had to be included to demonstrate a doubling of OS in patients without (40 months (m)) and with BRAFV600 mutation (20 m). Log-rank test and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model were used. Results: 105 consecutive pts were included, with 72% prospectively followed-up pts. BRAFV600 mutations (E: 83%; K: 14% of pts) were detected in 40% of pts. Median follow-up was 19 m (range: 3-139). Death occurred in 83% and 60% of pts with and without BRAF mutations, respectively, with median OS of 1.4 and 2.8 years. Pts’ age, primary melanoma ulceration, number of invaded nodes, AJCC staging, and BRAF status influenced OS and DMFS in the univariate analysis. The multivariate analysis showed the major prognostic role of BRAF status and of the number of invaded nodes (table). Conclusions: Provided our findings are independently replicated, BRAFV600 status should be used to stage melanoma pts with nodal metastasis. Our results also help to plan adjuvant trials with BRAFV600-targeted therapy in such patients, for whom the low tumor load may induce longer efficacy of BRAF-targeted therapies. [Table: see text]


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 333-333
Author(s):  
Noah M. Hahn ◽  
Zhiping Wang ◽  
Yunlong Liu ◽  
Marietta L. Moore ◽  
Nagendra K Prasad

333 Background: The current study was undertaken to determine the feasibility of detection and expression profiling of cfRNA in mUC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy. Methods: Plasma samples were identified from consented mUC subjects treated with platinum-based therapy at the IU Simon Cancer Center (IUSCC) from 12/2008 – 8/5/2010. The primary feasibility measure was the detection of cfRNA at any quantitative level. An IUSCC urologic cancer 48-gene array was designed. After cfRNA extraction and cDNA preparation, cDNA were amplified in a specific target amplification step using gene-specific primers for the 48 genes in the array. Gene expression analysis was performed on amplified cDNA using 96.96 format DELTAgene microfluidic Dynamic Array platform (Fluidigm). CT values were calculated for each gene after normalization against expression of internal control gene, GAPDH. To identify associations between individual gene expression and OS, a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed. Results: Plasma samples and OS data were available from 15 pts. Patient demographics included: median age – 70.8, M/F – 14/1, Cisplatin/Carboplatin regimen – 9/6, lymph node/visceral mets – 13/7. Median PFS/OS were 8.7 and 23.0 months respectively. cfRNA was detectable in all 15 patients (100%). Median quantitative cfRNA concentration was 2.68 ng/ml (range 1.9 – 6.3). 96.96 Dynamic Array was performed in all patients. All 48 gene probes passed QC testing and produced CT values suitable for analysis. On univariate analysis, overall survival was significantly associated with presence of visceral metastases and plasma cfRNA expression of AKT1, AKT2, BRCA1, CCND1, HPRT1, HSD3B1, PARP1, and RPA3 (all p < 0.05). Conclusions: Successful extraction of cfRNA suitable for microarray analysis from archived mUC patient plasma samples is feasible. Intriguing hypothesis generating associations between OS and cfRNA expression of genes mediating DNA repair, apoptosis, and cell-signaling pathways were observed. Demonstration of these findings in larger independent patient cohorts is warranted.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e21530-e21530
Author(s):  
Ki Hyang Kim ◽  
Jae Jin Lee ◽  
Jongphil Kim ◽  
Fabio Renato Morgado Gomes ◽  
Marina Sehovic ◽  
...  

e21530 Background: In geriatric assessments, comorbidity is often assessed with tools such as the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale-Geriatrics (CIRS-G). In studies of older patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), comorbidity was mainly measured using the CCI, and inconsistent results about the correlation comorbidity with overall survival (OS) were found. In order to refine our understanding of the impact of comorbidity, we evaluated its correlation with OS using the CIRS-G and heat maps to elicit the subgroups with the highest impact. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 153 consecutive patients from the Total Cancer Care database, aged ≥65 with stage 4 CRC, who underwent chemotherapy at Moffitt Cancer Center from 2000 to 2015. The association between CIRS-G scores and OS was examined by the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Results: Median age at diagnosis was 71 years. Forty-eight % of patients had an ECOG PS of 0. Median MAX2 score of chemotherapies was 0.119. Median total score of CIRS-G was 8 (1-20) and median severity index was 0.57 (0.07-1.43). The most common comorbidities were vascular, EENT and larynx, and respiratory diseases. Eleven patients had 1 comorbidity and 1 patient had 2 comorbidities at level 4 severity. Median OS of all patients was 25.1 months (95% CI 21.2-27.6). In univariate analysis, the number of CIRS-G level 4 comorbidities was a significant worse prognostic factor for OS (0 vs 1 or 2, HR 2.16, p = 0.017). In multivariate analysis, ECOG PS ≥2, poorly differentiated histology, age at diagnosis and numbers of CIRS-G level 4 comorbidities were significant worse prognostic factors for OS. ECOG PS ≥2 and age at diagnosis were significant worse prognostic factors for unplanned hospitalization. Conclusions: The OS in the elderly metastatic CRC patients was good and similar to the general population with this disease. The number of CIRS-G level 4 comorbidities was associated with worse OS but no specific CIRS-G category was individually associated with OS.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 2609-2609
Author(s):  
Dan Rhodes ◽  
Daniel H Hovelson ◽  
Malek M. Safa ◽  
Mark E. Burkard ◽  
Eddy Shih-Hsin Yang ◽  
...  

2609 Background: P is approved in many ST types, however predictive biomarkers and the proportion of pts who benefit vary widely. Biomarkers beyond PD-L1 immunohistochemistry and comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) based tumor mutation burden (TMB) may improve benefit prediction. We determined if treatment data and CGTP collected in an ongoing observational trial (NCT03061305) could predict pan-ST P benefit. Methods: Eligible advanced ST pts had QC-passing TMB and expression data from multiplex PCR based tissue CGTP on FFPE tissue (StrataNGS and an investigational test) and documented P treatment > 1 month. Real-world time to next treatment (TTNT) was defined as time in months from therapy start to new therapy start (after stopping initial therapy) or death. TMB and gene expression biomarker association with P TTNT was evaluated. Backward stepwise regression was performed to fit a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model; pts were assigned to four score groups (IRS 1-4) based on overlapping TTNT curves from 8 equal bins. P TTNT were compared between IRS groups by log-rank test. A chemotherapy (C) comparator cohort was established from C TTNT for pts in this cohort. Results were stratified by ST type, P mono vs. C combo, and TMB status. Results: 610 pts (254 [41.6%] NSCLC; 356 [58.4%] from 23 other ST types) with CGTP and P treatment were identified; P TTNT was highly correlated to overall survival (n=146; Pearsons r2=0.75). By univariate analysis of TMB and 9 expression biomarkers, TMB, two independent PD-L1 expression amplicons, and PD-L2 expression were significantly associated with P TTNT (all p ≤ 0.002). The most significant multivariate model included 5 variables, with 1) increasing TMB, PD-L1, and PD-L2, and 2) decreasing TOP2A (proliferation) and GZMA as P TTNT predictors. Median P TTNT, but not C TTNT (345 courses from 254 pts), differed significantly by IRS group (Table). Median P TTNT by IRS group did not significantly differ by non-small cell lung vs. other ST type or P mono vs. C combo (both p > 0.05); excluding TMB-high patients, median P TTNT was still significantly longer in IRS groups 3/4 vs. 1/2 (p = 5.0e-4). Across 19,623 total evaluable pts in NCT03061305, 12.2% were in IRS groups 3/4 and outside of P approved ST types/TMB-low. Conclusions: CGTP in an observational trial cohort demonstrated that TMB, PD-L1 and PD-L2 independently predicted pan-ST P benefit as assessed by OS-validated TTNT. A multivariate CGTP signature predicted P benefit relative to C across ST types. If further validated, such a signature may enable improved P benefit prediction. P versus C TTNT by IRS group. Clinical trial information: NCT03061305. [Table: see text]


Author(s):  
John D. Paulsen ◽  
Alexandros D. Polydorides

Context.— Primary tumor stage (pT) is an important prognostic indicator in colonic adenocarcinomas; however, cases that have no muscle fibers beyond the advancing tumor edge but also show no extension beyond the apparent outer border of muscularis propria (termed pT2int), have not been previously studied. Objective.— To address the clinicopathologic characteristics and prognosis of pT2int tumors. Design.— We recharacterized 168 colon carcinomas and compared pT2int cases to bona fide pT2 and pT3 tumors. Results.— In side-by-side analysis, 21 pT2int cases diverged from 29 pT2 tumors only in terms of larger size (P = .03), but they were less likely to show high-grade (P = .03), lymphovascular (P &lt; .001), and extramural venous invasion (P = .04); discontinuous tumor deposits (P = .02); lymph node involvement (P = .001); and advanced stage (P = .001), compared with 118 pT3 tumors. Combining pT2int with pT2 cases (versus pT3) was a better independent predictor of negative lymph nodes in multivariate analysis (P = .04; odds ratio [OR], 3.96; CI, 1.09–14.42) and absent distant metastasis in univariate analysis (P = .04), compared with sorting pT2int with pT3 cases (versus pT2). Proportional hazards regression showed that pT2 and pT2int cases together were associated with better disease-free survival compared with pT3 tumors (P = .04; OR, 3.65; CI, 1.05–12.70). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that when pT2int were grouped with pT2 tumors, they were significantly less likely to show disease progression compared with pT3 (P = .002; log-rank test) and showed a trend toward better disease-specific survival (P = .06), during a mean patient follow-up of 44.9 months. Conclusions.— These data support the conclusion that pT2int carcinomas have clinicopathologic characteristics and are associated with patient outcomes more closely aligned with pT2 rather than pT3 tumors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4109-4109
Author(s):  
Satya Das ◽  
Aman Chauhan ◽  
Liping Du ◽  
Katharine Thomas ◽  
Aasems Jacob ◽  
...  

4109 Background: Questions remain regarding when to sequence PRRT and how to categorize pts being considered for the treatment (tx). We previously developed a CS (comprised of 5 categories: available non-PRRT tx for tumor type, prior systemic tx, pt symptoms, tumor burden in critical organs and peritoneal carcinomatosis presence) at Vanderbilt Ingram Cancer Center (VICC) for pts being considered for PRRT to help answer these questions and demonstrated the score to be associated with progression-free survival (PFS) in pts receiving PRRT. Herein, we present the performance of the CS in a validation cohort (VC) and combined cohort (CC). Methods: Our original cohort (OC) included pts with progressive WD NETs (N = 122) under consideration for PRRT between 3/1/2016-3/17/2020 at VICC while our VC included pts under consideration for PRRT (N = 126) between 1/25/2017-11/18/2019 at Ochsner Medical Center (OMC) (N = 51), Markey Cancer Center (MCC) (N = 51) and Rush Medical Center (RMC) (N = 24). All pts in the OC were prospectively scored while pts in the VC were scored retrospectively, with the CS-assigning investigator blinded to patient outcomes. The primary outcome PFS, was estimated by the Kaplan‐Meier method; a Cox proportional‐hazards model adjusting for primary tumor site, tumor grade and number of PRRT doses administered (0, 1-2 or 3-4) was used to analyze effect of CS. Overall survival (OS) was a key secondary outcome. Results: In our VC, on multivariable (MV) analysis, for each 2-point increase in CS, the hazard ratio (HR) for PFS was 2.58 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.62-4.11). On MV analysis, for each 2-point increase in CS, the HR for OS was 3.89 (95% CI 1.8-4.83). We combined the OC and VC for this analysis in order to increase the predictive power of our originally developed Cox proportional-hazards models. In our CC, of the 248 total pts, median pt age, CS and number of prior tx were 63.3 years, 4 (range 0-8) and 1 (range 0-7), respectively. The most represented primary tumor sites were small intestinal (N = 136), pancreatic (N = 58), unknown primary (N = 26) and lung (N = 14). A total of 140, 82 and 26 pts received 3-4, 0 or 1-2 doses of PRRT, respectively. On MV analysis, for each 2-point increase in CS, the HR for PFS was 2.52 (95% CI 1.90-3.35). On MV analysis, for each 2-point increase in CS, the HR for OS was 3.48 (95% CI 2.33-5.18). No interaction between PRRT doses administered and CS was observed. Conclusions: Increases in CS were strongly associated with worsening PFS and OS in our VC and CC, validating findings from our OC. Although we cannot determine whether the CS specifically predicts PRRT response or is prognostic based upon these data, it is the first presented clinical metric which can categorize pts with WD NETs under consideration for PRRT and estimate anticipated benefit from PRRT for pts.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e17511-e17511
Author(s):  
Vanessa Wookey ◽  
Adams Kusi Appiah ◽  
Avyakta Kallam ◽  
Vinicius Ernani ◽  
Lynette Smith ◽  
...  

e17511 Background: Squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (HNSCC) with distant metastasis at diagnosis (stage IVC) is rare, and outcomes are often lumped together with those of patients who relapse following initial treatment. We evaluated prognostic factors in patients presenting with stage IVC HNSCC. Methods: Data was extracted from the National Cancer Database to determine prevalence, overall survival (OS), and prognostic factors of stage IVC HNSCC (oral cavity, gum, lip, oropharynx, tongue, tonsil and hypopharynx) in adults, using SAS software for analysis. OS curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and differences were compared using a log-rank test. Significant parameters in the univariate Cox proportional hazards regression model analyses were included in the multivariate model, and hazard ratios, p-values and 95% confidence intervals were presented. Results: Of 226,302 patients with HNSCC, 5458 had distant metastases at diagnosis (2.40%); 5238 had complete data and were included in further analyses. Median survival of the entire cohort was 9.07 months, and one-year survival was 41%. Age > 70 years, Black race and higher Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score were associated with worse OS, while HPV positive status, tonsil and tongue (not including base) primary, private insurance and receipt of any treatment were associated with improved OS on univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, HPV positive tumors were associated with improved OS compared to HPV negative tumors (HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.48-0.82; p= 0.001), even after adjusting for site of tumor origin. Only patients with a Charlson-Deyo score of ≥2 had worse OS compared to those without comorbidities. Hypopharynx, lip, tonsil and base of tongue primaries had significantly worse OS compared to gum and other mouth. Except for radiation alone and radiation with surgery, treatment demonstrated significant improvement in OS compared to no treatment, a combination of chemotherapy, radiation and surgery provided the largest survival benefit (HR 0.23, 95% CI 0.20-0.28). Conclusions: HPV positivity seems to predict for better prognosis, regardless of site of origin. Patients with metastatic HNSCC should be offered multimodality therapy in order to improve outcomes.


2016 ◽  
Vol 124 (1) ◽  
pp. 163-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zachary A. Seymour ◽  
Penny K. Sneed ◽  
Nalin Gupta ◽  
Michael T. Lawton ◽  
Annette M. Molinaro ◽  
...  

OBJECT Large arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) remain difficult to treat, and ideal treatment parameters for volume-staged stereotactic radiosurgery (VS-SRS) are still unknown. The object of this study was to compare VS-SRS treatment outcomes for AVMs larger than 10 ml during 2 eras; Era 1 was 1992-March 2004, and Era 2 was May 2004–2008. In Era 2 the authors prospectively decreased the AVM treatment volume, increased the radiation dose per stage, and shortened the interval between stages. METHODS All cases of VS-SRS treatment for AVM performed at a single institution were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS Of 69 patients intended for VS-SRS, 63 completed all stages. The median patient age at the first stage of VS-SRS was 34 years (range 9–68 years). The median modified radiosurgery-based AVM score (mRBAS), total AVM volume, and volume per stage in Era 1 versus Era 2 were 3.6 versus 2.7, 27.3 ml versus 18.9 ml, and 15.0 ml versus 6.8 ml, respectively. The median radiation dose per stage was 15.5 Gy in Era 1 and 17.0 Gy in Era 2, and the median clinical follow-up period in living patients was 8.6 years in Era 1 and 4.8 years in Era 2. All outcomes were measured from the first stage of VS-SRS. Near or complete obliteration was more common in Era 2 (log-rank test, p = 0.0003), with 3- and 5-year probabilities of 5% and 21%, respectively, in Era 1 compared with 24% and 68% in Era 2. Radiosurgical dose, AVM volume per stage, total AVM volume, era, compact nidus, Spetzler-Martin grade, and mRBAS were significantly associated with near or complete obliteration on univariate analysis. Dose was a strong predictor of response (Cox proportional hazards, p < 0.001, HR 6.99), with 3- and 5-year probabilities of near or complete obliteration of 5% and 16%, respectively, at a dose < 17 Gy versus 23% and 74% at a dose ≥ 17 Gy. Dose per stage, compact nidus, and total AVM volume remained significant predictors of near or complete obliteration on multivariate analysis. Seventeen patients (25%) had salvage surgery, SRS, and/or embolization. Allowing for salvage therapy, the probability of cure was more common in Era 2 (log-rank test, p = 0.0007) with 5-year probabilities of 0% in Era 1 versus 41% in Era 2. The strong trend toward improved cure in Era 2 persisted on multivariate analysis even when considering mRBAS (Cox proportional hazards, p = 0.055, HR 4.01, 95% CI 0.97–16.59). The complication rate was 29% in Era 1 compared with 13% in Era 2 (Cox proportional hazards, not significant). CONCLUSIONS VS-SRS is an option to obliterate or downsize large AVMs. Decreasing the AVM treatment volume per stage to ≤ 8 ml with this technique allowed a higher dose per fraction and decreased time to response, as well as improved rates of near obliteration and cure without increasing complications. Reducing the volume of these very large lesions can facilitate a surgical approach for cure.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ipek Alpertunga ◽  
Rabail Sadiq ◽  
Deep Pandya ◽  
Tammy Lo ◽  
Maxim Dulgher ◽  
...  

PurposeImpaired glucose metabolism is present in most patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Whereas previous studies have focused on pre-treatment glycemic indices and prognosis in those with concomitant diabetes, the effects of glycemic control during chemotherapy treatment on prognosis, in patients with and without diabetes, have not been well characterized. We examined the relationship between early glycemic control and overall survival (OS) in a cohort of patients with advanced PDAC treated in a community setting.Patients and MethodsSeventy-three patients with advanced PDAC (38% with diabetes) receiving chemotherapy while participating in a biobanking clinical trial were included. Clinical characteristics and laboratory results during 1 year were obtained from the electronic medical record. Kaplan-Meier estimate, log-rank test and hazard ratios were computed to assess the effect of glycemic control on OS. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was applied to ascertain the significance of glycemic control with other survival variables.ResultsOne thousand four hundred eighteen random blood glucose (RBG) values were analyzed. In accord with previous findings, a 50% decline in the serum tumor marker CA 19-9 at any time was predictive of survival (P=0.0002). In univariate analysis, an elevated pre-treatment average RBG, 3-month average RBG (RBG-3) and the FOLFIRINOX regimen were associated with longer survival. Based on ROC analysis (AUC=0.82), an RBG-3 of 120 mg/dl was determined to be the optimal cutoff to predict 12-month survival. In multivariate analysis that included age, stage, BMI, performance status, presence of diabetes, and chemotherapy regimen, only RBG-3 maintained significance: an RBG-3 ≤120 mg/dl predicted for improved OS compared to &gt;120 mg/dl (19 vs. 9 months; HR=0.37, P=0.002). In contrast, an early decline in CA 19-9 could not predict OS.ConclusionLower glucose levels during the first 3 months of treatment for advanced PDAC predict for improved OS in patients both with and without diabetes. These results suggest that RBG-3 may be a novel prognostic biomarker worthy of confirmation in a larger patient cohort and that studies exploring a possible cause and effect of this novel survival-linked relationship are warranted.


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