scholarly journals Exploration exogenous factor of exchange rate: Data from Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (01) ◽  
pp. 21-24
Author(s):  
Sulih Tiara Safitri ◽  
Nisa Mutiara ◽  
Eni Srihastuti
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Significant Negative Correlation ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Exogenous Factor ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Collection Technique ◽  
The Relationship

This study aimed to determine the relationship between remittance of Indonesian workers, gross domestic product and foreign exchange reserves to the exchange rate of IDR/USD in the period 2013-2017. This research is quantitative research with regression analysis. The data collection technique uses secondary data of Indonesian labor remittance reports, GDP, foreign exchange reserves, and the rupiah's exchange rate against the dollar for the 2013-2017 period. The analysis of the results shows a significant relationship between remittance and the exchange rate; there is no significant negative correlation between GDP and the exchange rate and there is no significant positive relationship between Foreign Exchange Reserves and the exchange rate.

scholarly journals Pengaruh ekspor, tingkat inflasi dan nilai tukar mata uang terhadap cadangan devisa (studi di Indonesia dan Malaysia)

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Nanda Eulia ◽  
Syaparuddin Syaparuddin ◽  
Parmadi Parmadi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
T Test ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Test Analysis ◽  
Partial Regression Coefficient ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Analytical Tools

This study aims at the implications of the development of foreign exchange reserves, exports, inflation, and the exchange rate of the rupiah and Malaysian ringgit for the period 2000-2017, the implications of the effect of exports, inflation, and the rupiah exchange rate on foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia and the effect of exports, inflation and the value of the rupiah. exchange rate ringgit against Foreign Exchange Reserves in Malaysia. The type of data used in this study is secondary data which is periodic data from 2000 – 2017, hypothesis testing itself using multiple linear regression equations. The analytical tools used are the joint test (F-Test), Partial Regression Coefficient Test (t-test), and Classical Assumption Test. Based on the t-test analysis, it can be seen that exports cannot affect foreign exchange reserves. Meanwhile, inflation has a negative and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves with a coefficient of 0.159% and the exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves with a coefficient of 1.446%. Keywords: Exports, Inflation, Exchange rates, Foreign reserves

scholarly journals PENGARUH HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA (MODERASI VARIABEL MONETER)

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilda Novita Sari ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Data Analysis Tool ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract: The purpose of this research is to be able to determine the effect of world oil prices on economic growth in Indonesia by applying the exchange rate moderating variable and the BI rate as a connecting variable. Descriptive and associative research is a type of research that is used with data collection techniques through a trusted official agency website that is classified in the quarterly time series secondary data. The data year in this study was from 2006 to 2018. Data analysis was carried out through descriptive and inductive analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) data analysis tool accompanied by a classic assumption test and a t test. Estimation results show that there are two research results; firstly, that the exchange rate has an effect on moderating the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia, secondly, that the BI rate has no influence connecting world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. Keywords: World oil prices, economic growth, exchange rates, BI rate, Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA).

scholarly journals Modeling Sources of Asymmetry in the Volatility of the Moroccan Dirham Exchange Rate

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 31
Author(s):  
KHATTAB Ahmed ◽  
SALMI Yahya
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Selection Criterion ◽  
Econometric Models ◽  
Interbank Market ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Central Bank Intervention ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The main objective of this paper is to study the sources of asymmetry in the volatility of the bilateral exchange rates of the Moroccan dirham (MAD), against the EUR and the USD using the asymmetric econometric models of the ARCH-GARCH family. An empirical analysis was conducted on daily central bank data from March 2003 to March 2021, with a sample size of 4575 observations. Central bank intervention in the foreign exchange (interbank) market was found to affect the asymmetry in the volatility of the bilateral EUR/MAD and USD/MAD exchange rates. Specifically, sales of foreign exchange reserves by the monetary authority cause a fall in the exchange rate, which means that the market response to shocks is asymmetric. Finally, the selection criterion (AIC) allowed us to conclude that the asymmetric model AR(1)-TGARCH(1,1) is adequate for modeling the volatility of the exchange rate of the Moroccan dirham.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH FAKTOR VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX (JII) PERIODE 2010 – 2013

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Herni Ali
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Multiple Regression Models ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

The aim of this study is examining the relationship between cointergration and causality levels of Exchange Rate, GDP, BI interest rates and inflation on Islamic Capital Markets. The data used in this study is a quantitative secondary data in the form of time series of the period January 2010 to December 2013. The test were conducted with the approach of multiple regression models with variable index research JII (Y), the exchange rate (X1), GDP (X2) , BI rate (X3) and inflation (X4) as for hypothesis testing performed using SPSS statistical software. From the results obtained by testing the hypothesis that: a positive effect on the exchange rate, positive effect on GDP, interest harga sewa rates BI negative effect and inflation positive effect on JII. Simultanious testing into four macroeconomic variables affect the JII.DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v3i2.2061   

scholarly journals PENGARUH INFLASI, JUB, SBI, SERTA CADANGAN DEVISA TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TAHUN 2017-2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 60-72
Author(s):  
Duwik Tri Utami ◽  
Fitrah Sari Islami
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
The United States ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Indonesia's economy refers to an open economy. In conducting international trade, countries must compare their currencies with currencies belonging to other countries. Where, the United States currency, namely the dollar, is still the standard of world exchange rates and is used in international transactions. The effect of fluctuations in the exchange rate of the rupiah with the dollar is the occurrence of depreciation or appreciation which will affect Indonesia's economic activities. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of inflation, the money supply (M2), the SBI interest rate, and foreign exchange reserves on the rupiah exchange rate in the short and long term. The variables that are thought to be able to influence changes in the rupiah exchange rate are the inflation rate, the money supply (M2), the SBI interest rate, and foreign exchange reserves. This research was conducted during January 2017 to December 2020, using the Error Correction Model (ECM). The result is a long-term and short-term relationship. In the short term, foreign exchange reserves and the money supply (M2) significantly affect the exchange rate. Meanwhile, in the long term, the SBI interest rate, money supply (M2), and foreign exchange reserves significantly affect the exchange rate.

scholarly journals Analisis Hubungan Ekspor, Pembayaran Hutang Luar Negeri Dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Cadangan Devisa Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Fakhrurrazi Fakhrurrazi ◽  
Hijri Juliansyah
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Debt Payment

This study aims to determine the relationship between exports, foreign debt payments, and the exchange rates on the foreign exchange reserves of Indonesia in 1988-2019. This study uses secondary data for 31 years and uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis method to analyze the data. The results of this study indicate that all variables have no relationship between variables, only on the foreign exchange reserves to exports. In short-term testing, the export does not have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves, and the foreign debt payment and the exchange rate have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves. However, in the long run, all variables do not have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves.Keywords:Exports, Foreign Debt Payment, Exchange Rates, Foreign Exchange                    Reserves, ARDL

scholarly journals Effect of Exchange Rate, Foreign Exchange Reserves, and Consumer Price Index on the Shariah Shares Index of Asian Countries

2020 ◽  
pp. 77-82
Author(s):  
Dolly Tanzil ◽  
◽  
Marlina Widiyanti ◽  
Muhammad Subardin ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Operating Income ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Sharia shares are securities proof of equity participation in a company. On the base of this proof of participation shareholders are entitled to a share of income arisen from the company's business. This concept of equity participation with share rights of operating income does not conflict with Sharia principles. This study aimed to analyze the effect of exchange rate, foreign exchange reserves and consumer price index on the Sharia stock index of Asian countries, where the research object was the Islamic stock index of Indonesia, Malaysia, Japan and India. It is known that many factors influence on the stock index movements in a country, including domestic interest rates, foreign exchange rates, international economic conditions, a country's economic cycle, inflation rates, tax regulations, and the money supply. In this study, the authors examine the influence of only three factors – the exchange rate, foreign exchange reserves and consumer price index. The panel data regression method was used for the period of January to December 2019. The results of the regression analysis shown that the variables of exchange rates, foreign exchange reserves and the consumer price index together had a significant effect on the Islamic stock index of Asian countries. The R-squared value was 0.997762, meaning that 99% of the variation in the Islamic stock index of Asian countries could be explained by variations in the variable exchange rates, foreign exchange reserves and the consumer price index. The individual test results show that the exchange rate had a significant negative effect on the Islamic stock index of Asian countries. Meanwhile, foreign exchange reserves and the consumer price index had a significant positive effect on the Islamic stock index of Asian countries.

scholarly journals Triangular Causality and Controlling Parallel Exchange Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-32
Author(s):  
Bijan Bidabad
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

In this paper, the triangular relationship of money, price, and foreign exchange in a causality context are studied. It is concluded that regulating the exchange rate by volume of liquidity in a period of less than a year is not possible, but in annual and biannual analyses we can regulate the exchange rate through controlling the liquidity. In other words, in the long run, the exchange rate is affected by liquidity and price level, but in the short run, the price level has only temporary effects on the exchange rate. The results of the study show that: liquidity affects the exchange rate in the long run; price affects the liquidity in the long run; in the long run, liquidity and exchange rate affect prices.  Our results show that injection of foreign exchange into the parallel exchange market with different lags has little effects with different directions on the exchange rate. The same result is true for the relationship between liquidity and dollar rate. In other words, in spite of the long run relationship between exchange rate and liquidity, we cannot justify this relationship in the short run. The same is true with the balance of payments position and exchange rate in the short run. By simulating the relationship between injecting (selling) foreign exchange in the parallel exchange market, liquidity and the cumulative balance of payments all with exchange rate, we can conclude that in the short run, regulating exchange rate by instruments such as selling exchange in the parallel market or controlling the liquidity is not possible, but in the long run, conducting foreign exchange sale policy and controlling the liquidity and the balance of payments position can control the exchange market.

scholarly journals Determinan impor Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-42
Author(s):  
Andi Andini Adhalia ◽  
Rachmad R ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Quantitative Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Average Development

The purpose of this study is to analyze: 1) The development of import values, inflation, exchange rates, FDI, and Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves for the period 1996-2017. 2) The influence of Indonesia's import determinants for the 1996-2017 period. In this study, the type of data used is secondary data based on the period 1996-2017. The method used in this research is descriptive analysis and quantitative analysis, namely multiple regression analysis. The results of this study indicate: 1) The average development of imports is 8.68% per year, the average inflation is 10.30% per year, the average development of the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar is 11.17% per year, the average development FDI is 5.66% per year, and the average development of foreign exchange reserves is 11.83% per year. 2) Simultaneously or together inflation, exchange rate, FDI, and foreign exchange reserves have a positive and significant impact on Indonesian imports. Partially, inflation has a positive and significant effect on Indonesian imports, the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on Indonesian imports, FDI has a positive but not significant effect on Indonesian imports, and foreign exchange reserves have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian imports. Keywords: Imports, Inflation, Exchange rates, Foreign direct investment, Foreign exchange reserves

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