Lopinavir/Ritonavir and Darunavir/Cobicistat in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients: Findings From the Multicenter Italian CORIST Study

Background: Protease inhibitors have been considered as possible therapeutic agents for COVID-19 patients.Objectives: To describe the association between lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) or darunavir/cobicistat (DRV/c) use and in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients.Study Design: Multicenter observational study of COVID-19 patients admitted in 33 Italian hospitals. Medications, preexisting conditions, clinical measures, and outcomes were extracted from medical records. Patients were retrospectively divided in three groups, according to use of LPV/r, DRV/c or none of them. Primary outcome in a time-to event analysis was death. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with inverse probability of treatment weighting by multinomial propensity scores.Results: Out of 3,451 patients, 33.3% LPV/r and 13.9% received DRV/c. Patients receiving LPV/r or DRV/c were more likely younger, men, had higher C-reactive protein levels while less likely had hypertension, cardiovascular, pulmonary or kidney disease. After adjustment for propensity scores, LPV/r use was not associated with mortality (HR = 0.94, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.13), whereas treatment with DRV/c was associated with a higher death risk (HR = 1.89, 1.53 to 2.34, E-value = 2.43). This increased risk was more marked in women, in elderly, in patients with higher severity of COVID-19 and in patients receiving other COVID-19 drugs.Conclusions: In a large cohort of Italian patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in a real-life setting, the use of LPV/r treatment did not change death rate, while DRV/c was associated with increased mortality. Within the limits of an observational study, these data do not support the use of LPV/r or DRV/c in COVID-19 patients.

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Changes in Metabolic Syndrome Status and Breast Cancer Risk: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Cancers ◽

10.3390/cancers13051177 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (5) ◽

pp. 1177

Author(s):

In Young Choi ◽

Sohyun Chun ◽

Dong Wook Shin ◽

Kyungdo Han ◽

Keun Hye Jeon ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Breast Cancer ◽

Metabolic Syndrome ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Screening Program ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Health Screening Program ◽

Design And Methods

Objective: To our knowledge, no studies have yet looked at how the risk of developing breast cancer (BC) varies with changes in metabolic syndrome (MetS) status. This study aimed to investigate the association between changes in MetS and subsequent BC occurrence. Research Design and Methods: We enrolled 930,055 postmenopausal women aged 40–74 years who participated in a biennial National Health Screening Program in 2009–2010 and 2011–2012. Participants were categorized into four groups according to change in MetS status during the two-year interval screening: sustained non-MetS, transition to MetS, transition to non-MetS, and sustained MetS. We calculated multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for BC incidence using the Cox proportional hazards models. Results: At baseline, MetS was associated with a significantly increased risk of BC (aHR 1.11, 95% CI 1.06–1.17) and so were all of its components. The risk of BC increased as the number of the components increased (aHR 1.46, 95% CI 1.26–1.61 for women with all five components). Compared to the sustained non-MetS group, the aHR (95% CI) for BC was 1.11 (1.04–1.19) in the transition to MetS group, 1.05 (0.96–1.14) in the transition to non-MetS group, and 1.18 (1.12–1.25) in the sustained MetS group. Conclusions: Significantly increased BC risk was observed in the sustained MetS and transition to MetS groups. These findings are clinically meaningful in that efforts to recover from MetS may lead to reduced risk of BC.

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Association of poor sleep burden in middle age and older adults with risk for delirium during hospitalization

The Journals of Gerontology Series A ◽

10.1093/gerona/glab272 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Ma Cherrysse Ulsa ◽

Xi Zheng ◽

Peng Li ◽

Arlen Gaba ◽

Patricia M Wong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Sleep Disturbances ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Time Lag ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Poor Sleep ◽

Cardiovascular Risks ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Uk

Abstract Background Delirium is a distressing neurocognitive disorder recently linked to sleep disturbances. However, the longitudinal relationship between sleep and delirium remains unclear. This study assessed the associations of poor sleep burden, and its trajectory, with delirium risk during hospitalization. Methods 321,818 participants from the UK Biobank (mean age 58±8y[SD]; range 37-74y) reported (2006-2010) sleep traits (sleep duration, excessive daytime sleepiness, insomnia-type complaints, napping, and chronotype–a closely-related circadian measure for sleep timing), aggregated into a sleep burden score (0-9). New-onset delirium (n=4,775) was obtained from hospitalization records during 12y median follow-up. 42,291 (mean age 64±8; range 44-83y) had repeat sleep assessment on average 8y after their first. Results In the baseline cohort, Cox proportional hazards models showed that moderate (aggregate scores=4-5) and severe (scores=6-9) poor sleep burden groups were 18% (hazard ratio 1.18 [95% confidence interval 1.08-1.28], p<0.001) and 57% (1.57 [1.38-1.80], p<0.001), more likely to develop delirium respectively. The latter risk magnitude is equivalent to two additional cardiovascular risks. These findings appeared robust when restricted to postoperative delirium and after exclusion of underlying dementia. Higher sleep burden was also associated with delirium in the follow-up cohort. Worsening sleep burden (score increase ≥2 vs. no change) further increased the risk for delirium (1.79 [1.23-2.62], p=0.002) independent of their baseline sleep score and time-lag. The risk was highest in those under 65y at baseline (p for interaction <0.001). Conclusion Poor sleep burden and worsening trajectory were associated with increased risk for delirium; promotion of sleep health may be important for those at higher risk.

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Abstract P316: Multiple Vulnerabilities to Health Disparities and Incident Coronary Heart Disease in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) Study

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.137.suppl_1.p316 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Monika M Safford ◽

Laura Pinheiro ◽

Madeline Sterling ◽

Joshua Richman ◽

Paul Muntner ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Health Disparities ◽

Racial Differences ◽

Low Income ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Health Management ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Southeastern Us ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Regards Study

Social determinants contribute to disparities in incident CHD but it is not known if they have an additive effect. We hypothesized that having more socially determined vulnerabilities to health disparities is associated with increased risk of incident CHD in the REGARDS study, a large biracial prospective cohort with physiological and survey measures. Experts adjudicated incident fatal and nonfatal CHD over 10 years of follow-up. Vulnerabilities included black race, low education, low income, and Southeastern US residence. The risks for CHD outcomes associated with 1, 2, and 3+ vs 0 vulnerabilities were calculated with Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for medical conditions, functional status, health behaviors, and physiologic variables. Of the 19,645 participants free of CHD at baseline (mean age 64 years, 57% women), 16% had 0 vulnerabilities, 36% had 1, 29% had 2, and 18% had 3+. Increasing numbers of vulnerabilities were associated with higher incidence (Figure) and risk of CHD that attenuated somewhat after multivariable adjustment (Table). These findings may provide a method of risk stratification useful for population health management.

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Abstract WP218: Increased Systolic Blood Pressure Variability Among Diabetic Patients is Associated With Higher Risk of Incident Stroke: A Secondary Analysis of ACCORDION

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.51.suppl_1.wp218 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Adam H de Havenon ◽

Ka-Ho Wong ◽

Eva Mistry ◽

Mohammad Anadani ◽

Shadi Yaghi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Blood Pressure ◽

Blood Pressure Variability ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Secondary Analysis ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Diabetic Patients ◽

Adjusted Risk ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk

Background: Increased blood pressure variability (BPV) has been associated with stroke risk, but never specifically in patients with diabetes. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes Follow-On Study (ACCORDION), the long term follow-up extension of ACCORD. Visit-to-visit BPV was analyzed using all BP readings during the first 36 months. The primary outcome was incident ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke after 36 months. Differences in mean BPV was tested with Student’s t-test. We fit Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the adjusted risk of stroke across lowest vs. highest quintile of BPV and report hazard ratios along with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Our analysis included 9,241 patients, with a mean (SD) age of 62.7 (6.6) years and 61.7% were male. Mean (SD) follow-up was 5.7 (2.4) years and number of BP readings per patient was 12.0 (4.3). Systolic, but not diastolic, BPV was higher in patients who developed stroke (Table 1). The highest quintile of SBP SD was associated with increased risk of incident stroke, independent of mean blood pressure or other potential confounders. (Table 2, Figure 1). There was no interaction between SBP SD and treatment arm assignment, although the interaction for glucose approached significance (Table 2). Conclusion: Higher systolic BPV was associated with incident stroke in a large cohort of diabetic patients. Future trials of stroke prevention may benefit from interventions targeting BPV reduction.

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Abstract P009: Growth Differentiation Factor 15 And The Subsequent Risk Of Atrial Fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities Study

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.143.suppl_1.p009 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Mengkun Chen ◽

Ning Ding ◽

Lena Mathews ◽

Ron C Hoogeveen ◽

Christie M Ballantyne ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Troponin T ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities ◽

Growth Differentiation Factor 15 ◽

Differentiation Factor ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Icd 10

Introduction: Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is a marker of oxidative stress and inflammation and has been associated with several cardiovascular disease (CVD) phenotypes. However, conflicting results have been reported regarding the association of GDF-15 with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population. Hypotheses: Higher GDF-15 level is associated with increased risk of incident AF independent of potential confounders. Methods: In 10,101 White and Black ARIC participants (mean age 60 years and 20.9% Blacks) free of AF at baseline (1993-95), we quantified the association of GDF-15 and incident AF using three Cox proportional hazards models. GDF-15 was measured by SOMA scan assay. AF was defined by hospitalizations with AF diagnosis or death certificates (ICD-9 codes: 427.31-427.32; ICD-10 codes: I48.x) or AF diagnosis by ECG at subsequent ARIC visits. Results: There were 2165 cases of incident AF over a median follow-up of 20.7 years (incidence rate 12.1 cases/1,000 person-years). After adjusting for demographic characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors, log GDF-15 was significantly associated with incident AF (hazard ratio 1.42 (1.25-1.63) for top vs. bottom quartile) (Model 1 in Table ). The result was robust even further adjusting for history of other CVD phenotypes and cardiac markers (Models 2 and 3 in Table ). In Model 3, quartiles of high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) did not demonstrate significant associations with incident AF. Conclusions: In community-based population, elevated GDF-15 level was independently and robustly associated with incident AF (even more strongly than troponin). These results suggest the involvement of GDF-15 in the development of AF and the potential of GDF-15 as a risk marker to identify individuals at high risk of AF.

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Blood Pressure Change from Normal to 2017 ACC/AHA Defined Stage 1 Hypertension and Cardiovascular Risk

Journal of Clinical Medicine ◽

10.3390/jcm8060820 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 8 (6) ◽

pp. 820 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Joung Sik Son ◽

Seulggie Choi ◽

Gyeongsil Lee ◽

Su-Min Jeong ◽

Sung Min Kim ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Blood Pressure ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Heart Association ◽

Pressure Change ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cvd Risk ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Stage 1 ◽

Second Period

The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinical significance of the 2017 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) defined stage 1 hypertension (systolic blood pressure (SBP) 130–139 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) 80–89 mmHg), and increase in BP from previously normal BP in Korean adults. We conducted a retrospective analysis of 60,866 participants from a nationally representative claims database. Study subjects had normal BP (SBP < 120 mmHg and DBP < 80 mmHg), no history of anti-hypertensive medication, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the first period (2002–2003). The BP change was defined according to the BP difference between the first and second period (2004–2005). We used time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models in order to evaluate the effect of BP elevation on mortality and CVD with a mean follow-up of 7.8 years. Compared to those who maintained normal BP during the second period, participants with BP elevation from normal BP to stage 1 hypertension had a higher risk for CVD (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.23; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.08–1.40), and ischemic stroke (aHR 1.32; 95% CI, 1.06–1.64). BP elevation to 2017 ACC/AHA defined elevated BP (SBP 120–129 mmHg and DBP < 80 mmHg) was associated with an increased risk of CVD (aHR 1.26; 95% CI, 1.06–1.50), but stage 1 isolated diastolic hypertension (SBP < 130 and DBP 80–89 mmHg) was not significantly related with CVD risk (aHR 1.12; 95% CI, 0.95–1.31).

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Association of pulse pressure with all-cause mortality in young adults

Postgraduate Medical Journal ◽

10.1136/postgradmedj-2019-137070 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 96 (1138) ◽

pp. 461-466

Author(s):

Jie LI ◽

Jia-Yi Huang ◽

Kenneth Lo ◽

Bin Zhang ◽

Yu-Qing Huang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Young Adults ◽

Pulse Pressure ◽

Subgroup Analysis ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Continuous Variable ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Cox Analysis

BackgroundPulse blood pressure was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in middle-aged and elderly populations, but less evidence was known in young adults.ObjectiveTo assess the association of pulse pressure (PP) with all-cause mortality in young adults.MethodsThis cohort from the 1999–2006 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey included adults aged 18–40 years. All included participants were followed up until the date of death or 31 December 2015. PP was categorised into three groups: <50, 50~60, ≥60 mm Hg. Cox proportional hazards models and subgroup analysis were performed to estimate the adjusted HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause mortality.ResultsAfter applying the exclusion criteria, 8356 participants (median age 26.63±7.01 years, 4598 women (55.03%)) were included, of which 265 (3.17%) have died during a median follow-up duration of 152.96±30.45 months. When treating PP as a continuous variable, multivariate Cox analysis showed that PP was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.69; p=0.0422). When using PP<50 mm Hg as referent, from the 50~60 mm Hg to the ≥60 mm Hg group, the risks of all-cause mortality for participants with PP ranging 50–60 mm Hg or ≥60 mm Hg were 0.93 (95% CI 0.42 to 2.04) and 1.15 (95% CI 0.32 to 4.07) (P for tend was 0.959). Subgroup analysis showed that PP (HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.05 to 3.82; p=0.0360) was associated with all-cause mortality among non-hypertensive participants.ConclusionAmong young adults, higher PP was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, particularly among those without hypertension.

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Obesity and risk of infections: results from men and women in the Swedish National March Cohort

International Journal of Epidemiology ◽

10.1093/ije/dyz129 ◽

2019 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Francesca Ghilotti ◽

Rino Bellocco ◽

Weimin Ye ◽

Hans-Olov Adami ◽

Ylva Trolle Lagerros

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Model ◽

Normal Weight ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Event Analysis ◽

Obese Women ◽

Cox Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Repeated Events ◽

Tract Infections

Abstract Background Previous studies have shown an association between body mass index (BMI) and infections, but the literature on type-specific community acquired infections is still limited. Methods We included 39 163 Swedish adults who completed a questionnaire in September 1997 and were followed through record-linkages until December 2016. Information on BMI was self-reported and infections were identified from the Swedish National Patient Register using International Classification of Diseases (ICD), Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes. We fitted multivariable Cox proportional hazards models for time-to-first-event analysis, and we used extensions of the standard Cox model when repeated events were included. Results During a 19-year follow-up 32% of the subjects had at least one infection requiring health care contact, leading to a total of 27 675 events. We found an increased incidence of any infection in obese women [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.22; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.12; 1.33] and obese men (HR = 1.25; 95% CI = 1.09; 1.43) compared with normal weight subjects. For specific infections, higher incidences were observed for skin infections in both genders (HR = 1.76; 95% CI = 1.47; 2.12 for obese females and HR = 1.74; 95% CI = 1.33; 2.28 for obese males) and gastrointestinal tract infections (HR = 1.44; 95% CI = 1.19; 1.75), urinary tract infections (HR = 1.30; 95% CI = 1.08; 1.55) and sepsis (HR = 2.09; 95% CI = 1.46; 2.99) in obese females. When accounting for repeated events, estimates similar to the aforementioned ones were found. Conclusions Obesity was associated with an increased risk of infections in both genders. Results from multiple-failure survival analysis were consistent with those from classic Cox models.

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Childhood body mass index and multiple sclerosis risk: a long-term cohort study

Multiple Sclerosis Journal ◽

10.1177/1352458513483889 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 19 (10) ◽

pp. 1323-1329 ◽

Cited By ~ 143

Author(s):

Kassandra L Munger ◽

Joan Bentzen ◽

Bjarne Laursen ◽

Egon Stenager ◽

Nils Koch-Henriksen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Multiple Sclerosis ◽

Body Mass Index ◽

Body Mass ◽

School Health ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Z Score ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Unit Increase

Background: Obesity in late adolescence has been associated with an increased risk of multiple sclerosis (MS); however, it is not known if body size in childhood is associated with MS risk. Methods: Using a prospective design we examined whether body mass index (BMI) at ages 7–13 years was associated with MS risk among 302,043 individuals in the Copenhagen School Health Records Register (CSHRR). Linking the CSHRR with the Danish MS registry yielded 774 MS cases (501 girls, 273 boys). We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Among girls, at each age 7–13 years, a one-unit increase in BMI z-score was associated with an increased risk of MS (HRage 7=1.20, 95% CI: 1.10–1.30; HRage 13=1.18, 95% CI: 1.08–1.28). Girls who were ≥95th percentile for BMI had a 1.61–1.95-fold increased risk of MS as compared to girls <85th percentile. The associations were attenuated in boys. The pooled HR for a one-unit increase in BMI z-score at age 7 years was 1.17 (95% CI: 1.09–1.26) and at age 13 years was 1.15 (95% CI: 1.07–1.24). Conclusion: Having a high BMI in early life is a risk factor for MS, but the mechanisms underlying the association remain to be elucidated.

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Long-term cardiovascular and cerebrovascular morbidity in Israeli thyroid cancer survivors

Endocrine Connections ◽

10.1530/ec-19-0038 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 8 (4) ◽

pp. 398-406 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Elena Izkhakov ◽

Joseph Meyerovitch ◽

Micha Barchana ◽

Yacov Shacham ◽

Naftali Stern ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Thyroid Cancer ◽

Thyroid Disease ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Population Based ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Control Group ◽

Study Group ◽

American Thyroid Association ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk

Objective Thyroid cancer (TC) survivors may be at risk of subsequent cardiovascular and cerebrovascular (CaV&CeV) morbidity. The 2009 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines recommended less aggressive treatment for low-risk TC patients. The aim of this study was to assess the atherosclerotic CaV&CeV outcome of Israeli TC survivors compared to individuals with no thyroid disease, and the atherosclerotic CaV&CeV outcome before (2000–2008) and after (2009–2011) implementation of the 2009 ATA guidelines. Methods All members of the largest Israeli healthcare organization who were diagnosed with TC from 1/2000 to 12/2014 (study group) and age- and sex-matched members with no thyroid disease (controls) were included. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models. Results The mean follow-up was 7.6 ± 4.2 and 7.8 ± 4.1 years for the study (n = 5,677, 79% women) and control (n = 23,962) groups, respectively. The former had an increased risk of new atherosclerotic CaV&CeV events (adjusted HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.15–1.39). The 5-year incidence of CaV&CeV was lower (adjusted HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.38–0.62) from 2009 to 2011 compared to 2000 to 2008, but remained higher in the study group than in the control group (adjusted HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.14–1.69). Conclusions This large Israeli population-based cohort study showed greater atherosclerotic CaV&CeV morbidity in TC survivors compared to individuals with no thyroid diseases. There was a trend toward a decreased 5-year incidence of atherosclerotic CaV&CeV events among TC survivors following the implementation of the 2009 ATA guidelines, but it remained higher compared to the general population.

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