Government Response Capacity to the COVID-19 Pandemic

2022 ◽  
pp. 114-137
Author(s):  
Alvaro Chaves

This work estimates the impact of the preventive isolation measures adopted by national and regional authorities in Colombia to answer the following question: Where do the government's isolation measures effectively reduce the number of COVID 19 infections and deaths? Using official information reported by the Ministry of Health and constructing a panel data structure, a model of differences in differences suggested by Cerulli and Ventura is estimated. Estimates of the impact of containment measures show that the peak is delayed and the number of infections and deaths reduced. The government's response to the pandemic on diseases has a significant dynamic impact over time once implemented. The pre-treatment period was significantly affected by the current treatment.

Blood ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (21) ◽  
pp. 2935-2935
Author(s):  
Rahul Singh ◽  
Charin Hanlon

Abstract Background An estimated 13,785,000 units of packed red blood cells (PRBC) were transfused in the United States in 2011 of which an estimated 57.9% were found to be from the general medical service, the ICU or hematology/oncology. Risks of blood transfusion include infections, transfusion reactions circulatory overload, and transfusion-related immunomodulation. Furthermore, there is an economic cost to the administration of blood and a personal cost to those volunteers who give their time. There have been a number of guidelines published for the administration of PRBCs. In the past year, the American Association of Blood Banks released new guidelines for PRBC transfusion in hospitalized, hemodynamically stable patients. These guidelines set a threshold Hb of ≤7 g/dL in critically-ill patients, and a Hb ≤8 g/dL for surgical patients, for patients with pre-existing cardiovascular disease, or for patients with relevant symptoms. Symptoms were defined as tachycardia, chest pain or hypotension not corrected by crystalloids. We studied the potential impact on our inpatient hospital utilization of PRBC over time in relation to the publication of recent guidelines. Methods With IRB approval, a retrospective study of PRBC transfusion at New Hanover Regional Medical Center in Wilmington, NC was conducted. The primary endpoint of the study was to evaluate the impact of the new AABB guidelines on the transfusion utilization in the first 12 months. Secondary endpoints included a cost analysis, an evaluation of the use of PRBC for two pre-specified Hb levels, and a quantification of the number of units transfused. A total of 337 patients were reviewed. 116 were excluded due to one of the following reasons: anemia attributed to active blood loss, the presence of stage 5 chronic kidney disease, the presence of an acute coronary syndrome, the recent administration of outpatient transfusions, the use of blood products besides PRBCS, and the timing of a transfusion in the postoperative period. We randomly assigned two separate timeframes to review transfusions at ≤ 4 months and 8-12 months after the AABB guidelines were published. Data was analyzed using Chi-square and T tests. Results The average pre-treatment hemoglobin for the group ≤4 months was 7.82 ± 0.85 and 7.42 ± 0.92 for the 8-12 month group (p=0.0009). The average number of units transfused were 1.66 ± 0.53 and 1.78 ± 0.58 (P=0.1133), respectively. For those patients whose Hb was ≤ 7.0, there was a 21.6% reduction in inappropriate transfusions 8-12 months after the guidelines were released compared with the first 4 months (Chi-Square p = 0.0070). For those patients whose Hb was ≤ 8.0, the number of inappropriate transfusions went from 40.7% in the first group to 17.3% in the second group (Chi-Square p=0.0001). The total cost of transfusions to the patients was estimated to be $102,400 and $55,600 to the hospital. The potential savings if all transfusions were given according to the new guidelines is estimated to be $66,389 to the patients and $36,037 to the hospital. A total of 11,577 transfusions were given between 6/12/12-3/13/13. If the guidelines had been strictly followed, the number of transfusions would have been reduced to 3,855 transfusions. Discussion An improvement in adherence to AABB guidelines with a more restrictive PRBC transfusion strategy was found over time. This can be attributed to physicians practicing evidenced-based medicine. Data of transfusions at pre-treatment Hb ≤7, suggest that physicians are becoming more restrictive in their threshold for transfusions with a statistically significance in the drop of the average pre-treatment hemoglobin. Despite this restrictive pattern, physicians are still uncomfortable at transfusing 1 unit at a time. Although it was not statistically significant between the two groups, the average number of units transfused were ≥1.5, and 67% of the time 2 units were given. Overtransfusion with PRBCs is a problem that needs to be addressed. Physicians should give one unit and reassess for an appropriate response. This strategy will reduce cost to the patient and hospital. We feel that additional improvement is still possible and we are forming a blood management committee to promote better PRBC transfusion practice guidelines. We plan a series of educational presentations to each department along with a new Computerized Physician Order Set to improve patient care and reduce overall cost to the health care system. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-160
Author(s):  
Álvaro H. Chaves Castro ◽  

An analysis of the evolution of daily COVID-19 cases and number of deaths in Colombia and some Colombian cities is carried using official information reported by the Ministry of Health. This seeks to answer the following question: Considering the current trajectory of the new coronavirus, is it possible to estimate the future peak of infections? From the construction of a panel data structure, some models with a time quadratic trend are estimated for the number of infections and deaths logarithm. The estimation of such dynamics by the rolling window regression method shows a good fit, allowing to estimate the approximate date for the peak of the epidemic based on the new officially reported cases. Some factors associated with the progression of the pandemic are estimated, especially the effect of the speed of contagion (effective reproduction rate, Ro) on the future trajectory of daily infections. In addition, an attempt to estimate the impact of preventive social distancing measures adopted by national and regional authorities is performed. Results show that the peak of the pandemic in Colombia will be reached approximately at the end of August; finding that agrees with more elaborate epidemiological studies. The average number of new daily cases at the peak of the pandemic in Colombia would reach more than 10,000, while the maximum number of deaths would be 44,471. Estimates about the impact of confinement measures show that it is possible to delay the peak and reduce the number of infections and deaths.


Crisis ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Friedrich Martin Wurst ◽  
Isabella Kunz ◽  
Gregory Skipper ◽  
Manfred Wolfersdorf ◽  
Karl H. Beine ◽  
...  

Background: A substantial proportion of therapists experience the loss of a patient to suicide at some point during their professional life. Aims: To assess (1) the impact of a patient’s suicide on therapists distress and well-being over time, (2) which factors contribute to the reaction, and (3) which subgroup might need special interventions in the aftermath of suicide. Methods: A 63-item questionnaire was sent to all 185 Psychiatric Clinics at General Hospitals in Germany. The emotional reaction of therapists to patient’s suicide was measured immediately, after 2 weeks, and after 6 months. Results: Three out of ten therapists suffer from severe distress after a patients’ suicide. The item “overall distress” immediately after the suicide predicts emotional reactions and changes in behavior. The emotional responses immediately after the suicide explained 43.5% of the variance of total distress in a regression analysis. Limitations: The retrospective nature of the study is its primary limitation. Conclusions: Our data suggest that identifying the severely distressed subgroup could be done using a visual analog scale for overall distress. As a consequence, more specific and intensified help could be provided to these professionals.


2019 ◽  
pp. 21-38
Author(s):  
Alexander N. Deryugin ◽  
Ilya A. Sokolov

The paper analyzes the impact of the “model budget” on the problems of intergovernmental relations in the Russian Federation: a high proportion of expenditure obligations of regional and local budgets and a high degree of interregional inequality in fiscal capacity and socio-economic development. It was concluded that the planned broader use of the “model budget” will not solve the problem of unfunded mandates and will lead first to a significant reduction in incentives for regional authorities to develop the territorial revenue base, and then to economic slowdown in the country. As an alternative approach to improving intergovernmental relations, options are being considered for adjusting the parameters of the equalization transfers distribution formula, the procedure for determining their total volume and calculating the budget expenditure index. In solving the problem of unfunded mandates, an equally important role is given to the procedure for preparing a financial and economic rationale for draft laws.


1997 ◽  
Vol 36 (4II) ◽  
pp. 947-957 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahrukh Rafi Khan

This paper has a two-fold objective: first, to examine the terms on which Pakistan receives aid and whether its debt situation is sustainable, and second, to examine the impact of aid and debt on economic growth. It is found that there is little encouraging that can be said about how the terms on which Pakistan has received aid over time have changed, and its current debt situation is not sustainable. Also reported is the analysis done elsewhere which shows that aid has a negative (Granger) causal impact on GDP, and aid has a robust negative impact on economic growth after controlling for supplyside shocks. We provide various reasons for this negative association.


2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (29) ◽  
pp. 3098-3111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Liberale ◽  
Giovanni G. Camici

Background: The ongoing demographical shift is leading to an unprecedented aging of the population. As a consequence, the prevalence of age-related diseases, such as atherosclerosis and its thrombotic complications is set to increase in the near future. Endothelial dysfunction and vascular stiffening characterize arterial aging and set the stage for the development of cardiovascular diseases. Atherosclerotic plaques evolve over time, the extent to which these changes might affect their stability and predispose to sudden complications remains to be determined. Recent advances in imaging technology will allow for longitudinal prospective studies following the progression of plaque burden aimed at better characterizing changes over time associated with plaque stability or rupture. Oxidative stress and inflammation, firmly established driving forces of age-related CV dysfunction, also play an important role in atherosclerotic plaque destabilization and rupture. Several genes involved in lifespan determination are known regulator of redox cellular balance and pre-clinical evidence underlines their pathophysiological roles in age-related cardiovascular dysfunction and atherosclerosis. Objective: The aim of this narrative review is to examine the impact of aging on arterial function and atherosclerotic plaque development. Furthermore, we report how molecular mechanisms of vascular aging might regulate age-related plaque modifications and how this may help to identify novel therapeutic targets to attenuate the increased risk of CV disease in elderly people.


Author(s):  
Manuel Fröhlich ◽  
Abiodun Williams

The Conclusion returns to the guiding questions introduced in the Introduction, looking at the way in which the book’s chapters answered them. As such, it identifies recurring themes, experiences, structures, motives, and trends over time. By summarizing the result of the chapters’ research into the interaction between the Secretaries-General and the Security Council, some lessons are identified on the changing calculus of appointments, the conditions and relevance of the international context, the impact of different personalities in that interaction, the changes in agenda and composition of the Council as well as different formats of interaction and different challenges to be met in the realm of peace and security, administration, and reform, as well as concepts and norms. Taken together, they also illustrate the potential and limitations of UN executive action.


Author(s):  
Gerhard Bosch ◽  
Thorsten Kalina

This chapter describes how inequality and real incomes have evolved in Germany through the period from the 1980s, through reunification, up to the economic Crisis and its aftermath. It brings out how reunification was associated with a prolonged stagnation in real wages. It emphasizes how the distinctive German structures for wage bargaining were eroded over time, and the labour market and tax/transfer reforms of the late 1990s-early/mid-2000s led to increasing dualization in the labour market. The consequence was a marked increase in household income inequality, which went together with wage stagnation for much of the 1990s and subsequently. Coordination between government, employers, and unions still sufficed to avoid the impact the economic Crisis had on unemployment elsewhere, but the German social model has been altered fundamentally over the period


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