scholarly journals Inter-Model Comparison for Tsunami Debris Simulation

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 1030-1044
Author(s):  
Tomoyuki Takabatake ◽  
Jacob Stolle ◽  
Koji Hiraishi ◽  
Naoto Kihara ◽  
Kazuya Nojima ◽  
...  

Assessing the risk of tsunami-driven debris has increasingly been recognized as an important design consideration. The recent ASCE/SEI7-16 standard Chapter 6 requires all the areas included within a 22.5° spreading angle from the debris source to consider the debris impact. However, it would be more reasonable to estimate the risks using numerical simulation models. Although a number of simulation models to predict tsunami debris transport have been proposed individually, comparative studies for these simulation models have rarely been conducted. Thus, in the present study, an inter-model comparison for tsunami debris simulation model was performed as a part of the virtual Tsunami Hackathon held in Japan from September 1 to 3 in 2020. The blind benchmarking experiment, which recorded the transport of three container models under a tsunami-like bore, was conducted to generate a unique dataset. Then, four different numerical models were applied to reproduce the experiments. Simulated results demonstrated considerable differences among the simulation models. Essentially, the importance of accurate modelling of a flow field, especially a tsunami front, was confirmed to be important in simulating debris motion. Parametric studies performed in each model and comparisons between different models also confirmed that a drag coefficient and inertia coefficient would influence the simulated debris trajectory and velocity. It was also shown that two-way coupled modelling to express the interaction between debris and a tsunami is important to accurately model the debris motion.

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 920
Author(s):  
Chukwuma Ogbonnaya ◽  
Chamil Abeykoon ◽  
Adel Nasser ◽  
Ali Turan

A system of transcendental equations (SoTE) is a set of simultaneous equations containing at least a transcendental function. Solutions involving transcendental equations are often problematic, particularly in the form of a system of equations. This challenge has limited the number of equations, with inter-related multi-functions and multi-variables, often included in the mathematical modelling of physical systems during problem formulation. Here, we presented detailed steps for using a code-based modelling approach for solving SoTEs that may be encountered in science and engineering problems. A SoTE comprising six functions, including Sine-Gordon wave functions, was used to illustrate the steps. Parametric studies were performed to visualize how a change in the variables affected the superposition of the waves as the independent variable varies from x1 = 1:0.0005:100 to x1 = 1:5:100. The application of the proposed approach in modelling and simulation of photovoltaic and thermophotovoltaic systems were also highlighted. Overall, solutions to SoTEs present new opportunities for including more functions and variables in numerical models of systems, which will ultimately lead to a more robust representation of physical systems.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 2969-3013 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. Haywood ◽  
D. J. Hill ◽  
A. M. Dolan ◽  
B. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
F. Bragg ◽  
...  

Abstract. Climate and environments of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period (3.264 to 3.025 Ma) have been extensively studied. Whilst numerical models have shed light on the nature of climate at the time, uncertainties in their predictions have not been systematically examined. The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project quantifies uncertainties in model outputs through a co-ordinated multi-model and multi-model/data intercomparison. Whilst commonalities in model outputs for the Pliocene are evident, we show substantial variation in the sensitivity of models to the implementation of Pliocene boundary conditions. Models appear able to reproduce many regional changes in temperature reconstructed from geological proxies. However, data/model comparison highlights the potential for models to underestimate polar amplification. To assert this conclusion with greater confidence, limitations in the time-averaged proxy data currently available must be addressed. Sensitivity tests exploring the "known unknowns" in modelling Pliocene climate specifically relevant to the high-latitudes are also essential (e.g. palaeogeography, gateways, orbital forcing and trace gasses). Estimates of longer-term sensitivity to CO2 (also known as Earth System Sensitivity; ESS), suggest that ESS is greater than Climate Sensitivity (CS), and that the ratio of ESS to CS is between 1 and 2, with a best estimate of 1.5.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 4595-4626 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Stramma ◽  
A. Oschlies ◽  
S. Schmidtko

Abstract. Observations and model runs indicate trends in dissolved oxygen (DO) associated with current and ongoing global warming. However, a large-scale observation-to-model comparison has been missing and is presented here. This study presents a first global compilation of DO measurements covering the last 50 years. It shows declining upper-ocean DO levels in many regions, especially the tropical oceans, whereas areas with increasing trends are found in the subtropics and in some subpolar regions. For the Atlantic Ocean south of 20° N, the DO history could even be extended back to about 70 years, showing decreasing DO in the subtropical South Atlantic. The global mean DO trend between 50° S and 50° N at 300 dbar for the period 1960 to 2010 is −0.063 μmol kg−1 yr−1. Results of a numerical biogeochemical Earth system model reveal that the magnitude of the observed change is consistent with CO2-induced climate change. However, the correlation between simulated and observed patterns of past DO change is negative, indicating that the model does not correctly reproduce the processes responsible for observed regional oxygen changes in the past 50 years. A negative pattern correlation is also obtained for model configurations with particularly low and particularly high diapycnal mixing, for a configuration that assumes a CO2-induced enhancement of the C:N ratios of exported organic matter and irrespective of whether climatological or realistic winds from reanalysis products are used to force the model. Depending on the model configuration the 300 dbar DO trend between 50° S and 50° N is −0.026 to −0.046 μmol kg−1 yr−1. Although numerical models reproduce the overall sign and, to some extent, magnitude of observed ocean deoxygenation, this degree of realism does not necessarily apply to simulated regional patterns and the representation of processes involved in their generation. Further analysis of the processes that can explain the discrepancies between observed and modeled DO trends is required to better understand the climate sensitivity of oceanic oxygen fields and predict potential DO changes in the future.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 191-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. Haywood ◽  
D. J. Hill ◽  
A. M. Dolan ◽  
B. L. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
F. Bragg ◽  
...  

Abstract. Climate and environments of the mid-Pliocene warm period (3.264 to 3.025 Ma) have been extensively studied. Whilst numerical models have shed light on the nature of climate at the time, uncertainties in their predictions have not been systematically examined. The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project quantifies uncertainties in model outputs through a coordinated multi-model and multi-model/data intercomparison. Whilst commonalities in model outputs for the Pliocene are clearly evident, we show substantial variation in the sensitivity of models to the implementation of Pliocene boundary conditions. Models appear able to reproduce many regional changes in temperature reconstructed from geological proxies. However, data/model comparison highlights that models potentially underestimate polar amplification. To assert this conclusion with greater confidence, limitations in the time-averaged proxy data currently available must be addressed. Furthermore, sensitivity tests exploring the known unknowns in modelling Pliocene climate specifically relevant to the high latitudes are essential (e.g. palaeogeography, gateways, orbital forcing and trace gasses). Estimates of longer-term sensitivity to CO2 (also known as Earth System Sensitivity; ESS), support previous work suggesting that ESS is greater than Climate Sensitivity (CS), and suggest that the ratio of ESS to CS is between 1 and 2, with a "best" estimate of 1.5.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 153
Author(s):  
Spyridon Psarras ◽  
Theodoros Loutas ◽  
Magdalini Papanaoum ◽  
Orestis Konstantinos Triantopoulos ◽  
Vasilis Kostopoulos

In this work the effectiveness of stepped repairs to damaged fiber reinforced composite materials is investigated by using previously validated numerical models which were compared with tested repaired composite plates. Parametric studies were carried out in order to assess the scarf ratio (i.e., step length to ply thickness ratio) influence on ultimate forces, displacements, stresses and stiffnesses. FE models with repair scarf ratios varying from the value of 20 to the value 60 with a step increase of 10 were developed. The numerical models allowed a direct comparison of the influence that the scarf ratio had to the strength and stiffness restoration of the repaired composite structure. The study verifies that the restoration of the strength of a damaged laminate depends largely on the size of the repair patch. Generally, the bigger the size of a patch, the stronger the repaired structure is, up to a critical threshold size. To maximize the strength restoration, it is advised that the number of steps in each patch are no less than the number of plies on the base laminate.


Author(s):  
Divya Thiagarajan ◽  
Andrea Vacca

This paper presents a comprehensive study to estimate the total torque losses which contribute to the hydro-mechanical efficiency in external gear machines (EGMs). A study of these losses at different operating conditions is an important design factor in prototyping many positive displacement machines to achieve efficient and reliable designs. Although semi-empirical models for the description of the steady-state behavior of positive displacement machines accounting for both volumetric and torque losses are available in literature, their fidelity is often based on the availability of reliable experimental data. In the case of EGMs, it is difficult to consider intricate operating features such as the micro-motion of the different components in these generic models. A numerical evaluation of these special features in an EGM using dedicated models for EGMs can potentially contribute to an accurate prediction of the hydro-mechanical efficiency of a given design. In the present work, different sources of the torque losses are methodically determined for a reference EGM unit through various numerical models which were previously developed and validated in the authors’ research team. The cumulative predictions of the torque losses from the different simulation models are then validated against the corresponding measured experimental torque losses at various operating conditions for the reference EGM unit.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (06) ◽  
pp. 1850088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingfei Meng ◽  
Wensu Chen ◽  
Hong Hao

In this study, numerical simulations are conducted with a verified model to develop damage threshold curves for structural insulated panels (SIPs) with OSB skins strengthened by basalt fiber cloth subjected to windborne debris impact. Numerical models of the SIP with OSB skins strengthened by basalt fibre cloth at the front or back side are developed by using LS-DYNA. The accuracy of the numerical model is verified by comparing numerical results with laboratory testing data. Using the verified numerical model, intensive simulations are conducted to examine the influence of various parameters, including thickness of basalt fiber, location of basalt fiber layer, bonding strength between the basalt fiber cloth and the OSB skin, on the dynamic responses of the SIP. The debris penetration or fracture of the strengthened SIP that creates an opening is defined as failure of the panel in this study. Empirical formulae are derived on the basis of the numerical results to predict the thresholds of penetration velocity and projectile mass that lead to failure of the SIP. The empirical formulae can be straightforwardly used to assess the performance of the SIP with OSB skins strengthened by basalt fiber cloth subjected to windborne debris impact.


2014 ◽  
Vol 143 (6) ◽  
pp. 1256-1275 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. E. ROCHE ◽  
M. G. GARNER ◽  
R. L. SANSON ◽  
C. COOK ◽  
C. BIRCH ◽  
...  

SUMMARYSimulation models can offer valuable insights into the effectiveness of different control strategies and act as important decision support tools when comparing and evaluating outbreak scenarios and control strategies. An international modelling study was performed to compare a range of vaccination strategies in the control of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD). Modelling groups from five countries (Australia, New Zealand, USA, UK, The Netherlands) participated in the study. Vaccination is increasingly being recognized as a potentially important tool in the control of FMD, although there is considerable uncertainty as to how and when it should be used. We sought to compare model outputs and assess the effectiveness of different vaccination strategies in the control of FMD. Using a standardized outbreak scenario based on data from an FMD exercise in the UK in 2010, the study showed general agreement between respective models in terms of the effectiveness of vaccination. Under the scenario assumptions, all models demonstrated that vaccination with ‘stamping-out’ of infected premises led to a significant reduction in predicted epidemic size and duration compared to the ‘stamping-out’ strategy alone. For all models there were advantages in vaccinating cattle-only rather than all species, using 3-km vaccination rings immediately around infected premises, and starting vaccination earlier in the control programme. This study has shown that certain vaccination strategies are robust even to substantial differences in model configurations. This result should increase end-user confidence in conclusions drawn from model outputs. These results can be used to support and develop effective policies for FMD control.


2017 ◽  
Vol 738 ◽  
pp. 69-78
Author(s):  
Vladimira Michalcova ◽  
Lenka Lausova ◽  
Iveta Skotnicova ◽  
Sergej Kuznetsov

Wind climate influencing wind loads on buildings and other structures, as well as the dispersion of pollutants from various surfaces is essentially determined by small-scale motions and processes occurring in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL). The physical and thermal properties of the underlying surface, in conjunction with the dynamics and thermodynamics of the lower atmosphere influence the distribution of wind velocity in thermally stratified ABL. Atmospheric turbulence is characterized by a high degree of irregularity, three-dimensionality, diffusivity, dissipation, and a wide range of motion scales. This article describes a change of selected turbulent variables in the surroundings of flow around a thermally loaded object. The problem is solved numerically in Ansys Fluent 13.0 software using LES (Large eddy simulation) models as well as the Transition SST (Shear Stress Transport) model that is able to take into account the difference between high and low turbulence at the interface between the wake behind an obstacle and the free stream. The results are mutually compared and verified with experimental measurements in the wind tunnel.


Author(s):  
Tor E. Berg ◽  
Edvard Ringen

This paper describes the need for improved methods for validating numerical models used in shiphandling simulators. Such models vary in complexity, from rather simplistic models used for initial shiphandling training at maritime training centers to high-quality models used in the study of advanced marine operations. High-quality simulation models are also used in investigations of maritime accidents such as collisions and groundings. The SIMMAN 2008 conference presented the results of benchmarking studies of simulation tools currently used by research institutes, universities and training centers around the world. Many of these tools employ models based on numerical calculations using methods based on potential or viscous fluid flow, experiments using scale ship models (free running or captive) or semi empirical expressions based on regression analysis of previous model tests. The organizers of SIMMAN 2008 made the hull characteristics of certain ship types available for a comparative study of simulation maneuvering models. The outcome of the benchmark study (using IMO standard maneuvers as case study maneuvers) showed that simulated results varied significantly. In the opinion of the authors, there is an urgent need for new validation studies. The first part of this paper discusses the concepts of simulation model fidelity, verification and validation and the present guidelines issued by ITTC for validation of maneuvering simulation models. The second part looks at the outcomes of the SIMMAN 2008 conference and describes MARINTEK’s contribution to the benchmark study. The use of real-world measurements in model validation is briefly discussed. The need for registration of actual test conditions, as well as the types of tests that should be included in a test scheme, are presented. Finally, the authors discuss validation requirements with respect to the actual application of the selected simulation model as an engineering tool that can be transferred to training simulators used by maritime training centers. It is assumed that simplified simulation models may reduce the quality of simulator based training for ship officers. It is believed that increased quality of simulator model will improve the transfer of training from simulators to real life operations and remove some of the uncertainties related to investigation of maritime accidents.


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