scholarly journals The Impacts of Climate Variability on Cholera Cases in Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan NA ◽  
Hashim JH ◽  
Wan Puteh SE ◽  
Wan Mahiyuddin WR ◽  
Faisal MS

Introduction: Altered weather patterns and changes in precipitation, temperature and humidity resulting from climate change could affect the distribution and incidence of cholera. This study is to quantify climate-induced increase in morbidity rates of cholera. Material and Methods: Monthly cholera cases and monthly temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity data from 2004 to 2014 were obtained from the Malaysian Ministry of Health and Malaysian Meteorological Department, respectively. Poisson generalized linear models were developed to quantify the relationship between meteorological parameters and the number of reported cholera cases. Results: The findings revealed that the total number of cholera cases in Malaysia during the 11 year study period was 3841 cases with 32 deaths. Out of these, 45.1% of the cases were among children below 12 years old and 75% of the cases were from Sabah. Temperature and precipitation gave significant impact on the cholera cases in Sabah, (p<0.001) while precipitation were significant in Terengganu (p<0.001), and Sarawak (p=0.013). Monthly lag temperature data at Lag 0, 1, and 2 months were associated with the cholera cases in Sabah (p<0.001). The change in odds of having cholera cases were by the factor of 3.5 for every 1ºC increase in temperature. However, the contribution of rainfall was very mild, whereby an increase of 1 mm in precipitation will increase the excess risk of cholera by up to 0.8%. Conclusion: This study concludes that climate does influence the number of cholera cases in Malaysia.

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 1211
Author(s):  
Li-Te Lin ◽  
Kuan-Hao Tsui

The relationship between serum dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEA-S) and anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH) levels has not been fully established. Therefore, we performed a large-scale cross-sectional study to investigate the association between serum DHEA-S and AMH levels. The study included a total of 2155 infertile women aged 20 to 46 years who were divided into four quartile groups (Q1 to Q4) based on serum DHEA-S levels. We found that there was a weak positive association between serum DHEA-S and AMH levels in infertile women (r = 0.190, p < 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, serum DHEA-S levels positively correlated with serum AMH levels in infertile women (β = 0.103, p < 0.001). Infertile women in the highest DHEA-S quartile category (Q4) showed significantly higher serum AMH levels (p < 0.001) compared with women in the lowest DHEA-S quartile category (Q1). The serum AMH levels significantly increased across increasing DHEA-S quartile categories in infertile women (p = 0.014) using generalized linear models after adjustment for potential confounders. Our data show that serum DHEA-S levels are positively associated with serum AMH levels.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-112
Author(s):  
Richard Larouche ◽  
Nimesh Patel ◽  
Jennifer L. Copeland

The role of infrastructure in encouraging transportation cycling in smaller cities with a low prevalence of cycling remains unclear. To investigate the relationship between the presence of infrastructure and transportation cycling in a small city (Lethbridge, AB, Canada), we interviewed 246 adults along a recently-constructed bicycle boulevard and two comparison streets with no recent changes in cycling infrastructure. One comparison street had a separate multi-use path and the other had no cycling infrastructure. Questions addressed time spent cycling in the past week and 2 years prior and potential socio-demographic and psychosocial correlates of cycling, including safety concerns. Finally, we asked participants what could be done to make cycling safer and more attractive. We examined predictors of cycling using gender-stratified generalized linear models. Women interviewed along the street with a separate path reported cycling more than women on the other streets. A more favorable attitude towards cycling and greater habit strength were associated with more cycling in both men and women. Qualitative data revealed generally positive views about the bicycle boulevard, a need for education about sharing the road and for better cycling infrastructure in general. Our results suggest that, even in smaller cities, cycling infrastructure may encourage cycling, especially among women.


2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (11) ◽  
pp. 2189-2197 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adriana Fagundes Gomes ◽  
Aline Araújo Nobre ◽  
Oswaldo Gonçalves Cruz

Dengue, a reemerging disease, is one of the most important viral diseases transmitted by mosquitoes. Climate is considered an important factor in the temporal and spatial distribution of vector-transmitted diseases. This study examined the effect of seasonal factors and the relationship between climatic variables and dengue risk in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, from 2001 to 2009. Generalized linear models were used, with Poisson and negative binomial distributions. The best fitted model was the one with "minimum temperature" and "precipitation", both lagged by one month, controlled for "year". In that model, a 1°C increase in a month's minimum temperature led to a 45% increase in dengue cases in the following month, while a 10-millimeter rise in precipitation led to a 6% increase in dengue cases in the following month. Dengue transmission involves many factors: although still not fully understood, climate is a critical factor, since it facilitates analysis of the risk of epidemics.


Author(s):  
Ejlal Sanad Mohammed Motwaly ◽  
A.G. Elfadil ◽  
Ahmed Mudawi Musa

This study is aimed to find out the effect and relationship between metrological parameters and total airborne pollen concentration in atmosphere in Khartoum city (Sudan). For that purpose, one-year data during 2018 of Total Airborne Pollen Concentration (TAPC) and meteorological parameters is utilized. Pollen concentration in the atmosphere was measured using Non-volumetric air sampler (Vertical cylinder spore trap). The descriptive statistic of TAPC and metrological parameters were presented. The result showed TAPC in 2018 reached to their maximum in August (37.5/m³), and the minimum in June (14/ m³). Analysis of the relationship between TAPC and meteorological parameters showed that variations in the pollen concentrations were mainly affected by maximum temperature. In addition, there were substantial differences in these relationships in different seasons. In Autumn, they were affected by the rain falls, maximum temperature and relative humidity; in summer, they were affected by maximum temperature; and in winter, they were affected by maximum temperature and relative humidity. Temperature, rain falls and relative humidity promote plant growth and blooming. As well as the results show wind direction was significant on seasonally TAPC especially in Autumn. The results found significant effects between the meteorological on TAPC, were it is showed 72 % are affecting on TAPC refer to meteorological parameters and 28 % refer to another factors.


2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 75
Author(s):  
Ibnu Athoillah ◽  
Saraswati Dewi ◽  
Findy Renggono

IntisariBalai Besar Teknologi Modifikasi Cuaca (BB-TMC) BPPT bekerjasama dengan Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (BMKG) melakukan kegiatan Intensive Observation Period (IOP) selama puncak musim hujan pada tanggal 18 Januari - 16 Februari 2016 di wilayah Jabodetabek. Salah satu peralatan yang digunakan untuk observasi adalah Radiometer dan Radiosonde. Pada penelitian ini akan difokuskan bagaimana perbandingan hasil dari pengukuran Radiometer dan Radiosonde selama kegiatan IOP terutama untuk parameter temperatur dan kelembapan relatif. Hasil dari perbandingan pada profil atmosfer di lapisan tertentu terlihat adanya data yang mempunyai kecenderungan jauh dan tidak memiliki kedekatan nilai. Untuk pengukuran temperatur dengan radiometer jika dibandingkan dengan radiosonde, korelasi data semakin kecil di lapisan atas, sebaliknya jika untuk pengukuran kelembapan relatif, korelasi data di lapisan atas lebih tinggi daripada korelasi data di lapisan bawah. Sedangkan jika dibandingkan pada satu waktu antara radiometer dan radiosonde menunjukkan kecocokan untuk kedua data, meskipun kecocokan data kelembapan relatif lebih kecil dibandingkan data temperatur.  AbstractNational Laboratory for Weather Modification (BB-TMC) BPPT has colaborated with Meteorological Climatology and Geophysic Agency (BMKG) in conducting Intensive Observation Period (IOP) during the peak of rainy season in Jabodetabek area on January 18th- February 16th 2016. One of the tools used in the observation is Radiometer and Radiosonde. This study will focus on comparison result between Radiometer and Radiosonde measurement during IOP especially for temperature and relative humidity parameters. The result in a particular layer of profile atmosphere indicates that the data  tends to deviate away. The temperature difference measured using radiometer and radiosonde in the upper layer shows smaller value than that in the lower layer.  In contrast,  the correlation for relative humidity data in the upper layers is higher than in the lower layers. Meanwhile when compared at one time indicate a good match for both data, although the data matches of  the relative humidity are lower than the temperature data.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Boqun Shi ◽  
Demin Liu ◽  
Qian Wang ◽  
Xue Geng ◽  
Qian Hou ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Recent evidence has shown that the pathogenesis of ischaemic stroke associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) is complex and involves other factors in addition to arrhythmias. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship among AF, CHA2DS2-VASc score and ischaemic stroke in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) in Hebei, China. Methods A total of 2,335 patients with CAD from September 2016 to May 2019 at the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University were included (mean age 62.73 ± 10.35 years, range 26–92 years; 41.58% female). This was a cross-sectional study, and participants were divided into non-stroke (n = 1997) and ischaemic stroke groups (n = 338). Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to match ischaemic stroke patients with non-stroke patients in a 1:4 ratio. The relationship among AF, the CHA2DS2-VASc score and ischaemic stroke was evaluated using univariable generalized linear models for different sex, age, body mass index (BMI), CAD and CHA2DS2-VASc score subgroups. Univariable and multivariable generalized linear models were used to evaluate the relationship between AF and ischaemic stroke in the different models. Results Compared with that in the non-stroke group, the prevalence of AF (8.81% vs. 14.20%, P = 0.002) in the ischaemic stroke group was higher. The proportion of patients with ischaemic stroke was significantly different between the AF group and the non-AF group (28.74% vs. 19.04%, P = 0.003). An increasing CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with a gradual increase in the prevalence of AF (P for trend < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that the trend towards increased stroke risk in the AF group was consistent across the various subgroups. The multivariable analysis demonstrated that AF was not associated with ischaemic stroke compared with the absence of AF (OR = 1.55, 95% CI 0.94–2.56, P = 0.087). Conclusion In our cross-sectional study, after adjustment for confounding factors, there was no association between AF and ischaemic stroke. The increased risk of ischaemic stroke associated with AF was attenuated by atherosclerotic factors. Our study supports the current view that enhanced control of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors in patients with AF is essential.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-28
Author(s):  
Faycel Tazigh

This paper aims to analyze the relationship that may exist between climate change and cereal yield in Morocco. In order to study this correlation between variables, we used the most common form of regression model which is the multiple linear regression model. There are two main uses of multiple linear regression model. The first one is to quantify the weight of impact that the independent variables had on the dependent variable. The second use is to predict not only the relationship that may found between variables but also their impacts. In our case, we have chosen temperature and precipitation as an independent variables and cereal yield as dependent variable.


2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (6) ◽  
pp. 729-734 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juha Lappi ◽  
Jaana Luoranen

An approximate method is derived for testing the differences of LT50, LD50, or ED50, which indicate the temperature or dose needed to kill or damage half of the plants, respectively. It is assumed that a logistic model is used to describe the relationship between probability and a treatment variable in the framework of generalized linear mixed models or generalized linear models. The method is based on the delta method and the Wald test. In the forest sciences, this method can be used when dose, temperature, or time responses are compared in different treatments, cultivars, or origins.


2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giulia Maria Dotti Sani ◽  
Mario Quaranta

Abstract Female labor force participation and total fertility rates have been negatively correlated until the early ’80s. By the end of that decade, however, the relationship changed sign. Scholars have suggested a close link between individual reproductive behavior, labor market participation and institutional contexts, but we still lack clear evidence of the underlying micro-level mechanism. We propose the use of complementary techniques, fuzzy set Qualitative Comparative Analysis and Generalized Linear Models, as the different assumptions underlying the two, combinatory vs. additive, may lead to new insights on how the combination of institutional features can produce different outcomes in terms of the work-motherhood relationship.


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