scholarly journals Analisis Potensi Ekonomi Pada Sektor Dan Subsektor Pertanian, Kehutanan Dan Perikanan Di Kabupaten Tambrauw Tahun 2013 -2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 17-25
Author(s):  
Sisilia Maria Parinusa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Competitive Advantage ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Reference Area ◽  
Location Quotient

Agriculture, forestry and fishery sector has an important role in generating the economic growth in Tambrauw Regency. It can be seen from the amount of its contribution to the gross value added which is more that 33 percent. The aim of this study is to identify and analyse the potential subsector of agriculture, forestry and fisheries sector in Tambrauw Regency. By using Location Quotient (LQ) Method and Shift Share analysis and supported by a time series data of GDP growth between the study area and reference area in the recent five years the potential subsectors can be determined. The research result reveals that food plant, horticulture group and forestry and logging subsector are the potential subsectors to promote the regional income due to their location quotient greater than 1 and have positive competitive advantage values.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN DAN PERGESERAN SRUKTUR EKONOMI KABUPATEN INDUK DI PROVINSI BENGKULU

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-69
Author(s):  
Sunoto Sunoto ◽  
Bertha Iin Esti Indraswanti ◽  
Edy Rahmantyo Tarsilohadi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Economic Structure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Location Quotient ◽  
Dynamic Location ◽  
Secondary Time

The purpose of this research was to analyze economic growth and shifting of economic structure of the origin district in Bengkulu Province. Base on BPS secondary time series data (2001-2017), descriftive analysis was used to analyze economic growth and shifting economic structure, specialty after the region otonomous era (OTDA).  The DLQ and SSA method was used to determine the potential and leading sectors to increase economic performance. The result of this research was conclude that expansion of the the region in Bengkulu Provinsi has positif impact on economic development for the origin district. The economis structure was shifting from premier sector to secondary and tertier sector. The potential and leading sector after OTDA become more than before (from 4 or 5 sector to 7 untul 9 sector).  Keywords :  Dynamic Location Quotient 1, Shift Share Analysis 2, Economic Growth 3, Economic Structure 4, Potential and Leading Sector 5

scholarly journals Analisis Potensi Sektor Ekonomi Dalam Upaya Peningkatan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (Studi Empiris Pada Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Gorontalo tahun 2012-2016)

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ismail Ibrahim
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Study ◽  
Competitive Advantage ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Economic Sector ◽  
Reference Area ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Agriculture Sector ◽  
Trade Sector

Analysis of Economic Sector Potential in Efforts to Increase Economic Growth (Empirical Study on Gorontalo Regency and Gorontalo City in Gorontalo Province in 2012-2016).The purpose of this study is to analyze the potential of the economic sector in the development of Gorontalo Province, and To identify potential economic sectors with competitive advantage and specialization in Gorontalo Province. This research used the method is LQ (location Quotienf) and Shift Share (SS) analysis to identify economic sector in Gorontalo Province development, identifying potential sectors with competitive advantage. Aided by a time series of data that looks at GDP growth between the study area and the reference area. The result of research shows that in Gorontalo regency, the period of 2012-2016 which becomes the main base sector is agriculture sector, while for Gorontalo city which become the main base sector is gas and water supply sector, building sector and trade sector of hotel and restaurant. In addition, the sector contributes the largest as a contribution to the GDP and absorbing labor in the regency and municipalities so as to encourage the growth of GRDP value every year in the Province of Gorontalo

CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH – A CASE STUDY OF PAKISTAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 139-164
Author(s):  
Saddam Hussain ◽  
Chunjiao Yu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Relationship Of

This paper explores the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Pakistan, applying techniques of co-integration and Hsiao’s version of Granger causality, using time series data over the period 1965-2019. Time series data of macroeconomic determi-nants – i.e. energy growth, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) growth and population growth shows a positive correlation with economic growth while there is no correlation founded be-tween economic growth and inflation rate or Consumer Price Index (CPI). The general conclu-sion of empirical results is that economic growth causes energy consumption.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL EKSPANSIF, KEBIJAKAN MONETER EKSPANSIF DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Fadhliah Yuniwinsah ◽  
Ali Anis
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Autoregression Model

This study examined the causality between expansionary fiscal policy, expansionary monetary policy and economic growth in Indonesia’s using a time series data with vector autoregression model (VAR) in the period of 1969-2018. The results of this study showed that are there is no causality between expansionary fiscal policy and expansionary monetary policy but there one-way relationship between them, it is the expansionary monetary policy gives influence to expansionary fiscal policy. There is no causality between expansionary fiscal policy and economic growth but there one-way relationship between them, It is economic growth gives influence to expansionary fiscal policy. And there is no causality between expansionary monetary policy and economic growth but there one-way relationship between them, it is economic growth gives influence to expansionary monetary policy.

scholarly journals Political Stability and its Impact on Economic Growth of Pakistan (1988-2018): A Time Series Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 273-282
Author(s):  
Majid Hussain Phul ◽  
Muhammad Saleem Rahpoto ◽  
Ghulam Muhammad Mangnejo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

This research paper empirically investigates the outcome of Political stability on economic growth (EG) of Pakistan for the period of 1988 to 2018. Political stability (PS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), total labor force (TLF) and Inflation (INF) are important explanatory variables. Whereas for model selection GDPr is used as the dependent variable. To check the stationary of time series data Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root (UR) test has been used,  and whereas to find out the long run relationship among variables, OLS method has been used. The analysis the impact of PS on EG (EG) in the short run, VAR model has been used. The outcomes show that all the variables (PS, GFCF, TLF and INF) have a significantly positive effect on the EG of Pakistan in the long run period. But the effect of PS on GDP is smaller. Further, in this research we are trying to see the short run relationship between GDP and other explanatory variables. The outcomes show that PS does not have such effect on GDP in the short run analysis. While GFCF, TLF and INF have significantly positive effect on GDP of Pakistan in the short run period.

scholarly journals How applicable is export-led growth and import-led growth hypotheses to South African economy?

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 15-24
Author(s):  
Ntebogang Dinah Moroke ◽  
Molebogeng Manoto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Adverse Effect ◽  
Time Series ◽  
South African ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship

This paper investigated exports, imports and the economic growth nexus in the context of South Africa. The paper sets out to examine if long-run and causal relationships exist between these variables. Quarterly time series data ranging between 1998 and 2013 obtained from the South African Reserve Bank and Quantec databases was employed. Initial data analysis proved that the variables are integrated at their levels. The results further indicated that exports, imports and economic growth are co-integrated, confirming an existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship. Granger causal results were shown running from exports and imports to GDP and from imports to exports, validating export-led and import-led growth hypotheses in South Africa. A significant causality running from imports to exports, suggests that South Africa imported finished goods in excess. If this is not avoided, lots of problems could be caused. A suggestion was made to avoid such problematic issues as they may lead to replaced domestic output and displacement of employees. Another dreadful ramification may be an adverse effect on the economy which may further be experienced in the long-run.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DAMPAK KEPEMILIKAN SURAT BERHARGA OLEH BPD TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAERAH

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-47
Author(s):  
Khairur dan Telisa Aulia Falian Raziqiin ◽  
Telisa Aulia Falian
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
New York ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Regional Economic Growth ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Regional Economic

Local government-owned banks (BPD), was established in order to help accelerate the development of the area where the BPD located. The expected goals of this study are: To measure the effect of the placement of funds by BPD on regional economic growth, to measure investment lending by BPD to regional economic growth. Population was all the existing Regional Development Bank in Indonesia. Based on data from Bank Indonesia, the number of regional development banks perDesember 2013 as many as 26 banks. The type of data that will be used in this research is time series data (time series) from January 2009 until December 2013 The model that will be used in this research is the use of panel data. Results of research on Analysis of Impact of Ownership of Securities by BPD Against Regional Development, government capital spending, credit productive, ownership of securities by BPD positive effect on GDP, and significantly affect GDP, labor force have a positive influence on the GDP, but the effect was not significant workforce to GDP.Badan Pusat Statistik. Berbagai tahun. Data Realisasi APBD. Badan PusatStatistik, Jakarta. Bank Indonesia. Berbagai tahun. Laporan Publikasi Bank Umum. Bank Indonesia,Jakarta. Budiono. (2001). Ekonomi Moneter Edisi 3. Yogyakarta : BPFE Djojosubroto, Dono Iskandar. (2004). Koordinasi Kebijakan Fiskal dan Moneter di Indonesia Pasca Undang – undang Bank Indonesia 1999. Jakarta : Kompas Dornbusch, Rudiger, Stanley Fischer, Richard Startz. (2004). Makroekonomi. (Yusuf Wibisono, Roy Indra Mirazudin, terjemahan). Jakarta :MediaGlobal Edukasi. Gujarati, Damodar. (1997). Ekonometrika Dasar. (Sumarno Zein, terjemahan).Jakarta : Erlangga. Gultom, Lukdir. (2013). Tantangan Meningkatkan Efisiensi dan Efektifitas BPD sebagai Regional Champion Dalam Pengembangan Usaha Mikro, Kecil dan Menengah di Indonesia, Makalah SESPIBI Angkatan XXXI (Tidak Dipublikasikan). Bank Indonesia. Husnan, Suad. (2003). Dasar – dasar Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Sekuritas.Yogyakarta : UPP AMP YKPN. Kasmir. (2002). Dasar – Dasar Perbankan. Jakarta : PT. Raja Grafindo Persada. Kuncoro, Mudrajad. (2001) Metode Kuantitatif : Teori dan Aplikasi untuk Bisnis dan Ekonomi. Yogyakarta : AMP YKPN. Latumaerissa dan Julius R. (1999). Mengenal Aspek-aspek Operasi Bank Umum. Jakarta : Bumi Aksara. Lipsey, Richard G, et al. (1997). Pengantar Makro Ekonomi. ( Jaka Wasana danKibrandoko, terjemahan). Jakarta :Binarupa Aksara. Mankiw, Gregory. (2000). Macroeconomics Theory. New York : Worth PublisherInc. Nachrowi, Nachrowi D., Hardius Usman. (2006). Pendekatan Populer dan Praktis EKONOMETRIKA untuk Analisis Ekonomi dan Keuangan.Jakarta : Lembaga Penerbit FEUI. Rahmany, A. Fuad. (2004). Era Baru Kebijakan Fiskal : Pemikiran, Konsep dan Implementasi. Jakarta : Penerbit Buku Kompas, hal. 445 – 462. Rivai, Veithzal, Andria Permata Veithzal, Ferry N. Idroes. (2007). Bank and Financial Institution Management : Conventional & Sharia System, Jakarta : RajaGrafindo Persada. Sunarsip. (2008). Relasi Bank Pembangunan Daerah dan Perekonomian Daerah, dimuat dalam Republika, Rabu, 9 Januari 2008. Rubrik Pareto hal.16 Sunarsip. (2011). Transformasi BPD. Dimuat Infobank Edisi Januari 2011. Republik Indonesia, Kementrian Keuangan (2010), Potensi Bank Pembangunan Daerah Sebagai Pendiri Dana Pensiun Lembaga Keuangan,Tim Studi Potensi Bank Pembangunan Daerah Sebagai Pendiri Dana Pensiun. Jakarta.Waluyanto, Rahmat. (2004). Era Baru Kebijakan Fiskal : Pemikiran, Konsep dan Implementasi. Jakarta : Penerbit Buku Kompas, hal. 463 – 508. Wuryandari, Gantiah. (2013). Mengusung Bank Pembangunan Daerah (BPD) Sebagai Bank Fokus Sektor Strategis Dalam Mendukung Pembangunan Nasional, Makalah SESPIBI Angkatan XXXI (Tidak Dipublikasikan). Bank Indonesia.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI SWASTA , PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH, DAN PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KOTA BITUNG

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yandiles Weya ◽  
Vecky A.J. Masinambow ◽  
Rosalina A.M. Koleangan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
North Sulawesi ◽  
The City

ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI SWASTA , PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH, DAN PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KOTA BITUNG Yandiles Weya, Vecky A.J. Masinambow, Rosalina A.M. Koleangan. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Magister Ilmu EkonomiUniversitas Sam Ratulangi, Manado ABSTRAKPada suatu periode perekonomian mengalami pertumbuhan negatif berarti kegiatan ekonomi pada periode tersebut mengalami penurunan. Kota Bitung periode tahun 2004-2014 mengalami pertumbuhan ekonomi yang fluktuasi. Adanya fluktuasi ini dapat dipengaruhi oleh investasi swasta, belanja langsung, dan penduduk Pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan salah satu tolok ukur keberhasilan pembangunan ekonomi di suatu daerah. Pertumbuhan ekonomi mencerminkan kegiatan ekonomi. Pertumbuhan ekonomi dapat bernilai positif dan dapat pula bernilai negatif. Jika pada suatu periode perekonomian mengalami pertumbuhan positif berarti kegiatan ekonomi pada periode tersebut mengalami peningkatan. Sedangkan jikaTahun 2004-2014 yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sulut dan Kota Bitung. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah model ekonometrik regresi berganda double-log (log-log) dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah perkembangan investasi swasta, belanja langsung, dan penduduk berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung. Data yang dipakai menggunakan data time series periodeHasil regresi model pertumbuhan ekonomi dengan persamaan regresinya yaitu  LPDRB  =  - 4,445    +  0.036 LINV  +  0.049 LBL  +  2,229 LPOP.  Dari hasil tersebutmenunjukkan perkembangan investasi swasta, belanja langsung dan penduduk berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung.Kata Kunci :pertumbuhan ekonomi, belanja langsung, penduduk, regresi bergandaABSTRACT    The economy experienced a period of negative growth means economic activity in this period has decreased. Bitung-year period 2004-2014 economic growth fluctuations. These fluctuations can be influenced by private investment, direct spending, and population Economic growth is one measure of the success of economic development in an area. Economic growth reflects economic activity. Economic growth can be positive and can also be negative. If the economy experienced a period of positive growth means economic activity during the period has increased. Whereas if  years 2004-2014 are sourced from the Central Statistics Agency of North Sulawesi Province and Bitung. The analytical method used is an econometric model double-log regression (log-log) with Ordinary Least Square (OLS). This study aims to determine whether the development of private investment, direct spending, and population affect the economic growth of the city of Bitung. The data used using time series data period.    The results of the regression model of economic growth with the regression equation is LPDRB = - LINV 4.445 + 0.036 + 0.049 + 2.229 LPOP LBL. From these results show the development of private investment, direct expenditure and population positive and significant impact on economic growth of Bitung.Keywords: Economic growth, direct spending, population, regression.

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