scholarly journals Forecasting Multivariate Chaotic Processes with Precedent Analysis

Computation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 110
Author(s):  
Alexander Musaev ◽  
Andrey Makshanov ◽  
Dmitry Grigoriev
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic System ◽  
Similarity Measures ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
The State ◽  
Computational Schemes ◽  
Direct Use

Predicting the state of a dynamic system influenced by a chaotic immersion environment is an extremely difficult task, in which the direct use of statistical extrapolation computational schemes is infeasible. This paper considers a version of precedent forecasting in which we use the aftereffects of retrospective observation segments that are similar to the current situation as a forecast. Furthermore, we employ the presence of relatively stable correlations between the parameters of the immersion environment as a regularizing factor. We pay special attention to the choice of similarity measures or distances used to find analog windows in arrays of retrospective multidimensional observations.

Current Situation of the Efficiency of the National Budget Allocation in Vietnam

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nguyen Trong Vinh ◽  
Nguyen Cam Nhung
Keyword(s):  
Budget Allocation ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Econometric Models ◽  
The State ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
State Budget ◽  
National Budget ◽  
Near Future ◽  
Positive Results

This research evaluates the efficiency of the state budget allocation in Vietnam in the period 2007-2016 by using econometric models of OLS, FEM, REM and FGLS. The estimated results from the model, together with the evaluation of the state budget allocation show that the budget allocation has achieved positive results, but the efficiency of budget allocation is still not high. Following this, the article gives some policy implications for Vietnam to effectively allocate the state budget in the near future.

Forensic and pharmaceutical analysis of addictive morbidity because of the use of psychoactive substances in Ukraine

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (16) ◽  
pp. 128-132
Author(s):  
V. V. Shapovalov ◽  
◽  
A. A. Gudzenko ◽  
V. A. Shapovalova ◽  
V. V. Shapovalov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Information Security ◽  
Dynamic System ◽  
Public Administration ◽  
Classical Model ◽  
Security Management ◽  
The State ◽  
State Management ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Factors Of Influence ◽  
Significant Factors

Introduction. Modern turbulent state of society actualizes need for scientifically based methods and technological solutions to improve the information security system not only for the state, but also for society and the person in particular. Objective. To highlight the significant factors of information security of social development and to study the role of public admini-stration in the context of the actualization of information threats and risks. Study results. The article considers the essence of state management approaches to information security based on interpretation in terms of risk management. Information security is presented as a dynamic system that needs balance. Balance can be disturbed by external and internal factors. The 8 most significant factors that need to be taken into account to develop effective models of public administration in the field of information security are identified. 4 paradigms of information security management (systemic, synergetic, phenomenological and cognitive) which can be involved are considered. However, they are not universal and separate in any particular case, that is they are systemic in nature, and security management should be based on their integrated application depending on the situation and the specifics of the management process. Based on the analysis of the classical model of maintaining the state balance of a dynamic system, it is concluded that it can be used to ensure information security. A model is proposed to explain the reasons for the imbalance of the dynamic system of information security under the action of factors of influence and the risks that accompany them, and to determine the measures of public administration to ensure it. Conclusion. The model is proposed to explain the reasons for the imbalance of the dynamic system of information security under the action of factors of influence and the risks that accompany them, and to determine the measures of public administration to ensure it. Key words: Information security; Information security factors; Society; Public administration; Information security model.

Factors of information security of social development in public administration

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (16) ◽  
pp. 121-128
Author(s):  
O. A. Panchenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Information Security ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Dynamic System ◽  
Public Administration ◽  
Security Management ◽  
The State ◽  
State Management ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Factors Of Influence ◽  
Significant Factors

Introduction. Modern turbulent state of society actualizes need for scientifically based methods and technological solutions to improve the information security system not only for the state, but also for society and the person in particular. Objective. To highlight the significant factors of information security of social development and to study the role of public admini-stration in the context of the actualization of information threats and risks. Study results. The article considers the essence of state management approaches to information security based on interpretation in terms of risk management. Information security is presented as a dynamic system that needs balance. Balance can be disturbed by external and internal factors. The 8 most significant factors that need to be taken into account to develop effective models of public administration in the field of information security are identified. 4 paradigms of information security management (systemic, synergetic, phenomenological and cognitive) which can be involved are considered. However, they are not universal and separate in any particular case, that is they are systemic in nature, and security management should be based on their integrated application depending on the situation and the specifics of the management process. Based on the analysis of the classical model of maintaining the state balance of a dynamic system, it is concluded that it can be used to ensure information security. A model is proposed to explain the reasons for the imbalance of the dynamic system of information security under the action of factors of influence and the risks that accompany them, and to determine the measures of public administration to ensure it. Conclusion. The model is proposed to explain the reasons for the imbalance of the dynamic system of information security under the action of factors of influence and the risks that accompany them, and to determine the measures of public administration to ensure it. Key words: Information security; Information security factors; Society; Public administration; Information security model.

scholarly journals POTENTIAL AND DIRECTIONS OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF UKRAINE IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC: CURRENT SITUATION, CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olha Shulha ◽  
Keyword(s):  
National Economy ◽  
Agricultural Policy ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
The State ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Purchasing Power ◽  
Food Markets ◽  
Agricultural Enterprises ◽  
The Eu

The state and contradictions of the development of the agricultural sector of the national economy are investigated. Challenges at the micro-, macro- and global levels for the agricultural sector in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic have been identified. It is noted that the main problems for the domestic agricultural sector in a pandemic were: reducing the purchasing power of the population, limiting the functioning of agri-food markets during quarantine, complicating the logistics of agricultural products. It is established that changes in the markets of countries that are major importers of agricultural products from Ukraine (China, India, the EU, Turkey, Egypt) in a pandemic will have the greatest impact on the development of Ukraine’s agricultural sector. It is concluded that among all sectors of the national economy, agriculture is the least affected by quarantine restrictions. It is shown that small and medium-sized farms suffer the greatest losses in a pandemic. The tasks facing agricultural enterprises and the state in the conditions of a pandemic are determined. The strategic directions of agricultural policy in Ukraine are indicated.

scholarly journals System medialny współczesnego Izraela

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 119-132
Author(s):  
Kacper Kosma Kocur
Keyword(s):  
Current Situation ◽  
Political Orientation ◽  
The State ◽  
The Internet ◽  
Radio Stations ◽  
Media System ◽  
The Press ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Media ◽  
State Of Israel

The media system in Israel todayThe paper examines the media system in the state of Israel. It takes into account both the history of the media — from the press through radio and television to the internet — and the current situation. The author describes the most important Israeli media: newspapers, television and radio stations, as well as websites, taking into consideration their popularity on the market, political orientation and importance in Israel’s media world.

scholarly journals RELAÇÃO PÚBLICO-PRIVADA E PRECARIZAÇÃO DO TRABALHO: UM ENSAIO TEÓRICO

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (Especial 2) ◽  
pp. 572-577
Author(s):  
João Gomes Moreira ◽  
Fernanda Aparecida Augusto ◽  
Irene Caires da Silva ◽  
Maria Elisa Nogueira Oliveira ◽  
Tatiana Veiga Uzeloto
Keyword(s):  
Public Education ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
The State ◽  
Social Policies ◽  
Third Way ◽  
Historical Process ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Social

This article aims to discuss the dismantling that the neoliberal proposals have been making in relation to social policies, which the State, in fulfillment of its duty, should provide for the wellbeing of the population, in a democratic way. It was sought to clarify that the public-private relationship is nothing more than a major strategy of capital to create and expand new market niches to overcome the cyclical crisis of capitalism, always presented with new clothes in the mutations that are processed, to reduce the effects of the inevitable in the social asphyxiation that eventually generated great revolutions recorded in its historical process. This article is of bibliographic character, where information was sought in doctrines, periodicals, specialized magazines, official websites and others. Finally, it was a brief diagnosis of the current situation of the Brazilian public education that, from the third way, has been incorporating new forms of action based on the logic of the market.

Déjà Vu: An Illusion of Prediction

2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 635-644 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne M. Cleary ◽  
Alexander B. Claxton
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
The State ◽  
Deja Vu ◽  
Déjà Vu ◽  
Scientific Advances

Déjà vu is beginning to be scientifically understood as a memory phenomenon. Despite recent scientific advances, a remaining puzzle is the purported association between déjà vu and feelings of premonition. Building on research showing that déjà vu can be driven by an unrecalled memory of a past experience that relates to the current situation, we sought evidence of memory-based predictive ability during déjà vu states. Déjà vu did not lead to above-chance ability to predict the next turn in a navigational path resembling a previously experienced but unrecalled path (although such resemblance increased reports of déjà vu). However, déjà vu states were accompanied by increased feelings of knowing the direction of the next turn. The results suggest that feelings of premonition during déjà vu occur and can be illusory. Metacognitive bias brought on by the state itself may explain the peculiar association between déjà vu and the feeling of premonition.

Social Practices of the Organization of Recreation and Health Improvement of Orphaned Children and Pupils in Inpatient Institutions in Moscow (From the Experience of GAUK «MOSGORTUR»)

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 83-90
Author(s):  
Yu.G. Karpova ◽  
◽  
A.Yu. Fodorya ◽  
G.V. Zayarskaya ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Health Services ◽  
Best Practices ◽  
Social Practices ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
The State ◽  
Health Improvement ◽  
Orphaned Children ◽  
Cultural Institution ◽  
Recreation And Tourism

the article briefly describes the stages and methods of Organization by the state Autonomous cultural institution of Moscow “Moscow Agency for recreation and tourism” (GAUC “MOSGORTUR”) of providing recreation and health services to orphans and children placed in stationary institutions in Moscow. The authors present data on monitoring one of the best practices in the field of recreation and health improvement for children of this category, adapted to the current situation (the COVID-19 epidemic).

The mobility of Chinese Officials. I: Lan pei lu by Fan Cheng‑da

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 54-57
Author(s):  
Igor Alimov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Civil Servant ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
The State ◽  
Local People ◽  
Old Chinese ◽  
Unique Information ◽  
Travel Journal ◽  
Important Evidence

This article concerns a travel journal Lan pei lu (“An Account with Reins in Hands”) written by a famous poet and civil servant Fan Cheng‑da (1126—1193). This text is an important evidence of the Old Chinese bureaucracy mobility of the 10th—13th centuries. Fan Cheng‑da wrote this journal while he travelled to Jurchen state Jin as a member of an ambassade. He registered many details about the current situation of the state, its morals and customs and the influence of Jurchen culture on the local people. This unique information makes Lan pei lu a very important historical and ethnographical source.

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