scholarly journals Scenario approach to agricultural development in Azerbaijan

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 450-462
Author(s):  
Nadjiba Gabilqizi Hajiyeva

The purpose of this paper is to substantiate the optimal scenario to develop agriculture for the effective diversification of the Azerbaijani economy. By constructing an intersectoral balance model and using regression analysis, we propose the approach for determining optimal agriculture development scenarios taking into account the current development trends of the industry: innovative, inertial, and balanced. Using the balance model helps to account for the cause-and-effect relationships between the indicators of the development of all sectors of the Azerbaijani economy and comprehensively assess the impact of agricultural development on the diversification of the national economy. In contrast to the classical balance model, the modified model proposed in our article provides possibilities to assess not just the production potential of industries but also their contribution to the formation of the country's GDP and diversification of the economy on the way to neutralizing oil dependence.

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 297-313
Author(s):  
Ekrem Gjokaj ◽  
Diana Kopeva ◽  
Nol Krasniqi ◽  
Henrietta Nagy

Abstract The agri SMEs in Kosovo are facing challenges that are reducing competitiveness and preventing it from fulfilling their production potential. The main constraints in increasing productivity and improving competitiveness are the low use of modern techniques and technologies in both production and management of enterprises, lack of funds, the low use of inputs, and the limited ability to meet international standards of food safety. This paper is focused on the analysis of the impact of agricultural SMEs in the rural economy of the country and the problems related to the impact. The data used for this analysis are the data conducted for the Farm Structure Survey (FSS) which includes the farmers’ list from Agricultural Records compiled by the Kosovo Agency of Statistics (KAS) in 2014, as well as the lists of beneficiaries for both direct payments/subsidies and for grants for the period of 2014 to 2017 received by the Agency for Agriculture Development. From the research results, significant factors having an effect on the annual income of agris SMEs are the following: income from the sale of agricultural products, income from subsidies, income from non-agricultural activities, income from salaries, remittances, and income from other activities.


2021 ◽  
pp. 654-665
Author(s):  
Veronika Grigoryevna Iordanova ◽  
Maria Alexandrovna Shapor ◽  
Buinta Yurievna Munchinova

The article is devoted to the study of the phenomenon of the scenario approach to assess the prospects for the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economies of countries using the example of the largest world leaders: the United States, China, Russia. The emerging global epidemiological problem is a serious constraining factor for the development of the economies of states. From the point of view of scientifi c novelty, the analysis and assessment of development scenarios for the economies of the studied states can become the basis for drawing up an action plan to eliminate the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. To this end, within the framework of this work, scenarios of further development were considered for each of the countries. For Russia, the following scenarios were chosen baseline scenario — the pace of development of the world economy will be slow, full recovery will take place at the end of 2023; deflationary scenario — in this scenario, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the current restrictions, will persist for a long time. At the same time, oil prices will reach $ 50 per barrel only after 2023, inflation by 2023 will reach 1.5-2.5 %; pro-inflationary scenario — the effects of the pandemic will subside quickly enough, but the potential level of output in the global economy will fall deeper. At the same time, oil prices by 2023 will be $ 42–43 per barrel; risk scenario — within the framework of this scenario, the possibility of a repeat of the COVID-19 pandemic is allowed and the tightening of restrictive measures, which will negatively affect the economies of states, is not excluded. The choice of the studied states was determined not only by world leadership, but also by the degree of influence of the coronavirus on their economies. During the study, a forecast of key indicators of the economies of the United States, China and Russia for 2021 was carried out, the prospects for their dynamics in the current economic situation were assessed, and the main trends followed by the governments of states were examined and identified.


2018 ◽  
Vol 63 (7) ◽  
pp. 126-136
Author(s):  
Tuyen Tran Thi ◽  
Yen Hoang Phan Hai ◽  
Thanh Nguyen Thi Trang

This paper presents the finding the characteristics of management and agricultural land uses of Thai people in agricultural production. The impact of these characteristics on sustainable development was analysised by the strengths, weakness, opportunities, threats in order to storage and promote these values in the sustainable agriculture development on sloping land in the west of Nghe An province, Vietnam. This study used Participatory Rural Appraisal (PRA) method to collect primary materials through interviews 210 households and stakeholders at area study by main semi-structured interviewing (SSI) and Venn diagram and SWOT tools to analysis. The research revealed that Thai acquired a lot of experience in farming on sloping that play an important role in sustainable agricultural development, such as the land management, cultivation on upland (classify the field, technique of cultivation on upland, fertilizer, land “retirement”, domesticating native plants, etc.). Beside the strengths, these traditional cultivation is facing many obstacles, in which, knowledge loss gradually, even in danger of disappearing in this area is the biggest threat. Otherwise, base on the opportunities, some solutions was suggested to store, apply and manage the indigenous knowledge (IK) for sustainable agricultural in the west Nghe An province.


Author(s):  
Oleksandr Synenko ◽  
Kateryna Yarema ◽  
Yuliia Bezsmertna

The subject of the research is the approach to the possibility of using the Solow model to perform the regression analysis on the example of the Ukrainian economy model. The purpose of writing this article is to investigate the notion of regres- sion analysis, Solow’s economy model, algorithm for performing regression analy- sis on the example of Ukraine’s economy model. This model can be adapted for the economy of enterprises. Methodology. The research methodology is system-struc- tural and comparative analyzes (to study the structure of GDP); monograph (when studying methods of regression analysis on the example of the Ukrainian economy); economic analysis (when assessing the impact of factors on Ukraine’s GDP). The scientific novelty consists the features of the use of the Solow model on the ex- ample of Ukrainian economy are determined. An algorithm for calculating the basic parameters of a model using the Excel application package is disclosed. The main recommendations on the development of the national economy and economic growth through the use of macroeconomic instruments are given. Conclusions. The use of the Solow model enables forecasting and analysis. The results obtained re- vealed the problem of low resource return of capital as a resource, along with the means of macroeconomic regulation of the investment process, using which can improve the situation. A special place in these funds belongs to the accelerated depreciation and interest rate policies.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Coy ◽  
A.V. Shuravilin ◽  
O.A. Zakharova

Приведены результаты исследований по изучению влияния промышленной технологии возделывания картофеля на развитие, урожайность и качество продукции. Выявлена положительная реакция растений на подкормку K2SO4 в период посадки. Корреляционно-регрессионный анализ урожайности и качества клубней выявил высокую степень достоверности результатов опыта. Содержание нитратов и тяжелых металлов в клубнях было ниже допустимых величин.The results of studies on the impact of industrial technology of potato cultivation on growth, yield and quality of products. There was a positive response of plants to fertilizer K2SO4 in the period of planting. Correlation and regression analysis of yield and quality of tubers revealed a high degree of reliability of the results of experience. The contents of nitrates and heavy metals in tubers was below the permissible values.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arief Hidayatullah Khamainy ◽  
Dessy Novitasari Laras Asih

The research was carried out to find the influence of training material and methods of training toward workability. The study was conducted respectively from an employee of PD BPR Bantul Yogyakarta. The purpose of this research is expected to be useful for stakeholders in seeing CSR disclosure in the company in testing and analyzing its effect on the company's financial performance and with the presence of anti-corruption exposure, whether it will strengthen the impact of CSR disclosure on the company's financial performance. The study population in this study were all mining companies registered on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2016-2018 with a total of 63 companies. The research sample was taken using a random sampling technique that was calculated by the Slovin formula so that 54 samples were obtained for analysis. Linear Regression Analysis and Moderation Regression Analysis were chosen as the analysis technique used in this study. The results show that CSR disclosure does not affect the company's financial performance, and anti-corruption disclosure does not affect the relationship between the two.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Murti Sumarni

The aim of this research was focused to determine the impact of Employee Engagement and Employee Value Proposition to Performance. The reliability and validity test was conducted to 30 respondents and the result showed that all questions item were proven valid and reliable to be used in further research analysis. Populations in this research were the employees of PT. Bank Mega, Tbk. Branch Office Semarang. Questionnaire wasused to collect the data in the amount of 50 respondents. This research used SPSS to analyze and the result of the regression analysis indicated that the Employee Engagement and Employee Value Proposition had a significant effect to Performance. The result of Path Analysis indicated that Employee Value Proposition could be a moderating variable between the impact of Employee Engagement to Performance.


2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vasily Yakimovich Uzun ◽  
Valery A. Saraykin ◽  
Natalia Karlova ◽  
Ekaterina Gataulinn

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document