scholarly journals FISCAL CONSOLIDATION – LESSONS FORM THE PAST

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (28) ◽  
Author(s):  
Biljana Stanivuk
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Previous Experience ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Successful Implementation ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
The Past ◽  
Good Plan

Fiscal consolidation is one of the most commonly used instruments of fiscal policy in order to "recover" the economy of a country. Successful implementation of the fiscal consolidation plan leads to a reduction of the budget deficit and public debt, with expansive effects primarily related to GDP growth. However, the success of fiscal consolidation does not depend only on a good plan or precise strategy. The complexity of fiscal consolidation requires knowledge of the entire macroeconomic system. The aim of this paper is to, based on previous experience, define the conditions which determine successful fiscal consolidation. Also, the paper will emphasize the most common mistakes which prevent consolidation from going in the desired direction. It should be mentioned that there is no unique fiscal policy and that each country has the opportunity to formulate a fiscal consolidation strategy based on its predispositions, expecting to bring the best results.

scholarly journals Fiscal policy and economic development

2020 ◽  
pp. 153-164
Author(s):  
Mykola Pasichnyi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Weight Ratio ◽  
Policy Formation ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
The Impact

The research subject includes the theoretical basis and mechanisms of fiscal policy formation and realization as an instrument of economic development regulation. The aim of the study is to improve the theoretical and methodological basis of fiscal policy formation and determine the peculiarities of its impact on economic development. Methods. In order to achieve the appropriate tasks, we used a set of methods and approaches, that helped to ensure the conceptual unity of our investigation. The dialectical, systemic and structural approaches, methods of analysis and synthesis, comparison, generalization,economic and mathematical modeling, scientific abstraction are applied. Results. In this paper, we explored the main instruments of fiscal policy, which affect economic development. The experience of advanced counties in fiscal consolidation and stimulus measures during the Great Recession was systemized. Also, the author investigated the budget deficit impact on real GDP growth in OECD countries over the 1981-2017 period. Practical implications. Fiscal policy and instruments of its implementation. Conclusions. The regulation of the tax burden on labor and capital influences the conjuncture of these factors in the market. Fiscal regulation is one of the determining reasons for the migration of labor and financial capital between different regions and countries. Given the multiplicity of combinations of tax bases and rates, the government has significant potential to impact on investment and consumer demand, and real GDP growth. The impact of budget expenditures on aggregate demand should be examined considering the level (ratio to GDP) and different composition structures. It is vital to raise the weight ratio of productive expenditures in the overall structure, which leads to foster economic growth. Particularly important are the special productive expenditures that are directed towards the development of human capital; which include expenditures on education, health care, physical development, R&D. It is crucial to establish a consistent relationship between public spending and the obtained results to form an effective fiscal policy. The budget should be balanced, which requires the implementation of systematic fiscal consolidation measures, and it has been found that the growth of the budget deficit slows down economic growth. The priority of fiscal policy is to reduce the debt burden.

Air pollution and public finance: evidence for European countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (7) ◽  
pp. 1398-1417 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Carratù ◽  
Bruno Chiarini ◽  
Antonella D’Agostino ◽  
Elisabetta Marzano ◽  
Andrea Regoli
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Air Pollution ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Environmental Quality ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Environmental Performance ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Trade Off ◽  
Content Type

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether a statistically significant relationship exists between environmental quality, as measured by consumption-related air pollution, and public debt in Europe. In addition, since the debt burden is one of the most important indicators of fiscal soundness within the European Union (EU) Treaty and the subsequent fiscal compact, the authors propose a simple test to determine whether participation in EU Treaties has shaped the empirical relationship between fiscal policy/public debt and environmental performance. Design/methodology/approach To this end, the authors built a panel data set that covers 24 European countries over the period 1996–2015. Findings The aspect that the authors want to underline is a possible trade off, which is confirmed in the empirical analysis, between the public finance equilibrium and the maintenance of a public good such as air quality. However, there are important non-linearities that shape the interaction between public debt and environmental pollution. Similarly, threshold effects arise when the authors examine the interaction between EU regulation and public debt and when the authors separately examine high debt and low debt countries. When the authors account for the stabilization rules introduced by EU Treaties, a negative effect on pollution is evident; in this way, fiscal consolidation limits the positive effect of fiscal policy. Practical implications The results point out the existence of a potential trade-off between the role of EU as a regulator aiming to mitigate environmental pollution, and its role within the Stability and Growth Pact. The analysis highlights that fiscal consolidation policies, while facilitating the achievement of macroeconomic stability within EU, might have a negative side effect on the environment quality, which spreads beyond the borders of one single country. Originality/value While a number of studies have suggested that fiscal spending might contribute to the level of pollution in European countries, there is scant evidence of the effect of public debt on environmental performance. This lack of scientific knowledge is a serious shortcoming, since it may allow for an underrepresentation of the wide-ranging consequences of stabilization programmes targeting the debt-to-GDP ratio, which could affect environmental quality.

scholarly journals THE MECHANISM OF FISCAL POLICY

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-32
Author(s):  
Lidiia Fedoryshyna
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Absolute Magnitude ◽  
The State ◽  
National Debt ◽  
Agricultural Insurance ◽  
Theoretical Approaches ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Finance Theory

The purpose of this article is to study fiscal policy, which is one of the methods of regulating the country's macroeconomic policy. Theoretical approaches of scientists to the definition of the term "fiscal policy" are investigated. The contents and principles of the functioning of the mechanism of fiscal policy are disclosed. Method. Theoretical approaches to the definition of mechanisms and discrete components of the fiscal policy of the state and its criteria characteristics have been developed. The research has been based on the use of a systematic approach to the consideration of fiscal phenomena, on the fundamental principles of economic theory, systems theory, theory of finance, theory of taxes, etc. Results. It is observed that the budget deficit and the national debt are closely linked: the increase in the budget deficit leads to an increase in the national debt. But the absolute magnitude of the budget deficit, and therefore of the public debt, does not provide enough information for economic analysis. It is necessary to know what processes the budget deficit is serving, what changes in the reproduction cycle it reflects. It is also very important to measure changes in public debt in relation to changes in GDP. In addition, the tax burden is increasing as a result of these changes. Value/originality. It is determined that along with the expected changes in the methodology of calculation and procedure of tax payment, taxpayers are also concerned about the question of changing the tariff grid by the total amount of taxes due in absolute terms and in relation to the volume and resultant indicators of production activity (revenue, profit). An innovative tariff policy has been proposed and opportunities for using non-traditional agricultural insurance products have been revealed. Recommendations to improve the fiscal policy of the state have been made. The conceptual platform for harmonizing the mechanism of fiscal policy regarding economic entities is substantiated.

scholarly journals Imbalance of the public finance in the context of Keynesian and Non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy limitation

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 27-32
Author(s):  
Joanna Stawska
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
The Public ◽  
Methods Of Analysis ◽  
Restrictive Policy

The purpose of this article is to point out the importance of the size of public debt and deficit in the context of Keynesian and non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy limitation. To achieve this objective primarily were used methods of analysis of the available literature and presentation of statistical data. Considerations include, among others, the presentation of public debt and deficit in the context of economic growth. Expansionary fiscal policy often caused by economic fluctuations contributes to the deepening of public finance imbalance with frequent decline in GDP growth. The restrictive policy has an influence on improving the situation of the public finance sector in the long-term with at least moderate economic growth.

IMPERATIVES AND RISKS OF THE STATE BORROWINGS’ ACCUMULATION

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 (6) ◽  
pp. 26-43
Author(s):  
Vasyl KUDRYASHOV ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Peak Load ◽  
Banking System ◽  
The State ◽  
State Budget ◽  
State Sector ◽  
Budget Support ◽  
Analysis Of Dynamics

Analysis of dynamics of indicators of the state and the state-guaranteed debt in Ukraine in recent years is carried out and imperatives of the growth of public debt are determined. It is found out that its primary factors were the expansion of financing of the state budget for budget support of the state sector of economy, banking system, as well as the financing of the budget deficit. It is concluded that the solving of such tasks was carried out under conditions of aggravation of financial risks, namely: revenue mobilization, attraction of an additional resource for the purpose of financing the budget deficit and deficit-debt adjustment, under-fulfilment of privatization plans, admission of high inflation, as well as depreciation of the national currency. It is noted that the growth of public debt was due to an increase in the state borrowings, which were used to repay obligations, cover the costs of conducting the active operations and shift part of the borrowings of corporations and institutions to the state budget. The conduct of active operations was aimed at providing the financial support to the state banks and state institutions, DGF and capitalization of some private banks. Changes in the volume of the state borrowings are disclosed in terms of the ratio of their internal and external components. The reasons and consequences of growth of costs of deficit-debt adjustment (active operations within the framework of the state budget) are determined. Under conditions of non-fulfillment of revenue plans from privatization of the state property, such a policy will lead to aggravation of fiscal risks (retention of high indicators of the state borrowings and debt financing at the expense of the NBU and the state banks). The policy of state borrowings (in terms of internal and external components) turned out to be inconsistent: sharp changes were allowed in attracting the resource from internal and external sources, and the implementation of debt policy was marked by significant peak load on the state budget as well as their high profitability both in domestic and foreign markets. The volume of loan servicing continued to grow, which became a factor of increasing budget expenditures. Financing of borrowings using the resources of the NBU and the state-owned banks were reaching high rates. The author proposes the directions of fiscal policy aimed at restraining and restricting the state and the state-guaranteed debt by introducing changes to fiscal policy in Ukraine.

scholarly journals Fiscal stimuli and consolidation in emerging market economies

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 113-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Chugunov ◽  
Mykola Pasichnyi
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Policy Design ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Policy Formulation ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
Medium Level ◽  
The Government

The Great Recession has imposed vital limitations on the policy maker’s ability to react to further economic challenges. In this article, the authors set a purpose to assess the expediency and the size of fiscal consolidation or expansionary measures for countries with emerging markets depending on economic dynamics. The data on the episodes of large changes in fiscal policy, representing both fiscal stimuli and consolidation in Ukraine and in the EU countries with emerging market economies from 2001 to 2017, were evaluated. The authors examined the main reasons of fiscal policy’s volatility and its impact on economic growth. The countries with low and medium level of institutional framework for fiscal policy formulation could face permanent deficit and public debt problem. Episodes of expansionary fiscal adjustments based on government revenues cuts and spending increases were more effective compared with those that were entirely based on spending increases. Empirical investigation showed that successful fiscal consolidation measures obligatory included the government primary spending reduction. In those cases, the budget deficit-to-GDP and public debt-to-GDP ratios were declined. Medium-term priorities to develop the methodical bases of fiscal policy design were justified.

scholarly journals The Impact of Fiscal Policy on the Economic Growth of Jordan

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 145
Author(s):  
Abdullah Ali Al-Masaeed ◽  
Evgeny Tsaregorodtsev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
The Impact

The present study examined the impact of fiscal policy measured by (Government expenditure, Government revenues, internal public debt, external public debt) in addition to exports and inflation factors on the Jordanian GDP growth for the period 1990-2010. The study used multiple linear regression and least squares method (OLS) to test the study hypotheses. The study found that government expenditure, exports and government revenues has a positive and significant impact on the Jordanian GDP growth, and negative and significant impact on the Jordanian GDP growth. The study found that external public debt has a negative but not significant impact on the Jordanian GDP growth.

scholarly journals PUBLIC DEBT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH – THE CASE OF THE REPUBLIC OF NORTH MACEDONIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (21) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristijan Kozheski ◽  
Predrag Trpeski ◽  
Marijana Cvetanoska ◽  
Gunter Merdžan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The Other ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Successful Implementation ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact

Establishing and maintaining macroeconomic stability and fiscal discipline on the one hand, and stimulating economic activity, by enhancing the quality of public finances, increasing capital expenditures, and enhancing competitiveness in the Macedonian economy, on the other hand, are two opposing objectives that should be pursued by policymakers. Government borrowing, especially foreign borrowing, is an important source of fixed assets to cover public expenditure. However, the sustainability of public debt depends not only on the level of public debt, but also on the structure and successful implementation of policies to boost economic growth. Borrowing for a country with low economic potential and a constant shortage of capital is inevitable, especially external borrowing. However, the structure, purpose of the assets and their multiplier effect on the overall economy are the main criteria for assessing the impact of public debt on the economy. This paper attempts to apply the econometric VAR analysis to examine the correlation and causal relationship between public debt and economic growth rate of the case of the Republic of North Macedonia for the period 2002 - 2017. The variables to be analyzed are: GDP growth per capita, Public debt as a proportion of GDP, Gross Domestic Investment, Interest Rate and Government Spending. For the purpose of this analysis, a Granger causality test has been conducted. The test results indicate that the impact of public debt growth in North Macedonia does not have a significant impact on GDP growth per capita. The other test that is being conducted is a Vector Error Correction Model which shows that public debt is negatively correlated with short run and long run economic growth.

The impact of budget deficit, public debt and education expenditures on economic growth in Poland

2021 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-84
Author(s):  
Michał Konopczyński
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Growth Path ◽  
Rapid Improvement ◽  
Balanced Growth ◽  
Education Expenditures ◽  
Balanced Growth Path ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThis paper investigates the relationship between economic growth in Poland and a few metrics of fiscal policy: budget deficit relative to GDP, the structure of public debt, education expenditures, and public consumption. We prove that with constant values of parameters of fiscal policy, over time the economy converges to the balanced growth path which is unique and globally asymptotically stable.Having calibrated the model with statistical data, we demonstrate that in the period of 2000–2016 economic growth in Poland was driven primarily by rapid improvement in the level of human capital (at a rate of 5.4% per annum), and secondarily due to the accumulation of capital (2.7% annually). If recent trends in fiscal policy are continued, the Polish economy will converge to the balanced growth path with GDP growing at 3.7%. This rate may be boosted, if fiscal policy is appropriately adjusted, for example by permanent reduction in budget deficit. We also analyse the effects of changes in the financing structure of public debt. Finally, we present several scenarios of increasing public and private spending on education.

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