scholarly journals A survey on the effects of the exchange rate changes and financial flexibility on the usage of financial leverage in accepted companies of Tehran stock exchange

Author(s):  
Reza Zare ◽  
Hamid Mahmoodabadi ◽  
Hoda Kiafar ◽  
Moslem Gheisari

In the present study we try to examine the exchange rate changes and financial flexibility as the economic stable indexes on the financial leverage use in the companies so the main issue in this study is to define the financial leverage relation with exchange rate changes and financial flexibility. That is why 88 companies of the companies listed in Tehran stock exchange in 2005–2011. The study type is descriptive–correlative and the multivariable linear regression was used to analyze the data. The findings from the hypotheses test state there is a significant relation between financial leverage and financial flexibility while there isn't relationbetween financial leverage and exchange rate changes.


Author(s):  
Reza Zare

<p>In the present study we try to examine the exchange rate changes and  financial flexibility as the economic stable indexes on the financial leverage  use in the companies so the main issue in this study is to define the financial leverage relation with  exchange rate changes and financial flexibility. That is why 88 companies of the companies listed in Tehran stock exchange in 2005–2011. The study type is descriptive–correlative and the multivariable linear regression was used to analyze the data. The findings from the hypotheses test state there is a significant relation between financial leverage and financial flexibility while there isn't relation between financial leverage and exchange rate changes.</p>



2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
SITI SUNAYAH ◽  
ZAINI IBRAHIM

Abstract. Analysis on Effect of Changes in Macroeconomic Variables Return against Sharia Stock at PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk. 2011-2013. Macroeconomic variables used in this study is the exchange rate, interest rates and inflation. These variables tried measurable macroeconomic impact on the level of sharia stock returns from PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk. during 2011-2013. The data of exchange rate, inflation, and interest rates obtained from the site of Bank Indonesia (BI), and the data of sharia stock returns PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia from the site of Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) as well as on the site of Bank Indonesia (BI). The instrument used in this research is multiple linear regression and software eviews 7. The results obtained that all independent variables have no effect on the dependent variable partially (alone), but simultaneously (together) three independent variables affect the dependent variable. With fault tolerance of 5% exchange rate, interest rates and inflation are able to explain changes in stock return of sharia PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk amounted to 8.6%. Every increase in the exchange rate of 1% would increase the amount of return PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk as much as 1.76%, whereas any increase in interest rates by 1% will increase the stock return of sharia PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk as much as 31.4%, then any increase in inflation of 1% would raise the stock return of sharia PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk as much as 0.086%. Thus, the independent variables are more dominant on stock returns PT. Telkom is in bank interest rates.Abstrak. Analisis Pengaruh Perubahan Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Return Saham Syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk. Periode 2011-2013. Variabel makroekonomi yang dimaksud dalam penelitian ini meliputi nilai tukar rupiah, suku bunga dan inflasi. Ketiga variabel makroekonomi tersebut dicoba diukur pengaruhnya terhadap tingkat return saham syariah dari PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, tbk. selama periode 2011-2013. Data kurs, inflasi, dan suku bunga diperoleh dari situs Bank Indonesia (BI), dan data return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia diambil dari situs Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) serta dari situs Bank Indonesia (BI). Alat analisis yang digunakan yaitu regresi linier berganda dengan bantuan software eviews 7. Hasil yang diperoleh menyatakan semua variabel bebas tidak berpengaruh terhadap variabel terikat secara parsial (sendiri-sendiri), namun secara simultan (bersama-sama) ketiga variabel bebas berpengaruh terhadap variabel terikat. Dengan toleransi kesalahan sebesar 5% nilai tukar rupiah, suku bunga dan inflasi mampu menjelaskan perubahan return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebesar 8,6%. Setiap peningkatan nilai tukar rupiah sebesar 1% akan menaikan besarnya return PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebanyak 1,76%, sedangkan setiap peningkatan suku bunga sebesar 1% akan menaikan return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebanyak 31,4%, selanjutnya setiap peningkatan inflasi sebesar 1% akan menaikan return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebanyak 0,086%. Dengan demikian, variabel bebas yang lebih dominan terhadap return saham PT. Telkom adalah suku bunga perbankan.



2019 ◽  
Vol 42 (2) ◽  
pp. 174-198
Author(s):  
Ajaya Kumar Panda ◽  
Swagatika Nanda

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of changes in the exchange rate on long-term investment decisions of Indian manufacturing firms at the sector level.Design/methodology/approachThe study is undertaken on a sample of 1,222 firms from six key manufacturing sectors of Indian economy during the period 2000-2016. The non-linear relationship between real exchange rate and long-term investment is studied using the two-step generalized model of moments estimator.FindingsThe study finds a concave (i.e. inverted U-shaped) relationship between the long-term investment and real exchange rate, particularly in case of chemical, construction, machinery and textile sector, in particular, and Indian manufacturing industry as a whole. It implies that investments in these sectors increase with depreciation of real exchange rate up to a point of inflection and subsequent to which it starts decreasing if exchange rate continues to depreciate further. But consumer goods and metal product sectors ensure a convex pattern, which demonstrates that investment is decreasing at the initial stage of depreciation of the exchange rate. The study moves one-step forward in validating this nexus between investment and exchange rate with respect to the price-cost margin and the extent of financial flexibility of firms. It is found that high price cost margin and financial flexibility moderates the adverse impact of exchange rate depreciation and immunizes the long-term investments in the scenario of a weak domestic currency and induce long-term investments.Research limitations/implicationsThe study measures the impact of exchange rate changes, but the impact of exchange rate volatility on investment has not been studied, which is absolutely different with different implications.Practical implicationsThe study provides a clear guideline to firm managers for using the exchange rate movements in a favorable manner. The findings can be used to ensure sustainable long-term investments with respect to the core competence of firms in terms of price cost margin and financial flexibility at sector level of Indian manufacturing firms.Originality/valueThe study analyzes the non-linear relationship between exchange rate changes and long-term investment behavior of manufacturing firms from six key sectors of India. Further, the study moves one step forward to analyze this nexus under different scenarios of financial flexibility and price cost margin using dynamic panel models.



2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-70
Author(s):  
Hasanah Setyowati ◽  
Riyanti Ningsih

This study aimed to obtain empirical evidence on the influence of fundamental factors, systematic risk and macroeconomics on the returns Islamic stock of companies incorporated in the Jakarta Islamic Index in 2010-2014. The variables used were the fundamental factors that are proxied by Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); Systematic risk is proxied by Beta Shares; macroeconomic factors is proxied by the inflation rate and the exchange rate. The samples of this study are the enterprises incorporated in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The sampling method was using purposive sampling. There were 12 samples of Islamic stocks that meet the criteria to be used as samples. The analysis model used is multiple linear regression techniques and the type of data used is secondary data. The study found that all variables, which are Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Beta stock, inflation and the exchange rate do not significantly affect the return of sharia stock either simultaneously or partially.



2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
SUSENO - SUSENO

ANALISIS VARIABEL YANG BERPENGARUH TERHADAP KINERJA PERUSAHAAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIAOleh : Suseno STIE SATRIA Purwokerto ABSTRACT The aims of the research are (1) to analyze influence of age, scale, financial leverage, and profitability to performance of firms at The Indonesian Stock Exchange. (2) to determine the most influential variable on the performance of the firms. Hypotheses proposed in this research were: (1) Age, Scales, Financial Leverage, Profitability influences the performance of firms, (2) Age influences the performance of firms, (3) Scales influences the performance of firms, (4) Financial Leverage influences the performance of firms, (5) Profitability influences the performance of firms. Instrument of analysis employed in the research was multiple linear regression with t test and F test.The results of analyses of t test showed that profitability did not influence the performance of the firms. It was indicated by the value of computed t which was smaller than the value of t table. Meanwhile, the t test of age, scale and financial leverage indicated that the value of computed t &gt; t table. It means that these variables (scale and financial leverage) influenced the performance of the firms. The F test showed that the independent variables of age, scale, financial leverage and profitability as a whole significantly influenced the performance of the firms. It was indicated by the calculated F &gt; the value of F table, the value the age computed t which was smaller than the value of -t table..Based on the research results that age and profitability do not influence the performance of the firms, it is suggested that investors should not pay any attention to those variables. On the other hand, they should pay attention to the variables of scale and financial leverage. It is recommended that for further research should include longer periode of the sample.



2006 ◽  
Vol 96 (3) ◽  
pp. 552-576 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Bacchetta ◽  
Eric van Wincoop

Empirical evidence shows that most exchange rate volatility at short to medium horizons is related to order flow and not to macroeconomic variables. We introduce symmetric information dispersion about future macroeconomic fundamentals in a dynamic rational expectations model in order to explain these stylized facts. Consistent with the evidence, the model implies that (a) observed fundamentals account for little of exchange rate volatility in the short to medium run, (b) over long horizons, the exchange rate is closely related to observed fundamentals, (c) exchange rate changes are a weak predictor of future fundamentals, and (d) the exchange rate is closely related to order flow.



2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 6-14
Author(s):  
Zahra Zhafira ◽  
Einde Evana ◽  
Ratna Septiyanti

This study aims to examine the effect of exchange rates on the stock index during the Covid-19 pandemic. This research was conducted using secondary data. The population in this study were all stock indices listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with a sample size of 89 and a total stock index of 34. The study period was 4 months, 17 January 2020 to 20 May 2020. The sample data collection of this study used the purposive method. Sampling with world economic conditions and Indonesia which are weakening due to the Covid-19 pandemic and based on the phenomenon that the exchange rate is experiencing a continuous movement even every year the exchange rate depreciates IDR against the US Dollar. One of the causes of the high fluctuation of the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar came from economic factors such as inflation, the interest rate on Bank Indonesia certificates during the Covid-19 pandemic. This study uses a simple linear regression analysis method using SPSS V.26. The results of simple linear regression analysis show that exchange rates have a negative and significant effect on all stock indices listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, these results have similarities or differences with the results of research in other emerging market countries.



Author(s):  
Harun Bal ◽  
Mehmet Demiral ◽  
Filiz Yetiz

There is an immense literature on the effects of exchange rate changes on macroeconomic indicators, specifically on the trade balance, growth, inflation, and overall productivity in open economies. One of the main attempts in the related literature is about ascertaining whether the exchange rate fluctuations alter domestic prices. This possible mechanism is called as the pass-through effect which is getting more important since the argument that exchange rate adjustment is a part of the solution for global rebalancing is empirically well-supported. Starting from this claim, this study purposes to explore whether there is an exchange rate pass-through effect in 19 high-income OECD countries over the period 1990-2015. To this end, using a panel data set of consumer price index, producer price index proxied by wholesale price index, the nominal effective exchange rates, and industrial production presented by the value-added share of industry sectors in gross domestic product, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models are estimated in an unbalanced panel data analysis procedure. Results reveal that exchange rate pass-through effects on the domestic prices are significant but not that strong in both the short-run and the long-run. Expectedly, the pass-through effects tend to diminish over time. The study concludes that policy-makers need to consider policy actions accompanying the exchange rate changes to ensure domestic price stability which consequently interacts with many macroeconomic indicators.



2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 173
Author(s):  
Maoguo Wu ◽  
Yue Yu

Russia’s economic development has a close relation with China, due to geographical and historical reasons. This paper investigates whether the ruble – renminbi exchange rate changes accordingly when the pillar industry of Russia is drastically changing, and how the exchange rate changes and how it affects Russia’s economic development. In this paper, data of 7 variables spanning 122 months are selected based on related literature and availability of data. Regression analysis and empirical tests are carried out consequently. The results show that the energy price index represented by oil prices is negatively correlated with the exchange rate, and the explanatory power is as high as 41.1%. Following basic arbitrage methods and strategies, this paper verifies the feasibility of using arbitrage by comparing actual exchange rates with forecasted exchange rates. According to empirical results, problems witnessed in the process of ruble internationalization provides policy implications for China. China’s economy is utilized as an example to discuss the shortcomings of Russia’s economy. Related solutions are proposed.



2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 99
Author(s):  
Eza Herlambang Taufik ◽  
Muhammad Harlie ◽  
Kurniaty Kurniaty

The evolution of the forex market is divided into two stages. World War IPeriod and the Bretton Woods period is included Fixed Rate Periodstage. At this stage, forex does not excite transactions because of exchange rate changes can only occur in a relatively narrow range. After a period of Bretton Woods, after the failure of Period Exchange Rates Remain in maintaining economic stability, forex transactions getting psyched. This occurs because the assessment of the exchange rate between countries be left entirely to the market mechanism. The market will determine whether the exchange rate is too expensive (over-valued) or too low (under-valued).This study aims to determine the effect of ability, experience and discipline together and partially on the performance forex trader in South Kalimantan. This type of research is quantitative method. The samples were obtained 56 votes. To determine the effect the ability, experience and discipline to the performance of the test statistic methods trader used multiple linear regression. Data processing was performed using IBM SPSS Statistics 23 program for Windows.Based on the results of the research show that together the ability, experience and discipline significant effect on the performance of forex traders in South Kalimantan. Partially, ability, experience and discipline positive and significant impact on the performance of forex traders in South Kalimantan.Keywords: Capability, Experience, Discipline and Performance



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