Mesospheric water vapor and D/H ratio at the Venus terminator from SOIR/VEx

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arnaud Mahieux ◽  
Ann Carine Vandaele ◽  
Sarah Chamberlain ◽  
Valérie Wilquet ◽  
Séverine Robert ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Full Range ◽  
Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Solar Occultation ◽  
Venus Express

<p>The Solar Occultation in the InfraRed (SOIR) instrument onboard Venus Express sounded the Venus mesosphere and lower thermosphere at the terminator using solar occultation technique between April 2006 and December 2014.</p><p>We report on the water vapor vertical distribution above the clouds and geo-temporal variations, observed during the full Venus Express mission. Water vapor profiles are sampled between 80 and 120 km, and calculations of the water vapor volume mixing ratio agrees with those from previous studies. Short term variations over several Earth days dominate the data set, with densities varying by up to a factor 19 over a 24 hr period. Similarly to what was found for other trace gases detected with the SOIR instrument, such as HCl, HF and SO<sub>2</sub>, no significant spatial or long term trends are observed.</p><p>287 water vapor vertical profiles obtained at the Venus terminator between 80 km and 120 km from August 2006 and September 2014 were analyzed for temporal and spatial abundance variations. Standard deviations are significantly smaller than the full range of volume mixing ratio values at all altitudes indicating that the variations are real.</p><p>The decrease in volume mixing ratio abundance below 100 km appears to be a common feature of most water vapor volume mixing ratio profiles and agrees with the decrease in water vapor reported in previous studies. Based on a very limited number of spectra, the variability of the water vapor VMR was found to be higher in the lower than in the upper mesosphere of Venus; this is in agreement with our observations as the standard deviation of the SOIR mean profile is the smallest at 100 km and increases with decreasing altitude.</p><p>No significant spatial variations or long term temporal variations are observed in the present data set in which short term variability masks all other possible trends. Our observations agree that short term (between 1 and 10 Earth days) variability is dominant.</p><p>We also report on simultaneous observations of the water first isotopologue HDO made by SOIR, which occurred 194 times during the whole VEx mission. Similarly to water vapor, we observe a large variation of HDO with time and space, without any clear time of spatial dependency.</p><p>We report on the ratio of the simultaneously measured HDO and H<sub>2</sub>O profiles, that show a constant ratio of 0.1 ± 0.1 below 100 km, and increase exponentially at higher altitude to reach a value of 1 ± 0.4 at 120 km of altitude. The results are in agreement with previous works below 100 km.</p>

scholarly journals Investigating the Broken-Heart Effect: a Model for Short-Term Dependence between the Remaining Lifetimes of Joint Lives

2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 236-257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaap Spreeuw ◽  
Iqbal Owadally
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Numerical Work ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Multiple State ◽  
Multiple State Model ◽  
Insurance Data ◽  
Over Time ◽  
Assurance Contracts

AbstractWe analyze the mortality of couples by fitting a multiple state model to a large insurance data set. We find evidence that mortality rates increase after the death of a partner and, in addition, that this phenomenon diminishes over time. This is popularly known as a “broken-heart” effect and we find that it affects widowers more than widows. Remaining lifetimes of joint lives therefore exhibit short-term dependence. We carry out numerical work involving the pricing and valuation of typical contingent assurance contracts and of a joint life and survivor annuity. If insurers ignore dependence, or mis-specify it as long-term dependence, then significant mis-pricing and inappropriate provisioning can result. Detailed numerical results are presented.

scholarly journals Effects of agricultural credit on wheat productivity of small farms in Sindh, Pakistan

2018 ◽  
Vol 78 (5) ◽  
pp. 592-610 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Ali Chandio ◽  
Yuansheng Jiang ◽  
Feng Wei ◽  
Xu Guangshun
Keyword(s):  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Considerable Proportion ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Small Farms ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Agricultural Credit ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the impact of short-term loan (STL) vs long-term loan (LTL) on wheat productivity of small farms in Sindh, Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach The econometric estimation is based on cross-sectional data collected in 2016 from 18 villages in three districts, i.e. Shikarpur, Sukkur and Shaheed Benazirabad, Sindh, Pakistan. The sample data set consist of 180 wheat farmers. The collected data were analyzed through different econometric techniques like Cobb–Douglas production function and Instrumental variables (two-stage least squares) approach. Findings This study reconfirmed that agricultural credit has a positive and highly significant effect on wheat productivity, while the short-term loan has a stronger effect on wheat productivity than the long-term loan. The reasons behind the phenomenon may be the significantly higher usage of agricultural inputs like seeds of improved variety and fertilizers which can be transformed into the wheat yield in the same year. However, the LTL users have significantly higher investments in land preparation, irrigation and plant protection, which may lead to higher wheat production in the coming years. Research limitations/implications In the present study, only those wheat farmers were considered who obtained agricultural loans from formal financial institutions like Zarai Taraqiati Bank Limited and Khushhali Bank. However, in the rural areas of Sindh, Pakistan, a considerable proportion of small-scale farmers take credit from informal financial channels. Therefore future researchers should consider the informal credits as well. Originality/value This is the first paper to examine the effects of agricultural credit on wheat productivity of small farms in Sindh, Pakistan. This paper will be an important addition to the emerging literature regarding effects of credit studies.

Variational Assimilation of Radar Data and GLM Lightning-Derived Water Vapor for the Short-Term Forecasts of High-Impact Convective Events

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (11) ◽  
pp. 4045-4069 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandre O. Fierro ◽  
Yunheng Wang ◽  
Jidong Gao ◽  
Edward R. Mansell
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
High Impact ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Forecast ◽  
Term Forecast ◽  
Vapor Mass

Abstract The assimilation of water vapor mass mixing ratio derived from total lightning data from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) within a three-dimensional variational (3DVAR) system is evaluated for the analysis and short-term forecast (≤6 h) of a high-impact convective event over the northern Great Plains in the United States. Building on recent work, the lightning data assimilation (LDA) method adjusts water vapor mass mixing ratio within a fixed layer depth above the lifted condensation level by assuming nearly water-saturated conditions at observed lightning locations. In this algorithm, the total water vapor mass added by the LDA is balanced by an equal removal outside observed lightning locations. Additional refinements were also devised to partially alleviate the seasonal and geographical dependence of the original scheme. To gauge the added value of lightning, radar data (radial velocity and reflectivity) were also assimilated with or without lightning. Although the method was evaluated in quasi–real time for several high-impact weather events throughout 2018, this work will focus on one specific, illustrative severe weather case wherein the control simulation—which did not assimilate any data—was eventually able to initiate and forecast the majority of the observed storms. Given a relatively reasonable forecast in the control experiment, the GLM and radar assimilation experiments were still able to improve the short-term forecast of accumulated rainfall and composite radar reflectivity further, as measured by neighborhood-based metrics. These results held whether the simulations made use of one single 3DVAR analysis or high-frequency (10 min) successive cycling over a 1-h period.

How loan interest rate liberalization affects firms’ loan maturity structure

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianfang Zhou ◽  
Jingjing Wang ◽  
Jianping Ding
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Interest Rate Liberalization ◽  
Upper Limit ◽  
Maturity Structure

Purpose – After loan interest rate upper limit deregulation in October 2004, the financing environment in China changed dramatically, and the banks were eligible for risk compensation. The purpose of this paper is to focus on the influence of the loan interest rate liberalization on firms’ loan maturity structure. Design/methodology/approach – Based on Rajan's (1992) model, the authors constructed a trade-off model of how the banks choose long-term and short-term loans scales, and further analyzed banks’ loan term decisions under the loan interest rate upper limit deregulation or collateral cases. Then the authors used an unbalanced panel data set of 586 Chinese listed manufacturing companies and 9,376 observations during the period 1996-2011 to testify the theoretical conclusion. Furthermore, the authors studied the effect on firms with different characteristics of ownership or scale. Findings – The results show that the loan interest rate liberalization significantly decreases the private companies’ reliance on short-term loans and increases sensitivity to interest rates of state-owned companies’ long-term loans. But the results also show that the companies’ ownership still plays a key role on the long-term loans availability. When monetary policy tightened, small companies still have to borrow short-term loans for long-term purposes. As the bank industry is still dominated by state-owned banks and the deposit interest rate has upper limits, the effect of the loan interest rate liberalization on easing long-term credit constraints is limited. Originality/value – From a new perspective, the content and findings of this paper contribute to the study of the effect of the interest rate liberalization on China economy.

Statistical Characteristics of Long-Term High-Resolution Precipitable Water Vapor Data at Darwin

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850010
Author(s):  
Kimberly Leung ◽  
Aneesh C. Subramanian ◽  
Samuel S. P. Shen
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Best Estimates

This paper studies the statistical characteristics of a unique long-term high-resolution precipitable water vapor (PWV) data set at Darwin, Australia, from 12 March 2002 to 28 February 2011. To understand the convective precipitation processes for climate model development, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program made high-frequency radar observations of PWV at the Darwin ARM site and released the best estimates from the radar data retrievals for this time period. Based on the best estimates, we produced a PWV data set on a uniform 20-s time grid. The gridded data were sufficient to show the fractal behavior of precipitable water with Hausdorff dimension equal to 1.9. Fourier power spectral analysis revealed modulation instability due to two sideband frequencies near the diurnal cycle, which manifests as nonlinearity of an atmospheric system. The statistics of PWV extreme values and daily rainfall data show that Darwin’s PWV has El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signatures and has potential to be a predictor for weather forecasting. The right skewness of the PWV data was identified, which implies an important property of tropical atmosphere: ample capacity to hold water vapor. The statistical characteristics of this long-term high-resolution PWV data will facilitate the development and validation of climate models, particularly stochastic models.

scholarly journals Aircraft validation of Aura Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer retrievals of HDO / H<sub>2</sub>O

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (9) ◽  
pp. 3127-3138 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. L. Herman ◽  
J. E. Cherry ◽  
J. Young ◽  
J. M. Welker ◽  
D. Noone ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Observation Error ◽  
Free Troposphere ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Airborne Measurements

Abstract. The EOS (Earth Observing System) Aura Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) retrieves the atmospheric HDO / H2O ratio in the mid-to-lower troposphere as well as the planetary boundary layer. TES observations of water vapor and the HDO isotopologue have been compared with nearly coincident in situ airborne measurements for direct validation of the TES products. The field measurements were made with a commercially available Picarro L1115-i isotopic water analyzer on aircraft over the Alaskan interior boreal forest during the three summers of 2011 to 2013. TES special observations were utilized in these comparisons. The TES averaging kernels and a priori constraints have been applied to the in situ data, using version 5 (V005) of the TES data. TES calculated errors are compared with the standard deviation (1σ) of scan-to-scan variability to check consistency with the TES observation error. Spatial and temporal variations are assessed from the in situ aircraft measurements. It is found that the standard deviation of scan-to-scan variability of TES δD is ±34.1‰ in the boundary layer and ± 26.5‰ in the free troposphere. This scan-to-scan variability is consistent with the TES estimated error (observation error) of 10–18‰ after accounting for the atmospheric variations along the TES track of ±16‰ in the boundary layer, increasing to ±30‰ in the free troposphere observed by the aircraft in situ measurements. We estimate that TES V005 δD is biased high by an amount that decreases with pressure: approximately +123‰ at 1000 hPa, +98‰ in the boundary layer and +37‰ in the free troposphere. The uncertainty in this bias estimate is ±20‰. A correction for this bias has been applied to the TES HDO Lite Product data set. After bias correction, we show that TES has accurate sensitivity to water vapor isotopologues in the boundary layer.

scholarly journals Two years of near real-time chemical composition of submicron aerosols in the region of Paris using an Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (ACSM) and a multi-wavelength Aethalometer

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 2985-3005 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.-E. Petit ◽  
O. Favez ◽  
J. Sciare ◽  
V. Crenn ◽  
R. Sarda-Estève ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chemical Composition ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Chemical Speciation ◽  
Chemical Properties ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Chemical Information ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Pollution Episodes

Abstract. Aerosol mass spectrometer (AMS) measurements have been successfully used towards a better understanding of non-refractory submicron (PM1) aerosol chemical properties based on short-term campaigns. The recently developed Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (ACSM) has been designed to deliver quite similar artifact-free chemical information but for low cost, and to perform robust monitoring over long-term periods. When deployed in parallel with real-time black carbon (BC) measurements, the combined data set allows for a quasi-comprehensive description of the whole PM1 fraction in near real time. Here we present 2-year long ACSM and BC data sets, between mid-2011 and mid-2013, obtained at the French atmospheric SIRTA supersite that is representative of background PM levels of the region of Paris. This large data set shows intense and time-limited (a few hours) pollution events observed during wintertime in the region of Paris, pointing to local carbonaceous emissions (mainly combustion sources). A non-parametric wind regression analysis was performed on this 2-year data set for the major PM1 constituents (organic matter, nitrate, sulfate and source apportioned BC) and ammonia in order to better refine their geographical origins and assess local/regional/advected contributions whose information is mandatory for efficient mitigation strategies. While ammonium sulfate typically shows a clear advected pattern, ammonium nitrate partially displays a similar feature, but, less expectedly, it also exhibits a significant contribution of regional and local emissions. The contribution of regional background organic aerosols (OA) is significant in spring and summer, while a more pronounced local origin is evidenced during wintertime, whose pattern is also observed for BC originating from domestic wood burning. Using time-resolved ACSM and BC information, seasonally differentiated weekly diurnal profiles of these constituents were investigated and helped to identify the main parameters controlling their temporal variations (sources, meteorological parameters). Finally, a careful investigation of all the major pollution episodes observed over the region of Paris between 2011 and 2013 was performed and classified in terms of chemical composition and the BC-to-sulfate ratio used here as a proxy of the local/regional/advected contribution of PM. In conclusion, these first 2-year quality-controlled measurements of ACSM clearly demonstrate their great potential to monitor on a long-term basis aerosol sources and their geographical origin and provide strategic information in near real time during pollution episodes. They also support the capacity of the ACSM to be proposed as a robust and credible alternative to filter-based sampling techniques for long-term monitoring strategies.

An uppermost haze layer above 100 km found over Venus by the SOIR instrument onboard Venus Express

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seiko Takagi ◽  
Arnaud Mahieux ◽  
Valérie Wilquet ◽  
Séverine Robert ◽  
Ann Carine Vandaele ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Optical Properties ◽  
Optical Thickness ◽  
High Spectral Resolution ◽  
Infrared Range ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
High Altitudes ◽  
Atmospheric Transmission ◽  
Low Latitude ◽  
Solar Occultation ◽  
Venus Express

&lt;p&gt;The Venus cloud consists of a main cloud deck at 47 &amp;#8211; 70 km, with thinner hazes above and below.The upper haze on Venus lies above the main cloud surrounding the planet, ranging from the top of the cloud (70 km) up to as high as 90 km.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The Solar Occultation in the InfraRed (SOIR) instrument onboard Venus Express was designed to measure the Venusian atmospheric transmission at high altitudes (65 &amp;#8211; 220 km) in the infrared range (2.2 &amp;#8211; 4.3 &amp;#181;m) with a high spectral resolution. We investigate the optical properties of Venus&amp;#8217;s haze layer above 90 km using SOIR solar occultation observations. Vertical and latitudinal profiles of the extinction coefficient, optical thickness, and mixing ratio of aerosols are retrieved. One of the most remarkable results is that the aerosol mixing ratio tends to increase with altitude above 90 km at both high and low latitude. We speculate how aerosols could be produced at such high altitudes.&lt;/p&gt;

Methodology of Creep Data Analysis for Advanced High Cr Ferritic Steel

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kouichi Maruyama ◽  
Kyosuke Yoshimi
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Rupture Life ◽  
Creep Rupture ◽  
Creep Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Region Analysis ◽  
Rupture Data ◽  
Term Creep

Long term creep rupture life is usually evaluated from short term data by a time-temperature parameter (TTP) method. The apparent activation energy Q for rupture life of steels sometimes changes from a high value of short term creep to a low value of long term creep. However, the conventional TTP analyses ignore the decrease in Q, resulting in the overestimation of rupture life recognized recently in advanced high Cr ferritic steels. A multi region analysis of creep rupture data is applied to a creep data set of Gr.122 steel; in the analysis a creep rupture data is divided into several data sets so that Q value is unique in each divided data set. The multi region analysis provides the best fit to the data and the lowest value of 105 h creep rupture strength among the three ways of data analysis examined. The conventional single region analysis cannot correctly represent the data points and predicts the highest strength. A half of 0.2% proof stress could not be an appropriate boundary for dividing data to be used in the multi region analysis. In the 2001 Edition of ASME Code an F average concept has been proposed as a substitution for the safety factor of 2/3 for average rupture stress. The allowable stress of Gr.122 steel may decrease significantly when the F average concept and the multi region analysis are adopted.

Comparison of Short-Term and Long-Term Radiative Feedbacks and Variability in Twentieth-Century Global Climate Model Simulations

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (24) ◽  
pp. 10051-10070 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meghan M. Dalton ◽  
Karen M. Shell
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Climate Sensitivity ◽  
Surface Albedo ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Atmospheric Temperature ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Short Term

Abstract The climate sensitivity uncertainty of global climate models (GCMs) is partly due to the spread of individual feedbacks. One approach to constrain long-term climate sensitivity is to use the relatively short observational record, assuming there exists some relationship in feedbacks between short and long records. The present work tests this assumption by regressing short-term feedback metrics, characterized by the 20-yr feedback as well as interannual and intra-annual metrics, against long-term longwave water vapor, longwave atmospheric temperature, and shortwave surface albedo feedbacks calculated from 13 twentieth-century GCM simulations. Estimates of long-term feedbacks derived from reanalysis observations and statistically significant regressions are consistent with but no more constrained than earlier estimates. For the interannual metric, natural variability contributes to the feedback uncertainty, reducing the ability to estimate the interannual behavior from one 20-yr time slice. For both the interannual and intra-annual metrics, uncertainty in the intermodel relationships between 20-yr metrics and 100-yr feedbacks also contributes to the feedback uncertainty. Because of differences in time scales of feedback processes, relationships between the 20-yr interannual metric and 100-yr water vapor and atmospheric temperature feedbacks are significant for only one feedback calculation method. The intra-annual and surface albedo relationships show more complex behavior, though positive correspondence between Northern Hemisphere surface albedo intra-annual metrics and 100-yr feedbacks is consistent with previous studies. Many relationships between 20-yr metrics and 100-yr feedbacks are sensitive to the specific GCMs included, highlighting that care should be taken when inferring long-term feedbacks from short-term observations.

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