IMPROVEMENT OF THE TECHNOLOGY OF DEVELOPMENT OF RESERVES OF THE EMISSION-HAZARDOUS FORMATION OF THE КРII STRATUM IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE EUROCHEM USOLSKIY POTASH MINE

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 416-424
Author(s):  
A.P. Klyucharev ◽  
◽  
N.A. Litvinovskaya ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Rule ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
The Other ◽  
Mining Operations ◽  
Mining Technology ◽  
Mine Field ◽  
Potash Mine ◽  
Safe Mining

This article presents the results of the authors' research on the construction of a pre-diction map with the division of an explosive potassium formation of the KPII stratum into haz-ardous and non-hazardous areas in the conditions of the mine field of the EuroChem Usolskiy potash mine, it is discovered that the decision rules developed for the other potash mines of the Verkhnekamskoye potash deposit are fundamentally unsuitable for the site concerned and re-quire revision, options of improvement the decision rule are proposed. Recommendations for safe mining operations, implicating a change of the existing mining technology, are presented at the end of the article.

scholarly journals Representations and decision rules in the theory of self-deception

2011 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Pinker
Keyword(s):  
Systematic Error ◽  
Decision Rule ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Internal Representation ◽  
The Other

AbstractSelf-deception is a powerful but overapplied theory. It is adaptive only when a deception-detecting audience is in the loop, not when an inaccurate representation is invoked as an internal motivator. First, an inaccurate representation cannot be equated with self-deception, which entails two representations, one inaccurate and the other accurate. Second, any motivational advantages are best achieved with an adjustment to the decision rule on when to act, not with a systematic error in an internal representation.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF FORECAST ACCURACY DANGEROUS PROPERTIES OF COAL LAYERS BY THE DEGREE OF METAMORPHISM OF SOLID FOSSIL COALS

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mykola Antoshchenko ◽  
◽  
Yevhen Rudniev ◽  
Mykhailo Filatiev ◽  
Elvira Filatieva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sampling Site ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Practical Interest ◽  
Plastic Layer ◽  
Mining Operations ◽  
Volatile Substances ◽  
Mine Field ◽  
Regulatory Documents ◽  
Fossil Coals ◽  
Safe Mining

In the normative base of Ukraine for the safe mining of coal seams, only five indicators of the degree of metamorphism are used to predict the manifestation of their hazardous properties during mining operations: mass release of volatile substances during thermal decomposition of coal without air (Vdaf) access to characterize coal; volumetric yield of volatile substances daf V V to establish the distinctive properties of anthracites; logarithm of electrical resistivity (lg); the thickness of the plastic layer (y) and the grade of coal (M) for predicting the outburst hazard of seams. When developing regulatory documents, it was assumed that these criteria for assessing the degree of coal metamorphism remain constant within one mine field. Their values, as mining operations show, are influenced by the location of the coal sampling site in relation to the distance from relatively large geological disturbances or the boundaries of the gas weathering zone. In most cases, the boundaries of mine fields are usually relatively large geological faults. The proximity of the locations of coal sampling points to them influences the obtained results of evaluating the properties of mine layers. Аdjusting indicators (Vdaf, daf V V , lg, y ,M) for individual mines on the possible impact of geological disturbances, the depth of the mining robot and the distance from the zone of gas weathering, according to the requirements of regulatory documents. For this reason, it is of scientific and practical interest to establish the possible ranges of change in the indicators of the degree of metamorphism of coal within the same mine layer. The results of research in this direction are relevant, as they are necessary to improve the regulatory framework for the safe mining of coal mines. A possible change within a separate mine field was considered using the example of the indicator Vdaf as the most studied at present. According to a specially developed methodology, the analysis involved data on 2193 mines from different coal basins. Most of them belong to the mines of the Donetsk basin (1773). The rest of the basins account for information on 460 mine layers, including data on 46 mine layers for the Lvov-Volyn basin.

The Evolutionary Dynamics of Decision Rule Selection

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Laver ◽  
Ernest Sergenti
Keyword(s):  
Decision Rule ◽  
Positive Feedback ◽  
Party System ◽  
Evolutionary Dynamics ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Party Leaders ◽  
Track Record ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Survival Of The Fittest

This chapter extends the survival-of-the-fittest evolutionary environment to consider the possibility that new political parties, when they first come into existence, do not pick decision rules at random but instead choose rules that have a track record of past success. This is done by adding replicator-mutator dynamics to the model, according to which the probability that each rule is selected by a new party is an evolving but noisy function of that rule's past performance. Estimating characteristic outputs when this type of positive feedback enters the dynamic model creates new methodological challenges. The simulation results show that it is very rare for one decision rule to drive out all others over the long run. While the diversity of decision rules used by party leaders is drastically reduced with such positive feedback in the party system, and while some particular decision rule is typically prominent over a certain period of time, party systems in which party leaders use different decision rules are sustained over substantial periods.

Endogenous Parties, Interaction of Different Decision Rules

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Laver ◽  
Ernest Sergenti
Keyword(s):  
Decision Rule ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Party Competition ◽  
Competitive Environment ◽  
Party Leaders ◽  
Robert Axelrod

This chapter attempts to develop more realistic and interesting models in which the set of competing parties is a completely endogenous output of the process of party competition. It also seeks to model party competition when different party leaders use different decision rules in the same setting by building on an approach pioneered in a different context by Robert Axelrod. This involves long-running computer “tournaments” that allow investigation of the performance and “robustness” of decision rules in an environment where any politician using any rule may encounter an opponent using either the same decision rule or some quite different rule. The chapter is most interested in how a decision rule performs against anything the competitive environment might throw against it, including agents using decision rules that are difficult to anticipate and/or comprehend.

scholarly journals Rats show direct reciprocity when interacting with multiple partners

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nina Kettler ◽  
Manon K. Schweinfurth ◽  
Michael Taborsky
Keyword(s):  
Time Delay ◽  
Decision Rule ◽  
Prisoner's Dilemma ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Prisoner’S Dilemma ◽  
Cognitive Demands ◽  
Multiple Partners ◽  
Norway Rats

AbstractDirect reciprocity, where individuals apply the decision rule ‘help someone who has helped you’, is believed to be rare in non-human animals due to its high cognitive demands. Especially if previous encounters with several partners need to be correctly remembered, animals might either stop reciprocating favours previously received from an individual, or switch to the simpler generalized reciprocity mechanism. Here we tested the decision rules Norway rats apply when interacting with multiple partners before being able to return received help. In a sequential prisoner’s dilemma situation, focal subjects encountered four different partners that were either helpful or not, on four consecutive days. On the fifth day, the focal subject was paired with one of the previous four partners and given the opportunity to provide it with food. The focal rats returned received help by closely matching the quantity of help their partner had previously provided, independently of the time delay between received and given help, and independently of the ultimate interaction preceding the test. This shows that direct reciprocity is not limited to dyadic situations in Norway rats, suggesting that cognitive demands involved in applying the required decision rules can be met by non-human animals even when they interact with multiple partners differing in helping propensity.

Decision rules, escalation of commitment and sensitivity to framing in group decision-making

2016 ◽  
Vol 54 (7) ◽  
pp. 1649-1668 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petru Lucian Curseu ◽  
Sandra G. L. Schruijer ◽  
Oana Catalina Fodor
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Rule ◽  
Group Decision Making ◽  
Group Decision ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Escalation Of Commitment ◽  
Group Level ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Collaborative Decision

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to test the influence of collaborative and consultative decision rules on groups’ sensitivity to framing effect (FE) and escalation of commitment (EOC). Design/methodology/approach – In an experimental study (using a sample of 233 professionals with project management experience), the authors test the effects of collaborative and consultative decision rules on groups’ sensitivity to EOC and FE. The authors use four group decision-making tasks to evaluate decision consistency across gain/loss framed decision situations and six decision tasks to evaluate EOC for money as well as time as resources previously invested in the initial decisions. Findings – The results show that the collaborative decision rule increases sensitivity to EOC when financial resources are involved and decreases sensitivity to EOC when time is of essence. Moreover, the authors show that the collaborative decision rule decreases sensitivity to FE in group decision making. Research limitations/implications – The results have important implications for group rationality as an emergent group level competence by extending the insights concerning the impact of decision rules on emergent group level cognitive competencies. Due to the experimental nature of the design, the authors can probe the causal relations between the investigated variables, yet the authors cannot generalize the results to other settings. Practical implications – Managers can use the insights of this study in order to optimize the functioning of decision-making groups and to reduce their sensitivity to FEs and EOC. Originality/value – The study extends the research on group rationality and it is one of the few experimental attempts used to understand the role of decision rules on emergent group level rationality.

scholarly journals Interpolation of multidimensional signals using the reduction of the dimension of parametric spaces of decision rules

2019 ◽  
pp. 31-40
Author(s):  
M V Gashnikov
Keyword(s):  
Decision Rule ◽  
Optimization Problem ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Compression Method ◽  
Parametric Space ◽  
Archive File ◽  
Multidimensional Signals ◽  
Reduced Dimension ◽  
Hierarchical Compression ◽  
Adaptive Interpolator

In this paper, we consider the interpolation of multidimensional signals problem. We develop adaptive interpolators that select the most appropriate interpolating function at each signal point. Parameterized decision rule selects the interpolating function based on local features at each signal point. We optimize the adaptive interpolator in the parameter space of this decision rule. For solving this optimization problem, we reduce the dimension of the parametric space of the decision rule. Dimension reduction is based on the parameterization of the ratio between local differences at each signal point. Then we optimize the adaptive interpolator in parametric space of reduced dimension. Computational experiments to investigate the effectiveness of an adaptive interpolator are conducted using real-world multidimensional signals. The proposed adaptive interpolator used as a part of the hierarchical compression method showed a gain of up to 51% in the size of the archive file compared to the smoothing interpolator.

scholarly journals Variable and sub-optimal responses to a choice problem are a persistent default mode

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amelia R. Hunt ◽  
Warren James ◽  
Josephine Reuther ◽  
Melissa Spilioti ◽  
Eleanor Mackay ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Strategy ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
The Other ◽  
Rational Decision ◽  
Choice Problem ◽  
Default Mode ◽  
Potential Benefits ◽  
Simple Logic ◽  
Simple Decision Rule

Here we report persistent choice variability in the presence of a simple decision rule. Two analogous choice problems are presented, both of which involve making decisions about how to prioritize goals. In one version, participants choose a place to stand to throw a beanbag into one of two hoops. In the other, they must choose a place to fixate to detect a target that could appear in one of two boxes. In both cases, participants do not know which of the locations will be the target when they make their choice. The optimal solution to both problems follows the same, simple logic: when targets are close together, standing at/fixating the midpoint is the best choice. When the targets are far apart, accuracy from the midpoint falls, and standing/fixating close to one potential target achieves better accuracy. People do not follow, or even approach, this optimal strategy, despite substantial potential benefits for performance. Two interventions were introduced to try and shift participants from sub-optimal, variable responses to following a fixed, rational rule. First, we put participants into circumstances in which the solution was obvious. After participants correctly solved the problem there, we immediately presented the slightly-less-obvious context. Second, we guided participants to make choices that followed an optimal strategy, and then removed the guidance and let them freely choose. Following both of these interventions, participants immediately returned to a variable, sub-optimal pattern of responding. The results show that while constructing and implementing rational decision rules is possible, making variable responses to choice problems is a strong and persistent default mode. Borrowing concepts from classic animal learning studies, we suggest this default may persist because choice variability can provide opportunities for reinforcement learning.

Genetically Modified Crops

2021 ◽  
pp. 112-133
Author(s):  
Alasdair R. Young
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Member State ◽  
Environmental Impacts ◽  
Decision Rule ◽  
Genetically Modified ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Genetically Modified Crops ◽  
The United States ◽  
State Governments ◽  
The Eu

This chapter presents the EU’s responses with respect to three closely related policies: the approval of genetically modified (GM) crops for sale and (separately) for cultivation and efforts to lift member state bans on EU-approved GM varieties. These most similar cases differ in outcome; with the EU resuming approvals for sale (a change sufficient to placate Argentina and Canada, but not the United States), but not for cultivation and failing to address member state bans despite very permissive decision rules. In these cases, no tariffs were threatened and there was no exporter mobilization. Commission trade officials did push to accelerate approvals. The Commission, which was more favorably disposed toward biotechnology than most of the member states, was able, with the help of very a permissive decision rule, to overcome opposition to approvals for sale, but not for cultivation, reflecting greater concern among regulators about the environmental impacts of GM cultivation than about the safety of GM varieties. The member state governments also balked at forcing their peers to change their policies. There is little evidence that the WTO’s adverse ruling affected any of the protagonists’ preferences.

scholarly journals Using Accelerometers in Youth Physical Activity Studies: A Review of Methods

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 437-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelli L. Cain ◽  
James F. Sallis ◽  
Terry L. Conway ◽  
Delfien Van Dyck ◽  
Lynn Calhoon
Keyword(s):  
Physical Activity ◽  
Decision Rule ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Moderate Intensity ◽  
Accelerometer Data ◽  
Cut Points ◽  
Moderate Intensity Physical Activity ◽  
Youth Physical Activity ◽  
Intensity Physical Activity ◽  
Over Time

Background:In 2005, investigators convened by the National Cancer Institute recommended development of standardized protocols for accelerometer use and reporting decision rules in articles. A literature review was conducted to document accelerometer methods and decision rule reporting in youth physical activity articles from 2005−2010.Methods:Nine electronic databases identified 273 articles that measured physical activity and/or sedentary behavior using the most-used brand of accelerometer (ActiGraph). Six key methods were summarized by age group (preschool, children, and adolescents) and trends over time were examined.Results:Studies using accelerometers more than doubled from 2005−2010. Methods included 2 ActiGraph models, 6 epoch lengths, 6 nonwear definitions, 13 valid day definitions, 8 minimum wearing day thresholds, 12 moderate-intensity physical activity cut points, and 11 sedentary cut points. Child studies showed the most variation in methods and a trend toward more variability in cut points over time. Decision rule reporting improved, but only 54% of papers reported on all methods.Conclusion:The increasing diversity of methods used to process and score accelerometer data for youth precludes comparison of results across studies. Decision rule reporting is inconsistent, and trends indicate declining standardization of methods. A methodological research agenda and consensus process are proposed.

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