scholarly journals VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI DAN NON PERFORMING LOAN: BUKTI EMPIRIS DARI BANK UMUM DI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Amri Amri ◽  
Rahma Harianti

This study is aimed at empirically explores the effect of macroeconomic variables i.e., economic growth, interest rate and the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) on the Non-Performing Loans (NPL) of the commercial banks in Indonesia. An annually data from the years 2003 to 2014 were analysed using the multiple regression model. The study documented that: (i) the economic growth has insignificant effect on the Non-Performing Loans (NPL); (ii) the CPI has a negative significant influence on the Non-Performing Loans; and (iii) the interest rate has a positive significant influence on the Non -Performing Loans (NPL). This findings implied that the central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) and the government should design together the economic policies and regulations that could prevent increasing in the Non-Performing Loans (NPL) of the commercial banks in the country.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengeksplorasi pengaruh variabel makroekonomi yaitu pertumbuhan ekonomi, tingkat suku bunga dan Indeks Persepsi Korupsi (CPI) terhadapkredit macet (NPL) bank- bank komersial di Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah tahunan dari tahun 2003-2014 yang dianalisis menggunakan model regresi berganda. Hasil studi ini menunjukkan bahwa: (i) pertumbuhan ekonomi tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan pada Kredit Macet; (ii) CPI memiliki pengaruh signifikan negatif pada Kredit Macet; dan (iii) tingkat suku bunga memiliki pengaruh signifikan positif terhadap Kredit Macet. Temuan ini menyiratkan bahwa bank sentral (Bank Indonesia) dan pemerintah harus merancang bersama-sama kebijakan ekonomi dan peraturan yang bisa mencegah peningkatan kredit macet bank-bank komersial di Indonesia.

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 268-275
Author(s):  
Tegar Prasetya ◽  
Hakiman Thamrin

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on the return on banking assets. The data processing method used by the researcher is using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) as a data analysis tool and this study confirms that the extent to which it examines the positive and significant influence between macroeconomic variables on the return on banking assets. The data obtained is secondary data based on financial statements within a period of 3 years using monthly time series data. The results of this study indicate that there is a positive and significant effect on the exchange rate and CPI variables while it is negative and significant on the inflation, interest rate and IPI variables resulting from the long-term VECM estimation. While the results show that there is a positive and significant effect on the interest rate and CPI variables and a significant negative on the inflation variable, positive and insignificant on the exchange rate variable, negative and insignificant on the IPI variable on the ROA of the short-term VECM estimation results. The results of the measurement of the composition or contribution of the influence of the independent variable on the dependent variable show the interest rate variable with a value of 4.11% in the 10th period obtained through the results of the decomposition variance (VD) test on the return on assets (ROA) of banking studies at Conventional Commercial Banks in Indonesia.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-177
Author(s):  
Tomasz Grabia

The interest rate is the basic instrument of monetary policy, directly or indirectly affecting basic macroeconomic variables, such as inflation, unemployment and economic growth. The aim of the article is to compare the NBP reference rate with hypothetical rates calculated on the basis of different variants of the Taylor rule and to indicate which of those variants is best suited to the situation in Poland. The study period of 2000-2017 was adopted for the analysis. On its basis, it was found that in most cases the real interest rate of the central bank in Poland strongly coincided with rates that would have been set if one of the varieties of the Taylor rule had been in force. The best match coincided with the modified version of this rule, which was created after the economic crisis. That means that the NBP took into account both the deviations of inflation from the target and the GDP gap when making decisions regarding interest rates.


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 155
Author(s):  
Muhammad Adnan ◽  
Sri Maemunah ◽  
Fitri Ismiyanti ◽  
Rudi Purwono

<p>This study is intended to analyze the influence of internal and external risk factors considered relevant influencing the country risk. We find result of long term VECM estimation indicating that the exchange rate, the interest rate of certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) for 6 months and the world economic growth have positive and significant influence to country risk. Inflation, Indonesia economic growth, the Fed, and MSCI ACWI IMI return have negative and significant influence to country risk. All hypotheses presented in this study are theoretically and statistically accepted, except that the hypothesis on inflation is rejected because it is in controversy with theory, although statistically it has significant influence to the country risk in Indonesia.</p><p>Meanwhile the estimated output of VECM in a short term, the exchange rate, the interest rate of SBI for 6 months and the world economic growth have positive and significant influence to country risk. The Fed and MSCI ACWI IMI return have negative and significant influence to country risk. The hypotheses testing accepted from the estimated VECM in short term are the exchange rate, the SBI interest rate in 6 months, the Fed, the world economic growth and the return of MSCI ACWI IMI.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
RINA EL MAZA ◽  
EGI PUTRA SETIAWAN

The government has an important role in the welfare of the people's economy. One of them is through the role of the central bank by carrying out monetary policy. This policy was adopted by the central bank or Bank Indonesia (BI) through several instruments, including through regulating discount rates for commercial banks. In this case, BI sets the inflation target as a reference for determining interest rates. When the inflation rate exceeds the targeted, BI will raise interest rates which in turn will reduce the credit issued by commercial banks to the public, because commercial banks must pay higher interest rates to the central bank. And the results of the analysis that the interest rate charged in the credit (Lending Facility) discount facility is classified as an act of usury. Meanwhile, the profits obtained from the deposit of funds in the Facility Deposit transaction are not permitted in the Islamic economy, because in the Islamic economy there is no interest rate but profit sharing, given the fixed and concrete interest rates. In addition, the discount facility is also incompatible with some Islamic economic principles, including; the principle of Illahiyah, Justice, and the government.


2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-38
Author(s):  
Sarah Momanyi ◽  
Samuel Wainaina

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to establish the determinants of saving culture among households in Kenya’s survey of households residing in Nairobi County.Methodology: The research used a descriptive research design.  The target population for this research study included the working population in Nairobi County. According to 2009 Census, the entire working population is over 985,016. This study adopted convenience sampling method. The sample size of 150 was arrived at using a sampling formula. Descriptive statistics such as mean and frequencies and inferential statistics such as correlation were used. These measures were calculated using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPPS 17.0) software. Results: The study finding was to establish the motives for savings among working population in Nairobi County. Results led to the conclusion that the top five rated motives for saving were; saving for down payment for durable goods, saving for future emergencies, accumulate funds for starting a business, reserve for future necessities and to gain financial independence in the future.Other motives that were also rated highly include; to secure the future of their children and their needs, savings plan for the long term, save as a precaution since the future is unknown, inheritance for my children. The least ranked motives were to buy a house or durable goods, old age, holidays, and to have their money tied up for longer periods of time. The study findings also indicated that the level of education is a significant demographic factor that influences saving culture. The study findings indicated that respondents who were more likely to save were highly educated and those that were lowly educated were less likely to save. Furthermore, study findings led to the inference that age is a significant demographic factor that influences saving culture. The study findings revealed that young and middle aged people are more likely to save than old people. Results indicate that marital status is a significant demographic factor that influences saving culture. The study findings indicated that the married were more likely to save than single. Results also indicate that the monthly income is a significant demographic factor that influences saving cultureThe results led to conclusion that interest rates affect the amount they saved. This implies that interest rate has a significant effect on savings. Results led to conclusion that statement that the higher the interest rate the higher they save. This implies that higher the interest rate leads to low saving. This further implies that a negative significant relationship exists between interest rate and saving. The study findings also indicate that majority disagreed with the statement that inflation affects the amount they save. The results also indicated that majority agreed with the statement that they tended to save more in an unstable inflation environment. This implies that inflation had a positive effect on saving among working population in Kenya. The majority agreed that the level economic growth affected the amount they saved. The results also indicated that the majority agreed with the statement that they tended to save more during periods of high economic growth. This led to conclusion that economic growth had a positive and significant effect on savings among the working population in Kenya.Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy: In line with study results, it is recommended that the government and women empowerment organizations need to encourage savings among women. The education systems should be friendly to the working population in Nairobi through lowering of university entry costs and the improvement in the quality of education offered by middle level colleges. This is because it would positively influence savings. The government of Kenya may improve the income of the working population by reducing taxes on income and creating more employment opportunities. This would effectively boost savings. According to results, it is recommended that the government should adjust its fiscal policies by collecting more taxes and spending more as this will improve the level of national income.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 92
Author(s):  
Bashar Younis Alkhawaldeh ◽  
Suraya Mahmood ◽  
Aminu Hassan Jakada

This study aims to examine the effect of taxes and interest rate on economic growth in Jordan by employing the time series data from 1970-2019. Furthermore, this study applies the Augmented Dickey-Fuller, Phillips-Perron, Saikonen and Lütkepohl and Zivot-Andrews test of unit root. Moreover, the study uses cointegration test developed by Gregory and Hansen to investigate the long-run relationship and the dynamic autoregressive distributive lags were used for the estimation result. The long run and short-run estimates reveal the positive and negative effects of taxes and the interest rate on economic growth respectively. While the 1997 Asian financial crisis and 2015 food crisis show a negative effect on economic growth. Based on the findings, the study recommends that the government authorities in Jordan should lower the interest rate that will increase the investment in order to have faster economic growth. The government should urgently plan to broaden the tax base to stimulate economic growth in Jordan. Regulators should encourage banks to start raising capital immediately to strengthen capital ratios well above prudential norms, and prepare schemes for public recapitalization and, where appropriate, public purchases of non-performing assets. The next policy fulfils the government's need to enhance agricultural productivity through better technology to ensure long-term food security and reduce poverty, as well as help to boost economic growth.


Author(s):  
L.S. Kabir

The present study reveals the trends and features of the current state of financing the foreign countries’ transition to a new «green» economic growth model. To summarize the contemporary experience of countries’ integration into public administration practice the approaches and standards in the field of «green» investments financing.The subject of the study is the set of measures implemented by countries to develop sources of finance for «green» economy projects.Tasks: 1) to consider the principal directions of the «green» investments state policy support, its purpose, and the tools used; 2) to identify the market’s role in the «green» economy financing; 3) to clarify the main issues constraining private investments in «green» projects. The countries’ approach to «green» economic growth financing is examined in the present paper by means of common methods of scientific knowledge.There reviewed the arguments justifying the government support for «green» investments. There revealed the problems constraining the market «green» financing development and speculations about their origins. The study concludes that the countries’ economic policies are aimed at improving the existing model’s efficiency, not at the transition to the new «green» economy model. Thus, through the state support tools, there being generated strong signals signifying the creation of favorable market conditions for the functioning of a new economy sector – the sector of «green» technologies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
Sandi Fitra Yusuf ◽  
Mike Triani

This study explains the extent of the influence of macroeconomic variables on the profitability of BUKU 4 banks in Indonesia. The macroeconomic variables consist of economic growth (X1), inflation (X2), Bank Indonesia Interest Rate (BI Rate) (X3, and Profitability is measured by the ROA (Return) ratio. On Asset). This study combines cross section data of 7 banks with time series from 2010-2019, with the Panel Regression method with the Random Effect model selection test. The results show that: (1) Economic growth has a positive and significant effect on bank profitability. conventional BUKU 4 in Indonesia, (2) Inflation has a positive and insignificant effect on the profitability of conventional BUKU 4 banks in Indonesia, (3) the Bank Indonesia Interest Rate (BI Rate) has a positive and insignificant effect on the profitability of conventional BUKU 4 banks in Indonesia.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip Ifeakachukwu Nwosa ◽  
Fasina Oluwadamilola Tosin ◽  
Ogbuagu Matthew Ikechukwu

The issue of export diversification has been contentious in Nigeria due to the country’s unstable growth pattern which is majorly associated with instability in the international oil market and the poor performance of other sectors of the economy. Therefore, this study examines the link between export diversification and economic growth in Nigeria from 1962 to 2016. The study utilizes the Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique. The result of this study shows that export diversification has a positive but insignificant influence on economic growth in Nigeria. The above result implies that the oil sector still dominates the Nigerian economy while the diversification drive of the government has not been significant in other sectors of the economy. Thus, the study recommends the need for conscious economic policies that would promote the diversification of the entire non-oil sector of the economy. The study concludes that export diversification is an insignificant determinant of economic growth in Nigeria.


ETIKONOMI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bambang Sutrisno

This study aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic variables on sectoral indices in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The difference in sensitiveness among sectors is an interesting issue to investigate this relationship in an emerging market, such as Indonesia. This study employs ordinary least square (OLS) as an estimation method with monthly time-series data from January 2005 to December 2014. The results document that the interest rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate simultaneously have a significant effect on sectoral indices in Indonesia. The interest rate partially shows a significant negative influence on all sectors except basic industry and chemical, finance, infrastructure, utilities, and transportation, and miscellaneous industry sectors. The inflation rate partially has no significant effect on all sectors. The exchange rate partially has a significant negative impact on all industries.DOI: 10.15408/etk.v16i1.4323


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