scholarly journals Earthquake Analyzer using Prediction Commands

Destructive earthquakes usually causes gargantuan casualties. So, to cut back these inimical casualties’ analysis are made to reduce despicable and forlorn impacts which they left upon others to just ponder and become lugubrious. These factors measure the decisive casualties it brings and also earthquake and therefore the development of rational prediction model to casualties become a crucial analysis topic, as a result of quality and cognitive content of gift prediction methodology of price, an additional correct prediction model is mentioned by gray correlation theory and BP neural networks. The earthquake can be analyzed succinct by using various technique mainly predictive commands to marshal all the calculated time and magnitude of a potential earthquake have been the topic of the many studies varied ways are tried mistreatment several input variables like temperature exorable, seismic movements and particularly the variable climatic conditions. The relation between recorded seismal-acoustic information associate degreed occurring an abnormal seismic process (ASP). However, it's obstreperous to predict all parameters the placement, time and magnitude of the earthquake by mistreatment this information. This model description is different from others as with the help of the prediction commands most of the paragons and domains are identified and tend to explore the activity of serious Earthquakes. We use the preemptive data information which is collected around the planet. We retrieved the data to perceive that associate degree earthquake reaches the class of exceeds a grade range of eight on Richter Scale. The two main affected areas are in the field of Data Exploration and Data Mapping. Number of occurrences of an earthquake with different magnitude ranges, severity of an earthquake. Mapping is thereby crucial to identify highly affected areas based on Magnitude and Correlation between depth and magnitude. So, based on the above explorations we have made the following predictions. Predictions Magnitude based on depth. Magnitude based on Latitude and Longitude. Depth based on Latitude and Longitude The primitive algorithm used here are the Machine Learning Algorithm I.e. Linear Regression and K- Means Clustering. Firstly, we have made all the predictions via Linear Regression and made different clusters of the Earthquakes which belong to the same subdivision as that of Magnitude or Depth. Keyword: Data Exploration and Data Mapping.

2021 ◽  
Vol 297 ◽  
pp. 01029
Author(s):  
Mohammed Azza ◽  
Jabran Daaif ◽  
Adnane Aouidate ◽  
El Hadi Chahid ◽  
Said Belaaouad

In this paper, we discuss the prediction of future solar cell photo-current generated by the machine learning algorithm. For the selection of prediction methods, we compared and explored different prediction methods. Precision, MSE and MAE were used as models due to its adaptable and probabilistic methodology on model selection. This study uses machine learning algorithms as a research method that develops models for predicting solar cell photo-current. We create an electric current prediction model. In view of the models of machine learning algorithms for example, linear regression, Lasso regression, K Nearest Neighbors, decision tree and random forest, watch their order precision execution. In this point, we recommend a solar cell photocurrent prediction model for better information based on resistance assessment. These reviews show that the linear regression algorithm, given the precision, reliably outperforms alternative models in performing the solar cell photo-current prediction Iph


2006 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Katayama ◽  
K. Kimijima ◽  
O. Yamanaka ◽  
A. Nagaiwa ◽  
Y. Ono

This paper proposes a method of stormwater inflow prediction using radar rainfall data as the input of the prediction model constructed by system identification. The aim of the proposal is to construct a compact system by reducing the dimension of the input data. In this paper, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), which is widely used as a statistical method for data analysis and compression, is applied to pre-processing radar rainfall data. Then we evaluate the proposed method using the radar rainfall data and the inflow data acquired in a certain combined sewer system. This study reveals that a few principal components of radar rainfall data can be appropriate as the input variables to storm water inflow prediction model. Consequently, we have established a procedure for the stormwater prediction method using a few principal components of radar rainfall data.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 303-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Lu ◽  
Shuo Wang ◽  
Jianying Wang ◽  
Guangya Zhou ◽  
Qiang Zhang ◽  
...  

The occurrence of epidemic avian influenza (EAI) not only hinders the development of a country's agricultural economy, but also seriously affects human beings’ life. Recently, the information collected from Google Trends has been increasingly used to predict various epidemics. In this study, using the relevant keywords in Google Trends as well as the multiple linear regression approach, a model was developed to predict the occurrence of epidemic avian influenza. It was demonstrated by rigorous cross-validations that the success rates achieved by the new model were quite high, indicating the predictor will become a very useful tool for hospitals and health providers.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Gbenga Williams ◽  
Oluwapelumi O. Ojuri

AbstractAs a result of heterogeneity nature of soils and variation in its hydraulic conductivity over several orders of magnitude for various soil types from fine-grained to coarse-grained soils, predictive methods to estimate hydraulic conductivity of soils from properties considered more easily obtainable have now been given an appropriate consideration. This study evaluates the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) being one of the popular computational intelligence techniques in predicting hydraulic conductivity of wide range of soil types and compared with the traditional multiple linear regression (MLR). ANN and MLR models were developed using six input variables. Results revealed that only three input variables were statistically significant in MLR model development. Performance evaluations of the developed models using determination coefficient and mean square error show that the prediction capability of ANN is far better than MLR. In addition, comparative study with available existing models shows that the developed ANN and MLR in this study performed relatively better.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 153303382110246
Author(s):  
Jihwan Park ◽  
Mi Jung Rho ◽  
Hyong Woo Moon ◽  
Jaewon Kim ◽  
Chanjung Lee ◽  
...  

Objectives: To develop a model to predict biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP), using artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. Patients and Methods: This study collected data from 7,128 patients with prostate cancer (PCa) who received RP at 3 tertiary hospitals. After preprocessing, we used the data of 6,755 cases to generate the BCR prediction model. There were 16 input variables with BCR as the outcome variable. We used a random forest to develop the model. Several sampling techniques were used to address class imbalances. Results: We achieved good performance using a random forest with synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) using Tomek links, edited nearest neighbors (ENN), and random oversampling: accuracy = 96.59%, recall = 95.49%, precision = 97.66%, F1 score = 96.59%, and ROC AUC = 98.83%. Conclusion: We developed a BCR prediction model for RP. The Dr. Answer AI project, which was developed based on our BCR prediction model, helps physicians and patients to make treatment decisions in the clinical follow-up process as a clinical decision support system.


Healthcare ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 853
Author(s):  
Jee-Yun Kim ◽  
Jeong Yee ◽  
Tae-Im Park ◽  
So-Youn Shin ◽  
Man-Ho Ha ◽  
...  

Predicting the clinical progression of intensive care unit (ICU) patients is crucial for survival and prognosis. Therefore, this retrospective study aimed to develop the risk scoring system of mortality and the prediction model of ICU length of stay (LOS) among patients admitted to the ICU. Data from ICU patients aged at least 18 years who received parenteral nutrition support for ≥50% of the daily calorie requirement from February 2014 to January 2018 were collected. In-hospital mortality and log-transformed LOS were analyzed by logistic regression and linear regression, respectively. For calculating risk scores, each coefficient was obtained based on regression model. Of 445 patients, 97 patients died in the ICU; the observed mortality rate was 21.8%. Using logistic regression analysis, APACHE II score (15–29: 1 point, 30 or higher: 2 points), qSOFA score ≥ 2 (2 points), serum albumin level < 3.4 g/dL (1 point), and infectious or respiratory disease (1 point) were incorporated into risk scoring system for mortality; patients with 0, 1, 2–4, and 5–6 points had approximately 10%, 20%, 40%, and 65% risk of death. For LOS, linear regression analysis showed the following prediction equation: log(LOS) = 0.01 × (APACHE II) + 0.04 × (total bilirubin) − 0.09 × (admission diagnosis of gastrointestinal disease or injury, poisoning, or other external cause) + 0.970. Our study provides the mortality risk score and LOS prediction equation. It could help clinicians to identify those at risk and optimize ICU management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 3866
Author(s):  
Jun-Ryeol Park ◽  
Hye-Jin Lee ◽  
Keun-Hyeok Yang ◽  
Jung-Keun Kook ◽  
Sanghee Kim

This study aims to predict the compressive strength of concrete using a machine-learning algorithm with linear regression analysis and to evaluate its accuracy. The open-source software library TensorFlow was used to develop the machine-learning algorithm. In the machine-earning algorithm, a total of seven variables were set: water, cement, fly ash, blast furnace slag, sand, coarse aggregate, and coarse aggregate size. A total of 4297 concrete mixtures with measured compressive strengths were employed to train and testing the machine-learning algorithm. Of these, 70% were used for training, and 30% were utilized for verification. For verification, the research was conducted by classifying the mixtures into three cases: the case where the machine-learning algorithm was trained using all the data (Case-1), the case where the machine-learning algorithm was trained while maintaining the same number of training dataset for each strength range (Case-2), and the case where the machine-learning algorithm was trained after making the subcase of each strength range (Case-3). The results indicated that the error percentages of Case-1 and Case-2 did not differ significantly. The error percentage of Case-3 was far smaller than those of Case-1 and Case-2. Therefore, it was concluded that the range of training dataset of the concrete compressive strength is as important as the amount of training dataset for accurately predicting the concrete compressive strength using the machine-learning algorithm.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1250
Author(s):  
Yanxing Hu ◽  
Tao Che ◽  
Liyun Dai ◽  
Lin Xiao

In this study, a machine learning algorithm was introduced to fuse gridded snow depth datasets. The input variables of the machine learning method included geolocation (latitude and longitude), topographic data (elevation), gridded snow depth datasets and in situ observations. A total of 29,565 in situ observations were used to train and optimize the machine learning algorithm. A total of five gridded snow depth datasets—Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) snow depth, Global Snow Monitoring for Climate Research (GlobSnow) snow depth, Long time series of daily snow depth over the Northern Hemisphere (NHSD) snow depth, ERA-Interim snow depth and Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) snow depth—were used as input variables. The first three snow depth datasets are retrieved from passive microwave brightness temperature or assimilation with in situ observations, while the last two are snow depth datasets obtained from meteorological reanalysis data with a land surface model and data assimilation system. Then, three machine learning methods, i.e., Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Random Forest Regression (RFR), were used to produce a fused snow depth dataset from 2002 to 2004. The RFR model performed best and was thus used to produce a new snow depth product from the fusion of the five snow depth datasets and auxiliary data over the Northern Hemisphere from 2002 to 2011. The fused snow-depth product was verified at five well-known snow observation sites. The R2 of Sodankylä, Old Aspen, and Reynolds Mountains East were 0.88, 0.69, and 0.63, respectively. At the Swamp Angel Study Plot and Weissfluhjoch observation sites, which have an average snow depth exceeding 200 cm, the fused snow depth did not perform well. The spatial patterns of the average snow depth were analyzed seasonally, and the average snow depths of autumn, winter, and spring were 5.7, 25.8, and 21.5 cm, respectively. In the future, random forest regression will be used to produce a long time series of a fused snow depth dataset over the Northern Hemisphere or other specific regions.


2015 ◽  
Vol 781 ◽  
pp. 628-631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rati Wongsathan ◽  
Issaravuth Seedadan ◽  
Metawat Kavilkrue

A mathematical prediction model has been developed in order to detect particles with a diameter of 10 micrometers or less (PM-10) that are responsible for adverse health effects because of their ability to cause serious respiratory conditions in areas of high pollution such as Chiang Mai City moat area. The prediction model is based on 3 types of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), including Multi-layer perceptron (MLP-NN), Radial basis function (RBF-NN), and hybrid of RBF and Genetic algorithm (RBF-NN-GA). The model uses 8 input variables to predict PM-10, consisting of 4 air pollution substances ( CO, O3, NO2 and SO2) and 4 meteorological variables related PM-10 (wind speed, temperature, atmospheric pressure and relative humidity). These 3 types of ANN have proved efficient instrument in predicting the PM-10. However, the performance of RBF-NN was superior in comparison with MLP-NN and RBF-NN-GA respectively.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document