On the Results of Studying Kondratieff Waves in the Economy of Spain

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 58-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Левкина ◽  
Nataliya Levkina
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Early 20Th Century ◽  
Spanish Economy ◽  
Late 20Th Century ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
The Third ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Technological Mode

The paper presents the results of the analysis of Spain`s economic dynamics in order to identify periods of of Kondratieff waves and the dates of origin of new technological modes. Through the regression analysis of the time series of Spain’s real per capita GDP for the period from 1850 to 2008, the author determines the dates of origin of the third, the fourth and the fifth Kondratieff waves and also the dates of origin of the fourth, the fifth and the sixth technological modes in the Spanish economy. The results obtained shows, that the fourth technological mode in Spain`s economy occurred in the early 20th century, the fifth mode — in the 1950s, while the sixth mode began in the late 20th century. The results of the research can be helpful for constructing models of technological modes` productivity in Spain.

Kondratieff Waves and Technological Modes in Australia`s Economy

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 40-47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Левкина ◽  
Nataliya Levkina
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
The Third ◽  
Maximum Productivity ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Kondratieff Cycles ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Xix Century ◽  
Technological Mode ◽  
Fourth Mode

The article presents the results of the analysis of Australia`s economic dynamics in order to determine the time of beginning of Kondratieff waves and origin of new technological modes and their productivity. The regression analysis of the time series of Australia real per capita GDP for the period from 1820 to 2008 allowed to determine the date of beginning of the third, fourth and fifth half-waves of Kondratieff cycles and the date of origin of the fourth, fifth and sixth technological modes in Australia`s economy. The results of the analysis showed that the origin of the fourth technological mode in Australia`s economy occurred in the late XIX century, the fifth — in the 1950s, the sixth — in the late XX century. The modeling of technological modes` productivity allowed determining the productivity of relict and modern technological modes in the economy of Australia. The results showed that the productivity of relict modes in Australia`s economy is 3465 Gehry-Hemis dollars 1990. The maximum productivity of the fourth mode is 4437 Gehry-Hemis dollars 1990, the fifth — 8874 Gehry-Hemis dollars 1990. The maximum productivity of the sixth mode in the economy of Australia is 26 888 Gehry-Hemis dollars 1990. The results of the research may be used in order to evaluate the productivity of modern technological modes in Russian economy.

The Results of the Research of Kondratiev Waves in Economies of Greece and Portugal

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Левкина ◽  
Nataliya Levkina
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Economic Dynamics ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Greek Economy ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Technological Mode ◽  
Of Greece

The article presents the results of the analysis of Greek and Portuguese economic dynamics in order to identify Kondratiev waves, to divide them into periods, and to determine the point of originating ofnew technological modes. in Greek economy,the analysis of the time series of real GDP per capita for 1913–2008 revealed the presence of economic dynamics’cycles with a period of approximately 50 years, which can be identified as Kondratiev cycles (waves).The regression analysis of the time series of Greek and Portuguese real GDP per capita allowed to determine the date of beginning of the fourth and fifth half-waves of Kondratiev cycles and the date of origin of the fifth and sixth technological modes in Greek and Portuguese economies. The obtained results of the analysis showed that the origin of the fifth technological mode in both economies occurred in the 1950s, the sixth — in the late XX century. The results of the research may be used in order to construct models of technological modes’ productivity in Greece and Portugal.

Efficiency of Technological Modes in the Economy of the United Kingdom

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 13-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Maximum Efficiency ◽  
Economic Dynamics ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
The Third ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Half Wave ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Technological Mode

Through modeling the Kondratieff waves (cycles) the authors show, that the upward half-wave of the third Kondratieff wave in the economic dynamics of the UK emerged in 1887. Further, in 1926 emerged the upward half-wave of the fourth Kondratieff wave in the economic dynamics of the UK. The upward halfwave of the fifth Kondratieff wave in Britain’s economy emerged in 1985. The fifth wave is in place till nowadays. Modeling of technological modes has allowed to assess their efficiency as concerning the economy of the UK. The efficiency of relic modes, measured in terms of per capita GDP equals to £2805 measured in 2005 pounds sterling. The maximum efficiency of the fourth technological mode equals to £1328, measured in 2005 pounds sterling. The maximum efficiency of the fifth technological mode reaches £8739 measured in 2005 pounds sterling. The maximum efficiency of the sixth technological mode for the economy of the UK reaches £19 811 measured in 2005 pounds sterling.

Comparative Study on BRIC Carbon Dioxide Emissions - Econometric Empirical Test Based on Cross-Century Time Series Data

2012 ◽  
Vol 616-618 ◽  
pp. 1512-1515
Author(s):  
Wei Hua Du
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Comparative Statics ◽  
Total Carbon ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
Bric Countries ◽  
Per Capita

Take for example the BRIC economies: Brazil, Russia, India and China. We investigated the time series data on the relationship between carbon dioxide emission and economic growth in these fast-growing developing countries by both comparative statics and comparative dynamics. The results show that there is the monotonic relationship between total carbon dioxide emissions, carbon dioxide emissions per capita and per capita GDP in any one of the BRIC countries. And there is decreasing relationship between the carbon dioxide emissions per unit GDP and per capita GDP.

Ende der Neuen Musik

2021 ◽  
Vol 72 (3) ◽  
pp. 201-213
Author(s):  
Christoph Von Blumröder
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Music Theory ◽  
Contemporary Music ◽  
Current Theory ◽  
Musical Composition ◽  
The Political ◽  
German Language ◽  
Early 20Th Century ◽  
Late 20Th Century ◽  
A Current

The term "Neue Musik" was coined for a special concept of fundamental musical innovation within Austro-German music theory of the early 20th century, and it found no terminological equivalent beyond the German language. Established by Paul Bekker with his lecture “Neue Musik” in 1919, composers such as Stockhausen or Ligeti embraced the term with its emphatic claim to innovation and new departures. However, one hundred years on the term "Neue Musik" is often used mainly as a synonym for any type of contemporary music. This article questions whether the term "Neue Musik" is still an appropriate framework for a current theory of musical composition. Not only have the specific musical circumstances changed within the course of the 20th century, but also the political and social conditions have altered drastically after two world wars which had given special impulses to those composers who strove for a new foundation of music after 1918 and 1945 respectively. This article argues that the age of "Neue Musik" has come to an end in the late 20th century, and thus it is now necessary to introduce alternative terminological concepts and methodical directions for music historiography.

scholarly journals The Siberian Polonia in the second half of the 19th - early 20th century in the Polish historiography

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-20
Author(s):  
Vladimir Shaidurov
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Historical Memory ◽  
Economic Life ◽  
Early 20Th Century ◽  
Late 20Th Century ◽  
Revolutionary Movement ◽  
Long Time ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Russian Empire

The period between the 19th – early 20th century witnessed waves of actively forming Polish communities in Russia’s rural areas. A major factor that contributed to the process was the repressive policy by the Russian Empire towards those involved in the Polish national liberation and revolutionary movement. Large communities were founded in Siberia, the Volga region, Caucasus, and European North of Russia (Arkhangelsk). One of the largest communities emerged in Siberia. By the early 20th century, the Polonia in the region consisted of tens of thousands of people. The Polish population was engaged in Siberia’s economic life and was an important stakeholder in business. Among the most well-known Polish-Siberian entrepreneurs was Alfons Poklewski-Koziell who was called the “Vodka King of Siberia” by his contemporaries. Poles, who returned from Siberian exile and penal labor, left recollections of their staying in Siberia or notes on the region starting already from the middle of the 19th century. It was this literature that was the main source of information about the life of the Siberian full for a long time. Exile undoubtedly became a significant factor that was responsible for Russia’s negative image in the historical memory of Poles. This was reflected in publications based on the martyrological approach in the Polish historiography. Glorification of the struggle of Poles to restore their statehood was a central standpoint adopted not only in memoirs, but also in scientific studies that appeared the second half of the 19th – early 20th century. The martyrological approach dominated the Polish historiography until 1970s. It was not until the late 20th century that serious scientific research started utilizing the civilizational approach, which broke the mold of the Polish historical science. This is currently a leading approach. This enables us to objectively reconstruct the history of the Siberian Polonia in the imperial period of the Russian history. The article is intended to analyze publications by Polish authors on the history of the Polish community in Siberia the 19th – early 20th century. It focuses on memoirs and research works, which had an impact on the reconstruction of the Siberian Polonia’s history. The paper is written using the retrospective, genetic, and comparative methods.re.

scholarly journals From Convergence to Divergence: Portuguese Economic Growth, 1527–1850

2019 ◽  
Vol 79 (2) ◽  
pp. 477-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nuno Palma ◽  
Jaime Reis
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Eighteenth Century ◽  
Economic Decline ◽  
Upward Trend ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
European Standards ◽  
European Economies ◽  
First Time

We construct the first time-series for Portugal’s per capita GDP for 1527–1850, drawing on a new database. Starting in the early 1630s there was a highly persistent upward trend which accelerated after 1710 and peaked 40 years later. At that point, per capita income was high by European standards, though behind the most advanced Western European economies. But as the second half of the eighteenth century unfolded, a phase of economic decline was initiated. This continued into the nineteenth century, and by 1850 per capita incomes were not different from what they had been in the early 1530s.

Does It Work? The Outcomes of Medical Interventions

1990 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 326-332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernard S. Bloom
Keyword(s):  
Medical Care ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Quality Measurement ◽  
Care Quality ◽  
Early 20Th Century ◽  
Late 20Th Century ◽  
Medical Interventions ◽  
The One

The focus of this article is on contemporary roots of medical care quality measurement, while it also examines some of the most important historical precedents. Specifically, it singles out Dr. Ernest Avery Codman and his early 20th-century work emphasizing the assessment of outcome as the paramount indicator of medical care quality. The standard that he set for himself and others is the one that late 20th-century researchers must uphold, and to which we must answer.

Kondratieff Cycles in Developed Economies

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (5) ◽  
pp. 9-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spectral Analysis ◽  
Total Power ◽  
Economic Dynamics ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
Economic Cycles ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Kondratieff Cycles ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The 19Th Century

The objective of this paper is to identify Kondratieff cycles in the developed economies. Time series spectral analysis of real per capita GDP of the developed countries and Brazil is performed. Also studied are time series for the period from the 19th century to 2008. As a result Kondratieff cycles (waves) are found out in the economic dynamics of all the countries surveyed, except for Finland. The power of Kondratieff cycles in the economic dynamics is estimated to fall in the range of 23 to 61% of the total power of all economic cycles with the periods of 2 to 100 years. The Kondratieff cycles can be found in a number of economies in the period of 19th — 20th centuries. It allows to distinguish the three moderntime Kondratieff waves in the said countries and to evaluate productivity of the fourth, the fifth and the sixth technological modes in their economies. However in a number of countries the Kondratieff cycles show up only in the 20th century. So for these countries only one or two modern Kondratieff waves can be clearly identified, making it possible to evaluate productivity of only the fifth and the sixth technological modes in their economies.

Chinese Provinces Safety Production Situation Analysis and Prediction

2014 ◽  
Vol 644-650 ◽  
pp. 5953-5957
Author(s):  
Yong He ◽  
Liang Liang Wang ◽  
Shao Bing Qin
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Death Rate ◽  
Production Control ◽  
Production Level ◽  
Situation Analysis ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
Safety Production ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Way ◽  
Production Situation

To study the condition of safety production situation and the control index, this paper analyze some Chinese provinces death rate per hundred million GDP and per capita GDP by the way of Regression analysis, at the same time, defining the coefficient that can reflect some of Chinese provinces safety production level. Predict the level of safety production situation by the theory of safety forecast, and giving a way to make safety production control index to provide the basis for some provinces’ safety production regulation in the coming year.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document