Identifikasi Hubungan Linier dan Non-Linier antara Rasio-Rasio Keuangan dan Return Saham

Akuntabilitas ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-92
Author(s):  
I Made Pande Dwiana Putra ◽  
I Dewa Nyoman Badera
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Profitability Ratios

Researches on relevance of financial ratios on stock returns mostly adopt linearity assumptions. This research aims to show the relevance of financial ratios on stock return and to compare the accuracy of linear and  non linear models. Linear and non  linear multivariate regression models are constructed from several financial ratios towards stock return to identify ratios with significant influences and subsequently compared in regard of their determinations. The samples consist of manufacturing companies listed on IDX  from 2009 through 2016 totaling 97 companies. Results of bivariate regressions show consistent relationships exist in form of positive-quadratic relationships for profitability ratios (ROA and ROE) and negative-logarithmic relationships for liquidity and solvability ratios (CR, QR and DER). In general, profitability ratios remain the dominant ratios affecting stock returns

PENGARUH CURRENT RATIO, RETURN ON EQUITY DAN EARNING PER SHARE TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA TAHUN 2010 – 2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Susi Lusiana
Keyword(s):  
Data Collection ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Current Ratio ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Earnings Per Share

The study of this research is to determine the effect of returning shares in manufacturing companies. This study uses the financial ratios contained in the company's financial statements. The financial ratios used in this study are the current ratio, return on equity, and earnings per share to stock returns in manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange in 2010-2019. This type of research used in this research is quantitative and the analytical method used is purposive sampling using SPSS 21 as many 10 manufacturing companies in the food, beverage, textile, rubber goods (tires), fisheries, and agriculture sectors. Data collection techniques are used by retrieving data through the website www.idx.co.id. The results showed that Current Ratio (CR) has a positive and significant effect on Stock Returns, Return On Equity (ROE) has a positive and significant effect on Stock Returns, and Earning Per Share (EPS) has a negative and significant effect on Stock Return.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Earning Per Share (EPS) dan Price Earning Ratio (PER) terhadap Return Saham pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Listing di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) Periode 2006-2009

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
LINA WULAN SARI
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Hypothesis Test ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Normality Test ◽  
Profitability Ratios

In particular brokerage stocks, the information has a dominant role  Investors who make investments in capital market activities need different kinds of informations consists of fundamental and technical. Both this of information could be used as a basis for investors to predict the return. Information on in the financial statements consist of several financial ratios such as liquidity ratios, activity ratios, the market ratio, profitability ratios. One of the tools for predicting the stock return is the Earning Per Share (EPS) and Price Earning Ratio (PER). The population used in the study were manufacturing companies listed on in the BEI. The is year observation period is from 2006 to 2009. The analytical method used is descriptive techniques, the classic assumption test (test of multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation and normality test data), multiple linear regression analysis, coefficient determination and hypothesis test. From this study, it is concluded that a simultaneously exist between the EPS and PER effects on stock returns of manufacturing firms in the BEI. Partially, influenced EPS aend PER while the stock return has effect on stock returns. Thus the only variable influencing EPS eand PER are variables that influencing to stock return. Furthermore, beside , but other than EPS aend PER,  investors also need to consider other fundamental factors which are not examined in this study such as ROE, CR, PBV and others

scholarly journals Stock Return Predictability with Financial Ratios: An Empirical Study of Listed Manufacturing Companies in Sri Lanka

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 471
Author(s):  
Saradhadevi Anandasayanan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Predictive Power ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Return Predictability ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Dividend Yield ◽  
Stock Return Predictability

This study attempts to investigate financial ratios’ predictive power, using the yearly time series data during the period of 2012-2017 for 33 listed manufacturing companies in Colombo Stock Exchange. This study specifically identifies the financial ratios, which are acknowledged as the predictors of stock returns in the share market, to test the stock return predictability. The financial ratios include the ratio of dividend yield, earnings per share, and earnings yield which are most useful and effective on stock return predictability in order to cover a wide range of predictions which have been used by all most all the previous researches. The stock return predictability is analyzed by regressing the dividend yield, earning per share and earning yield respectively on the yearly stock returns from 2012 to 2017. The results show high predictability power, since the R2-value is high and the coefficients are very significant and autocorrelation corrected standard errors. The results reveal that the three ratios hold a somehow predictive power regarding stock returns of the Listed Manufacturing Companies in Colombo Stock Exchange.

The Effect of Profitability, Asset Structure, Company Size on Stock Returns with Corporate Governance as Moderating Variables in Manufacturing Companies on the IDX in 2009-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 55-63
Author(s):  
Deby Yurika Lasmarito Siahaan ◽  
Rina Br Bukit ◽  
Tarmizi .
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Company Size ◽  
Research Model ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Research Results ◽  
Moderating Variables

The research objective was to examine and analyze whether Profitability, Asset Structure, Firm Size simultaneously and partially influenced Stock Returns in Manufacturing Companies. In addition, this study also tries to prove whether Corporate Governance can be used as a moderator in the research model. The research results showed that simultaneously Profitability, Asset Structure, Firm Size significantly influenced Stock Returns. Partially, profitability has a positive and significant influence on Stock Returns. Asset Structure has a positive and significant influence on Stock Returns, and Company size has a positive and insignificant influence on Stock Returns. The variable of Corporate Governance can moderate the influence of Asset Structure on Stock Returns. However, Corporate Governance will not be able to moderate the influence of Profitability on Stock Returns. Keywords: Profitability, Asset Structure, Firm Size, Stock Return, and Corporate Governance.

scholarly journals FACTORS AFFECTING OPERATING CASH FLOW TO STOCK RETURN THROUGH STOCK PRICE

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aprih . Santoso
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Operating Cash Flow

Abstract : Companies need funds in order to carry out operations such as the financing of production activities, pay employees, pay other expenses related to the operation of the company. One way to obtain these funds is to attract investors to invest in companies in the form of stock, but in making this investment is certainly not easy for investors, because investors need consideration beforehand to find out how the company's performance. The purpose of this study was to examine and analyze the effect of operating cash flow to stock return through stock price at companies listed on the Stock Exchange Year 2012-2015. The data used in this study dala are secondary data from the financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 - 2015. The data are in the form of financial statements can be obtained from the Indonesian Capital Market Directory (ICMD), the IDX website www.idx.co. id as well as from various other sources to support this research. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange the period 2012 - 2015. The samples taken by the sampling technique used purposive sampling.From the test results and analysis of the data it can be concluded that operating cash flow directly and indirectly has no effect on stock returns through stock prices showed no significant results. Keywords :  Operating Cash Flow, Stock Price, Stocks Return

scholarly journals MODAL INTELEKTUAL, MANAJEMEN LABA, IMBAL HASIL SAHAM SAAT INI DAN MASA DATANG

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 88-94
Author(s):  
Vicky Dwi Putra ◽  
Jaja Suteja ◽  
Erik Syawal Alghifari
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Intellectual Capital ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Earning Management ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Quantitative Research Methods ◽  
Panel Data Regression

Future stock returns are factors for investors to consider investing. This research aims to identify the influence of intellectual capital, earning management, and stock return toward future stock return in manufacturing companies of sub sectors food and beverages industry listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 to 2017. This research used quantitative research methods with the sample as many as 7 companies. The sampling technique is used, as well as purposive sampling done based on certain criteria. The type of data used is secondary with analysis using panel data regression model with Eviews 10. The result shows that simultaneosly intellectual capital, earning management, and stock returns gave influence on future stock returns as much as 76.15%. Partially, intellectual capital had a positve but not significant, earning management had a negative and significant, stock returns had a positive and significant effects to future stock returns.

scholarly journals Forecasting stock returns on the Amman Stock Exchange: Do neural networks outperform linear regressions?

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 280-296
Author(s):  
Abdel Razzaq Al Rababa’a ◽  
Zaid Saidat ◽  
Raed Hendawi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Statistical Measures ◽  
Amman Stock Exchange ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Ann Models

Different models have been used in the finance literature to predict the stock market returns. However, it remains an open question whether non-linear models can outperform linear models while providing accurate predictions for future returns. This study examines the prediction of the non-linear artificial neural network (ANN) models against the baseline linear regression models. This study aims specifically to compare the prediction performance of regression models with different specifications and static and dynamic ANN models. Thus, the analysis was conducted on a growing market, namely the Amman Stock Exchange. The results show that the trading volume and interest rates on loans tend to explain the monthly returns the most, compared to other predictors in the regressions. Moreover, incorporating more variables is not found to help in explaining the fluctuations in the stock market returns. More importantly, using the root mean square error (RMSE), as well as the mean absolute error statistical measures, the static ANN becomes the most preferred model for forecasting. The associated forecasting errors from these metrics become equal to 0.0021 and 0.0005, respectively. Lastly, the analysis conducted with the dynamic ANN model produced the highest RMSE value of 0.0067 since November 2018 following the amendment to the Jordanian income tax law. The same observation is also seen since the emerging of the COVID-19 outbreak (RMSE = 0.0042).

scholarly journals Predicting Stock Return of UAE Listed Companies Using Financial Ratios

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 214
Author(s):  
Arindam Banerjee
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
P Value ◽  
Dividend Yield ◽  
Value Analysis ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
The Impact

Over the past few decades, numerous research across the globe has been conducted to examine the impact of firm performance on its stock return. The findings of these studies have been varied. In spite of the long standing research in this area, several attempt towards exploring this relationship has led to limited success owing largely to the existence of volatility across different stock markets. The variance in the volatility in these markets make it extremely difficult to obtain a uniform measure. A volatile stock market makes it difficult for the accounting and financial variables to accurately predict the stock returns (Feris & Erin, 2018).  The primary aim of this paper is aimed to investigate whether financial ratios can be used as a predictor of stock returns in the context of United Arab Emirates (UAE). The sample of the study includes thirty companies from the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) and Abu Dhabi stock exchange (ADX). Data is collected for the period of 2017. This research comprises of five independent variables namely, Earning Per Share ratio (EPS), Price Earning ratio (PE), Return on Equity ratio (ROE), Dividend Yield ratio (DY) and Debt Equity ratio (DE) and stock return is taken as the dependent variable. The study examines which among the given ratios can better predict stock returns both in the short run and the long run. The analysis is based on the regression analysis and correlation matrix. The results of correlation test revealed less multicollinearity between the variables and the regression results showed that Dividend Yield and the Return on Equity are statistically significant to predict the stock returns. However, Earning Per Share, Price Earning and Debt Equity could not predict the stock returns and thus can be safely considered as statistically insignificant. The t-stats test and p-value analysis were key indicators for arriving at the conclusion. The study can significantly benefit investors who can examine closely the dividend yield and return on equity while selecting an optimal portfolio. 

scholarly journals Pengaruh Return On Assets, Return On Equity, Debt To Equity Ratio, Inflasi, Dan Suku Bunga Terhadap Return Saham Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Di Bursa Efek Indonesia (Studi Empiris Pada Perusahaan Secondary Sectors Periode 2010-2015)

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 063-076
Author(s):  
Ningsih Hikmawati ◽  
Adi Wiratno ◽  
Suyanto . ◽  
Darmansyah .
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Equity Ratio

This study is aimed to ascertain and analyse the influence of return on assets, return on equity, debt to equit ratio, inflation, and interest rate, both partiall and simultaneously on the stock returns in manufacturing companies of secondary sectors listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. This research uses quantitative methods and EVIEWS panel 8 to analyse the regression. The population are manufacturing companies of secondary sector listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange consisted of basic and chemical sectors, miscellaneous industry, and consumer goods sector in the period of 2010-2015. The sampling method used is pusposive sampling with the final number of 40 companies. The research required secondary data. The results show that return on assets has no negative effect on stock return, mean while, return on equity and interest rate have positive effect on stock return. Return on assets, return on equity, debt to equity ratio, inflation and interest rate all simultaneously have effect on stock returns.

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