scholarly journals Prediksi Harga Saham Perusahaan Operator Telekomunikasi Selular pada Masa Pandemi Menggunakan Metode Binomial

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Ferliana ◽  
Yani Ramdani ◽  
Yurika Permanasari

Abstract. The corona virus causes all activities to be carried out online so that all activities require Internet access which makes mobile telecommunications operator companies one of the promising investments in this pandemic. Stock investing allows investors to get profits in a relatively short time. Investments in stocks are currently unstable, as the whole world has been in difficult times since the coronavirus. Capital market players can feel the loss, which causes share prices to tend to decline. The impact of the corona virus is to paralyze all areas, especially the economy, so that an investor must be able to predict an increase or decrease in stock prices. The binomial method helps investors to predict the possibility of a stock price that will occur and is clarified by using a binomial tree that can be predicted in the form of stock prices by having the possibility of four predictions, two predictions describing an increase in shares and two other predictions describing the possibility of a falling stock price. Abstrak. Virus korona menyebabkan semua kegiatan dilakukan melalui daring (online) sehingga semua kegiatan memerlukan akses Internet yang membuat perusahaan operator telekomunikasi seluler menjadi salah satu investasi yang menjanjikan dimasa pandemi ini Investasi ialah komitmen menempatkan sejumlah dana dalam waktu yang cukup lama untuk memperoleh keuntungan di masa datang. Investasi saham memungkinkan investor mendapatkan keuntungan  dalam waktu yang relatif singkat. Investasi dalam bentuk saham pada saat ini tidaklah stabil, karena seluruh dunia dalam masa sulit semenjak adanya virus korona. Kerugianpun dapat dirasakan oleh pelaku pasar modal yang menyebabkan harga saham cenderung menurun. Dampak virus korona adalah melumpuhkan segala bidang terutama perekonomian sehingga sebagai seorang investor harus bisa memprediksi peningkatan atau penurunan harga saham. Metode binomial membantu investor untuk memprediksi kemungkinan harga saham yang akan terjadi dan diperjelas dengan menggunakan pohon binomial hasil prediksi yang di dapat berupa harga saham dengan memiliki kemungkinan empat prediksi dua prediksi menggambarkan kenaikan saham dan dua prediksi lain menggambarkan kemungkinan harga saham turun.

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Al Faridho

In 2020, the world faced the corona virus pandemic, which can threaten the economy aspect of every country. There are many countries end up experiencing recession, including Indonesia. This study tries to test the effect of the corona pandemic on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) stock price, simultaneously and partially. The result shows the stock prices that are included in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII), simultaneously for three quarters, significantly affected by the corona pandemic. Partially, not all issuers are affected by this pandemic. It can be seen that the issuers affected in the Q1 range are ADRO, INCO, SCMA, UNVR, in the Q2 are ADRO, ASII, BTPS, ERAA, ICBP, INDF, INTP, MDKA, MNCN, PTBA, SCMA, SMGR and UNVR, while in the Q3 are ANTM, ERAA, MDKA, PGAS, TPIA.


Author(s):  
Thị Lam Hồ ◽  
Thùy Phương Trâm Hồ

Dividend policy is one of the most important policies in corporate finance management. Understanding the impact of dividend policy on the distribution of profits, corporate value and thus on the stock price is important for business managers to make policies and for investors to make investment decisions. This study is conducted to evaluate the impact of dividend policy on share prices for companies listed on Vietnam’s stock market in the period from 2010 to 2018, based on the availability of continuous dividend payment data. Using the FGLS method with panel data of 100 companies listed on the HoSE and HNX, we find evidence of the impact of dividend policy on stock prices, supporting supports the bird in the hand and the signal detection theories. The findings of this study help to suggest a few recommendations for business managers and investors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-96
Author(s):  
Kevin Ronaldo Gotama ◽  
Njo Anastasia

A promising investment in the property sector is due to appreciation in property value. As an economic instrument, the stock market, inseparable from different environmental factors, was triggered by incident in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, an outbreak of acute respiratory tract infection 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in December 2019 and then spread across China. This study is a comparative study on the stock index of the property sector on the stock exchange of countries affected by the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) case, with a purposive sampling technique according to certain criteria for sample selection. The event analysis was performed by analyzing market reaction; with COVID-19 incident effect as one of the event tests, the stock price index. The findings of the study indicate that there is an index response to the incident of COVID-19. The reflected reaction shows in the abnormal return and trade volume activity before and after the incident. Thus, this study is expected to be taken into consideration for stock investors regarding the impact of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on stock prices, by providing an overview of changes in stock prices during the monitoring period, so that they can make investment decisions in the period before and after incident.


2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 124
Author(s):  
Muhammad Asif ◽  
Kashif Arif ◽  
Waqar Akbar

Purpose—The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between accounting information and share price. In order to achieve this, a model that includes specific accounting ratios (earning per share, book value per share, capital employed per share and operating cash flow per share) and shares a price is developed. Design/methodology/approach—The data were collected from the companies listed in KSE-30 index. The time frame spans from 2006 to 2013 and OLS regression models were used to examine the relationshipsFindings—The resulting evidence suggest that accounting information parameters have significant influence on share price and they have joint explanatory power in determining stock prices. This research finds the consistent results with pervious empirical researches.Originality/value—The present study adds to the existing literature by examining the impact of accounting information on share prices within the context of an emerging capital market such as Pakistan Stock Exchange using KSE-30 companies. This is believed to be the first study which considers the aforementioned issues in the Pakistan’s capital market environment.


Author(s):  
Maksim Kopyrin ◽  
Iuliia Naidenova

Information about companies published in a news feed is invariably tinted by emotional tonality. As such, resultingperceptions may influence the opinion of market players, and consequently affect the dynamics of a company’s shareprice. This study aims to evaluate various hypotheses about the impact of the tone of news items regarding dividends,capital expenditures, and development on the stock prices of Russian companies. Information disclosure is extensivelystudied, and there have been limited studies on the effect of disclosures on Russian companies. However, until now, therehave been no research studies which verify hypotheses on the influence of news sentiment on corporate share prices inthe Russian market. This analysis was conducted using data from 49 Russian public companies included in the Moscow exchange indexover the period from the end of 2017 to the beginning of 2019. To account for the proximate impact of news items onconsequential market phenomena, an event study methodology was applied in order to estimate and construct themodels of dependency of cumulative abnormal return (CAR) on news tone level, and control for financial and nonfinancialfactors. Our results provide evidence for the positive impact of the tone of news texts on the share prices of Russian companies.The increase in news tone by one standard deviation leads to a cumulative abnormal stock return increase of 0.26percentage points. This result is consistent with previous research conducted on data from developed stock markets.Moreover, the relationship between the tone or sentiment level of a news item and the stock price reaction is linear,without the diminishing marginal effect. Our conclusions should prompt companies to invest effort in delivering information in a tonally positive way,highlighting the most positive news. Investors, in turn, should rationally approach the interpretation of publishedinformation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 255-269
Author(s):  
Konstantin Melching ◽  
Tristan Nguyen

Abstract This paper examines the relation between dividend payments and stock prices of all firms in the German prime standard DAX 30 in the time period from 2012 to 2019. The irrelevance theory introduced by Miller and Modigliani states that dividend payments must not have an impact on stock prices in a perfect market. In contrast, the signaling theory and the dividend puzzle indicate that dividend payments are likely to have a profound impact on the stock price. According to our findings the ex-dividend decrease of stock prices was significantly smaller than the dividend payment. Nevertheless, the results support the impact of the dividend payment on the share price. Firstly, the existence of the ex-dividend markdown is a proof that dividend payments cause share price losses. Secondly, the study explains in particular that high dividend payments result in high share prices over the examined period. Thirdly, our analysis demonstrates a positive correlation between the dividend and the stock price development according to the signaling theory. Considering the above- mentioned results, we can conclude that the share price of a company is highly affected by the decision making of the company regarding the dividend policy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 135
Author(s):  
Nurharyati Panigoro

Derasnya aliran dana asing yang masuk ke pasar modal Indonesia membuat meningkatnya nilai kapitalisasi di pasar modal. Transaksi asing terhadap suatu saham juga akan menjadi sinyal positif bagi investor dalam menilai kualitas fundamental suatu saham. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat dampak aliran dana asing (beli dan jual) terhadap fluktuasi harga saham. Sampel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini sebanyak 10 perusahaan yang diambil dari daftar kelompok saham-saham yang masuk dalam Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). Data yang digunakan berupa data transaksi posisi asing dan harga penutupan saham pada periode harian selama bulan Oktober–Desember 2020. Dengan menggunakan teknik regresi data panel diperoleh kesimpulan bahwa posisi jual-beli asing memberikan pengaruh yang positif dan signifikan dalam perubahan harga saham perusahaan. Pembelian asing akan mampu memberikan efek kenaikan harga saham, demikian pula sebaliknya.   Swift flow of foreign funds into the capital market has increased the capitalization of transactionin the stock market. Foreign transactions against a stock will also be a positive signal for investors in assessing the fundamental quality of a stock. The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of foreign capital flows (buying and selling) on stock price fluctuations. The sample used in this study were 10 companies taken from the list of stocks included in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The data used is in the form of foreign position transaction data and stock closing prices in the daily period during October - December 2020. By using the panel data regression technique, it is concluded that the foreign trade position has a positive and significant effect on changes in the company’s stock price. Foreign purchases will be able to give the effect of an increase in share prices, and vice versa.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 462-480
Author(s):  
Novi Darmayanti ◽  
Titik Mildawati ◽  
Fitriah Dwi Susilowati

ABSTRACTCOVID-19 is an acronym for “Corona Virus Desease-2019”. Emergance at the end of 2019 and the explosion of this virus caused by rapid transmission yo the effects caused and the absence of a vaccine that can definitely fight this virus. In Indonesia, the peak of people’s fear of this virus occured when the first COVID-19 case was announced on 2 March 2020. The impact of this outbreak attacked all sectors including the capital market. By using paired sample t test, this study aims to analyze the impact of the announcement on changes in price and stock returns PT. Indosat, Tbk. The results showed that stock prices experienced significant changes with sig.value 0,000 < 0,05 . While stock returns did not change due the announcement because sig.velue of stock return is 0,946 > 0,05. 


2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dian Efriyenty

The phenomenon of several companies experiencing stock price fluctuations can affect inflation and return on equity. The research objective is to implement the analysis of return on equity and inflation in stock prices. The population in the survey was 49 consumer goods industries in 2015-2019. Samples were carried out by purposive sampling for 10 business units. Research data analyzers with the help of self-testing and concurrent testing. The joint test results show the impact of return on equity, inflation is not significant. Meanwhile, the return on equity and inflation simultaneously have an impact on share prices. Keywords: Return On Equity; Inflation; Stock Price.


Author(s):  
Mirosław Wasilewski ◽  
Marta Juszczyk

The aim of the study was to investigate the investors’ opinions concerning the usefulness of behavioral factors for investment decisions. The research was carried out in the group of 100 investors, using the services of five brokerages with a long history of operation. The results of the research show that people’s psychological conditions and sentiment in the stock market play an important role in the decision-making process of investors in the capital market. The importance of this factor increased with the length of the investment period. The emotional states of people and their psychological conditions affect the stock price volatility. However, the complexity of the determinants of stock prices makes the market value of stocks can be affected by many factors at the same time and investors seem aware of this.


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