scholarly journals A Prospective Study of Grip Strength Trajectories and Incident Cardiovascular Disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weida Liu ◽  
Runzhen Chen ◽  
Chenxi Song ◽  
Chuangshi Wang ◽  
Ge Chen ◽  
...  

Background: A single measurement of grip strength (GS) could predict the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the long-term pattern of GS and its association with incident CVD are rarely studied. We aimed to characterize the GS trajectory and determine its association with the incidence of CVD (myocardial infarction, angina, stroke, and heart failure).Methods: This study included 5,300 individuals without CVD from a British community-based cohort in 2012 (the baseline). GS was repeatedly measured in 2004, 2008, and 2012. Long-term GS patterns were identified by the group-based trajectory model. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations between GS trajectories and incident CVD. We identified three GS trajectories separately for men and women based on the 2012 GS measurement and change patterns during 2004–2012.Results: After a median follow-up of 6.1 years (during 2012–2019), 392 participants developed major CVD, including 114 myocardial infarction, 119 angina, 169 stroke, and 44 heart failure. Compared with the high stable group, participants with low stable GS was associated with a higher incidence of CVD incidence [hazards ratio (HR): 2.17; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.52–3.09; P <0.001], myocardial infarction (HR: 2.01; 95% CI: 1.05–3.83; P = 0.035), stroke (HR: 1.96; 95% CI: 1.11–3.46; P = 0.020), and heart failure (HR: 6.91; 95% CI: 2.01–23.79; P = 0.002) in the fully adjusted models.Conclusions: The low GS trajectory pattern was associated with a higher risk of CVD. Continuous monitoring of GS values could help identify people at risk of CVD.

2021 ◽  
pp. ASN.2020081156
Author(s):  
Alexander J. Kula ◽  
David K. Prince ◽  
Joseph T. Flynn ◽  
Nisha Bansal

BackgroundBP is an important modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular events and CKD progression in middle-aged or older adults with CKD. However, studies describing the relationship between BP with outcomes in young adults with CKD are limited.MethodsIn an observational study, we focused on 317 young adults (aged 21–40 years) with mild to moderate CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. Exposures included baseline systolic BP evaluated continuously (per 10 mm Hg increase) and in categories (<120, 120–129, and ≥130 mm Hg). Primary outcomes included cardiovascular events (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, or all-cause death) and CKD progression (50% decline of eGFR or ESKD). We used Cox proportional hazard models to test associations between baseline systolic BP with cardiovascular events and CKD progression.ResultsCardiovascular events occurred in 52 participants and 161 had CKD progression during median follow-up times of 11.3 years and 4.1 years, respectively. Among those with baseline systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg, 3%/yr developed heart failure, 20%/yr had CKD progression, and 2%/yr died. In fully adjusted models, baseline systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg (versus systolic BP<120 mm Hg) was significantly associated with cardiovascular events or death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.05 to 4.32) and CKD progression (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.58).ConclusionsAmong young adults with CKD, higher systolic BP is significantly associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular events and CKD progression. Trials of BP management are needed to test targets and treatment strategies specifically in young adults with CKD.


Stroke ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 48 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael R. Jones ◽  
Gary S. Roubin ◽  
Wayne M. Clark ◽  
Ariane Mackey ◽  
Joseph Blackshear ◽  
...  

Introduction: Occurrence of stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) after carotid endarterectomy or stenting have each been associated with increased later mortality. Methods: In the Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST) 69 strokes, 37 protocol MIs, and 19 biomarker + only events occurred within 30 days among 2272 patients followed up to 10 years. Mortality was determined and compared for patients with stroke, MI, or biomarker + only to those without. Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for age, sex, symptomatic status and treatment were calculated to assess the relationship between mortality and stroke and mortality and MI status. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted. Results: Patients with peri-procedural stroke had a 67% greater likelihood of long-term mortality compared to those without stroke (HR=1.67, 95% CI 1.15,2.43; p<0.007)(Figure A). Patients with a protocol MI had a 249% greater likelihood of mortality, and biomarker+ only patients had a 104% greater likelihood of mortality, compared to those without MI (HR=3.49; 95%CI 2.20,5.53, p<0.0001; and HR=2.04; 95% CI 1.09,3.83, p=0.03)(Figure B). Discussion: Stroke, MI, and biomarker + only events following CEA or CAS are associated with increased long-term mortality. The higher risk for MI may be a marker for patients with serious underlying heart disease, rather than causal, providing an opportunity to decrease long-term mortality through aggressive diagnostic evaluation and preventive treatment.


Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. heartjnl-2021-318972
Author(s):  
Xiaowen Wang ◽  
Jia-Yi Dong ◽  
Renzhe Cui ◽  
Isao Muraki ◽  
Kokoro Shirai ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo examine whether the relationship between smoking cessation and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) was modified by weight gain.MethodsA total of 69 910 participants (29 650 men and 46 260 women) aged 45–74 years were grouped into six groups by smoking status in the first and 5-year surveys: sustained smokers, recent quitters according to postcessation weight gain (no weight gain, 0.1–5.0 kg, >5.0 kg), long-term quitters and never smokers. Quitting smoking within and longer than 5 years were defined as recent and long-term quitters, respectively. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the HR for incident CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke.ResultsWe identified 4023 CVDs (889 CHDs and 3217 strokes) during a median of 14.8 years of follow-up. Compared with sustained smokers, the multivariable HR (95% CI) for CVD was 0.66 (0.52 to 0.83) for recent quitters without weight gain, 0.71 (0.55 to 0.90) for recent quitters with weight gain of 0.1–5.0 kg, 0.70 (0.44 to 1.10) for recent quitters with weight gain of >5.0 kg, 0.56 (0.49 to 0.64) for long-term quitters, and 0.60 (0.55 to 0.66) for never smokers. The analysis restricted to men showed a similar association. Prespecified analysis by age suggested that recent quitters overall had a lower HR for CVD among those aged <60 years vs ≥60 years. Similar patterns of association were observed in CHD and stroke.ConclusionsPostcessation weight gain did not attenuate the protective association between smoking cessation and risk of CVD.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S.L Xu ◽  
J Luo ◽  
H.Q Li ◽  
Z.Q Li ◽  
B.X Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been associated with poor survival, but the clinical implication of NOAF on subsequent heart failure (HF) is still not well studied. We aimed to investigate the relationship between NOAF following AMI and HF hospitalization. Methods This retrospective cohort study was conducted between February 2014 and March 2018, using data from the New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Complicating Acute Myocardial Infarction in ShangHai registry, where all participants did not have a documented AF history. Patients with AMI who discharged alive and had complete echocardiography and follow-up data were analyzed. The primary outcome was HF hospitalization, which was defined as a minimum of an overnight hospital stay of a participant who presented with symptoms and signs of HF or received intravenous diuretics. Results A total of 2075 patients were included, of whom 228 developed NOAF during the index AMI hospitalization. During up to 5 years of follow-up (median: 2.7 years), 205 patients (9.9%) experienced HF hospitalization and 220 patients (10.6%) died. The incidence rate of HF hospitalization among patients with NOAF was 18.4% per year compared with 2.8% per year for those with sinus rhythm. After adjustment for confounders, NOAF was significantly associated with HF hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.30–4.28; p&lt;0.001). Consistent result was observed after accounting for the competing risk of all-cause death (subdistribution HR: 3.06, 95% CI: 2.18–4.30; p&lt;0.001) or performing a propensity score adjusted multivariable model (HR: 3.28, 95% CI: 2.39–4.50; p&lt;0.001). Furthermore, the risk of HF hospitalization was significantly higher in patients with persistent NOAF (HR: 5.81; 95% CI: 3.59–9.41) compared with that in those with transient NOAF (HR: 2.61; 95% CI: 1.84–3.70; p interaction = 0.008). Conclusion NOAF complicating AMI is strongly associated with an increased long-term risk of heart. Cumulative incidence of outcome Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): 1. National Natural Science Foundation of China, 2. Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai


Author(s):  
Ramachandran S. Vasan ◽  
Solomon K. Musani ◽  
Kunihiro Matsushita ◽  
Walter Beard ◽  
Olushola B. Obafemi ◽  
...  

Background Black individuals have a higher burden of risk factors for heart failure (HF) and subclinical left ventricular remodeling. Methods and Results We evaluated 1871 Black participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study cohort who attended a routine examination (1993–1996, median age 58 years) when they underwent echocardiography. We estimated the prevalences of 4 HF stages: (1) Stage 0 : no risk factors; (2) Stage A : presence of HF risk factors (hypertension, diabetes mellitus, obesity, smoking, dyslipidemia, coronary artery disease without clinical myocardial infarction), no cardiac structural/functional abnormality; (3) Stage B : presence of prior myocardial infarction, systolic dysfunction, left ventricular hypertrophy, regional wall motion abnormality, or left ventricular enlargement; and (4) Stage C/D : prevalent HF. We assessed the incidence of clinical HF, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, and all‐cause mortality on follow‐up according to HF stage. The prevalence of HF Stages 0, A, B, and C/D were 3.8%, 20.6%, 67.0%, and 8.6%, respectively, at baseline. On follow‐up (median 19.0 years), 309 participants developed overt HF, 390 incurred new‐onset cardiovascular disease events, and 651 individuals died. Incidence rates per 1000 person‐years for overt HF, cardiovascular disease events, and death, respectively, were Stage 0, 2.4, 0.8, and 7.6; Stage A, 7.4, 9.7, and 13.5; Stage B 13.6, 15.9, and 22.0. Stage B HF was associated with a 1.5‐ to 2‐fold increased adjusted risk of HF, cardiovascular disease events and death compared with Stages 0/A. Conclusions In our large community‐based sample of Black individuals, we observed a strikingly high prevalence of Stage B HF in middle age that was a marker of high cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.


2018 ◽  
Vol 119 (12) ◽  
pp. 1408-1415
Author(s):  
Lene A. Åsli ◽  
Tonje Braaten ◽  
Anja Olsen ◽  
Anne Tjønneland ◽  
Kim Overvad ◽  
...  

AbstractPotatoes have been a staple food in many countries throughout the years. Potatoes have a high glycaemic index (GI) score, and high GI has been associated with several chronic diseases and cancers. Still, the research on potatoes and health is scarce and contradictive, and we identified no prospective studies that had investigated the association between potatoes as a single food and the risk of pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to prospectively investigate the association between potato consumption and pancreatic cancer among 114 240 men and women in the prospective HELGA cohort, using Cox proportional hazard models. Information on diet (validated FFQ’s), lifestyle and health was collected by means of a questionnaire, and 221 pancreatic cancer cases were identified through cancer registries. The mean follow-up time was 11·4 (95 % CI 0·3, 16·9) years. High consumption of potatoes showed a non-significantly higher risk of pancreatic cancer in the adjusted model (hazard ratio (HR) 1·44; 95 % CI 0·93, 2·22,Pfor trend0·030) when comparing the highestv.the lowest quartile of potato consumption. In the sex-specific analyses, significant associations were found for females (HR 2·00; 95 % CI 1·07, 3·72,Pfor trend0·020), but not for males (HR 1·01; 95 % CI 0·56, 1·84,Pfor trend0·34). In addition, we explored the associations by spline regression, and the absence of dose–response effects was confirmed. In this study, high potato consumption was not consistently associated with a higher risk of pancreatic cancer. Further studies with larger populations are needed to explore the possible sex difference.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob P Kelly ◽  
Brad G Hammill ◽  
Jacob A Doll ◽  
G. Michael Felker ◽  
Paul A Heidenreich ◽  
...  

Background: In February 2014, coverage for cardiac rehabilitation (CR) was expanded by Centers for Medicare & Medicaid to include patients with chronic symptomatic heart failure (HF) on optimal medical therapy with ejection fraction <35%. Thus, we sought to characterize the patient population newly eligible for CR based on the expanded criteria and their associated outcomes. Methods: We analyzed the Get With The Guidelines-HF registry linked to Medicare claims data from 2008-2012 to assess three groups of patients age 65 or older: previously eligible (due to prior MI, CABG, stable angina, heart valve surgery, or PCI in the previous 12 months), newly eligible, and ineligible for CR. Ineligible patients met neither criteria. Incidence rate was calculated with Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the association of events. Results: Among 51,665 HF patients discharged alive, 27.2% (n=14,053) were newly eligible and 14.5% were previously eligible for CR (n=7477). Newly eligible patients were more likely to be black, have atrial fibrillation and EF < 35%, while having fewer previous hospitalizations than patients previously eligible for CR. Newly eligible and ineligible patients had similar risk for 1-year mortality compared with those previously eligible (adjusted Hazard Ratio [HR] 0.95, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.88-1.02, p-value=0.13 and [HR] 1.05, 95% [CI] 0.98-1.13, p-value=0.17, respectively). However, newly eligible and ineligible patients had lower risk for 1-year readmission compared with those previously eligible (adjusted [HR] 0.89, 95% [CI] 0.85-0.93, p-value<0.001 and [HR] 0.94, 95% [CI] 0.90- 0.98, p-value<0.001). Conclusions: The extension of coverage for cardiac rehabilitation has tripled the potentially eligible HF population. As these newly eligible patients are at high risk for adverse outcomes, cardiac rehabilitation should be considered.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick M Hyland ◽  
Jiaman Xu ◽  
Changyu Shen ◽  
Lawrence Markson ◽  
Warren J Manning ◽  
...  

Introduction: The association between baseline patient characteristics and the long-term utilization of transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) is unknown and may help focus value-based care initiatives. Methods: TTE reports from patients with ≥ 2 TTEs at our institution were linked to 100% Medicare Fee-for-service inpatient claims, 1/1/2000 – 12/31/2017. To avoid inclusion of individuals with short-interval follow-up, TTEs with < 1 year between studies were excluded. Validated claims algorithms were used to create 12 baseline cardiovascular comorbidities. Multivariable Poisson regression was used to estimate adjusted rates of TTE intensity according to baseline comorbidities. Results: Over a median (IQR) follow-up of 5.8 (3.1 – 9.5) years, 18,579 individuals (69.3 ± 12.8 years; 50.5% female) underwent a total of 59,759 TTEs (range 2 – 59). The median TTE intensity was 0.64 TTEs/patient/year (IQR 0.35 – 1.24; range 0.11 – 22.02). The top five contributors to TTE intensity were heart failure, chronic kidney disease, history of myocardial infarction, smoking, and hyperlipidemia ( Figure ). Female sex was associated with decreased TTE utilization (adjusted RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94-0.96, p < 0.0001). Atrial fibrillation, hypertension, and history of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack were not significantly related to TTE intensity after multivariable adjustment (all p > 0.05). Conclusions: Among Medicare beneficiaries with ≥ 2 TTEs at our institution, the median TTE intensity was 0.64 TTEs/patient/year but varied widely. Heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and history of myocardial infarction were the strongest predictors of increased utilization. Female sex was associated with decreased utilization, reflecting broader disparities in utilization of cardiovascular procedures. Further research is needed to clarify reasons for this sex disparity and associations with cardiovascular outcomes.


2019 ◽  
pp. oemed-2018-105361 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine G Parks ◽  
Armando Meyer ◽  
Laura E Beane Freeman ◽  
Jonathan Hofmann ◽  
Dale P Sandler

ObjectivesFarming has been associated with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Some studies have evaluated the effects of pesticides, but other agricultural exposures may also affect immune response.MethodsWe investigated non-pesticide agricultural exposures in relation to RA in licensed pesticide applicators (n=27 175, mostly male farmers) and their spouses (n=22 231) in the Agricultural Health Study (AHS) cohort (1993–1997) who completed at least one follow-up survey through 2015. Incident RA cases (n=229 applicators and 249 spouses) were identified based on self-report confirmed by use of disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs or medical records. Hazard Ratios (HRs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) were estimated by Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for applicator status, state, smoking, education and specific pesticide use, allowing estimates to vary by median age when hazards assumptions were not met.ResultsOverall, RA was associated with regularly applying chemical fertilisers (HR=1.50; 95% CI 1.11 to 2.02), using non-gasoline solvents (HR=1.40; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.80), and painting (HR=1.26; 95% CI 1.00 to 1.59). In older applicators (>62 years), RA was associated with driving combines (HR=2.46; 95% CI 1.05 to 5.78) and milking cows (HR=2.56; 95% CI 1.01 to 6.53). In younger participants (≤62 years), RA was inversely associated with raising animals as well as crops (HR=0.68; 95% CI 0.51 to 0.89 vs crops only). Associations with specific crops varied by age: some (eg, hay) were inversely associated with RA in younger participants, while others (eg, alfalfa) were associated with RA in older participants.ConclusionThese findings suggest several agricultural tasks and exposures may contribute to development of RA.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
J M Garcia Acuna ◽  
A Cordero Fort ◽  
A Martinez ◽  
P Antunez ◽  
M Perez Dominguez ◽  
...  

Abstract The new European Society of Cardiology guideline for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction recommends that left and right bundle branch block should be considered equal for recommending urgent angiography in patients with suspected myocardial infarction. This consideration is not taken into account in the management of patients with coronary syndrome without ST elevation (NSTEMI). We evaluate the evolution of patients with acute coronary syndrome and long-term bundle branch block. Patients and methods We included 8771 patients admitted to two tertiary hospitals between 2003 and 2017 with an acute coronary syndrome, 5673 NSTEMI (64.3%) and 3098 STEMI (35.7%). All patients had an ECG recorded immediately upon admission. Patients were classified as having right bundle branch block (RBBB), left bundle branch block (LBBB). Long-term follow-up was performed (median 55 months) to assess mortality. Results A total of 8771 patients were included with a mean age of 66.1 years, 72.5% males, 4.1% (362) with LBBB and 5% (440) with RBBB. Patients with BBB were older, with more previous history of myocardial infarction and coronary revascularization and higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors. Medical treatment was similar but they were less often submitted to angioplasty. During the acute phase, patients with RBBB and LBBB presented a higher rate of heart failure than those without branch block (4.8% vs 9.1% vs 3.5%, p=0.0001); higher mortality (8.4% vs 10.5% vs 3.0%, p=0.0001); higher stroke rate (2.5% vs 1.4% vs 0.8%, p=0.001); higher rate of renal failure (8.2% vs 9.7% vs 3.9%, p=0.0001) and higher rate of reinfarction (3.0% vs 4.1% vs 1.7%, p=0.001). Patients who had a RBBB or an LBBB had a worse prognosis throughout the follow-up. Heart failure was present in 17.7% of the group with RBBB, 29.6% of LBBB and 11% in the group without branch block (p=0.0001). Mortality during follow-up was 31% in RBBB, 40.6% in LBBB and 18.7% without branch block (p=0.0001). In multivariate analysis of Cox, both RBBB (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.23–1.98, p=0.0001) and LBBB (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.22–1.53, p=0.001) were an independent predictors of all-cause mortality (adjustment for GRACE score, gender, treatment with betablockers, angiotensin conversor enzym inhibitors, statin and coronary revascularization). Cox regression model multivariate Conclusions The presence of RBBB or LBBB in the ECG of patients with an ACS is associated with a worse prognosis both during the hospital phase and in the long term. In addition, both bundle branch blocks are independent predictors of long-term mortality in patients with ACS.


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