scholarly journals Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajnish Kumar Verma ◽  
Kumar Ashwini ◽  
Ajai Singh
Keyword(s):  
Cross Sections ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
River System ◽  
Channel Length ◽  
Channel Morphology ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
River Training ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
Landsat Satellite

Abstract The dynamic nature of meandering poses several challenges in a river. The river Ganga shows severe bank erosion in many of its stretches which creates insecurity to the habitats. In the present study, channel morphology and lateral mid-line migration for 1975 to 2020 in 5 years intervals have been studied. The prediction of lateral mid-line migration from 2020 to 2050 by using multi-temporal Landsat satellite images was made by using the ARIMA model. The river reach was divided into 8 bends and 48 cross-sections were identified. The channel length was observed as 224.35 km in 1975 which reduces to 199.96 km in 2020. A decreasing trend was observed for the mean of channel length and meander ratio, and an increasing trend was noted in the mean of sinuosity ratio and tortuosity ratio. A total of 11 cross-sections showed the rightward shifting and 36 cross-sections showed the leftward shifting. Observed and predicted values showed a good R2 value of 0.90 and 0.89 at CS-24 and CS-25, respectively. The results may be used for planning and management of various river training work and understanding the river system dynamics.

scholarly journals Assessment of Morpho-Dynamics through Geospatial Techniques within the Padma-Meghna and Ganges-Jamuna River Confluences, Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 70 (3) ◽  
pp. 127-139
Author(s):  
Md. Yousuf Gazi ◽  
Himel Roy ◽  
Md. Bodruddoza Mia ◽  
Syed Humayun Akhter
Keyword(s):  
River System ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Geospatial Techniques ◽  
Sand Bars ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
Migration Dynamics ◽  
Major River ◽  
River Confluences ◽  
Sand Bar ◽  
Landsat Satellite

Abstract Bangladesh is a low-lying riverine country with the mighty Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) major river system including their abundant tributaries and distributaries. Land erosion–accretion is a very common phenomenon in this riverine country. This process extensively erodes huge productive landmasses at the river confluence zones every year. The main objective of this study was to understand the confluence morpho-dynamics and identify the vulnerable areas near the Padma–Meghna Confluence (PMC) and Ganges–Jamuna confluence (GJC) due to confluence shifting and erosion–accretion phenomenon of those rivers. The present study utilized multi-temporal Landsat satellite images from 1972 to 2019 approximately ten years of interval. Results showed that the PMC indicated frequent variation in migration trend towards NW from 1972 to 1980, SE from 1980 to 2010, and then reversed towards NW direction from 2010 to 2019. On the other hand, the GJC confluence point moved NW direction (2.37 km) from the year 1972 to 1980, but from 1980 to 2019, the confluence shifted towards the SE direction. Due to the migration dynamics, huge changes happened in width and sand bars area of both confluences. In PMC, confluence width increased remarkably indicating erosive flow during 1972–1980, then progressively shortened up to 2019, indicating accretion. In contrast, GJC shows a significant accretional trend over the 47 years. The sand bar area of the PMC increased about 147.09 km2 throughout the study period. But, GJC shows an opposite scenario where the total sand bar area decreased about 51.02 km2 in the same period. From the vulnerability study of erosion–accretion scenarios, it is predicted that Paturia Ferry Ghat area, Aricha Ferry Ghat area, Arua, Baruria, Dashkin Saljana, Bhadiakola, Masundia, Khanganj and Nyakandi areas near GJC and Chandpur sadar, Srimandi, Sakhua, Bilaspur and char Atra near PMC are highly vulnerable zones. The outputs of the study will enable policy makers to take necessary measures to reduce the erosional severity on both confluence zones and could also provide a basis for proper land management.

scholarly journals Pemetaan Mangrove Kepulauan Lease, Provinsi Maluku Menggunakan Data Multi-Temporal Dan Multi-Sensor Citra Satelit Landsat

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Sam Wouthuyzen ◽  
Fasmi Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Supervised Classification ◽  
Satellite Images ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Landsat 5 Tm ◽  
Landsat Satellite ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Near Future

<strong>Mangrove Mapping of The Lease Islands, Maluku Province Using Multi-Temporal And Multi-Sensor Of Landsat Satellite Images.</strong> Mangrove mapping in the Lease Islands, Maluku Province has been done, but using only a single date satellite image. Therefore, it is difficult to know the dynamics of their changes.  The aim of this study is to map mangroves every 5 year (1985-2015) using multi-sensors (MSS, TM, ETM+ and OLI) of Landsat and field data. Supervised classification using maximum likelihood was used for classifying mangrove and other habitats, and counting their areas. Results showed that mangrove in the Saparua and Nusalaut Islands, consisted of 22 and 13 species, respectively, with the longest distribution along the cost line of Tuhaha Bay due to freshwater supplay from the surrounding river, while the rest are grown in the hardy reef flat substrates. The mean overall acurracies of the maps was good enough (74.7%), except for one Landsat-5 TM and Landat-8 OLI because of the influences of cloud cover or haze.  During 30 years, the areas of mangrove are relatively stable since they are protected by local wisdom called "Kewang". The highest bias of 11.4% that made the areas of mangrove increase or decrease was not due to the utilization or conversion of mangrove, but mainly due to the influences of cloud cover/haze and the geometric differences among Landsat sensors. In the near future, the OBIA method should be try, because it seems to be able to produce mangrove maps with better accuracy.

scholarly journals The Stability and Suitability of the Bhasan Char Island as an Accommodation for the Forcibly Displaced Myanmar Nationals (FDMN)

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 747
Author(s):  
Md. Yousuf Gazi ◽  
A. S. M. Maksud Kamal ◽  
Md. Nazim Uddin ◽  
Md. Anwar Hossain Bhuiyan ◽  
Md. Zillur Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Stable Condition ◽  
River System ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Current Configuration ◽  
Morphological Variations ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
The Government ◽  
Analysis System ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Landsat Satellite

Assessing the dynamics of Bhasan Char is very crucial, as the Government of Bangladesh (GoB) has recently selected the island as the accommodation of the FDMN. This article critically evaluates the spatiotemporal morphological variations due to erosion, accretion, and subsurface deformation of the island through multi-temporal geospatial and geophysical data analysis, groundwater quality-quantity, and also determines the nature and rate of changes from 2003 to 2020. This is the first study in this island on which multi-temporal Landsat Satellite Imagery and seismic data have been used with geospatial techniques with Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) and petrel platform, respectively. The analysis of satellite images suggests that the island first appeared in 2003 in the Bay of Bengal, then progressively evolved to the present stable condition. Significant changes have taken place in the morphological and geographical conditions of the island since its inception. Since 2012, the island has been constantly accreted by insignificant erosion. It receives tidally influenced fluvial sediments from the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) river system and the sedimentary accretion, in this case, is higher than the erosion due to relatively weaker wave action and longshore currents. It has gained approximately 68 km2 area, mostly in the northern part and because of erosion in the south. Although the migration of the Bhasan Char was ubiquitous during 2003–2012, it has been concentrated in a small area to the east since 2018. The net shoreline movements (NSM) suggest that the length of the shoreline enlarged significantly by around 39 km in 2020 from its first appearance. Seismic and GPS data clearly indicate that the island is located on the crest of a slowly uplifting low-amplitude anticline, which may result in a stable landform around the island. Based on the analysis of historical data, it has been assessed that the current configuration of Bhasan Char would not be severely affected by 10–15-foot-high cyclone. Therefore, FDMN rehabilitation here might be safer that would be a good example for future geo-environmental assessment for any areas around the world for rehabilitation of human in remote and vulnerable island. The findings of this research will facilitate the government’s decision to rehabilitate FDMN refugees to the island and also contribute to future research in this area.

scholarly journals Sediment transport at the network scale and its link to channel morphology in the braided Vjosa River system

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simone Bizzi ◽  
Marco Tangi ◽  
Rafael J. P. Schmitt ◽  
John Pitlick ◽  
Hervé Piégay ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sediment Transport ◽  
River System ◽  
Channel Morphology ◽  
Network Scale

scholarly journals Aerodynamics of smooth and rough square-section prisms at incidence in very high Reynolds-number cross-flows

2021 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nils Paul van Hinsberg
Keyword(s):  
Reynolds Number ◽  
Cross Sections ◽  
Reynolds Numbers ◽  
Circular Cylinders ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
Experimental Proof ◽  
Surface Boundary Layer ◽  
Pitch Moment ◽  
The Mean ◽  
High Reynolds

Abstract The aerodynamics of smooth and slightly rough prisms with square cross-sections and sharp edges is investigated through wind tunnel experiments. Mean and fluctuating forces, the mean pitch moment, Strouhal numbers, the mean surface pressures and the mean wake profiles in the mid-span cross-section of the prism are recorded simultaneously for Reynolds numbers between 1$$\times$$ × 10$$^{5}$$ 5 $$\le$$ ≤ Re$$_{D}$$ D $$\le$$ ≤ 1$$\times$$ × 10$$^{7}$$ 7 . For the smooth prism with $$k_s$$ k s /D = 4$$\times$$ × 10$$^{-5}$$ - 5 , tests were performed at three angles of incidence, i.e. $$\alpha$$ α = 0$$^{\circ }$$ ∘ , −22.5$$^{\circ }$$ ∘ and −45$$^{\circ }$$ ∘ , whereas only both “symmetric” angles were studied for its slightly rough counterpart with $$k_s$$ k s /D = 1$$\times$$ × 10$$^{-3}$$ - 3 . First-time experimental proof is given that, within the accuracy of the data, no significant variation with Reynolds number occurs for all mean and fluctuating aerodynamic coefficients of smooth square prisms up to Reynolds numbers as high as $$\mathcal {O}$$ O (10$$^{7}$$ 7 ). This Reynolds-number independent behaviour applies to the Strouhal number and the wake profile as well. In contrast to what is known from square prisms with rounded edges and circular cylinders, an increase in surface roughness height by a factor 25 on the current sharp-edged square prism does not lead to any notable effects on the surface boundary layer and thus on the prism’s aerodynamics. For both prisms, distinct changes in the aerostatics between the various angles of incidence are seen to take place though. Graphic abstract

scholarly journals Extension of Pin-Based Point-Wise Energy Slowing-Down Method for VHTR Fuel with Double Heterogeneity

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2179
Author(s):  
Tae-Young Han ◽  
Jin-Young Cho ◽  
Chang-Keun Jo ◽  
Hyun-Chul Lee
Keyword(s):  
Cross Sections ◽  
Cell Model ◽  
Unit Cell ◽  
Moderation Effect ◽  
Slowing Down ◽  
Matrix Layer ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Dancoff Factor ◽  
Double Heterogeneity ◽  
Very High

For the resonance treatment of a very high temperature reactors (VHTR) fuel with the double heterogeneity, an extension of the pin-based pointwise energy slowing-down method (PSM) was developed and implemented into DeCART. The proposed method, PSM-double heterogeneity (DH), has an improved spherical unit cell model with an explicit tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) model, a matrix layer, and a moderator for reflecting the moderation effect. The moderator volume was analytically derived using the relation of the Dancoff factor and the mean chord length. In the first step, the pointwise homogenized cross-sections for the compact was obtained after solving the slowing down equation for the spherical unit cell. Then, the shielded cross-section for the homogenized fuel compact was generated using the original PSM. The verification calculations were performed for the fuel pins with various packing fractions, compact sizes, TRISO sizes, and fuel temperatures. Additionally, two fuel block problems with very different sizes were examined and the depletion calculation was carried out for investigating the accuracy of the proposed method. They revealed that the PSM-DH has a good performance in the VHTR problems.

scholarly journals Multi-Temporal Arable Land Monitoring in Arid Region of Northwest China Using a New Extraction Index

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 5274
Author(s):  
Xinyang Yu ◽  
Younggu Her ◽  
Xicun Zhu ◽  
Changhe Lu ◽  
Xuefei Li
Keyword(s):  
Arable Land ◽  
Ground Truth ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Hexi Corridor ◽  
Ground Truth Data ◽  
Land Protection ◽  
Promising Tool ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
The Mean

Development of a high-accuracy method to extract arable land using effective data sources is crucial to detect and monitor arable land dynamics, servicing land protection and sustainable development. In this study, a new arable land extraction index (ALEI) based on spectral analysis was proposed, examined by ground truth data, and then applied to the Hexi Corridor in northwest China. The arable land and its change patterns during 1990–2020 were extracted and identified using 40 Landsat TM/OLI images acquired in 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020. The results demonstrated that the proposed method can distinguish arable land areas accurately, with the User’s (Producer’s) accuracy and overall accuracy (kappa coefficient) exceeding 0.90 (0.88) and 0.89 (0.87), respectively. The mean relative error calculated using field survey data obtained in 2012 and 2020 was 0.169 and 0.191, respectively, indicating the feasibility of the ALEI method in arable land extracting. The study found that arable land area in the Hexi Corridor was 13217.58 km2 in 2020, significantly increased by 25.33% compared to that in 1990. At 10-year intervals, the arable land experienced different change patterns. The study results indicate that ALEI index is a promising tool used to effectively extract arable land in the arid area.

scholarly journals Experimental Study on Backflow Patterns Induced by a Bilateral Groin Pair with Different Spacing

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1486
Author(s):  
Cuiping Kuang ◽  
Yuhua Zheng ◽  
Jie Gu ◽  
Qingping Zou ◽  
Xuejian Han
Keyword(s):  
Cross Sections ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Recirculation Zone ◽  
Flow Direction ◽  
Wake Flow ◽  
Zone Length ◽  
Array Configuration ◽  
Contraction Ratio ◽  
River Training ◽  
Spanwise Velocity

Groins are one of the popular manmade structures to modify the hydraulic flow and sediment response in river training. The spacing between groins is a critical consideration to balance the channel-depth and the cost of construction, which is generally determined by the backflow formed downstream from groins. A series of experiments were conducted using Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) to observe the influence of groin spacing on the backflow pattern of two bilateral groins. The spacing between groins has significant effect on the behavior of the large-scale recirculation cell behind groins. The magnitude of the wake flow induced by a groin was similar to that induced by another groin on the other side, but the flow direction is opposite. The spanwise velocity near the groin tip dictates the recirculation zone width behind the groins due to the strong links between the spanwise velocity and the contraction ratio of channel cross-sections between groins. Based on previous studies and present experimental results, quantitative empirical relationships are proposed to calculate the recirculation zone length behind groins alternately placed at different spacing along riverbanks. This study provides better understanding and a robust formula to assess the backflow extent of alternate groins and identify the optimum groins array configuration.

Comparison of myocardial T1 mapping during breath-holding and free-breathing

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Hideharu Oka ◽  
Kouichi Nakau ◽  
Sadahiro Nakagawa ◽  
Yuki Kobayashi ◽  
Rina Imanishi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cross Sections ◽  
T1 Mapping ◽  
Free Breathing ◽  
Breath Holding ◽  
Basal Region ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Imaging Analysis ◽  
Myocardial T1 ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Almost All

Abstract Background: T1 mapping is a recently developed imaging analysis method that allows quantitative assessment of myocardial T1 values obtained using MRI. In children, MRI is performed under free-breathing. Thus, it is important to know the changes in T1 values between free-breathing and breath-holding. This study aimed to compare the myocardial T1 mapping during breath-holding and free-breathing. Methods: Thirteen patients and eight healthy volunteers underwent cardiac MRI, and T1 values obtained during breath-holding and free-breathing were examined and compared. Statistical differences were determined using the paired t-test. Results: The mean T1 values during breath-holding were 1211.1 ± 39.0 ms, 1209.7 ± 37.4 ms, and 1228.9 ± 52.5 ms in the basal, mid, and apical regions, respectively, while the mean T1 values during free-breathing were 1165.1 ± 69.0 ms, 1103.7 ± 55.8 ms, and 1112.0 ± 81.5 ms in the basal, mid, and apical regions, respectively. The T1 values were lower during free-breathing than during breath-holding in almost all segments (basal: p = 0.008, mid: p < 0.001, apical: p < 0.001). The mean T1 values in each cross section were 3.1, 7.8, and 7.7% lower during free-breathing than during breath-holding in the basal, mid, and apical regions, respectively. Conclusions: We found that myocardial T1 values during free-breathing were about 3–8% lower in all cross sections than those during breath-holding. In free-breathing, it may be difficult to assess myocardial T1 values, except in the basal region, because of underestimation; thus, the findings should be interpreted with caution, especially in children.

scholarly journals Predicting the number of cases of dengue infection in Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo State, Brazil, using a SARIMA model

2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (9) ◽  
pp. 1809-1818 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edson Zangiacomi Martinez ◽  
Elisângela Aparecida Soares da Silva
Keyword(s):  
Moving Average ◽  
Dengue Infection ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Incidence Data ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
Control And Prevention ◽  
São Paulo State ◽  
Predicted Values

This study aimed to develop a forecasting model for the incidence of dengue in Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo State, Brazil, using time series analysis. The model was performed using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA). Firstly, we fitted a model considering monthly notifications of cases of dengue recorded from 2000 to 2008 in Ribeirão Preto. We then extracted predicted values for 2009 from the adjusted model and compared them with the number of cases observed for that year. The SARIMA (2,1,3)(1,1,1)12 model offered best fit for the dengue incidence data. The results showed that the seasonal ARIMA model predicts the number of dengue cases very effectively and reliably, and is a useful tool for disease control and prevention.

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