scholarly journals Forecasting Agricultural Production: A Chaotic Dynamic Approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bunyamin Demir ◽  
Nesrin Alptekin ◽  
Yilmaz Kilicaslan ◽  
Mehmet Ergen ◽  
Nilgun Caglarirmak Uslu
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic System ◽  
Dynamic Analysis ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Chaotic Dynamic ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Agricultural Product ◽  
Dynamic Approach ◽  
Statistical Institute ◽  
Error Ratio

The aim of this study is to examine the existence of chaotic structure in agricultural production in Turkey by using Chaotic Dynamic Analysis (CDA) and to provide accurate forecasts of agricultural production. The data of wheat, barley and rice production in Turkey obtained from Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT) covers the period of 1991 to 2009. Our analysis shows that the supply of the selected agricultural products has a chaotic structure. Our dynamic system constructed predicted the supply of year 2010 with % 0.5 error for wheat, %5 error for barley, and %2.5 error ratio for rice. This study is the first attempt using CDA to forecast future agricultural product supply in Turkey. The findings of this study will help to produce effective policies to prevent supply disequilibrium, and excess price fluctuations.

Agricultural innovations as a factor in the formation of national agribusiness

2020 ◽  
pp. 18-23
Author(s):  
Ganna Korniyenko
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Legal Aspect ◽  
Animal Husbandry ◽  
Organic Production ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Ecological Effect ◽  
Agricultural Product ◽  
Agricultural Business ◽  
Agricultural Innovations ◽  
Economic Functioning

Problem setting. Agrobusiness in Ukraine is one of the stimulus of stable economic functioning, social status, state’s food safety. Its sustainable development depends on various factors including in particular the introduction of innovations into the economic sphere of a specific agricultural producer. Latest research analysis. Economists and lawyers research the issues of agricultural innovations. We can outstand the scientific works by Kot O., Larina S., Oliynyk О., Mazurenko O., Semchyk V. These works consider agricultural innovations as an economic phenomenon without taking into account the legal aspect. This approach seems to be somewhat narrow. Discussion. Agricultural innovations are the result of the realization of the entity’s intellectual property (inventions, useful models, new kinds of plants) in the field of agrobusiness that is aimed at obtaining economic, social, environmental effects. In agricultural production agricultural innovations can be found in the area of crop growing, animal husbandry, fishing industry, agricultural engineering, organic production. Conclusions and prospects. Innovative legal relations in the field of agrobusiness are the relations that arise between specific entities and the ones in agricultural business concerning the order, the use of a new agricultural product, the technologies of agricultural products’ production, the maintenance of digital agricultural production in the field of agrobusiness for making profit, gaining positive social ecological effect. Agricultural innovations as an object of innovative agrarian relations are the important factors in the formation of national agrobusiness. Their use leads to an innovative model of agricultural production. The demand for innovative products allows to make an innovative chain of agrobusiness and it includes: the development of innovation, its commercialization, the operation of agricultural production, consumers’ offer for agricultural products, including innovations.

Study on Tropical Agricultural Mobile E-Commerce System in Hainan

2014 ◽  
Vol 631-632 ◽  
pp. 1174-1177
Author(s):  
Ji Hua Fang ◽  
Hong Xia Luo ◽  
Ling Ling Wang ◽  
Shuai Chen
Keyword(s):  
Information Acquisition ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Market Access ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Agricultural Product ◽  
Production Plant ◽  
System Quality ◽  
Credit System ◽  
Authentication Mechanism ◽  
Key Techniques

This paper mainly studied the key techniques of tropical agricultural products mobile e-commerce based on the field production record information acquisition, agricultural product supply and sales information published online, internet trading, logistics tracking, production traceability, LBS and so on in Hainan. Then discussing the method of establishing and perfecting Internet marketing credit system including production and trade tractability system, quality and safety credit standard during planting, market access rules, authentication mechanism of supplier, published rules of market information for Hainan agricultural products. Lastly, building a new e-commerce platform from the agricultural production plant to sales with mobile phones and other terminals, which could achieve recording farming informations, agricultural product quality traceability, LBS users search and produce marketing sale docking movable and rapid operation.

scholarly journals Small-scale agricultural product marketing innovation through BUMDes and MSMEs empowerment in coastal areas

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 2291-2300
Author(s):  
Almasdi Syahza ◽  
Enni Savitri ◽  
Brilliant Asmit ◽  
Geovani Meiwanda
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Small And Medium Enterprises ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Appropriate Technology ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Agricultural Product ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Medium Enterprises

A region’s economic growth depends on the development policies based on the wealth determined from the potential of human, institutional and local resources. Furthermore, tThe development needs to link primary sectors with future processing to increase agricultural products’ added value and marketing competitiveness. This study develops an innovative marketing model in agricultural products for small-scale farmers through village-owned enterprises (BUMDes) and micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) empowerment in coastal areas. One way of realizing this program is by building agribusiness and agro-industry partnerships that are well-planned and associated with other economic sectors' development. The partnership involves community economic institutions, including BUMDes, credit institutions, farmer entrepreneurs, as well as Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises. BUMDes is a rural-based business with a legal entity managed by the village government to create added value for the community’s agricultural products. Together with MSMEs, these businesses need to support the agribusiness subsystem's development, including trading in agricultural production facilities and business activities. Furthermore, they need to promote agricultural production, support services, a source of market information for rural communities, the main actors of appropriate technology for agricultural products.

METHODS OF CONSULTING ON STUDYING THE DEGREE OF MOISTURE SUPPLY OF SLOPE LANDS FOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN AZERBAIJAN

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prof.RAE Aliev Z.H.
Keyword(s):  
Key Words ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Soil Ecology ◽  
Arable Soil ◽  
Clean Technology ◽  
Agricultural Product ◽  
Current Information ◽  
Moisture Supply ◽  
Managerial System

The current information on moisture and the temperature of the ground in managerial system by production to agricultural product necessary, in the first place, for taking the operative decisions at development ecological clean technology irrigation under growing agricultural cultures to achieve the maximum harvest. Key words: aerospace methods, COW, moisture, moisture test, arable, soil, ecology, vafer humidity, drill, graduation, tool, etc.

The impact of exchange rate on price and export of agricultural production

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 9-18
Author(s):  
Rasulov Tulkin Sattarovich ◽  
Khushvaktov Kuvonchbek Ravshanovich
Keyword(s):  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Agricultural Economics ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Pivotal Role ◽  
Price Formation ◽  
International Trade Laws ◽  
The Impact

In today’s world of swiftly increasing global economy and continuously changing international trade laws and technology exchange rate plays a pivotal role in the production, price formation, export and import of agricultural products. For many years exchange rate as an integral part of agricultural economics has been ignored. The present study was intended to investigate exchange rate as an impacting factor on the agricultural production. It also considers the researches that have been carried about the impact of the exchange rate on prices and export of agricultural products, theirs analyses and how much impact it has in the situation of Uzbekistan.

Development of Sales Modules for Agricultural E-Commerce Using Dynamic System Development Method

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 95-103
Author(s):  
Rosa Delima ◽  
Halim Budi Santoso ◽  
Gerry Herbiyan Aditya ◽  
Joko Purwadi ◽  
Argo Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic System ◽  
Communication Technology ◽  
Process Model ◽  
System Development ◽  
Functional Model ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Development Method ◽  
Short Development Time ◽  
Information And Communication ◽  
Business Study

E-Commerce is a process model of selling and buying goods using information and communication technology. This business model offers a broad market for products owned by the seller. However this sales model is not yet common for agricultural products. Most of the process of buying and selling agricultural products is still done conventionally. The lack of agricultural e-commerce sites is the main reason for the research conducted. This research will develop an agricultural e-commerce system. This system has two main modules that are sales module and purchasing module. This article specifically develops sales modules for agricultural e-commerce. In the development of modules applied Dynamic System Development Method. The used of this model is based on characteristic of the project which have limited number of development team and short development time. The development stages consist of pre-project, feasibility study, business study, functional model iteration, and design and build iteration. In this study a prototype has been produced for the sales module on agricultural e-commerce that is being developed

Dynamic analysis of enhanced gear transmissions in the vehicle-track coupled dynamic system of a high-speed train

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Zhiwei Wang ◽  
Zhonghui Yin ◽  
Paul Allen ◽  
Ruichen Wang ◽  
Qing Xiong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic System ◽  
Dynamic Analysis ◽  
High Speed ◽  
High Speed Train

Agricultural Product Trade Supply Chain: A Literature Review By Using Citespace

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-15
Author(s):  
Yongtao Shen ◽  
Boonsub Panichakarn
Keyword(s):  
Supply Chain ◽  
Literature Review ◽  
National Economy ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Human Science ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Agricultural Product ◽  
Constant Attention ◽  
Chain Management ◽  
Safety And Stability

Agriculture is widely treated as a base of national economy. The product provides the basic need for human, and its safety and stability are exposed to the constant attention of everyone. With the progress of human science and technology, more and more resources can be extracted from nature, and agricultural products nowadays are not be limited to food, but also be used as raw materials for fuel or other products. Meanwhile, trade between the two regions is often due to a comparative advantage in the production of a product, such as better technology, easier access to raw materials and the like (Dollar & Kraay, 2004). Therefore, agricultural product trade is a very important topic. This study believes that supply chains are an effective way to increase the value of agricultural product trade, for example effectively collaborating makes agricultural products available to end-consumers as quickly as possible. Supply chain management aims to satisfy consumer demands and improve the competitiveness (Dias & Ierapetritou, 2017) in various industries (Oelze et al., 2018). However, there is still blank between agricultural product trade and supply chain academically, figuring out what is agricultural product trade supply chain and what is related to this chain would be essential.

Prospects for increasing the volume of agricultural production for export due to the expansion and intensification of the use of Russian land resources

2021 ◽  
pp. 40-47
Author(s):  
Gennadiy A. Polunin ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Arable Land ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Land Resources ◽  
The Past ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Near Future

The article is devoted to substantiating the prospects for increasing the marginal volumes of agricultural production for export in the next four years. Two scenarios of such production are considered: 1) expansion and 2) intensification of the use of land resources. As part of the development of the first scenario, an analysis of the distribution of unused agricultural land, including arable land, by federal districts was carried out. Also, based on the forecast of the introduction of additional annual volumes of acreage in the subjects of the Federation, the calculation of additional volumes of agricultural production, which can be expected in the next four years, was carried out. The analysis of data on the increase in the yield of export-oriented crops over the past five years has been carried out, in the framework of the second scenario, the calculation of the projected additional yield due to the intensification of agriculture is presented. The results of the study indicate that the intensification of agriculture will have the greatest impact on the growth of production and export of agricultural products in the near future.

AGRICULTURE: THEORY AND CASE LAW

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Оlena Stefan ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Agricultural Research ◽  
Direct Analysis ◽  
Case Law ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Agricultural Activity ◽  
Narrow Sense ◽  
Economic Entity ◽  
And Training

The article, based on a comprehensive analysis of regulations, doctrinal approaches and case law, substantiates the understanding of the term "agriculture" in terms of purpose (use) of land. Direct analysis of regulations revealed that agricultural land is land provided for agricultural production, agricultural research and training activities, location of relevant production infrastructure, including infrastructure of wholesale markets for agricultural products, or intended for these purposes. In turn, the purpose of the land is the permissible limits of land use by citizens and legal entities (acquirers of such a right) established by law and specified by the relevant body (which transfers such land into ownership or use). The basis for determining the purpose of the land is its belonging to the appropriate category. The main criterion, for example, to distinguish agricultural production (agricultural activity) from other activities is the use of agricultural land as the main (basic) means of production. As a result of the study, it was concluded that the term "agriculture" can be understood in its broad and narrow sense. In a broad sense, the term "agriculture" is the use of land for commercial agricultural production, farming, personal farming, subsidiary agriculture, individual and collective gardening, haymaking and cattle grazing, for research and training purposes, provision of services in agriculture, placement of infrastructure of wholesale markets for agricultural products, as well as other activities on agricultural land, depending on the activities provided by law and the constituent documents of the economic entity. In a narrow sense – this is the purpose of agricultural land. The understanding of the term "agriculture" as the purpose of agricultural land is used by the court in resolving disputes.

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