scholarly journals Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (142) ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Health Spending ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Financing Gap ◽  
Fiscal Space ◽  
The Impact

This paper presents Nigeria’s Request for Purchase Under the Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI). The authorities’ immediate actions to respond to the crisis are welcome. The short-term focus on fiscal accommodation would allow for higher health spending and help alleviate the impact of the crisis on households and businesses. Steps taken toward a more unified and flexible exchange rate are also important and unification of the exchange rate should be expedited. Once the coronavirus disease 2019 crisis passes, the focus should remain on medium-term macroeconomic stability, with revenue-based fiscal consolidation essential to keep Nigeria’s debt sustainable and create fiscal space for priority spending. Implementation of the reform priorities under the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan, particularly on power and governance, remains crucial to boost growth over the medium term. The emergency financing under the RFI will provide much needed liquidity support to respond to the urgent balance of payments needs. Additional assistance from development partners will be required to support the government’s efforts and close the large financing gap.

Chapter 1. The Home Economy

1989 ◽  
Vol 127 ◽  
pp. 7-25
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Regional Pattern ◽  
Economic Cycles ◽  
The Past ◽  
Alternative Scenarios

On this occasion we have adopted a rather different format for this chapter from the customary one. Part One begins with an analysis of some of the most important developments of the past few years, with notes on the deterioration in the balance of payments, on the fall in the savings ratio and on the acceleration of inflation. Next we discuss some of the problems associated with economic forecasting. We analyse the errors made last year and compare them with the error margins normally associated with short-term forecasts of this kind. We look at the behaviour of the economy at the corresponding stage of previous economic cycles. And we consider the best way of forecasting GDP when there are discrepancies between the measures of its growth in the past. Our central forecasts for 1989 and 1990 are described briefly in the text of Part Two, and more fully set out in the usual tables. We end in Part Three with a discussion of alternative scenarios for the medium term, with particular reference to their implications for interest rates and the exchange rate. An appendix describes the regional pattern of unemployment and the way it has changed since the early 1980s.

Performance Funding Policy Effects on Community College Outcomes: Are Short-Term Certificates on the Rise?

2017 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy Y. Li ◽  
Alec I. Kennedy
Keyword(s):  
Postsecondary Education ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
State Level ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Performance Funding ◽  
Funding Policy ◽  
Level Control ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Impact

Objective: Performance funding (PF) policies allocate a portion of state funding to colleges based on student outcomes. This study is the first to account for policy type and design differences, and explores the impact of performance funding on three levels of credential completions: short-term certificates, medium-term certificates, and associate’s degrees. Method: We create a panel dataset of 751 two-year colleges from years 1990 to 2013 using data from the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System. We conduct a series of analyses using difference-in-differences with the inclusion of college- and state-level control variables. Results: We find that, on average, performance funding produces no significant changes in completions of any of the three credentials. Policy types characterized by a greater proportion of funding tied to the base budget, mission differentiation in performance metrics, inclusion of underrepresented student metrics, and longer periods of operating years produce an increase in short-term certificates, no significant change in medium-term certificates, and a decrease in associate’s degrees. Contributions: This study’s findings suggest that because awarding more short-term certificates is a relatively quick and cost-effective way to capture performance funds, colleges might be engaging in a path of least resistance by churning out short-term certificates and redirecting focus away from associate’s degrees, which is concerning given that short-term certificates generally offer limited labor market benefits compared to medium-term certificates and associate’s degrees. Our results also underscore the importance of policy designs in explaining differential impacts on credential completion.

Low oil prices will force policy choices on Azerbaijan

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Policy Choices ◽  
The Past ◽  
Fiscal Space ◽  
Will Force ◽  
The Impact

Subject The impact of prolonged low oil prices. Significance Hydrocarbons drove rapid economic expansion in the past. The associated increase in income fuelled the growth of domestically oriented sectors, such as trade and construction. Publicly financed infrastructure spending, using the fiscal space created by oil and gas revenues, also contributed. Impacts Sluggish oil production will compound the impact of persistent low oil prices. Fiscal consolidation will also require a stronger focus on the prioritisation of spending. Devaluation has not fully restored competitiveness but is a source of stress for the banking system.

scholarly journals COVID-19 and Inequality in Asia

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (217) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emilia Jurzyk ◽  
Medha Madhu Nair ◽  
Nathalie Pouokam ◽  
Tahsin Saadi Sedik ◽  
Anthony Tan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Frequency ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Safety Nets ◽  
Younger Workers ◽  
Distributional Consequences ◽  
Policy Measures ◽  
Fiscal Space ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Initial Coverage ◽  
Model Based Analysis

The COVID-19 pandemic risks exacerbating inequality in Asia. High frequency labor surveys show that the pandemic is having particularly adverse effects on younger workers, women and people that are more vulnerable. Pandemics have been shown to increase inequalities. As a result, income inequality, which was already high and rising in Asia before the pandemic, is likely to rise further over the medium term, unless policies succeed in breaking this historical pattern. Many Asian governments have implemented significant fiscal policy measures to mitigate the pandemic’s effect on the most vulnerable, with the impact depending on the initial coverage of safety nets, fiscal space, and degree of informality and digitalization. The paper includes model-based analysis which shows that policies targeted to where needs are greatest are effective in mitigating adverse distributional consequences and underpinning overall economic activity and virus containment.

scholarly journals Estimating the Impact of Devaluation the Exchange Rate on Inflation: A Cause Study of Iraq Using ARDL Model

Webology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 475-486
Author(s):  
Niam A. Fawaz ◽  
Saad A. Hamaad
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
General Level ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Import And Export ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The exchange rate tool is one of the most important macroeconomic tools that affect many variables, including the general level of prices, investment, import and export. In the case of a deteriorating economy such as the Iraqi economy, which suffers from a high import rate of final goods and intermediate goods, which are considered inputs to production processes, means exit Foreign exchange to abroad that affects the position of the balance of payments and its imbalance. It is very abnormal for countries to reduce the value of their currency exchange for financing reasons related to financing their public budget deficit without taking into account macroeconomic variables. All of these matters reflect a clear confusion of the fiscal and the monetary policies. The results of the current study by using the ARDL model have proven the direct impact of currency devaluation on inflation.

scholarly journals Analysis of Current Account Deficit Determinants of Balance of Payments in Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rate Regimes: A Comparative Study in CFA Franc and Non-Franc Zones

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 447
Author(s):  
Remy Hounsou
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Domestic Saving ◽  
Franc Zone ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

<p><em>This study compares the impact of certain economic and financial variables on the level of the deficit in the current account of the balance of payments of the countries of the Franc zone and certain countries of the non-Franc zone situated south of the Sahara. The empirical results of the study based on panel data models covering the period 1990-2015 indicate that none of the two zones behaves better against the current account deficit of the balance of payments and that no zone is more competitive than the other. Finally, it was clear from our analysis that the variables of gross domestic, saving and the change in the terms of trade better explain the change in the current account balance in the Franc zone, whereas the variables of net foreign transfers and gross domestic saving impact the most the current account deficit in non-CFA zone.</em></p>

scholarly journals Analysis of The Effect of Gross Domestic Product, Exchange Rate, and Inflation on Balance of Payments in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (10) ◽  
pp. 361-374
Author(s):  
Muammar Rinaldi ◽  
Shinta Arida Hutagalung ◽  
Muhammad Fitri Rahmadana
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
The Exchange Rate

This study aims to analyze the effect of the short and long term gross domestic product, exchange rate, and inflation on Indonesia's balance of payments. The data used in this study are secondary data which is obtained indirectly with the period of 1995 to 2015. Data sources were obtained from Bank Indonesia and the Central Bureau of Statistics. The data collection method used in this study with the indirect method is documentation through recording or copying data from Bank Indonesia and the Central Bureau of Statistics. The analysis model used is Error Correction Mechanism (ECM). The results of this study indicate that the regression model of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) for the long term and Error Correction Model (ECM) regarding the effect of independent variables such as Interest Rates, Gross Domestic Product and Inflation Against the Dependent dependent variable in Indonesia, then it can some conclusions are presented, namely from several independent variables that are tried and included in the savings equation in Indonesia using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) for the long term and Error Correction Model (ECM) for the short term, namely the gross domestic product variable, the inflation rate, and exchange rate. In the long run there are 2 (two) significant variables, namely gross domestic product and the exchange rate. While inflation is not significant. For the short term, there is 1 (one) significant variable, namely the exchange rate. Thus, only exchange rate variables are significant in both the short and long term. With only 1 (one) significant independent variable both in the long term and short term, it can be concluded that the exchange rate in the long term and short term is the main determining factor that affects the Balance of Payments in Indonesia. In the long run, Independent variables such as Gross Domestic Product and the exchange rate on the dependent variable Balance of Payments in Indonesia have a significant effect on the dependent variable Balance of Payments. Whereas in the short run, the exchange rate variable has a significant effect, and for other independent variables such as the GDP variable and the inflation rate does not have a significant effect.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF THE EXCHANGE RATE ON THE IRAQI BALANCE OF ‎PAYMENTS FOR THE PERIOD (2004-2016)‎

2021 ◽  
Vol 03 (05) ◽  
pp. 281-293
Author(s):  
Abeer Muhammad JASSIM
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
National Economy ◽  
Local Economy ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Close Relationship ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Associated Variables

The exchange rate is one of the important tools that are used to protect ‎the local economy from expected shocks, so the research focused on the ‎subject of the impact of this variable on the balance of payments ‎because these two variables have a very close relationship, which ‎consequently affects foreign trade and the structure of the national ‎economy, especially in Iraq, and contributes to treating various ‎imbalances of the local economy and restore balance and stability to ‎most of its associated variables. Keywords: Economy, Iraqi Balance, Local Economy

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