scholarly journals COMPARATIVE FORECAST OF PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION IN LONG HAUL RAILWAY AND LONG-DISTANCE BUS SERVICE

2021 ◽  
pp. 54-63
Author(s):  
Yevgeniy Balaka ◽  
Maryna Rezunenko ◽  
Volodymyr Vdovychenko
Keyword(s):  
Expert Assessment ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Traffic Dynamics ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Predictive Parameters ◽  
Passenger Transportation ◽  
Combination Of Methods ◽  
Bus Service ◽  
Bus Services ◽  
Further Development

The article presents methodological approaches to determining the volume of passenger service in long-distance railway connections and intercity bus services in Ukraine, which are expected in the coming years. Goal. The purpose of the study is to increase the reliability of the information base for making informed management decisions on the further development of the transport passenger complex. Methodology. In the process of research there was used a set of methods of expert assessment and logical analysis of possible factors influencing; economic and mathematical modeling; formalized extrapolation methods to determine the predictive parameters of influencing factors. Results. The forecast values of the number of transported passengers and the values of passenger turnover in long-distance railway and intercity bus connections in the short-term period are obtained. Originality. To estimate the forecast values of passenger traffic there was used the combination of methods of correlation-regression analysis and forecasting the magnitude of factors by the method of variable average. Practical value. The study of the patterns of passenger traffic dynamics revealed that in the next two years no significant changes are expected in the volume of work of both kinds of transport. However, in long-distance railway transport it is possible to increase passenger traffic by 1.6% (0.74 million passengers) and, accordingly, the annual passenger turnover will increase by 2.2%. In the intercity bus service, a slight decrease in the volume of passenger traffic by 0.8% (0.93 million passengers) is possible, and the rate of decrease in annual passenger turnover will be 0.5%. In the conditions of constant reduction of the population of Ukraine the most effective mechanism of ensuring further sustainable development of both types of passenger transportation is constant adjustment of tariff policy on the principles of flexibility and bonus tariff formation under condition of continuous improvement of services quality.

Analysis of the possibility of organizing a transport interchange complex

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 329-338
Author(s):  
Yu. V. Golenya
Keyword(s):  
Rail Transport ◽  
Optimal Combination ◽  
Urban Transport ◽  
Technical Equipment ◽  
Railway Transport ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Passenger Transportation ◽  
Multimodal Transport

The carriage of passengers takes a significant place in the activities of transport organizations. Ensuring high quality passenger transportation is one of the main tasks of railway transport, which directly depends on the technical equipment and technology of servicing passenger traffic at passenger stations. The introduction of multimodal transport in passenger traffic can change the attitude to transport in general, it will allow: to pick up each passenger the optimal combination of modes of transport (price and quality); monitor the entire transport process and notify of further movements, to hold the carrier responsible for not fulfilling the stages of multimodal transportation. And the organization of the transport and transfer complex will optimize and streamline the process of passenger service. The study was carried out on the example of the transport hub of the station N. Station allows to transfer passengers from rail transport (long and suburban) to all types of urban transport, as well as taxis and personal transport. However, there is practically no interaction with other types of transport at the regional and federal level in this hub. At some distance from station N is a bus station for several long-distance destinations. Territorial location, concentration of several modes of transport, accompanying infrastructure, as well as the potential of this station N allow to organize a prospective transport and transfer complex and attract additional passenger flow, which in the conditions of competition with personal vehicles is important. To do this, all the necessary elements of the multimodal node, necessary for the operation of the transport and transfer complex, are calculated.

scholarly journals ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE DYNAMICS OF PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION BY PUBLIC LAND TRANSPORT

Transport ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonas Butkevičius ◽  
Mindaugas Mazūra ◽  
Valdas Ivankovas ◽  
Skirmantas Mazūra
Keyword(s):  
Public Transport ◽  
National Income ◽  
Public Land ◽  
Railway Transport ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Passenger Transportation ◽  
Reliable Parameter ◽  
National Road

In the presented paper the dynamics of passenger haulage by public transport is considered and a forecast is made. In Lithuania the total volume of passenger transportation by public land transport considerably decreased in the period from 1992 to 2001. In fact, the number of passengers carried by these transport facilities decreased by 3.1 times. The most considerable decrease was found on the local (suburban) bus routes and on international railway routes ‐ by 5.6 and by 5 times, respectively. Long‐distance transportation by bus which decreased only by 1.6 times was the least affected. The paper aims to identify major causes of transportation decrease common to road and railway transport (i.e. considerable growth of tariffs, fast growth of the number of personal motor cars, wear of transport facilities, lack of comfort, low prestige of public transport, etc.). The emphasis is placed on making a forecast of passenger traffic by using a multiple regression. The calculations show that the national income is the most reliable parameter for making forecasts of land transport development compared to a number of others, including national income, a gross national product, average monthly payment, household income and expenditures, national wealth, the index of production and users’ cost, and the variation of consumer goods and services. The forecasts show that passenger haulage by public transport will reach 575 m by 2010, while by 2015 it will grow up to 893 m. This means that transportation will increase by 1,6 times and 2,3 times, respectively, compared to passenger haulage in 2001. However, passenger transportation in 2015 will not achieve the volume found in 2001. The data of the considered forecast were used developing the strategies of national road and railway transport development.

scholarly journals MODELLING COMMUTER TRAINS USING CORRESPONDENCE MATRIX

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2) ◽  
pp. 29-38
Author(s):  
Julia O. Kupitman
Keyword(s):  
Service Time ◽  
Automated System ◽  
Railway Stations ◽  
Railway Line ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Passenger Transportation ◽  
Software Product ◽  
System States ◽  
Further Development ◽  
Electric Train

The article considers the problem of planning transport solutions for development and improvement of railway transport in the suburban direction because of impossibility to separate and to describe the flows of requests, as well as to determine the system states. It has been stated that under such conditions the approach using correspondence matrices in modeling looks promising. The applicability of the methods to passenger transportation by railway is being considered. The method of calculating service time of passenger traffic by electric train is described in the case of calculating the service time between the railway stations Irkutsk-Passenger-Shelekhov. Train downtime at each station depends on the number of people waiting, and travel time between stations is stated as constant. There is given a description of a software product, whose algorithm includes this method. With further development of the software and its introduction into internal automated system of Russian Railways it will be possible to calculate the workload of each railway line, to track passenger traffic and to plan an electric train with a suitable number of cars. This will help to increase the efficiency of commuter trains.

scholarly journals Optimal Express Bus Routes Design with Limited-Stop Services for Long-Distance Commuters

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongguo Ren ◽  
Zhenbao Wang ◽  
Yanyan Chen
Keyword(s):  
Route Planning ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Route Optimization ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Routing Problem ◽  
Fleet Size ◽  
Valid Instrument ◽  
Bus Service ◽  
New Perspective ◽  
Bus Services

This research aimed to propose a route optimization method for long-distance commuter bus service to improve the attraction of public transport as a sustainable travel mode. Taking the express bus services (EBS) in Changping Corridor in Beijing as an example, we put forward an EBS route-planning method for long-distance commuter based on a solving algorithm for vehicle routing problem with pickups and deliveries (VRPPD) to determine the length of routes, number of lines, and stop location. Mobile phone location (MPL) data served as a valid instrument for the origin–destination (OD) estimation, which provided a new perspective to identify the locations of homes and jobs. The OD distribution matrices were specified via geocoded MPL data. The optimization objective of the EBS is to minimize the total distance traveled by the lines, subject to maximum segment capacity constraints. The sensitivity analysis was done to several key factors (e.g., the segment capacity, vehicle capacity, and headway) influencing the number of lines, the length of routes. The results suggest that the scenario with the segment capacity of 4000 passengers/h has a minimum of number and length of lines, but we recommend that the transit agency adopt 3000 passengers/h as the route segment capacity because this scenario results in minimum fleet size and minimum total operation length.

scholarly journals Marketing Research as a Way to Increase Competitiveness of Railway Company and Forecasting of Demand for Transport

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.3) ◽  
pp. 583 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktoriia Yanovska ◽  
Olena Pylypenko ◽  
Viktoriia Tvoronovych ◽  
Anastasiia Bozhok
Keyword(s):  
Marketing Research ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Technical Parameters ◽  
Railway Company ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Elasticity Of Demand ◽  
Passenger Transportation ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Specific Factors ◽  
Determining Factor

Justification of management decisions for railway companies, under the conditions of the transport market liberalization, requires the search and collection of reliable information which is related with both the internal and external environment. Alongside, the need to provide competitiveness of the railways involves marketing research. The main objective of this paper is to determine the specific features of applying marketing tools for promotion of competitiveness and formation of the railway company’s strategy. The dynamics of passenger traffic reflects the competitiveness of types of transport in terms of the ability to provide transport services for a better ratio of “price / quality”. The performed researches confirm the presence of opposite tendencies in the long-distance and suburban connections, as well as specific factors of elasticity of demand for passenger transportation at a price. It is established that for the population (the consumer of transport services) the rate of tariffs for transportation is the determining factor of the attractiveness of the carrier in suburban transportation, and therefore it is the factor of its competitiveness, while the rate of tariffs is not the most significant factor in choosing a carrier in long distance transportation. There are subjective technical parameters of competitiveness which do not fit into the “price / quality” system among the factors of choosing a carrier. During the choice of transportation, the consumer is guided by his own system of values which is not universal and leaves each transport company its “niche” for operation in the market as well as the opportunity to win its “own” consumer. Models of forecasting demand for passenger long-distance and suburban transportation by railway and automobile transport are proposed on the basis of forecast of macrofactors. The using of these models will allow railway and automobile companies to form their development strategies.  

scholarly journals Analysis of Accessibility of Railway Transport for Residents of Large Urban Agglomerations

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 166-175
Author(s):  
E. B. Kulikova ◽  
O. N. Madyar ◽  
A. V. Galitsky
Keyword(s):  
Weighted Average ◽  
Rail Transport ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Related Services ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Suburban Areas ◽  
Passenger Transportation ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Time Expenditures

The study is focused on improvement of passenger transportation by rail transport, its availability, quality of related services for residents of large agglomerations. Correlation of growth in speed of movement of passengers, distance of travel, range and quality of services provided by the carrier, as well as planning of passenger traffic and spatial urban development models are considered. Particular attention is paid to the analysis of the improvement of passenger transportation by rail transport by assigning stops for long-distance passenger trains (including fast, speed and highspeed trains) in suburban areas of large agglomerations, since that aspect has not been yet sufficiently studied.It is concluded that it is necessary to continue research on transportation needs of the population of the agglomerations, to identify the features and patterns of changes in passenger traffic, emerging and redeeming in the suburban areas of the largest cities. This will allow transportation companies to better understand the transport services market, to develop and offer new transportation products to the population. That approach can increase the attractiveness of rail transport and its availability for the population of many cities thanks to a significant reduction in weighted average costs and travel time expenditures for passengers.

scholarly journals Formation of performance indicators of railway transport for calculating labor productivity

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (5) ◽  
pp. 293-300
Author(s):  
O. F. Miroshnichenko ◽  
A. E. Oginskaya
Keyword(s):  
Labor Productivity ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Performance Indicator ◽  
Reduction Factor ◽  
Rolling Stock ◽  
Railway Transport ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Passenger Transportation ◽  
Freight Traffic

Labor productivity in railway transport is determined using the “reduced performance” indicator, which is formed using a reduction factor designed to take into account the difference in unit costs of the payroll fund when performing a unit of work performance: ton-kilometers in freight traffic and passenger-kilometers in passenger traffic. The article reflects the results of a study to determine the value of the passenger turnover reduction factor in the formation of the total transportation performance of Russian Railways in modern conditions. The relevance of the revision of the current reduction factor is due to a change in the organizational structure as a result of the reform of railway transport, an increase in costs per unit of production by improving the quality of passenger traffic, strengthening security measures at stations and platforms, development of electronic passenger information systems, a significant increase in the volume of high-cost types of high-speed and high-speed passenger transportation.A comparative analysis of the costs of the payroll fund in passenger and freight traffic in the context of tariff components is carried out. The comparison was carried out both in general and differentially for each type of activity carried out by the company in the passenger complex, namely: the provision of services for long-distance and suburban passenger transportation, long-distance passenger transportation and suburban traffic, carried out in high-speed rolling stock. The most costly items in each facility were identified, which characterize the labor intensity by type of activity of Russian Railways. For calculating the labor productivity of the company's employees, proposals have been developed for the formation of the reduced freight turnover using a single coefficient for passenger turnover, equal to 3.7.

Analytical support to organization system of children transportation in long-distance trains

2018 ◽  
Vol 77 (6) ◽  
pp. 232-330
Author(s):  
A. V. Komissarov ◽  
E. A. Makarova ◽  
S. V. Muktepavel ◽  
I. A. Nestrakhov ◽  
I. N. Spesivtseva
Keyword(s):  
Time Of Arrival ◽  
Control Analysis ◽  
Social Significance ◽  
Passenger Cars ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Number Of Children ◽  
Passenger Traffic ◽  
Destination Station ◽  
Increasing Demand ◽  
Management Functions

Abstract. In modern conditions for passenger complex of Russian Railways, important tasks include improvement of transportation quality, maintenance of stable positions in a competitive environment and increasing demand. To address these issues, a customer-oriented approach is applied based on the segmentation of transport market in relation to certain groups of passengers. Performance of children's transportation is of particular relevance and social significance. Railways are charged with a huge range of work, including sale of travel documents, preparation and equipping of passenger cars, provision of food during the trip, instructing workers, ensuring security during the embarkation/disembarkation of passengers, etc. Children can travel as individually with accompanying persons and as part of organized groups. Processes of planning, organizing, monitoring the transportation of this age category of passengers are associated with the analysis of a large amount of reference and regulatory and reporting documentation. On the basis of the ACS “Express-3”, a program-analytical complex “Children's transportation” was developed and implemented, which allows to receive data at the regional and network levels in the operational (train number, day) and statistical (period of dates, month) modes. This information technology provides analytical support for key transportation management functions — planning, control, analysis. Planning of transportation of organized children's groups is carried out on the basis of a study of the dynamics of data on the number of applications received and travel documents issued, determining the routes of trains, periods of the highest intensity of passenger traffic, obtaining information about the stations of embarkation and disembarkation. To perform the functions of monitoring the embarkation and disembarkation at the destination station of groups of children, the employees involved receive information on the train number, car number, date and time of arrival, number of children in the group using the Children's Transportation software. For the analysis of transportation of children's age categories, a functional has been developed that ensures the construction of aggregated reporting based on trains data that completed the trip. Users receive reporting information in table form, including “strict” (designed according to the approved layout) and “flexible” forms (construction is performed according to specified parameters). Software and analytical complex is designed for managers and specialists of the passenger unit of the JSC “Russian Railways”, has a modular principle of increasing functionality and provides a solution to current problems in the system of organizing children's transport service.

scholarly journals Public Transit Loyalty Modeling Considering the Effect of Passengers’ Emotional Value: A Case Study in Xiamen, China

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shi-chao Sun
Keyword(s):  
Structural Equation ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Public Transit ◽  
Perceived Value ◽  
Index Score ◽  
The Public ◽  
Bus Service ◽  
Bus Services ◽  
Emotional Value

To better sustain passengers’ loyalty towards bus service, this paper addressed the modeling of the public transit loyalty by the use of structural equation model. As a novel hypothesis, the emotional value was considered to have effects on the perceived value of bus services in this study, which reflected the degree of passengers’ emotional dependence on the public transit. Specifically, in order to better assess the loyalty, seven unobserved variables were measured to construct the structural model, namely, “service guarantee,” “operational services and efficiency,” “emotional value,” “perceived value,” “expectation,” “satisfaction,” and “loyalty.” The goodness-of-fit of the model was estimated and evaluated by using the survey data harvested from Xiamen, China. Besides, the index score of variables was also computed to help determine targeted approaches to better improve the level of bus service. The results indicated that the time cost and the monetary cost actually had no effects on the perceived value of users in the case study. At the same time, however, it also proved that passengers’ emotional value towards the public transit indeed affected passengers’ perception of the service value. In addition, whether users’ perceived value was as expected determined how much passengers satisfied with the service. Regarding the index score of variables, it indicated a great dissatisfaction of passengers towards the current bus service. Unexpectedly, the score of loyalty even still retained a relatively high level, which reflected continue-to-use willingness of passengers. It implied that being subject to economic conditions and other factors, passengers were captive and had to continue relying on the public transit, in spite of their dissatisfaction. As for the improvement direction of bus services, targeted approaches should be determined to improve the quality of bus service, regarding the aspects of “condition of facilities in the bus,” “driving stability and comfort,” “vehicle speed,” and “safety.”

Public Transport System in Local City and Rural Area: Comparative Study Between Malaysia and Japan

2014 ◽  
Vol 69 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sotaro Yukawa ◽  
Mohd Azizul Ladin ◽  
Riza Atiq Abdullah O.K. Rahmat
Keyword(s):  
Transport System ◽  
Public Transport ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Peninsular Malaysia ◽  
Developed Country ◽  
Public Transport System ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Regulation Policy ◽  
Bus Service ◽  
Bus Services

Recently, bus companies in Peninsular Malaysia are confronted with a crisis of maintaining its local bus services. Operating unprofitable public transport system in local cities and rural areas is an important issue in a developed country. However, such cases (operating unprofitable public transport) have emerged in developing country like Malaysia. Until recently, researchers focused on this kind of problems for only developed country and there are not enough international comparison about local bus service. To address this gap, we conducted a comparative analysis between Japan and Malaysia in this paper. We’ll focus on the similarities and differences in terms of regulation, policy and some cases of bus substitution in both countries. We also examined the advantages and disadvantages about Japanese case and present some implication about future policy in Malaysia.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document