scholarly journals Distribution of slushflows in northern Europe and their potential change due to global warming

2001 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 237-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Sidorova ◽  
N. Belaya ◽  
V. Perov
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Climatic Change ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Climatic Changes ◽  
Northern Europe ◽  
Climatic Parameters ◽  
Method Of Calculation ◽  
Global Circulation ◽  
Global Circulation Models

AbstractThe distribution of slushflows in northern Europe is described. Schematic maps of the beginning and ending periods of slushflow risk are presented. The months with maximum slufhflow activity are also shown. Potential changes in the geographic and temporal distribution of slushflows due to global warming were analyzed for this region. Calculations for the year 2050 were done on the basis of climatic changes given by three global circulation models. The method of calculation was based on the general relationships between climatic parameters and the geographical and temporal distribution of slushflows. Schematic maps of potential distribution of slushflows show changes when calculated according to the most extreme of the three climatic-change scenarios.

scholarly journals Need of the Hour: Awareness on Green Banking Products

2022 ◽  
Vol 40 (S1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherin T. C ◽  
C. L. JEBA MELVIN
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Climatic Change ◽  
Environmental Sustainability ◽  
Close Association ◽  
Climatic Changes ◽  
Limited Resources ◽  
Technological Advancement ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Industrial Sectors

Human beings for their self-centeredness, warmth, and leisure in their life, have chosen the avenue of globalization, technological advancement, and industrialization. The price that they are paying for this avenue is the catastrophe of biodiversity, climatic changes, global warming, depleting resources, melting of glaciers, and the catastrophe of greenery. Hence environmental sustainability and sustainable development have turned into a crucial agenda in the global association. India is a rapidly flourishing nation which is backed by the industrial sectors, yet it is exposed terribly to climatic change and global warming. Due to this alarming plight, the banking sectors who are the chief financial supporter of industries that cause pollution have taken a small start: Going Green. This has given push up to the conception of green banking and it has given birth to green banking products. The green banking products target cutback of carbon impression, resource-efficient economies, and ward off wastage of the accessible limited resources. It is focused upon moving towards banking practices that are non-hazardous to the environment and aids to conserve it. These green banking products initiatives have recently kick-started in a handful of banks across the country. Fueling of green products is required at a quick pace than anticipated, as they have a close association with other sectors that forms the country’s economy. This paper skates through the Need of the Hour and the awareness on Green Banking Products.

scholarly journals Climatic Niche Shift during Azolla filiculoides Invasion and Its Potential Distribution under Future Scenarios

Plants ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Argantonio Rodríguez-Merino ◽  
Rocío Fernández-Zamudio ◽  
Pablo García-Murillo ◽  
Jesús Muñoz
Keyword(s):  
Native Species ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Niche Overlap ◽  
Niche Shift ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Azolla Filiculoides ◽  
Global Circulation ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Distribution Ranges ◽  
Floating Macrophyte

In order to prevent future biological invasions, it is crucial to know non-native species distributions. We evaluated the potential global distribution of Azolla filiculoides, a free-floating macrophyte native to the Americas by using species distribution models and niche equivalency tests to analyze the degree of niche overlap between the native and invaded ranges of the species. The models were projected under two future emission scenarios, three global circulation models and two time periods. Our results indicate a possible niche shift between the distribution ranges of the species, indicating that A. filiculoides can adapt to novel environmental conditions derived from climatic differences during the invasion process. Our models also show that the future potential distribution of A. filiculoides will decrease globally, although the species could colonize new vulnerable regions where it is currently absent. We highlight that species occurrence records in the invaded area are necessary to generate accurate models, which will, in turn, improve our ability to predict potential invasion risk areas.

Simulating phenological shifts in French temperate forests under two climatic change scenarios and four driving global circulation models

2010 ◽  
Vol 54 (5) ◽  
pp. 563-581 ◽  
Author(s):  
François Lebourgeois ◽  
Jean-Claude Pierrat ◽  
Vincent Perez ◽  
Christian Piedallu ◽  
Sébastien Cecchini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climatic Change ◽  
Temperate Forests ◽  
Global Circulation ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Phenological Shifts

scholarly journals Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Reinecke ◽  
Hannes Müller Schmied ◽  
Tim Trautmann ◽  
Peter Burek ◽  
Martina Flörke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Groundwater Recharge ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Uncertainty Range ◽  
Groundwater Availability ◽  
Global Circulation ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Groundwater Systems ◽  
Simulated Groundwater

Abstract. Billions of people rely on groundwater as an accessible source for drinking water and irrigation, especially in times of drought. Its importance will likely increase with a changing climate. It is still unclear, however, how climate change will impact groundwater systems globally and thus the availability of this vital resource. This study investigates uncertainties in groundwater recharge projections using a multi-model ensemble of eight global hydrological models (GHMs) that are driven by the bias-adjusted output of four global circulation models (GCMs). Preindustrial and current groundwater recharge values are compared with recharge for different global warming (GW) levels as a result of three representative concentration pathways (RCPs). Results suggest that the uncertainty range is extensive, and projections with confidence can only be made for specific regions of the world. In some regions, reversals of groundwater recharge trends can be observed with global warming. On average, a consistent median increase of groundwater recharge in northern Europe of 19 % and a decrease of 10 % in the Amazon at 3 °C GW compared to preindustrial levels are simulated. In the Mediterranean, a 2 °C GW leads to a reduction of GWR of 38 %. Because most GHMs do not include CO2 driven vegetation processes, we investigate how, including the effect of evolving CO2 concentrations into the calculation of future groundwater recharge impacts the results. In some regions, the inclusion of these processes leads to differences in groundwater recharge changes of up to 100 mm year−1. Overall, models that include CO2 driven vegetation processes simulate less severe decreases of groundwater recharge and in some regions even increases instead of decreases. In regions where GCMs predict decreases in precipitation, and groundwater availability is most important, the model agreement among GHMs with dynamic vegetation is lowest in contrast to GHMs without, which show a high agreement.

scholarly journals Ensemble Projections of Regional Climatic Changes over Ontario, Canada

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (18) ◽  
pp. 7327-7346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiuquan Wang ◽  
Guohe Huang ◽  
Jinliang Liu ◽  
Zhong Li ◽  
Shan Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climatic Changes ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
Ensemble Simulations ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
Data Portal

Abstract In this study, high-resolution climate projections over Ontario, Canada, are developed through an ensemble modeling approach to provide reliable and ready-to-use climate scenarios for assessing plausible effects of future climatic changes at local scales. The Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) regional modeling system is adopted to conduct ensemble simulations in a continuous run from 1950 to 2099, driven by the boundary conditions from a HadCM3-based perturbed physics ensemble. Simulations of temperature and precipitation for the baseline period are first compared to the observed values to validate the performance of the ensemble in capturing the current climatology over Ontario. Future projections for the 2030s, 2050s, and 2080s are then analyzed to help understand plausible changes in its local climate in response to global warming. The analysis indicates that there is likely to be an obvious warming trend with time over the entire province. The increase in average temperature is likely to be varying within [2.6, 2.7]°C in the 2030s, [4.0, 4.7]°C in the 2050s, and [5.9, 7.4]°C in the 2080s. Likewise, the annual total precipitation is projected to increase by [4.5, 7.1]% in the 2030s, [4.6, 10.2]% in the 2050s, and [3.2, 17.5]% in the 2080s. Furthermore, projections of rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves are developed to help understand the effects of global warming on extreme precipitation events. The results suggest that there is likely to be an overall increase in the intensity of rainfall storms. Finally, a data portal named Ontario Climate Change Data Portal (CCDP) is developed to ensure decision-makers and impact researchers have easy and intuitive access to the refined regional climate change scenarios.

scholarly journals Potential Impact of Climate Change on Schistosomiasis: A Global Assessment Attempt

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guo-Jing Yang ◽  
Robert Bergquist
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Meteorological Model ◽  
Ambient Temperatures ◽  
Global Circulation ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Parasite Stage ◽  
Near Future

Based on an ensemble of global circulation models (GCMs), four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and several ongoing and planned Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIPs), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts that global, average temperatures will increase by at least 1.5 °C in the near future and more by the end of the century if greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions are not genuinely tempered. While the RCPs are indicative of various amounts of GHGs in the atmosphere the CMIPs are designed to improve the workings of the GCMs. We chose RCP4.5 which represented a medium GHG emission increase and CMIP5, the most recently completed CMIP phase. Combining this meteorological model with a biological counterpart model accounted for replication and survival of the snail intermediate host as well as maturation of the parasite stage inside the snail at different ambient temperatures. The potential geographical distribution of the three main schistosome species: Schistosoma japonicum, S. mansoni and S. haematobium was investigated with reference to their different transmission capabilities at the monthly mean temperature, the maximum temperature of the warmest month(s) and the minimum temperature of the coldest month(s). The set of six maps representing the predicted situations in 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for each species mainly showed increased transmission areas for all three species but they also left room for potential shrinkages in certain areas.

scholarly journals Maxent modeling for predicting the potential distribution of Arbutus andrachne L. belonging to climate change in Turkey.

2021 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayse Gul Sarikaya ◽  
◽  
Omer K. Orucu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Small Tree ◽  
Potential Habitat ◽  
Northern Areas ◽  
Maxent Modeling ◽  
Rcp 8.5 ◽  
Turkish Flora

Arbutus andrachne L., the strawberry tree, is an evergreen shrub or small tree in the Turkish flora and has broad uses. The wood is used for decorative purposes, packaging, and manufacturing furniture. The fruits are edible and used in treating many kinds of diseases. However, global warming might affect the abundance of this symbolic plant's distribution, especially at higher latitudes. This study was conducted to determine the expected effects of climate change on A. andrachne. For this purpose, Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 were used to expect climate change scenarios for 2050 and 2070, and potential distribution areas of A. andrachne were presented. The results indicated that the distribution of A. andrachne would decrease in the southern regions of Turkey. However, the spread of the species could be expanded in the western and northern areas. It is also expected that there would be potential habitat losses, which would affect the distribution of A. andrachne.

scholarly journals The Application of Principles of Green Building in Traditional Housing in Iraq

2015 ◽  
Vol 747 ◽  
pp. 7-11
Author(s):  
Maryam Qays Oleiwi ◽  
Ayat Ali ◽  
Nangkula Utaberta ◽  
Mastor Surat
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Natural Resources ◽  
Green Building ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Green Buildings ◽  
Climatic Changes ◽  
Global Issue ◽  
The Future ◽  
Definition Of

Green building has become an important issue among architects and urban planners due to the increment in global warming risks and climatic changes which influenced negatively on natural resources. It is also one of measures been put forward to alleviate the significant impacts of the influence of buildings on the environment, society and economy. There have been extensive studies on green buildings, as evidenced in the rapid growing number of papers been published in last decades. These studies have been conducted in both developed countries and developing countries, indicating this is a global issue. However, there is lack of extensive researches on the green buildings in Iraq that is crucial for the future exerts. This paper reports the definition of green building, the environmental, social and economical aspects of green building, and application of green building's principles in traditional housing in Iraq.

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