Fertility Intentions among HIV-positive and HIV-negative mothers in Zambia: Analysis of 2013-14 and 2018 DHS data
Abstract Background: HIV infection is a strong predictor of fertility as it might influence one’s fertility desire. With advent treatment, HIV-infected mothers are now living longer and healthier just like the HIV-negative mothers. Zambia is among the developing countries in the region with high desire for more children in spite of government efforts to reduce the fertility rate. However, little is known on the influence of HIV status on the desire for children among mothers of reproductive ages in Zambia. Methods: The analyses are based on mothers with linkable information on HIV testing and fertility preferences from the 2013-14 and 2018 Zambia and Demographic Health Survey data, with national representative samples of 16,411 and 13,683 women, respectively. HIV data was merged with each woman’s individual file, which also contained household variables to create an analytical file. Of the total sample; 11,683 mothers in 2013-14 and 9,172 mothers in 2018 were eligible for the study. Cross-tabulations with statistical tests were conducted to ascertain the crude relationship and finally multiple logistic regression analysis were employed to identify the major predictors of fertility intentions among HIV positive and HIV negative mothers using Stata software version 14.0.Results: Findings indicate that fertility intentions among women either HIV-positive or HIV-negative reduced as parity increases. Generally, in both data sets, there is a significant difference between HIV-negative mothers preferring more children compared to HIV-positive mothers. Interestingly, in the 2018 survey, HIV-positive mothers residing in urban areas were 33 percent more likely to prefer more children compared to HIV-negative mothers. Conclusion: According to this study, predictors of fertility intentions among women of reproductive age are different by HIV status. Other significant variables are age, education level, marital status, and parity, which were found to be the major predictors of fertility intentions among HIV-positive. Among the HIV-negatives, age, education level, parity, marital status, employment status, wealth quintile and region explained their fertility intentions. The fact that many HIV-infected mothers expect to have more children has important implications for the prevention of vertical and horizontal transmission of HIV. There is, therefore, the need for comprehensive and continuous expansion of family planning, voluntary counseling, and prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) and integration of HIV treatment care among HIV-positive mothers to meet diverse reproductive intentions.