Lake Tarfala, N-Sweden – first results from a natural observatory mimicking future changes in glacier-fed Arctic lakes

Author(s):  
Nina Kirchner ◽  
Frederik Schenk ◽  
Jakob Kuttenkeuler ◽  
Gunhild Rosqvist ◽  
Jan Weckström ◽  
...  

<p>Lake Tarfala is an up to 50 m deep glacier-proximal Arctic lake in the Kebnekaise Mountains, northern Sweden (~67°55' N, ~18°35' E, 1162 m asl) in direct vicinity to the Tarfala Research Station run by Stockholm University, and to the glacier Storglaciären for which the world’s longest glacier mass balance record is kept since 1946. The neighboring Kebnepakte Glacier drains directly into Lake Tarfala. The site provides a unique an easily accessible natural observatory to study the impacts of climate and environmental change in an Arctic lake linked to a melting glacier.</p><p>As other Arctic lakes, Lake Tarfala is exposed to accelerated atmospheric warming in recent decades leading to increasingly shorter periods of lake freeze-over. Recent warming has also led to a widespread mass loss from glaciers with so for unclear implications for glacier-fed lakes which may receive larger amounts of meltwater and sediments from shrinking glaciers.</p><p>General atmospheric warming on the one hand and in response an increased influx of cold glacial meltwater to glacier-fed lakes on the other hand thus cause two competing processes determining the thermal state of a lake. Understanding (changing) lake thermal states and associated lake mixing dynamics is important because it has ramifications for a multitude of lake ecological, biological, and geochemical processes.</p><p>Here, we present the first continuous 3-year water temperature record from the deepest part of Lake Tarfala, acquired between 2016 and 2019. The record shows that Lake Tarfala is dimictic with overturning during spring and fall with substantial interannual variability concerning the timing, duration and intensity of mixing processes, as well as of summer and winter stratification. Particularly cold lake winter states appear to be related to elevated influx of cold glacial meltwater.</p><p>The projected high mass loss of Scandinavian glaciers with up to more than 80% of their volume under RCP8.5 until 2100 AD relative to 2015 renders Lake Tarfala a natural observatory where changes in processes, inherent timescales and impacts in response to competing drivers can be studied before they occur at other glacial lake sites where glaciers melt at a slower place.</p>

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brice Noël ◽  
Constantijn Jakobs ◽  
Ward Van Pelt ◽  
Stef Lhermitte ◽  
Bert Wouters ◽  
...  

<p>With a maximum in glaciated area below 450 m elevation (peak in the hypsometry), most Svalbard glaciers currently experience summer melt that consistently exceeds winter snowfall. Consequently, these glaciers can only exist through efficient meltwater refreezing in their porous firn layers. Before the mid-1980s, refreezing retained 54% of the meltwater in firn above 350 m. In 1985-2018, atmospheric warming migrated the firn line upward by 100 m, close to the hypsometry peak, which triggered a rapid ablation zone expansion (+62%). The resulting melt increase in the accumulation zones reduced the firn refreezing capacity by 25%, enhancing runoff at all elevations. In this dry climate, the loss of refreezing capacity is quasipermanent: a temporary return to pre-1985 climate conditions between 2005 and 2012 could not recover the meltwater buffer mechanism, causing strongly amplified mass loss in subsequent warm years (e.g. 2013), when ablation zones extend beyond the hypsometry peak.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Atanu Bhattacharya ◽  
Tobias Bolch ◽  
Kriti Mukherjee ◽  
Owen King ◽  
Brian Menounos ◽  
...  

AbstractKnowledge about the long-term response of High Mountain Asian glaciers to climatic variations is paramount because of their important role in sustaining Asian river flow. Here, a satellite-based time series of glacier mass balance for seven climatically different regions across High Mountain Asia since the 1960s shows that glacier mass loss rates have persistently increased at most sites. Regional glacier mass budgets ranged from −0.40 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Central and Northern Tien Shan to −0.06 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Eastern Pamir, with considerable temporal and spatial variability. Highest rates of mass loss occurred in Central Himalaya and Northern Tien Shan after 2015 and even in regions where glaciers were previously in balance with climate, such as Eastern Pamir, mass losses prevailed in recent years. An increase in summer temperature explains the long-term trend in mass loss and now appears to drive mass loss even in regions formerly sensitive to both temperature and precipitation.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 272
Author(s):  
Chunhai Xu ◽  
Zhongqin Li ◽  
Feiteng Wang ◽  
Jianxin Mu ◽  
Xin Zhang

The eastern Tien Shan hosts substantial mid-latitude glaciers, but in situ glacier mass balance records are extremely sparse. Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 (eastern Tien Shan, China) is one of the very few well-measured glaciers, and comprehensive glaciological measurements were implemented from 1999 to 2011 and re-established in 2017. Mass balance of Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 (1999–2015) has recently been reported, but the mass balance record has not extended to the period before 1999. Here, we used a 1:50,000-scale topographic map and long-range terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) data to calculate the area, volume, and mass changes for Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 from 1964 to 2018. Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 lost 0.34 km2 (at a rate of 0.006 km2 a−1 or 0.42% a−1) of its area during the period 1964–2018. The glacier experienced clearly negative surface elevation changes and geodetic mass balance. Thinning occurred almost across the entire glacier surface, with a mean value of −0.43 ± 0.12 m a−1. The calculated average geodetic mass balance was −0.36 ± 0.12 m w.e. a−1. Without considering the error bounds of mass balance estimates, glacier mass loss over the past 50 years was in line with the observed and modeled mass balance (−0.37 ± 0.22 m w.e. a−1) that was published for short time intervals since 1999 but was slightly less negative than glacier mass loss in the entire eastern Tien Shan. Our results indicate that Riegl VZ®-6000 TLS can be widely used for mass balance measurements of unmonitored individual glaciers.


2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 2593-2613 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Bolch ◽  
T. Pieczonka ◽  
D. I. Benn

Abstract. Mass loss of Himalayan glaciers has wide-ranging consequences such as declining water resources, sea level rise and an increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). The assessment of the regional and global impact of glacier changes in the Himalaya is, however, hampered by a lack of mass balance data for most of the range. Multi-temporal digital terrain models (DTMs) allow glacier mass balance to be calculated since the availability of stereo imagery. Here we present the longest time series of mass changes in the Himalaya and show the high value of early stereo spy imagery such as Corona (years 1962 and 1970) aerial images and recent high resolution satellite data (Cartosat-1) to calculate a time series of glacier changes south of Mt. Everest, Nepal. We reveal that the glaciers are significantly losing mass with an increasing rate since at least ~1970, despite thick debris cover. The specific mass loss is 0.32 ± 0.08 m w.e. a−1, however, not higher than the global average. The spatial patterns of surface lowering can be explained by variations in debris-cover thickness, glacier velocity, and ice melt due to exposed ice cliffs and ponds.


2016 ◽  
Vol 85 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiguo Li ◽  
Lide Tian ◽  
Hongbo Wu ◽  
Weicai Wang ◽  
Shuhong Zhang ◽  
...  

Remote sensing data, including those from Landsat Thematic Mapper/Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (TM/ETM +), the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model (SRTM4.1 DEM), and the Geoscience Laser Altimeter System Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite (Glas/ICESat), show that from 1991 to 2013 the glacier area in the Depuchangdake region of northwestern Tibet decreased from 409 to 393 km2, an overall loss of 16 km2, or 3.9% of the entire 1991 glacial area. The mean glacier-thinning rate was − 0.40 ± 0.16 m equivalent height of water per year (w.e./yr), equating to a glacier mass balance of − 0.16 ± 0.07 km3 w.e./yr. Total mass loss from 2003 to 2009 was − 1.13 ± 0.46 km3. Glacier retreat likely reflects increases in annual total radiation, annual positive degree days, and maximum temperature, with concurrent increases in precipitation insufficient to replenish glacial mass loss. The rate of glacier retreat in Depuchangdake is less than that for Himalayan glaciers in Indian monsoon-dominated areas, but greater than that for Karakoram glaciers in mid-latitude westerly-dominated areas. Glacier type, climate zone, and climate change all impact on the differing degrees of long-term regional glacial change rate; however, special glacier distribution forms can sometimes lead to exceptional circumstances.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Achille Jouberton ◽  
Thomas E. Shaw ◽  
Evan Miles ◽  
Shaoting Ren ◽  
Wei Yang ◽  
...  

<p>Glaciers are key components of the water towers of Asia and as such are relied upon by large downstream communities for domestic, agricultural and industrial uses. They have experienced considerable shrinking over the last decades, with some of the highest rates of mass loss observed in the south-eastern part of the Tibetan Plateau, where mass loss is also accelerating.  Despite these rapid changes, Tibetan glaciers’ changing role in catchment hydrology remains largely unknown. Parlung No.4 Glacier is considered as a benchmark glacier in this region, since its meteorology, surface energy fluxes and mass-balance have been examined since 2006. It is a maritime glacier with a spring (April-May) accumulation regime , which is followed by a period of ablation during the Indian Summer Monsoon (typically June-September). Here, we conduct a glacio-hydrological study over a period of five decades (1978-2018) using a fully distributed model for glacier mass balance and runoff simulation (TOPKAPI-ETH). We force the model with ERA5-Land and China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD) climate reanalysis downscaled to a local weather station to reconstruct meteorological time series at an hourly resolution. TOPKAPI-ETH is calibrated and validated with automatic weather station data, discharge measurements, geodetic mass balance, stake measurements and snow cover data from MODIS. We find a very clear acceleration in mass loss from 2000 onwards, which is mostly explained by an increase in temperature. This influence however was initially compensated by an increase in precipitation until the 2000’s, which attenuated the negative trend. Our results also indicate that the increase in the liquid-solid precipitation ratio has reduced the amount of seasonal accumulation, exacerbating annual mass loss. We demonstrate that the southern westerlies and the associated spring precipitation have as much influence on the glacier mass balance and catchment discharge as the Indian Summer Monsoon, by controlling seasonal snowpack development, which simultaneously provides mass to the glacier and protects it from melting in the early stage of the monsoon.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maximilian Lauch ◽  
Thomas James ◽  
Lucinda Leonard ◽  
Yan Jiang ◽  
Joseph Henton ◽  
...  

<p>The Coast Mountains in British Columbia and southeastern Alaska contain around 9040 km<sup>2 </sup>of glaciers and ice fields at present. While these glaciers have followed an overall trend of mass loss since the Little Ice Age (or LIA around 300 years before present), the past decade has seen a significant increase in melting rate that is likely to continue due to the effects of climate change. The region is home to a complex tectonic setting, having proximity to the Queen Charlotte-Fairweather transform plate boundary in the northern region and the Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) in the southern region, which has an associated active volcanic arc underlying the glaciated area. Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) glacier melt data collected between 2000 and 2019 represent a melt rate that is averaged between periods of relatively low mass loss (2000-2009) and high mass loss (2010-2019). As a preliminary test, this average melt rate was assumed to be constant back to the LIA. A history of gridded ice thicknesses was calculated to create an ice loading model for input to a series of forward modelling calculations to determine the crustal response. Predictions of vertical crustal motion are compared to available Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) measurements of uplift rate to constrain Earth rheology. The results using this simplified loading model favour a thin lithosphere (around 20-40 km thick) and asthenospheric viscosities on the order of 10<sup>19</sup> Pa s. These values are significantly lower than those of rheological profiles used in extant global GIA models, but are in general agreement with previous GIA modelling of the forearc region of the CSZ. To improve the glacial history model, the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM), driven by historic climate data and statistically downscaled climate projections, is being employed to create a more accurate loading model and refine our estimates of Earth rheology and regional crustal motion. The best-fitting models will be employed to separate GIA and tectonic components of crustal motion and to generate improved regional sea-level projections.</p>


1999 ◽  
Vol 191 ◽  
pp. 561-566
Author(s):  
C. Loup ◽  
E. Josselin ◽  
M.-R. Cioni ◽  
H.J. Habing ◽  
J.A.D.L. Blommaert ◽  
...  

We surveyed 0.5 square degrees in the Bar of the LMC with ISOCAM at 4.5 and 12 μm, and with DENIS in the I, J, and Ks bands. Our goal was to build a complete sample of Thermally-Pulsing AGB stars. Here we present the first analysis of 0.14 square degrees. In total we find about 300 TP-AGB stars. Among these TP-AGB stars, 9% are obscured AGB stars (high mass-loss rates); 9 of them were detected by IRAS, and only 1 was previously identified. Their luminosities range from 2 500 to 14 000 L⊙, with a distribution very similar to the one of optical TP-AGB stars (i.e. those with low mass-loss rates). Such a luminosity distribution, as well as the percentage of obscured stars among TP-AGB stars, is in very good agreement with the evolutionary models of Vassiliadis & Wood (1993) if most of the TP-AGB stars that we find have initial masses smaller than 1.5 to 2 M⊙.


1999 ◽  
Vol 169 ◽  
pp. 222-229
Author(s):  
Bernhard Wolf ◽  
Thomas Rivinius

AbstractEarly-B hypergiants belong to the most luminous stars in the Universe. They are characterized by high mass-loss rates (Ṁ ≈ 10−5Mʘyr−1) and low terminal wind velocities (v∞ʘ400 kms−1) implying very dense winds. They represent a short-lived evolutionary phase and are of particular interest for evolutionary theories of massive stars with mass loss. Due to their high luminosity they play a key role in connection with the “wind momentum - luminosity relation”. Among the main interesting characteristics of early-B hypergiants are the various kinds of photometric and spectroscopic variations. In several recent campaigns our group has performed extensive high dispersion spectroscopy of galactic early-B hypergiants with our fiber-fed echelle spectrograph FLASH/HEROS at the ESO-50 cm telescope. The main outcome was that their dense winds behave hydrodynamically differently to the less luminous supergiants of comparable spectral type. Outwardly accelerated propagating discrete absorption components of the P Cyg-type lines are the typical features rather than rotationally modulated line profile variations. These discrete absorptions could be traced in different spectral lines from photospheric velocities up to 75% of the terminal velocity. The stellar absorption lines show a pulsation-like radial velocity variability pattern lasting up to two weeks as the typical time scale. The radius variations connected with this pulsation-like motions are correlated with the emission height of the P Cyg-type profiles.


1994 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 437-437
Author(s):  
Tal Alexander ◽  
Hagai Netzer

The ‘Bloated Stars Scenario’ proposes that AGN broad line emission originates in the winds or envelopes of bloated stars (BS) (see e.g. Kazanas 1989 and references therein). Its main advantage over BLR cloud models is the gravitational confinement of the gas and its major difficulty the large estimated number of BSs and the resulting high collisional and evolutionary mass loss rates (see e.g. Begelman & Sikura 1991). Previous work on this model did not include detailed calculations of the line spectrum, modeled solar neighborhood super giants (SG) and used very simplified stellar distribution functions for the nucleus. Here (Alexander & Netzer, 1993) we calculate the emission line ratios by applying a detailed numerical photoionization code (Rees, Netzer & Ferland, 1989) to the wind and by assuming a detailed nucleus model (Murphy, Cohn & Durisen, 1990). Allowing for the yet unknown effects of the AGN's extreme conditions on stars and stellar evolution, we study a wide range of simplified wind structures rather than confine ourselves to normal SGs. Our model consists of a spherically symmetric outflowing wind that emanates from the surface of the BS (R∗ = 1013 cm, M∗ = 0.8M⊙, M = 10−6M⊙/yr) whose size and edge density are determined by various processes: Comptonization by the central continuum source (calculated self consistently for our Lion = 1046 erg/s model continuum by the photoionization code), tidal disruption by the black hole (Mbh = 8 × 107M⊙) and the limit set by the assumption that the wind's mass ≤ 0.2M⊙. This results in a large range of wind sizes, from 1013 to 1016 cm. We find that the line emission spectrum is mainly determined by the conditions at the edge of the wind rather than by its internal structure. Comptonization results in a very high ionization parameter at the edge which produces an excess of unobserved broad high excitation forbidden lines. The finite mass constraint limits the wind's size, increases the edge density and thus improves the results. Studying power-law wind structures (v(R) = v∗(R/R∗)−α where v∗ is the wind's base velocity at the BS's surface), we find that slow, decelerating, mass-constrained flows (v∗ = 50 m/s, α = 0.5) with high gas densities (108 to 1012 cm−3) are as successful as cloud models in reproducing the overall observed line spectrum. The Mg II λ2798 and N V λ1240 lines are however under-produced in our models. The denser the winds, the more efficient they are as BLR clouds. By calculating the Lα emission from the wind we adjust the number of BSs so as to obtain the BLR's observed EW(Lα). We find that only ∼ 5 × 104 BSs with dense winds (v∗ = 50 m/s, α = 0.5) are required in the inner 1/3 pc (∼ 0.005 of the total stellar population). This small fraction approaches that of SGs in the solar neighborhood. The calculated mass loss from such a small number of BSs is consistent with the observational constraints. We find that the required number of BSs, and consequently their mass loss rate, are a very sensitive functions of the wind's density structure (a ∼ 104 factor between the slow v∗ = 50 m/s, α = 0.5 model and the fast v∗ = 50 km/s, α = −2 model). In particular, high mass loss rules out SG-like BSs (v∗ = 10 km/s, α = 0). We conclude that BSs with dense winds can reproduce the BLR line spectrum and be supported by the stellar population without excessive mass loss and collisional destruction rates. The question whether such hitherto unobserved stars actually exist in the BLR remains open.


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