scholarly journals Determinação de equações de chuvas intensas para a encosta superior do nordeste do Rio Grande do Sul

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
pp. e83
Author(s):  
Taison Anderson Bortolin ◽  
Clauber Corso ◽  
Ludmilson Abritta Mendes ◽  
Alan De Gois Barbosa ◽  
Vania Elisabete Schneider

The relationship intensity, duration and frequency is very important for the hydraulic project’s development, mainly in regions where there is no study updated data. This paper objective was to determine the intensity-duration-frequency curves at Rio Grande do Sul hillside, in order to provide tools for hydraulic structures design and hydrological studies in the region. For the return periods 2, 5, 10, 20, 25, 50 and 100 - year precipitation determination was used Gumbel’s and log-normal statistical distributions, using the Rain Relationship Duration Method for 20 rainfall stations. For Gumbel’s distribution data adherence verification, was used the Kolmogorov-Smirnov adhesion tests and Chi-Square adhesion, with, 5% significance level. The general IDF equation coefficients a, b, c and d were obtained through non-linear regression and the adjustment quality was measured by both determination coefficient and standard error. Different intense rainfall curves were obtained with the methodology applied, for the region, each one shows a good parameters adjustment, important tool for extreme precipitations estimating.

2004 ◽  
Vol 39 (12) ◽  
pp. 1157-1166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Cargnelutti Filho ◽  
Ronaldo Matzenauer ◽  
Júlio Kuhn da Trindade

O objetivo deste trabalho foi verificar o ajuste das séries de dados de radiação solar global média decendial, de 22 municípios do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul, às funções de distribuições de probabilidade normal, log-normal, gama, gumbel e weibull. Aplicou-se o teste de aderência de Kolmogorov-Smirnov, nas 792 séries de dados (22 municípios x 36 decêndios) de radiação solar global média decendial, para verificar o ajuste dos dados às distribuições normal, log-normal, gama, gumbel e weibull, totalizando 3.960 testes. Os dados decendiais de radiação solar global média se ajustam às funções de distribuições de probabilidade normal, log-normal, gama, gumbel e weibull, e apresentam melhor ajuste à função de distribuição de probabilidade normal.


Author(s):  
Tamara L. Caldeira ◽  
Samuel Beskow ◽  
Carlos R. de Mello ◽  
Lessandro C. Faria ◽  
Mayara R. de Souza ◽  
...  

A gestão de cheias em bacias hidrográficas brasileiras deve ser discutida e priorizada, porém o cenário atual indica lacunas quanto às informações hidrológicas com variabilidade espacial e temporal condizentes. A modelagem probabilística de eventos extremos de precipitação, buscando a extrapolação para uma frequência e duração, pode servir como excelente ferramenta de análise e tomada de decisões. O objetivo principal deste trabalho foi analisar o ajuste de diferentes modelos probabilísticos a séries de precipitação máxima diária anual no Rio Grande do Sul. Séries pluviométricas de 342 estações foram ajustadas às distribuições Log-Normal a 2 e 3 parâmetros e Gumbel e a adequação foi realizada pelos testes de Kolmogorov-Smirnov e Qui-Quadrado. Todas as distribuições de probabilidade consideradas foram adequadas; entretanto, a distribuição Log-Normal a 3 parâmetros apresentou os melhores ajustes segundo os resultados do teste Qui-Quadrado. Os parâmetros das distribuições de probabilidades apresentaram variabilidade ao longo do estado e forte relação com a localização, sugerindo que a regionalização de chuvas intensas pode ser empregada no Rio Grande do Sul como excelente ferramenta de gestão.


Author(s):  
Emanuele B. Manke ◽  
Claudia F. A. Teixeira-Gandra ◽  
Rita de C. F. Damé ◽  
André B. Nunes ◽  
Maria C. C. Chagas Neta ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Although several studies have evaluated the intensity-duration-frequency relationships of extreme rainfall events, these relationships under different seasonal conditions remain relatively unknown. Thus, this study aimed to determine whether the intensity-duration-frequency relationships obtained seasonally from the rainfall records in the winter and summer represent the maximum rainfall events for the city of Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil. Pluviographic data from 1982 to 2015 were used to create two seasonal series: one for the summer from December 21 to March 20 and the other for the winter from June 21 to September 22. These seasonal relationships were compared with the annual pluviographic data. The intensity, duration, and frequency relationships obtained from the summer rain data adequately represented the maximum rainfall in Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil. The maximum intensity values of rainfall obtained from the relationship of intensity, duration, and frequency for the winter did not adequately encapsulate the occurrence of rain with greater intensities.


Agrometeoros ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronaldo Matzenauer ◽  
Bernadete Radin ◽  
Alberto Cargnelutti Filho

O objetivo deste trabalho foi avaliar a relação entre o fenômeno El Niño Oscilação Sul - ENOS e o rendimento de grãos de soja e de milho no Rio Grande do Sul e verificar a hipótese de que os eventos El Niño são favoráveis e os eventos La Niña são prejudiciais ao rendimento de grãos das culturas. Foram utilizados dados de rendimento de grãos dos anos agrícolas de 1974/75 a 2016/17, e relacionados com as ocorrências de eventos ENOS. Foram analisados os dados de rendimento observados na colheita e os dados estimados com a remoção da tendência tecnológica. Os resultados mostraram que não houve diferença significativa do rendimento médio de grãos de soja e de milho na comparação entre os eventos ENOS. Palavras-chave: El Niño, La Niña, safras agrícolas. Abstract – The objective of this work was to evaluate the relationship between the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon with the grain yield of soybean and maize in Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil and to verify the hypothesis that the El Niño events are favorable and the La Niña events are harmful to the culture’s grain yields. Were used data from the agricultural years of 1974/75 to 2016/17, and related to the occurrence of ENOS events. We analyzed income data observed at harvest and estimated data with technological tendency was removed. The results showed that there was no significant difference in the average yield of soybeans and corn in the comparison between events.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 92-101
Author(s):  
Adi Zayd Bintang ◽  
Ayik Mirayanti Mandagi

ABSTRACTDepression is a mental health problem that mostly occurs during adolescence. Physical, cognitive and emotional changes experienced during adolescence can cause stress. The prevalence of depression in adolescence has a very high increase compared to the age of children and adults. The main factor in being able to cure depression in adolescents is social support (Depkes, 2007). This study aims to identify depressive symptoms in adolescents and to find out the relationship between social support factors and depression incidence. This research is a quantitative research, with the type of observational analytic research with a cross sectional approach involving students at SMA XY in Jember Regency in May 2020. The analytical method uses the Chi Square test to see the relationship between independent and dependent variables with a significance level of α ≤ 0, 05. Data collection tool using google form. Determination of respondents by random sampling with a total of 158 respondents. The results of this study indicate that the distribution of women is 76.58% more than that of men. Based on the distribution of social support, 56.96% received good social support, while based on the incidence of depression, 54.43% did not experience depression. From the statistical test, the significance value of <0.05 indicates that there is a relationship between social support factors and the incidence of depression. Social support plays an effective role in overcoming depression experienced by adolescents.Keywords: Depression, Teens, social support. ABSTRAKDepresi merupakan salah satu masalah kesehatan mental yang sebagian besar terjadi pada masa remaja. Perubahan fisik, kognitif dan emosional yang dialami pada masa remaja dapat menimbulkan stress. Prevalensi depresi pada usia remaja memiliki peningkatan yang sangat tinggi dibandingkan dengan usia anak-anak dan usia dewasa. Faktor utama untuk dapat menyembuhkan depresi pada remaja yaitu dukungan sosial (Depkes, 2007). Penelitian bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi gejala depresi pada remaja dan mengetahui mengenai Hubungan Faktor Dukungan Sosial dengan Kejadian Depresi. Penelitian ini adalah penelitian kuantitatif, dengan jenis penelitian analitik observasional dengan pendekatan cross sectional yang melibatkan siswa di SMA XY di Kabupaten Jember pada Bulan Mei tahun 2020. Metode analisis menggunakan uji Chi Square untuk melihat hubungan variabel independen dan dependen dengan tingkat kemaknaan α ≤ 0,05. Alat pengumpulan data menggunakan google form. Penentuan responden secara random sampling dengan jumlah 158 reponden. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan distribusi perempuan 76,58% lebih banyak daripada laki-laki, berdasarkan distribusi dukungan sosial sebesar 56,96% mendapatkan dukungan sosial yang baik, sedangkan berdasarkan kejadian depresi sebesar 54,43% tidak mengalami depresi. Dari uji statistik nilai signifikansi sebesar < 0,05 menunjukkan bahwa ada hubungan antara faktor dukungan sosial dengan kejadian depresi. Dukungan sosial berperan efektif dalam mengatasi depresi yang dialami remaja.Kata Kunci: Depresi, Remaja, Dukungan Sosial.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 28
Author(s):  
Dorce Sisfiani Sarimin ◽  
Semuel Tambuwun ◽  
Suci Laila Tonote

ABSTRACTAcute Respiratory Infection (ARI) is one of the diseases that often affects children. The data found in the Manando Minanga Malalayang Public Health Center in the last year from January to December 2017 were 364 cases. One of the factors that causes ARI in children is mother's knowledge. The purpose of this study was to analyze the relationship of parental knowledge with health behaviors in children with ARI. This type of research is observational analytic conducted on 36 respondents. The measuring instrument used is a questionnaire. Hypothesis testing used Chi-Square (x²) with a significance level (α) <0.05, and a significant level> 95%. The results of the study found that from 17 respondents who had less knowledge of ARI with less behavior there were 11 respondents (30.5%) and 6 respondents (2.16%) knowledge of parents with sufficient behavior. Of the 19 respondents who had good knowledge but lack of health behavior there was 1 respondent (0.36%), good parental knowledge but enough behavior there were 7 respondents (2.52) and good parental knowledge and good behavior there were 11 respondents (30, 5). Chi-square statistical analysis obtained the value of p = value of 0,000, meaning that p = value <0.05 so that there is a relationship between parents' knowledge and health behavior in children with ARI. Suggestions for parents are expected to be willing to increase knowledge about ARI so that awareness of the importance of health for children so as not to get ARI.Keywords: ARI, Knowledge, Health BehaviorABSTRAKInfeksi Saluran Pernafasan Akut (ISPA) merupakan salah satu penyakit yang sering menyerang anak-anak. Data yang ditemukan di Puskesmas Minanga Malalayang Kota Manando satu tahun terakhir ini dari bulan Januari sampai dengan Desember 2017 sebanyak 364 kasus. Salah satu faktor penyebab terjadinya ISPA pada anak-anak adalah pengetahuan ibu. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis hubungan pengetahuan orang tua dengan perilaku kesehatan pada anak yang mengalami penyakit ISPA. Jenis penelitian ini adalah analitik observasional yang dilakukan terhadap 36 responden. Alat ukur yang digunakan adalah kuesioner. Uji hipotesa yang digunakan Chi-Square (x²) dengan derajat kemaknaan (α)<0,05, dan tingkat signifikan > 95%. Hasil penelitian ditemukan dari 17 responden yang mempunyai pengetahuan kurang penyakit ISPA dengan perilaku kurang terdapat 11 responden (30,5%) dan 6 responden (2,16%) pengetahuan orang tua dengan perilaku cukup. Dari 19 responden yang mempunyai pengetahuan baik tetapi perilaku kesehatan kurang terdapat 1 responden (0,36%), pengetahuan orang tua baik tetapi perilaku cukup terdapat 7 responden (2,52) dan pengetahuan orang tua baik kemudian perilaku baik terdapat 11 responden (30,5). Analisi statistic chi-square didapatkan nilai p=value sebesar 0,000, artinya p=value < 0,05 sehingga terdapat hubungan pengetahuan orang tua dengan perilaku kesehatan pada anak yang mengalami penyakit ISPA. Saran bagi orang tua diharapkan bersedia meningkatkan pengetahuan tentang ISPA sehingga kesadaran dalam hal pentingnya kesehatan bagi anak agar tidak sampai terkena penyakit ISPA.Kata kunci : ISPA, Pengetahuan, Perilaku Kesehatan


1996 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 351-355 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rita de Cássia Fraga Damé ◽  
Claudia Fernanda Almeida Teixeira ◽  
Núcia Margot Moreira ◽  
Mery Vijagran Souto

A análise de frequência hidrológica, possibilita conhecer a magnitude de um evento para uma dada frequência de ocorrência, identificando se os dados observados ajustam-se a alguma distribuição de probabilidade. O presente trabalho teve como objetivos, ajustar os dados observados de precipitação pluvial anual e máximo e mínimo mensal, para diversos níveis de probabilidade, das estações agroclimatológicas de Pelotas, Morro Redondo, Domingos Petroline e Rio Grande. A série de valores de precipitação pluvial anual das estações agroclimatológicas de Pelotas, Morro Redondo, Domingos Petroline e Rio Grande, ajustaram-se adequadamente as distribuições de probabilidade normal, log-normal, log-normal e Gumbel, respectivamente. A série dos máximos anuais adequaram-se, para as estações descritas anteriormente, às distribuições de probabilidades de Gumbel, log-normal, Gumbel e log-normal, respectivamente. A série de mínimos anuais de Rio Grande não foi considerada homogénea pelo "Run-Test".


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 708-715
Author(s):  
Mokh. Firman Ismana

Kepuasan pasien merupakan merupakan tingkat kepuasan dari persepsi pasien terhadap layanan kesehatan dan merupakan salah satu indikator kinerja. Apabila pasien menunjukan hal – hal yang bagus mengenai layanan kesehatan dan pasien mengindikasikan dengan perilaku yang positif maka akan dapat mengambil kesimpulan bahwa pasien merasa puas terhadap layanan tersebut. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan antara lima dimensi mutu pelayanan rawat jalan dengan kepuasan pasien di RSUD Arjawinangun Kabupaten Cirebon Tahun 2015. Jenis penelitian deskriptik analitik dengan desain Cross Sectional. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah jumlah seluruh pasien yang berobat ke rawat jalan RSUD Arjawinangun pada bulan Januari tahun 2015 sebanyak 9.707 pasien. Jumlah sampel sebanyak 385 pasien yang diambil secara Accidental Sampling. Data dianalisa secara statistic menggunakan uji Chi Square pada tingkat kemaknaan 5% (0,05). Variabel yang diteliti yaitu variabel dependen: kepuasan pasien, variabel independen: Bukti Fisik (Tangibles), Kehandalan (Reliability), Ketanggapan (Responsiveness), Jaminan (Assurance), Dan Empati (Empathy). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan ada hubungan yang bermakna antara Bukti Fisik (Tangibles) dengan kepuasan pasein (p = 0,034), ada hubungan yang bermakna antara Kehandalan (Reliability) dengan kepuasan pasein (p= 0,000), ada hubungan yang bermakna antara Ketanggapan (Responsiveness) dengan kepuasan pasein ( p= 0,000), ada hubungan yang bermakna antara Jaminan (Assurance) dengan kepuasan pasein (p= 0,000), ada hubungan yang bermakna antara Empati (Empathy) dengan kepuasan pasein (p= 0,000).Kata Kunci: Kepuasan Pasien, Lima dimensi mutu ABSTRACTPatient’s satisfaction is the satisfaction level of the patient’s perception of the health services and is one of the performance indicators. If the patients shows the good things about the health care service and the patients indicated by the positive behavior will be able to infer that patients are satisfied with the health care service. This research aimed to determine the relationship between the five dimensions of quality of outpatient care with patient’s satisfaction in RSUD Arjawinangun Kabupaten Cirebon 2015. The type of this research is descriptive analytic with Cross Sectional Design. Population in this research is the total number of outpatients treated at RSUD Arjawinangun Kabupaten Cirebon through Januari 2015 as many as 9707 patients. The total sample of 385 patients were taken by accidental sampling. Data were analyzed statiscally using Chi-squared test at 5% (0.05) significance level. The dependent variable analyzed in this research is patient’s satisfaction and the Independent variable in this research are Tangibles, Realiability, Responsiveness, Assurance, and Empathy. Judge from the analysis above, we conclude that the result of this research showed the relationship between Tangibles with patient’s satisfaction (p = 0.034). There is relationship between Reliability with patient’s satisfaction (p = 0.00). There is relationship between Responsiveness with patient’s satisfaction (p = 0.00). The relationship between Assurance with patient’s satisfaction is also influence with p = 0.00, and the last of variable, there is relationship between empathy with patient’s satisfaction (p=0.00). The result of this research can be followed up by efforts to improve the Tangibles, Reliability, Responsiveness, Assurance, and Empathy by providing technical training to every officer to increase the ability to carry out the services.Key Word : Patient’s Satisfaction, Five dimensions of  quality


2013 ◽  
Vol 88 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-63
Author(s):  
Eudes Euler de Souza Lucena ◽  
Ana Claudia de Queiroz Castro ◽  
Danielle Bezerra de Farias ◽  
Pérola Teixeira de Lima ◽  
Éricka Janine Dantas da Silveira ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND: Ephelides are small hyperpigmented macules common in the skin, presenting as areas with increased melanin production. Ephelides are observed in genetically predisposed individuals, particularly fair-skinned people highly susceptible to sunburn. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine the prevalence of lip and perioral ephelides in 362 beach workers in the city of Natal (Rio Grande do Norte) and to investigate potential associations with sociodemographic, occupational and general health. METHODS: For this purpose clinical tests were performed by calibrated examiners in the epidemiological area around the lips and the area bounded laterally by the nasolabial groove and at the bottom by the chin. A questionnaire was completed and assessed. The possible associations between sociodemographic variables, occupational and general health with the presence of lip and perioral ephelides were evaluated by chi-square test for a significance level of 5%. RESULTS: Approximately one third of the workers were affected by perioral ephelides (33.7%) and around a quarter of them by lip ephelides (24.0%). Gender was the only variable significantly associated with the presence of perioral ephelides (p = 0.002), unlike lip ephelides which proved to be significantly associated with habits (p = 0.036) and alcoholism (0.030). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of ephelides in lip and perioral region was high in the study population, with gender and certain habits associated with its occurrence.


1991 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-276 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Levi ◽  
Christian Partrat

AbstractA statistical analysis is performed on natural events which can produce important damages to insurers. The analysis is based on hurricanes which have been observed in the United States between 1954 et 1986.At first, independence between the number and the amount of the losses is examined. Different distributions (Poisson and negative binomial for frequency and exponential, Pareto and lognormal for severity) are tested. Along classical tests as chi-square, Kolmogorov-Smirnov and non parametric tests, a test with weights on the upper tail of the distribution is used: the Anderson – Darling test.Confidence intervals for the probability of occurrence of a claim and expected frequency for different potential levels of claims are derived. The Poisson Log-normal model gives a very good fit to the data.


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