scholarly journals Possible Scenarios on the Future of Polytechnic State University of Bicol (PSUB) – Research Culture by 2030 using Jim Dator’s Archetypes of Alternative Futures

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 40-51
Author(s):  
Romeo Jr. Sotto ◽  
Seth Barandon ◽  
Juvy Bustamante ◽  
April Luzon ◽  
Marlon Pontillas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Future Study ◽  
Building Blocks ◽  
Faculty Members ◽  
Future Scenarios ◽  
State University ◽  
Research Culture ◽  
Alternative Futures ◽  
The Future ◽  
World Class ◽  
Business As Usual

This paper explores possible scenarios for the Research Culture of Camarines Sur Polytechnic Colleges (CSPC), to be known as Polytechnic State University of Bicol (PSUB). The paper utilized Jim Dator’s four archetypes of alternative futures to construct PSUB’s Research Culture possible scenarios by 2030. This paper highlights the assumption that the research culture in PSUB is of world class quality and all of its faculty members are actively involved in research, its disciplined, collapsed, transformative, or business as usual scenarios. Four plausible scenarios have surfaced in this paper: Progressive Research Culture, Lax and Deficit Research Culture, Sophisticated Research Culture, and Transformative Research Culture. The article explored areas for a preferred future by 2030. It requires multiple drivers along faculty, students, administration and community for a better research culture. This study proved to be useful in crafting and anticipating the future scenarios of PSUB’s research culture. Preliminary as it may, this study highlighted important building blocks of the four future scenarios. Dator’s framework was proved to be very useful in developing the four scenarios, the use of other future study tools will further amplify plausible scenarios for the Polytechnic State University of Bicol.

Impacts of air pollution related to fine particulate matter on present and future European urban mortality: a renewable energy mitigation scenario

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Tarín-Carrasco ◽  
Ulas Im ◽  
Laura Palacios-Peña ◽  
Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Air Pollution ◽  
Particulate Matter ◽  
Energy Production ◽  
Fine Particles ◽  
Urban Air ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Future Scenarios ◽  
The Future ◽  
Business As Usual

<p>Cities are hotspots for exposure to air pollution worldwide. The impact of atmospheric pollutants on human health is a main topic of concern related to health issues in urban areas; and there evidence that this problem will become worse under future climate change scenarios. One of the main anthropogenic pollutants released at cities that</p><p>impacts human mortality is particulate matter (PM). The riskiness of PM resides in both its composition and size. In particular, this study is focused on fine particles (particles with a diameter of 2.5μm or less, PM<sub>2.5</sub>). PM<sub>2.5 </sub>can reach lungs, pulmonary alveoli or even bloodstream being transported through the entire human body. In this sense, the emission of PM<sub>2.5 </sub>from combustion processes coming from energy production in cities can be a major health problem needing for mitigation policies regarding anthropogenic regulatory pollutants. In this sense, a bet for renewables energies can help the definition of mitigation strategies and can contribute to a better future urban air quality.</p><p>Henceforth, this study assesses the impacts of present (1991-2010) and future (RCP8.5,2031-2050) urban air pollution by fine particles on several Non-Communicable Diseases (NCD) mortality causes (Lung Cancer, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, Ischaemic Heart Disease, Stroke, Lower Respiratory Infection and All diseases). Climate change scenarios were run by using the WRF-Chem online-coupled meteorological/chemistry model in framework of the Spanish REPAIR and ACEX projects, operated over an Euro-CORDEX compliant simulation domain. For the future scenarios, two alternatives under the RCP8.5 climate change scenarios are analysed: (1) business-as-usual energy production system and emissions, and (2) an scenario in which 80% of the European energy is obtained from renewable sources. The emission factors for energy production (g/GJ) were obtained from EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook–2016.</p><p>The differences between both scenarios (future vs. present approach) provide the changes in future mortality caused by air pollution. We estimated the mortalities by using non-linear exposure-response functions. Furthermore, a novel contribution of this work is that changes in future population for the 2050 horizon have been taken into account. Different risk ratio and baseline mortalities for each pathology have been estimated in every age range (25-29, 30-34, 35-39, 40-44, 45-49, 50-54, 55-59, 60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, +80 and all ages). Data was obtained from Institute for Health Medicine.</p><p>The results obtained indicate that almost 900,000 deaths per year in Europe are caused by PM<sub>2.5 </sub>for the present scenario. Generally, the mortality will increase for both future scenarios. The total mortality on the future RCP8.5 scenario accounts for 1,500,000 deaths for the business-as-usual energy production scenario and 1,480,000 for the future scenario considering 80% of renewable energy production. Eastern Europe is the area most benefited with the change of energy production on the future because the number of deaths will be lower. Stroke is the cause which count with high of deaths in Europe.</p><p> </p><p>Acknowledgments: Project ACEX (CGL-2017-87921-R) of the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness, Fundación Biodiversidad of the Spanish Ministry for the Ecological Transition, and FEDER European program, for support to conduct this research.</p>

The Network University of the World-Class Research and Academic Center “Kuzbass” as a Regional Strategy on Capacity Building through Infrastructure and Human Capital

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
pp. 66-75
Author(s):  
Aleksander Prosekov
Keyword(s):  
Industrial Revolution ◽  
Initial Assessment ◽  
Professional Activity ◽  
State University ◽  
University Campuses ◽  
Academic Center ◽  
The World ◽  
The Future ◽  
World Class ◽  
Post Industrial

Introduction. The paper introduces the concept of the Network University on the basis of the World-Class Research and Academic Center “Kuzbass”. It is one of the largest projects aimed at improving the scientific and academic landscape of the Kemerovo region. The digital twin technology can increase the current efficiency of the Kemerovo State University and develop its resources. The research objective was to assess this potential. Study objects and methods. The Network University project presupposes establishing a number of interacting Kuzbass campuses that will prepare competitive post-industrial production specialists able to solve various administrative, analytical, and economic problems that the region is currently facing. Results and discussion. The research involved an urban planning analysis of the future Network University campuses. It resulted in several infrastructure solutions in the context of digital education and the Fourth Industrial Revolution (Industry 4.5). Conclusion. In case of network universities, higher education does not equal qualifications: education provides each student with a conscious choice and a development pathway in the world of digital economy. A successfully operating link between education and professional activity makes this pathway attractive for investments. The author gave an initial assessment and defined the infrastructure solutions for the future campuses. All these issues are part of research on the capacity of the Kuzbass Network University and integrate the project into Priority 2030, which is the former Strategic Academic Leadership Program.

Why Choose Cardiothoracic Surgery as a Career?

2011 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raja R. Gopaldas ◽  
Faisal G. Bakaeen ◽  
Danny Chu ◽  
Joseph S. Coselli ◽  
Denton A. Cooley
Keyword(s):  
Technological Progress ◽  
Artery Bypass ◽  
Cardiothoracic Surgery ◽  
Faculty Members ◽  
New Graduates ◽  
The Future ◽  
Cardiac Surgeon ◽  
The Right ◽  
Cardiac Surgeons ◽  
The Ideal

The future of cardiothoracic surgery faces a lofty challenge with the advancement of percutaneous technology and minimally invasive approaches. Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery, once a lucrative operation and the driving force of our specialty, faces challenges with competitive stenting and poor reimbursements, contributing to a drop in applicants to our specialty that is further fueled by the negative information that members of other specialties impart to trainees. In the current era of explosive technological progress, the great diversity of our field should be viewed as a source of excitement, rather than confusion, for the upcoming generation. The ideal future cardiac surgeon must be a "surgeon-innovator," a reincarnation of the pioneering cardiac surgeons of the "golden age" of medicine. Equipped with the right skills, new graduates will land high-quality jobs that will help them to mature and excel. Mentorship is a key component at all stages of cardiothoracic training and career development. We review the main challenges facing our specialty�length of training, long hours, financial hardship, and uncertainty about the future, mentorship, and jobs�and we present individual perspectives from both residents and faculty members.

The future of the Russian intervention in the Syrian crisis

2020 ◽  
pp. 57
Author(s):  
Alaa Taleb Khalaf
Keyword(s):  
Future Scenarios ◽  
Syrian Crisis ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Future

The present research aims at arriving the motives of the Russian intervention in the Syrian crisis, in the first section, As well as the positions of regional and international countries in favor of this intervention and opposition to it, in the second section, And the out looking of the future of this intervention and keeping an open crisis in Syria by posing future scenarios and the likelihood of one of them, and the jungle in the third section.

To the memory of the geobotanist. Leonid E. Rodin (to the 100th anniversary of his birthday)

2007 ◽  
pp. 106-107
Author(s):  
B. K. Gannibal
Keyword(s):  
End Of Life ◽  
100Th Anniversary ◽  
State University ◽  
Botanical Institute ◽  
Komarov Botanical Institute ◽  
The Future ◽  
Long Time ◽  
High Level

Leonid Efimovich Rodin (1907-1990) was a graduate of Leningrad state University. To him, the future is known geobotanica, happened to a course in Botanical geography is still at the N. A. Bush. His teachers were also A. P. Shennikov and A. A. Korchagin, who subsequently headed related Department of geobotany and Botanical geography of Leningrad state University. This was the first school scientist. And since the beginning of the 30s of XX century and until the end of life L. E. was an employee of the Department of geobotany of the Komarov Botanical Institute (RAS), where long time worked together with E. M. Lavrenko, V. B. Sochava, B. A. Tikhomirov, V. D. Alexandrova and many other high-level professionals, first continuing to learn and gain experience, then defining the direction of development of geobotany in the Institute and the country as a whole.

Comparative characteristics of educational stress and mental health of senior medicine students at different universities (results of an interregional study)

2020 ◽  
pp. 34-46
Author(s):  
Victoria Ruzhenkova ◽  
Irina Sheremet’eva ◽  
Viktor Ruzhenkov
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Medical Students ◽  
The State ◽  
Panic Attacks ◽  
Stress Factors ◽  
Anxiety And Depression ◽  
State University ◽  
The Future ◽  
Training Stress ◽  
Medical University

Stress negatively affects the mental health of students, causes anxiety and depression, leads to poor academic performance, lowers level of professional training and success in the future. The purpose of the research is to study the state of mental health of medical students to develop recommendations for the prevention of maladaptation. Materials and methods. 252 5-year students aged 20–29 (22 ± 1,1) years, 168 (66,7 %) females and 84 (33,3 %) males (137 students of Belgorod State University and 115 of Altay State Medical University (ASMU)) were examined by medico-sociological and psychometric methods. Results. It was established that every fifth student of the Belgorod State University and every third of the ASMU did not enter the medical university on their own initiative. Less than half (43 %) of Belgorod State University students and 30.4 % of the ASMU ones are convinced that the choice of profession was correct, 35 and 37.4 % are, consequently, completely disappointed with it. Students of Belgorod State University dealt with training stress factors poorer and, as a result, have more pronounced mental symptoms of training stress, difficulties in organizing the daily regimen, irregular nutrition, and fear of the future. Regardless of the region of studying, the number of students not committed to the medical profession, after 5 years of study, is more than 3 times higher among those who enter the university not on their own initiative. Students of the ASMU hit substances, skipped classes, played computer games and took sedative drugs more often to overcome academic stress. The degree of anxiety before the exams in students of Belgorod State University was higher (9 points) than in their peers from the State Medical University (7 points). An extremely high (8–10 points) level of anxiety before exams was characteristic of 75,9 and 44,3 % of students, respectively. The former were more likely to experience clinically significant panic attacks: 27,7 and 6,1 %. Conclusion. Given the high incidence of social phobia (19,1–24,1 %), depression (22,6–32,2 %) and anxiety (21,9– 27,8 %) among medical students, the development and implementation of psycho-correctional programs aimed at the formation of adaptive ways to overcome stress, reduce anxiety and depression is required. This will prevent the development of psychosomatic disorders and addictions.

The Future Study of Public Opinion: A Symposium

1987 ◽  
Vol 51 (part 2: Supplement: 50th Anniversary Issue) ◽  
pp. S173
Author(s):  
Leo Bogart ◽  
James R. Beniger ◽  
Richard A. Brody ◽  
Irving Crespi ◽  
James A. Davis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Future Study ◽  
The Future

Human, AI, Robot Teaming and the Future of Work: Barriers and Opportunities for Advancement

2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-66
Author(s):  
Erin K. Chiou ◽  
Eric Holder ◽  
Igor Dolgov ◽  
Kaleb McDowell ◽  
Lance Menthe ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Value ◽  
Panel Discussion ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Future Of Work ◽  
Global Workforce ◽  
Big Ideas ◽  
The Future ◽  
Barriers And Opportunities ◽  
Business As Usual ◽  
And Robotics

Global investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics are on the rise, with the results to impact global economies, security, safety, and human well-being. The most heralded advances in this space are more often about the technologies that are capable of disrupting business-as-usual than they are about innovation that advances or supports a global workforce. The Future of Work at the Human-Technology Frontier is one of NSF’s 10 Big Ideas for research advancement. This panel discussion focuses on the barriers and opportunities for a future of human and AI/robot teaming, with people at the center of complex systems that provide social, ethical, and economic value.

scholarly journals Future Changes in Tropical Cyclone and Easterly Wave Characteristics over Tropical North America

Oceans ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 429-447
Author(s):  
Christian Dominguez ◽  
James M. Done ◽  
Cindy L. Bruyère
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Track Density ◽  
Caribbean Region ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Future Scenarios ◽  
Southern Mexico ◽  
The North ◽  
The Future

Tropical Cyclones (TCs) and Easterly Waves (EWs) are the most important phenomena in Tropical North America. Thus, examining their future changes is crucial for adaptation and mitigation strategies. The Community Earth System Model drove a three-member regional model multi-physics ensemble under the Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 emission scenario for creating four future scenarios (2020–2030, 2030–2040, 2050–2060, 2080–2090). These future climate runs were analyzed to determine changes in EW and TC features: rainfall, track density, contribution to seasonal rainfall, and tropical cyclogenesis. Our study reveals that a mean increase of at least 40% in the mean annual TC precipitation is projected over northern Mexico and southwestern USA. Slight positive changes in EW track density are projected southwards 10° N over the North Atlantic Ocean for the 2050–2060 and 2080–2090 periods. Over the Eastern Pacific Ocean, a mean increment in the EW activity is projected westwards across the future decades. Furthermore, a mean reduction by up to 60% of EW rainfall, mainly over the Caribbean region, Gulf of Mexico, and central-southern Mexico, is projected for the future decades. Tropical cyclogenesis over both basins slightly changes in future scenarios (not significant). We concluded that these variations could have significant impacts on regional precipitation.

scholarly journals Risk factors and mechanisms of stroke in young adults: The FUTURE study

2017 ◽  
Vol 38 (9) ◽  
pp. 1631-1641 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mayte E van Alebeek ◽  
Renate M Arntz ◽  
Merel S Ekker ◽  
Nathalie E Synhaeve ◽  
Noortje AMM Maaijwee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Young Adults ◽  
Future Study ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Classification Systems ◽  
Unknown Etiology ◽  
Stroke Patients ◽  
Young Stroke ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
The Future

Incidence of ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack in young adults is rising. However, etiology remains unknown in 30–40% of these patients when current classification systems designed for the elderly are used. Our aim was to identify risk factors according to a pediatric approach, which might lead to both better identification of risk factors and provide a stepping stone for the understanding of disease mechanism, particularly in patients currently classified as “unknown etiology”. Risk factors of 656 young stroke patients (aged 18–50) of the FUTURE study were categorized according to the “International Pediatric Stroke Study” (IPSS), with stratification on gender, age and stroke of “unknown etiology”. Categorization of risk factors into ≥1 IPSS category was possible in 94% of young stroke patients. Chronic systemic conditions were more present in patients aged <35 compared to patients ≥35 (32.6% vs. 15.6%, p < 0.05). Among 226 patients classified as “stroke of unknown etiology” using TOAST, we found risk factors in 199 patients (88%) with the IPSS approach. We identified multiple risk factors linked to other mechanisms of stroke in the young than in the elderly . This can be a valuable starting point to develop an etiologic classification system specifically designed for young stroke patients.

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